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2024 Wage Contracts Summary Table

This table provides an up-to-date summary of the recent wage contracts analyzed by the IFO. Additional estimates will be provided after the relevant contract detail has been transmitted to the IFO by the Office of Administration.

Tags: contract, wage

ALES Wage Contract Analysis

The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) has issued a cost analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Association of Liquor Enforcement Supervisors (ALES).

Tags: analysis, contract, wage

UGSOA Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the United Government Security Officers of America (UGSOA).

Tags: analysis, contract, wage

PSEA Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Pennsylvania State Education Association (PSEA), Non-Tenured Teachers Unit.

Tags: analysis, contract, wage

2023 Impact Fee Estimate

This report uses recent data published by the Department of Environmental Protection to project CY 2023 Impact Fee collections (remitted April 2024). Collections are estimated to be $174.0 million, a decrease of $104.8 million from the prior year.

Tags: fee, gas, impact, natural

OPEIU Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Office and Professional Employees International Union, Healthcare Pennsylvania (OPEIU).

Tags: analysis, contract, wage

PDA Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Pennsylvania Doctors Alliance (PDA).

Tags: analysis, contract, wage

SEIU Healthcare Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Service Employees' International Union (SEIU) Healthcare Pennsylvania.

Tags: analysis, contract, wage

ISSU Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Independent State Stores Union (ISSU).

Tags: analysis, contract, wage

Act 1 Index Reaches New High

The Act 1 index limits the annual increase in school district millage rates. For FY 24-25, PDE recently certified an all-time high value (5.3%). This report examines the factors that drive that outcome and provides projections through FY 28-29.

Tags: act, index, one

PLEA Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Pennsylvania Liquor Enforcement Association (PLEA).

Tags: analysis, contract, wage

CIVEA Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Correctional Institution Vocational Education Association (CIVEA).

Tags: analysis, contract, wage

UFWC Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the United Food and Commercial Workers (UFCW).

Tags: analysis, contract, wage

SEIU Local 668 Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Service Employees' International Union (SEIU) Local 668.

Tags: analysis, contract, wage

AFSCME Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees (AFSCME) Council 13.

Tags: afscme, contract, wage

Budget Impact of 2023 Wage Contracts

This research brief provides a preliminary estimate of the budget impact if the terms of the newly ratified AFSCME collective bargaining agreement (CBA) apply to all CBAs reviewed by the IFO, as well as management and non-represented workers.

Tags: brief, budget, contracts, impact, research, wage

PA Population Contracts Since 2020

The IFO published a research brief that uses the latest Census data to rank states based on net migration between states since 2020. During the past two years, Pennsylvania recorded a net domestic outflow of 16,220. Relative to state population, the net outflow caused state population to contract by 0.1%, which ranked 29th across all states.

Tags: contraction, pennsylvania, population

2022 Impact Fee Estimate

This report uses recent data published by the Department of Environmental Protection to project CY 2022 Impact Fee collections (remitted April 2023). Collections are estimated to be $274.8 million, an increase of $40.4 million from the prior year.

Tags: fee, gas, impact, natural

2021 Impact Fee Estimate

This report uses recent data published by the Department of Environmental Protection to project CY 2021 Impact Fee collections (remitted April 2022). Collections are estimated to be $233.8 million, an increase of $87.6 million from the prior year.

Tags: fee, gas, impact

UGSOA Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the United Government Security Officers of America (UGSOA).

Tags: contract, wage

Economic Impact of Federal Stimulus

This research brief examines the impact of certain federal stimulus programs enacted in response to the COVID-19 pandemic on Pennsylvania residents and the economy. It estimates the total amount of federal stimulus provided directly to individuals by income group and considers the impact on employment, output, and whether the infusion of federal monies into the state economy is conducive to raising the state minimum wage.

Tags: brief, economic, federal, impact, research, stimulus

UGSOA Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the United Government Security Officers of America (UGSOA).

Tags: contract, wage

PSEA Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Pennsylvania State  Education Association (PSEA), Non-Tenured Teachers Unit.

Tags: contract, wage

PSCOA Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Pennsylvania State Corrections Officers Association (PSCOA).

Tags: contract, wage

SEIU Local 668 UC Referees Unit Wage Contract Analysis

The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) has issued a cost analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Service Employees International Union (SEIU) Local 668 Unemployment Compensation (UC) Referees.

Tags: contract, wage

CIVEA Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Correctional Vocational Education Association (CIVEA).

Tags: contract, wage

Sports, Marketing & Tourism Series: 2023 Ironman PA Happy Valley Triathlon

The IFO published an economic impact report for the Ironman 70.3 Pennsylvania Happy Valley Triathlon in Centre County (July 2023). The analysis finds that economic activity related to the event generated over $4.7 million in statewide spending, supported 30 full-time equivalent jobs, and $238,000 in select state and local taxes.

04/04/2024

Analysis of Revenue Proposals

This report provides estimates for the revenue proposals contained in the 2024-25 Governor's Executive Budget released February 2024. The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) publishes this report to fulfill its statutory duties as provided under Section 604-B (a)(4) of the Administrative Code of 1929. The act requires that the IFO “provide an analysis, including economic impact, of all tax and revenue proposals submitted by the Governor or the Office of the Budget."

03/28/2024

Child Care Stimulus Funds Depleted

This research brief highlights the depletion of federal child care stimulus funds and the impact on that sector. During the COVID-19 pandemic, Pennsylvania received approximately $1.6 billion in federal child care stimulus funds from the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) act; Coronavirus Response and Relief Supplemental Appropriations act (CRRSA); and American Rescue Plan (ARP).   

03/21/2024

Senate Budget Hearing Request

The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) responded to requests for additional information raised at the office’s budget hearing before the Senate Appropriations Committee. The requests relate to an adjusted financial statement, public assistance savings resulting from a higher minimum wage, impact of the Ohio rate structure on Pennsylvania tax liability, net migration for Pennsylvania, regional student loan debt comparison and U3 and U6 unemployment rates.

03/06/2024

Summary and Analysis of Annual PSERS Stress Test Report

Pursuant to act 128 of 2020, the IFO issued a report that summarizes results from the Public School Employees Retirement System’s (PSERS) recent stress test report. Based on PSERS’ baseline projections, the IFO projects that from FY 2024-25 to FY 2051-52, the Commonwealth will use $53.0 billion in General Fund revenues (2.7%) for the state’s share of public school employer pension contributions. Relative to baseline projections, the report also summarizes the impact from scenarios that allow investment performance to exceed and fall short of assumptions.

02/28/2024

2024 Wage Contracts Summary Table

This table provides an up-to-date summary of the recent wage contracts analyzed by the IFO. Additional estimates will be provided after the relevant contract detail has been transmitted to the IFO by the Office of Administration.

02/16/2024

ALES Wage Contract Analysis

The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) has issued a cost analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Association of Liquor Enforcement Supervisors (ALES).

02/16/2024

SEIU Local 668 - UC Referees Wage Contract Analysis

The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) has issued a cost analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Service Employees International Union (SEIU) Local 668 Unemployment Compensation (UC) Referees.

02/15/2024

Revised Monthly Revenue Estimates

This report provides revised monthly General Fund revenue estimates for FY 2023-24 based on projections contained in the Official Revenue Estimate published by the IFO on June 20, 2023 (includes adjustments released with the original monthly estimates in August 2023) adjusted to reflect the impact of statutory changes that were enacted in conjunction with the remainder of the state budget in December 2023.

01/29/2024

Minimum Wage Impact on Hourly Wages

This research brief examines how a higher statutory minimum wage could impact lower-wage workers and provides employment and hourly wage estimates for certain lower-wage occupations to illustrate that Pennsylvania effective labor market minimum wage is likely in the range of $10.50 to $11.00 per hour.

01/24/2024

UGSOA Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the United Government Security Officers of America (UGSOA).

01/09/2024

PSEA Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Pennsylvania State Education Association (PSEA), Non-Tenured Teachers Unit.

12/14/2023

2023 Impact Fee Estimate

This report uses recent data published by the Department of Environmental Protection to project CY 2023 Impact Fee collections (remitted April 2024). Collections are estimated to be $174.0 million, a decrease of $104.8 million from the prior year.

12/13/2023

OPEIU Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Office and Professional Employees International Union, Healthcare Pennsylvania (OPEIU).

12/07/2023

PDA Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Pennsylvania Doctors Alliance (PDA).

12/07/2023

SEIU Healthcare Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Service Employees' International Union (SEIU) Healthcare Pennsylvania.

12/06/2023

ISSU Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Independent State Stores Union (ISSU).

12/06/2023

Summary and Analysis of Annual SERS Stress Test Report

Pursuant to act 128 of 2020, the IFO issued a report that summarizes results from the State Employee Retirement System’s (SERS) recent stress test report. Based on SERS baseline projections, the IFO projects that over the next 20 years, Commonwealth agencies will use $24.9 billion in General Fund revenues (2.0%) for employer pension contributions. Relative to baseline projections, the report also summarizes the impact from scenarios that allow investment performance to exceed and fall short of baseline assumptions and the issuance of an 8.3% cost-of-living adjustment (equal to a 13th monthly annuity each year).

12/01/2023

November 2023 Monthly Economic Update

The Monthly Economic Update provides data and insight on current trends that impact the state economy. 

11/29/2023

act 1 Index Reaches New High

The act 1 index limits the annual increase in school district millage rates. For FY 24-25, PDE recently certified an all-time high value (5.3%). This report examines the factors that drive that outcome and provides projections through FY 28-29.

11/28/2023

PLEA Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Pennsylvania Liquor Enforcement Association (PLEA).

11/09/2023

Economic and Budget Outlook

The IFO will release its long-term budget outlook for FY 2023-24 to FY 2028-29 on November 15 at 1:30 pm. Long-term issues that impact the outlook include the expiration of federal relief programs, a rapidly expanding 75+ age cohort and the depletion of surplus balances that currently generate significant interest income. See the announcement for a link to register for the presentation.

11/08/2023

CIVEA Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Correctional Institution Vocational Education Association (CIVEA).

10/26/2023

Pennsylvania's Strained Nursing Homes

The IFO posted a new research brief that discusses placement waitlists and potential cost implications from the contraction in nursing home capacity since 2019.

10/25/2023

UFWC Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the United Food and Commercial Workers (UFCW).

10/25/2023

October 2023 Monthly Economic Update

The Monthly Economic Update provides data and insight on current trends that impact the state economy. 

10/23/2023

Economic and Revenue Impact of Student Loan Moratorium

Director Knittel gave a presentation at the FTA Revenue Estimation and Tax Research Conference on the economic and revenue impact of the student loan moratorium.

10/03/2023

SEIU Local 668 Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Service Employees' International Union (SEIU) Local 668.

09/19/2023

September 2023 Monthly Economic Update

The Monthly Economic Update provides data and insight on current trends that impact the state economy. 

09/14/2023

AFSCME Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees (AFSCME) Council 13.

08/29/2023

August 2023 Monthly Economic Update

The Monthly Economic Update provides data and insight on current trends that impact the state economy. 

08/23/2023

Budget Impact of 2023 Wage Contracts

This research brief provides a preliminary estimate of the budget impact if the terms of the newly ratified AFSCME collective bargaining agreement (CBA) apply to all CBAs reviewed by the IFO, as well as management and non-represented workers.

08/14/2023

Property Tax/Rent Rebate Expansion

This research brief uses data from the Pennsylvania Department of Revenue, the American Community Survey and Social Security Administration to estimate the impact of the recently enacted expansion of the PTRR program. It provides detail on impact by income level, claimant type and county.

08/09/2023

Inflation's Impact on Earnings and Pensions

This research brief uses recent data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics to compute the impact of unusually high inflation on real average hourly earnings of Pennsylvania workers and a typical SERS-PSERS annuitant.

07/31/2023

Corporate Net Income Tax TY 2019

This research brief provides tabulations of corporate net income tax (CNIT) return data from tax year 2019 based on tax liability, apportionment factor and NAICS code.

07/25/2023

July 2023 Monthly Economic Update

The Monthly Economic Update provides data and insight on current trends that impact the state economy. 

07/12/2023

School District Property Tax Update

The IFO released an updated school district property tax forecast. The report (1) projects revenues through FY 2027-28, (2) estimates revenues collected from senior homeowners, (3) ranks counties based on per capita revenues and (4) provides detail on the projected act 1 index.

06/28/2023

Impact Fee Update and Outlook 2023

This update examines 2022 impact fee collections and provides an outlook for 2023. The Commonwealth collected $278.9 million in impact fees for 2022, a $44.4 million increase from 2021. 

06/26/2023

June 2023 Monthly Economic Update

The Monthly Economic Update provides data and insight on current trends that impact the state economy. 

06/26/2023

What Drives Record Lottery Jackpots?

The IFO posted a new research brief that discusses the factors that motivate recent record Lottery jackpots for Mega Millions and Powerball and how large jackpots from those two games impact funds for programs the Lottery Fund supports.

06/13/2023

Student Loan Repayment Moratorium Ends

As part of its annual revenue estimate, the IFO modeled the economic and revenue impact from the scheduled end of the student loan moratorium in September 2023. An IMPLAN economic simulation finds that annual state nominal GDP will decline by $3.4 billion while sales tax revenues decline by $125 million and personal income tax by $40 million.

06/12/2023

May 2023 Monthly Economic Update

The Monthly Economic Update provides data and insight on current trends that impact the state economy.

05/23/2023

Analysis of Revenue Proposals

This report provides estimates for the revenue proposals contained in the 2023-24 Executive Budget released March 2023. The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) publishes this report to fulfill its statutory duties as provided under Section 604-B (a)(4) of the Administrative Code of 1929. The act requires that the IFO “provide an analysis, including economic impact, of all tax and revenue proposals submitted by the Governor or the Office of the Budget."

05/03/2023

APRIL 2023 MONTHLY ECONOMIC UPDATE

The Monthly Economic Update provides data and insight on current trends that impact the state economy.

04/25/2023

Expiration of the Enhanced FMAP

The IFO posted a fourth research brief that examines the end or phase-out of various programs tied to the federal public health emergency that will impact the state economy. The brief examines the fiscal impact on the Commonwealth that will result from the phaseout of the enhanced Federal Medical Assistance Percentage (FMAP) and disenrollments due to the elimination of the continuous coverage requirement. The analysis finds a $1.70 billion net increase in state costs for FY 2023-24 and $2.13 billion the year after. The report was originally posted on March 17, 2023 and was updated on April 6, 2023 for technical changes to the FMAP enhancement for newly eligible enrollees. The updated report also includes revised estimates from DHS for FY 23-24 expenditures covered by the enhanced FMAP phaseout.

04/06/2023

APRIL 2023 MONTHLY ECONOMIC UPDATE

The Monthly Economic Update provides data and insight on current trends that impact the state economy.

04/04/2023

State Rainy Day and General Fund Balances

The IFO posted a new research brief that uses published data from The Pew Charitable Trusts to rank states based on the ratio of (1) Rainy Day Fund balances and (2) Total Balances (Rainy Day plus General Fund) to General Fund expenditures for enacted FY 2022-23 budgets.

03/24/2023

Economic and act 1 Index Update

Director Knittel gave an Economic and act 1 Index update at the Pennsylvania Association of School Business Officials (PASBO) Annual Conference.

03/16/2023

Emergency Rental Assistance Ends

The IFO posted a third research brief that examines the end or phase-out of various programs tied to the federal public health emergency that will impact the state economy. The brief examines trends in eviction filings since the onset of the pandemic and the use of $1.6 billion in funds received for the Emergency Rental Assistance Program throughout the state.

03/06/2023

Summary and Analysis of Annual PSERS Stress Test Report

Pursuant to act 128 of 2020, the IFO issued a report that summarizes results from the Public School Employees Retirement System’s (PSERS) recent stress test report. Based on PSERS baseline projections, the IFO projects that from FY 2023-24 to FY 2050-51, the Commonwealth will use $46.5 billion in General Fund revenues (2.3%) for the state’s share of public school employer pension contributions. Relative to baseline projections, the report also summarizes the impact from scenarios that allow investment performance to exceed and fall short of baseline assumptions.

03/01/2023

Impact of Proposed Changes to the NOL Cap

The IFO published a letter in response to a request from Senator Pennycuick. The letter contains projections for the impact of proposed changes to the amount of taxable income that C corporations may offset through net operating loss deductions.

02/24/2023

Post-Pandemic Child Care Cliff

The IFO posted a second research brief that examines the end or phase-out of various programs tied to the federal public health emergency that will impact the state economy. The brief examines the impact that nearly $820 million in federal support had on the child care industry and its employees, and the funding cliff the industry will encounter in the near future.

02/23/2023

SNAP Emergency Allotments End in February

The IFO posted a research brief that is the first in a series that examines the end or phase-out of various programs tied to the federal public health emergency that will impact the state economy. The brief quantifies the impact from the end of SNAP emergency allotments in February 2023. This research brief was reposted on February 2, 2023 to change the 2023 summer benefit to $120 per child.

01/27/2023

2023 Tax Credit Reviews

IFO presentation of the Manufacturing, Pennsylvania Resource Manufacturing, Rural Jobs and Investment, and Waterfront Development Tax Credit Reviews.

01/10/2023

Resource Manufacturing Tax Credit

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review all state tax credits over a five-year period. For the fifth year, the IFO reviewed the Manufacturing, Resource Manufacturing, Rural Jobs and Investment, and Waterfront Development Tax Credits. Click on the link to access the Resource Manufacturing Tax Credit Report.

01/05/2023

Manufacturing Tax Credit

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review all state tax credits over a five-year period. For the fifth year, the IFO reviewed the Manufacturing, Resource Manufacturing, Rural Jobs and Investment, and Waterfront Development Tax Credits. Click on the link to access the Manufacturing Tax Credit Report.

01/05/2023

Executive Offices

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to develop performance-based budget plans for all agencies under the Governor’s jurisdiction once every five years. For the fifth year, the IFO reviewed the Department of Conservation and Natural Resources, Department of Drug and Alcohol Programs, Department of Revenue, Pennsylvania Insurance Department and the Executive Offices. Click on the link to access the performance-based budget review for the Executive Offices. Approved by the PBB Board on January 11, 2023.   

01/05/2023

Pennsylvania Insurance Department

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to develop performance-based budget plans for all agencies under the Governor’s jurisdiction once every five years. For the fifth year, the IFO reviewed the Department of Conservation and Natural Resources, Department of Drug and Alcohol Programs, Department of Revenue, Pennsylvania Insurance Department and the Executive Offices. Click on the link to access the performance-based budget review for the Pennsylvania Insurance Department. Approved by the PBB Board on January 11, 2023.  The report was reposted on January 18, 2023 to correct a single year of data on page 14.  

01/05/2023

Department of Revenue

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to develop performance-based budget plans for all agencies under the Governor’s jurisdiction once every five years. For the fifth year, the IFO reviewed the Department of Conservation and Natural Resources, Department of Drug and Alcohol Programs, Department of Revenue, Pennsylvania Insurance Department and the Executive Offices. Click on the link to access the performance-based budget review for the Department of Revenue. Approved by the PBB Board on January 10, 2023. 

01/05/2023

Department of Drug and Alcohol Programs

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to develop performance-based budget plans for all agencies under the Governor’s jurisdiction once every five years. For the fifth year, the IFO reviewed the Department of Conservation and Natural Resources, Department of Drug and Alcohol Programs, Department of Revenue, Pennsylvania Insurance Department and the Executive Offices. Click on the link to access the performance-based budget review for the Department of Drug and Alcohol. Approved by the PBB Board on January 9, 2023. 

01/05/2023

Department of Conservation and Natural Resources

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to develop performance-based budget plans for all agencies under the Governor’s jurisdiction once every five years. For the fifth year, the IFO reviewed the Department of Conservation and Natural Resources, Department of Drug and Alcohol Programs, Department of Revenue, Pennsylvania Insurance Department and the Executive Offices. Click on the link to access the performance-based budget review for the Department of Conservation and Natural Resources. Approved by the PBB Board on January 9, 2023. 

01/05/2023

Rural Jobs and Investment Tax Credit

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review all state tax credits over a five-year period. For the fifth year, the IFO reviewed the Manufacturing, Resource Manufacturing, Rural Jobs and Investment, and Waterfront Development Tax Credits. Click on the link to access the Rural Jobs and Investment Tax Credit Report. The report was amended on February 17, 2023 to include updates to Table 3.1 on page 14. Following publication of the RJITC report, the IFO became aware of a data discrepancy contained within a referenced study. As a result, the RJITC report was updated to exclude references to the “Evaluation of Alabama’s Entertainment Industry Incentive Program and New Markets Development Program” on February 23, 2023.

01/05/2023

Waterfront Development Tax Credit

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review all state tax credits over a five-year period. For the fifth year, the IFO reviewed the Manufacturing, Resource Manufacturing, Rural Jobs and Investment, and Waterfront Development Tax Credits. Click on the link to access the Waterfront Development Tax Credit Report.

01/05/2023

PA Population Contracts Since 2020

The IFO published a research brief that uses the latest Census data to rank states based on net migration between states since 2020. During the past two years, Pennsylvania recorded a net domestic outflow of 16,220. Relative to state population, the net outflow caused state population to contract by 0.1%, which ranked 29th across all states.

01/04/2023

Young Workers Leave PA Workforce

The IFO published a new research brief that examines the age composition of the PA workforce using the latest data from the U.S. Census Bureau. Since the onset of the pandemic, the data show significant reductions in workforce participation rates for workers under age 35. Workforce participation rates declined for older workers too, but contractions were notably more moderate.

12/08/2022

Summary and Analysis of Annual SERS Stress Test Report

Pursuant to act 128 of 2020, the IFO issued a report that summarizes results from the State Employee Retirement System’s (SERS) recent stress test report. Based on SERS baseline projections, the IFO projects that over the next 20 years, Commonwealth agencies will use $17.8 billion in General Fund revenues (1.5%) for employer pension contributions. Relative to baseline projections, the report also summarizes the impact from scenarios that allow investment performance and member salary growth to exceed and fall short of baseline assumptions.

12/01/2022

2022 Impact Fee Estimate

This report uses recent data published by the Department of Environmental Protection to project CY 2022 Impact Fee collections (remitted April 2023). Collections are estimated to be $274.8 million, an increase of $40.4 million from the prior year.

10/31/2022

Where Did the Workers Go?

This research brief updates a prior release in August 2022 to show data for more recent months and new demographic projections from the IFO’s Demographic Outlook report. The IFO published a research brief that examines the factors that caused the PA labor force to contract by 120,000 workers since the start of the pandemic. The updated research brief focuses on the interaction between recent and projected demographic trends and the contraction of the state labor force.  

10/25/2022

Do SNAP Changes Impact Work Incentives?

A new IFO research brief examines the impact on SNAP benefits from the ongoing public health emergency that eliminates the income phase-out and the recent expansion of income thresholds from 160% to 200% of federal poverty income guidelines (FPIG). Due to the elimination of the income phase-out, recipients face a vertical all-or-nothing benefits cliff. Research finds that vertical cliffs provide strong disincentives.

09/29/2022

Monthly and Quarterly Revenue Estimates

This report provides revenue distributions based on the FY 2022-23 projections contained in the Official Revenue Estimate published by the IFO on June 23, 2022 and the statutory changes that were enacted with the FY 2022-23 state budget.

09/01/2022

Student Loan Debt Forgiveness

The IFO published a research brief that uses a national analysis from the Penn Wharton Budget Model and data from the U.S. Department of Education to estimate the impact on Pennsylvania borrowers from student loan debt relief and other proposed changes to the federal program.

08/31/2022

School District Property Tax Update

The IFO released an updated school district property tax forecast. The report (1) projects revenues through FY 2026-27, (2) estimates revenues collected from senior homeowners, (3) ranks counties based on per capita revenues  and (4) provides detail on the projected act 1 index.

08/15/2022

Impact Fee Update and Outlook 2022

This update examines 2021 impact fee collections and provides an outlook for 2022. The Commonwealth collected $234.4 million in impact fees for 2021, an $88.2 million increase from 2020.

06/21/2022

Financial Impact of SERS Pre-Funding Option

The IFO published a new research brief that examines the impact of act 105 of 2019, which allows certain SERS employers the option to pre-fund their unfunded liabilities. The analysis finds that the two participating employers effectively locked in roughly $1 billion of nominal savings over thirty years while all SERS employers are projected to save an additional $300 million (nominal). The savings are due to very strong returns realized on advance payments made in 2020 and 2021.

06/09/2022

Inflation's Impact on the Pennsylvania Economy

On June 8, Director Matthew Knittel will make a brief presentation to the House Majority Policy Committee on the impact of inflation on the state economy and budget.

06/07/2022

Department of Human Services - Part 3

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to develop performance-based budget plans for all agencies under the Governor’s jurisdiction once every five years. For the fourth year, the IFO reviewed the Departments of Aging, Agriculture, Education, Human Services (Part 3), Labor and Industry and the Pennsylvania Historical and Museum Commission. Click on the link to access the performance-based budget review for the Department of Human Services (Part 3).  Approved by the PBB Board on January 25, 2022.   The report was updated on May 4, 2022 to include addenda to activity 1, 7 and 10.   

05/04/2022

Department of Education

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to develop performance-based budget plans for all agencies under the Governor’s jurisdiction once every five years. For the fourth year, the IFO reviewed the Departments of Aging, Agriculture, Education, Human Services (Part 3), Labor and Industry and the Pennsylvania Historical and Museum Commission.  Click on the link to access the performance-based budget review for the Department of Education. Tabled by the PBB Board on January 26, 2022. The report was updated on January 31, 2022 for technical changes on pages 10, 15 and 16. The report was updated on April 26, 2022. The amended report includes additions requested by the PBB Board on March 9, 2022. The board’s request can be viewed here: http://www.ifo.state.pa.us//Resources/Documents/PBB_Board_Amend_03_09_22.pdf The underlying data for the dot plots can be viewed here: http://www.ifo.state.pa.us//Resources/Documents/DotPlotData.xlsx Approved by the PBB Board on May 25, 2022. 

04/27/2022

Department of Aging

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to develop performance-based budget plans for all agencies under the Governor’s jurisdiction once every five years. For the fourth year, the IFO reviewed the Departments of Aging, Agriculture, Education, Human Services (Part 3), Labor and Industry and the Pennsylvania Historical and Museum Commission. Click on the link to access the performance-based budget review for the Department of Aging. Approved by the PBB Board on January 25, 2022. The report was updated on April 26, 2022 to include an addendum to activity 1. 

04/26/2022

Analysis of Revenue Proposals in the 2022-23 Executive Budget

This report provides estimates for the revenue proposals contained in the 2022-23 Executive Budget released February 2022. The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) publishes this report to fulfill its statutory duties as provided under 71 Pa.C.S. § 4104. The act requires that the IFO “provide an analysis, including economic impact, of all tax and revenue proposals submitted by the Governor or the Office of the Budget."

04/08/2022

Assumptions Used by RGGI Model

Director Matthew Knittel provided brief testimony on the model assumptions used by a consultant to estimate the impact on Pennsylvania from joining RGGI. This written testimony was updated on November 4, 2022, to include clarifications for the third and sixth bullets on page 1.

03/28/2022

House Budget Hearing Request

The IFO responded to a question raised at the office’s budget hearing before the House Appropriations Committee. The question relates to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on employment by race.

03/21/2022

Is the Student Loan Moratorium Impacting Employment?

The federal student loan moratorium enters its third year. The IFO posted a research brief that examines the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic (and related federal policies) on payroll employment and employment-to-population ratios by age group. Despite record-level job openings, the latest data for 2021 Q2 show the largest relative reductions for young workers, many of whom have student loans. By contrast, early retirements appear to have played a smaller role in decades-low labor force participation rates.

03/08/2022

act 25 of 2011 Analysis

In response to a legislative request, the IFO transmitted a letter that estimates the potential reduction in property taxes due to act 25 of 2011.

02/16/2022

COVID-19 Impact on Pennsylvania Deaths

This research updates a prior release (September 2021) that used preliminary data to estimate the impact of COVID-19 on total resident deaths for 2020 and 2021. The analysis finds 19,800 excess deaths in 2020 and estimates 18,900 excess deaths for 2021. 

02/11/2022

Mixed-Use Development Tax Credit

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review all state tax credits over a five-year period. For the fourth year, the IFO reviewed the Brewers', Coal Refuse Energy and Reclamation, Educational and Mixed-Use Development Tax Credits. Click on the link to access the Mixed-Use Development Tax Credit Report.

01/20/2022

Brewers' Tax Credit

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review all state tax credits over a five-year period. For the fourth year, the IFO reviewed the Brewers', Coal Refuse Energy and Reclamation, Educational and Mixed-Use Development Tax Credits. Click on the link to access the Brewers’ Tax Credit Report.

01/20/2022

Educational Tax Credits

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review all state tax credits over a five-year period. For the fourth year, the IFO reviewed the Brewers', Coal Refuse Energy and Reclamation, Educational and Mixed-Use Development Tax Credits. Click on the link to access the Educational Tax Credits Report.

01/20/2022

Department of Agriculture

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to develop performance-based budget plans for all agencies under the Governor’s jurisdiction once every five years. For the fourth year, the IFO reviewed the Departments of Aging, Agriculture, Education, Human Services (Part 3), Labor and Industry and the Pennsylvania Historical and Museum Commission.  Click on the link to access the performance-based budget review for the Department of Agriculture. Approved by the PBB Board on January 26, 2022.   The report was updated on January 26, 2022 for technical changes on pages 20 and 21.  

01/20/2022

Pennsylvania Historical and Museum Commission

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to develop performance-based budget plans for all agencies under the Governor’s jurisdiction once every five years. For the fourth year, the IFO reviewed the Departments of Aging, Agriculture, Education, Human Services (Part 3), Labor and Industry and the Pennsylvania Historical and Museum Commission. Click on the link to access the performance-based budget review for the Pennsylvania Historical and Museum Commision. Approved by the PBB Board on January 24, 2022.  

01/20/2022

Department of Labor and Industry

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to develop performance-based budget plans for all agencies under the Governor’s jurisdiction once every five years. For the fourth year, the IFO reviewed the Departments of Aging, Agriculture, Education, Human Services (Part 3), Labor and Industry and the Pennsylvania Historical and Museum Commission. Click on the link to access the performance-based budget review for the Department of Labor and Industry. Approved by the PBB Board on January 24, 2022.  

01/20/2022

Coal Refuse Energy and Reclamation Tax Credit

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review all state tax credits over a five-year period. For the fourth year, the IFO reviewed the Brewers', Coal Refuse Energy and Reclamation, Educational and Mixed-Use Development Tax Credits. Click on the link to access the Coal Refuse Energy and Reclamation Tax Credit Report.

01/20/2022

2021 Impact Fee Estimate

This report uses recent data published by the Department of Environmental Protection to project CY 2021 Impact Fee collections (remitted April 2022). Collections are estimated to be $233.8 million, an increase of $87.6 million from the prior year.

01/18/2022

School District Property Tax Forecast

This report contains the IFO's updated forecast of school district property tax collections from FY 2020-21 to FY 2025-26. This report updates the forecast that the IFO published in February 2021 and includes (1) actual FY 2019-20 current-year property tax collections, (2) the impact from FY 2021-22 millage rates and (3) new wage projections that increase the statewide average weekly wage (SAWW) portion of the act 1 Index projection.

11/08/2021

Inflation Eroding Real Wages and Pension Benefits

The IFO published a new research brief that examines the impact of inflation on the real earnings of Pennsylvania workers and the real value of public pension benefits.

10/19/2021

COVID-19 Impact on Pennsylvania Deaths

This research brief uses preliminary data for 2020 and 2021 (through September) to compute excess deaths above pre-COVID historical trends in the Commonwealth for those two years. The analysis finds 20,700 excess deaths in 2020 and projects 6,700 excess deaths for 2021.

09/30/2021

2019 Wage Contracts Summary Table

This table provides an up-to-date summary of the recent wage contracts analyzed by the IFO. Additional estimates will be provided after the relevant contract detail has been transmitted to the IFO by the Office of Administration.

09/27/2021

UGSOA Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the United Government Security Officers of America (UGSOA).

09/27/2021

Department of Military and Veterans Affairs

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to develop performance-based budget plans for all agencies under the Governor’s jurisdiction once every five years. For the third year, the IFO reviewed the Department of Transportation, Department of Human Services (Part 2), Department of Military and Veterans Affairs and Pennsylvania State Police. Click on the link to access the performance-based budget review for the Department of Military and Veterans Affairs.

09/24/2021

Department of Human Services - Part 2

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to develop performance-based budget plans for all agencies under the Governor’s jurisdiction once every five years. For the third year, the IFO reviewed the Department of Transportation, Department of Human Services (Part 2), Department of Military and Veterans Affairs and Pennsylvania State Police. Click on the link to access the performance-based budget review for the Department of Human Services (Part 2).

09/24/2021

Department of Transportation

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to develop performance-based budget plans for all agencies under the Governor’s jurisdiction once every five years. For the third year, the IFO reviewed the Department of Transportation, Department of Human Services (Part 2), Department of Military and Veterans Affairs and Pennsylvania State Police. Click on the link to access the performance-based budget review for the Department of Transportation.

09/24/2021

Pennsylvania State Police

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to develop performance-based budget plans for all agencies under the Governor’s jurisdiction once every five years. For the third year, the IFO reviewed the Department of Transportation, Department of Human Services (Part 2), Department of Military and Veterans Affairs and Pennsylvania State Police. Click on the link to access the performance-based budget review for the Pennsylvania State Police.

09/24/2021

Keystone Special Development Zone Tax Credit

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review all state tax credits over a five-year period. For the third year, the IFO reviewed the Neighborhood Assistance Program, Resource Enhancement and Protection Program, Entertainment Economic Enhancement Program, Video Game Production and Keystone Special Development Zone Tax Credits. Click on the link to access the Keystone Special Development Zone Tax Credit Report.

09/24/2021

Labor Market Update - September 2021

The IFO released its monthly update that tracks the state labor market. The labor market contracted slightly in August on a year-over-year basis relative to a no-pandemic scenario. These data reflect the final month of federal unemployment compensation benefits.

09/20/2021

Monthly and Quarterly Revenue Estimates

This report provides revenue distributions based on the FY 2021-22 projections contained in the Official Revenue Estimate published by the IFO on June 22, 2021 and the statutory changes that were enacted with the FY 2021-22 state budget.

08/31/2021

Impact Fee Update and Outlook 2021

This update examines 2020 impact fee collections and provides an outlook for 2021. The Commonwealth collected $146.3 million in impact fees for 2020, a $54.1 million decrease from 2019 and the lowest amount since the fee's inception.

06/09/2021

Economic Impact of Federal Stimulus

This research brief examines the impact of certain federal stimulus programs enacted in response to the COVID-19 pandemic on Pennsylvania residents and the economy. It estimates the total amount of federal stimulus provided directly to individuals by income group and considers the impact on employment, output, and whether the infusion of federal monies into the state economy is conducive to raising the state minimum wage.

05/10/2021

Resource Enhancement and Protection Program Tax Credit

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review all state tax credits over a five-year period. For the third year, the IFO reviewed the Neighborhood Assistance Program, Resource Enhancement and Protection Program, Entertainment Economic Enhancement Program, Video Game Production and Keystone Special Development Zone Tax Credits. Click on the link to access the Resource Enhancement and Protection Program Tax Credit Report. IFO Letter to the SCC

04/23/2021

Entertainment Economic Enhancement Program Tax Credit

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review all state tax credits over a five-year period. For the third year, the IFO reviewed the Neighborhood Assistance Program, Resource Enhancement and Protection Program, Entertainment Economic Enhancement Program, Video Game Production and Keystone Special Development Zone Tax Credits. Click on the link to access the Entertainment Economic Enhancement Program Tax Credit Report.

04/23/2021

Neighborhood Assistance Program Tax Credit

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review all state tax credits over a five-year period. For the third year, the IFO reviewed the Neighborhood Assistance Program, Resource Enhancement and Protection Program, Entertainment Economic Enhancement Program, Video Game Production and Keystone Special Development Zone Tax Credits. Click on the link to access the Neighborhood Assistance Program Tax Credit Report.

04/23/2021

Video Game Production Tax Credit

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review all state tax credits over a five-year period. For the third year, the IFO reviewed the Neighborhood Assistance Program, Resource Enhancement and Protection Program, Entertainment Economic Enhancement Program, Video Game Production and Keystone Special Development Zone Tax Credits. Click on the link to access the Video Game Production Tax Credit Report.

04/23/2021

Analysis of Revenue Proposals in the 2021-22 Executive Budget

This report provides estimates for the revenue proposals contained in the 2021-22 Executive Budget released February 2021. The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) publishes this report to fulfill its statutory duties as provided under 71 Pa.C.S. § 4104. The act requires that the IFO “provide an analysis, including economic impact, of all tax and revenue proposals submitted by the Governor or the Office of the Budget."

04/22/2021

Impact of COVID-19 on the State Economy

Director Matthew Knittel gave a brief presentation to the Senate Majority Policy Committee on the impact of COVID-19 on the state economy.

04/13/2021

Senate Budget Hearing Request

The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) responded to several questions raised at the office's budget hearing before the Senate Appropriations Committee. The questions relate to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on employment based on gender, net domestic migration for Pennsylvania and border states, and education sector employment for Pennsylvania and border states.

04/09/2021

Projecting the Components of the act 1 Index

Director Matt Knittel made a presentation to PASBO regarding the IFO’s recent computation of the act 1 Index.

03/17/2021

School District Property Tax Forecast

This report contains the IFO's forecast of school district property tax collections from FY 2019-20 to FY 2025-26. The report also contains projections of the act 1 index and estimates of school district property taxes attributable to homestead property. (This report was originally posted on February 2, 2021. Based on new data for the 2020 Q4 ECI, which impacts the FY 2020-21 ECI computation, this report was updated and reposted.)

02/24/2021

Revised Monthly Revenue Estimates

This report provides revised revenue distributions based on the FY 2020-21 projections contained in the Five Year Economic and Budget Outlook published by the IFO on January 21, 2021. They reflect the statutory changes that were enacted with the remainder of the FY 2020-21 state budget in November 2020.

02/23/2021

2020 Impact Fee Estimate

This report uses recent data published by the Department of Environmental Protection to project CY 2020 Impact Fee collections (remitted April 2021). Collections are estimated to be $144.9 million, a decrease of $55.9 million from the prior year.

01/05/2021

PPP Loans to Pennsylvania Businesses

This research brief examines the impact of the PPP on Pennsylvania businesses by considering the number and type of firms affected, the potential employment impact and possible tax implications.

12/08/2020

UGSOA Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the United Government Security Officers of America (UGSOA).

11/12/2020

Impact of the TCJA on Pennsylvania Taxpayers

This research brief uses newly released IRS tax data to examine how the Tax Cuts and Jobs act of 2017 impacted Pennsylvania federal income taxpayers. The analysis finds that tax law changes likely reduced federal income taxes by roughly $8.5 to $9.0 billion.  This research brief was originally posted on October 2 but was updated and reposted on October 13 so that refundable tax credits and certain miscellaneous taxes (AMT and net investment tax) are reflected in average tax rate and estimated tax cut computations. Previously, those amounts were itemized separately.  

10/13/2020

Monthly and Quarterly Revenue Estimates

This report provides revenue distributions based on the FY 2020-21 projections contained in the Official Revenue Estimate published by the IFO on June 22, 2020. They reflect the statutory changes that were enacted with the FY 2020-21 state budget.

08/27/2020

COVID-19 Impact on Local Revenues

In response to a legislative request, the Independent Fiscal Office examined how the COVID-19 pandemic and mandated business closures could impact local earned income taxes (EIT), property taxes and gaming revenues received by municipalities, counties and school districts for the current year.

07/16/2020

Pennsylvania Impact Fee and Natural Gas Trends Presentation

Revenue Analyst Jesse Bushman made a presentation to the Center for Energy Policy and Management at Washington & Jefferson College regarding regional natural gas trends and how they are affecting the state's Impact Fee.

07/14/2020

PSEA Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Pennsylvania State  Education Association (PSEA), Non-Tenured Teachers Unit.

07/02/2020

June 2020 Revenue Update

The Commonwealth collected $32.28 billion for FY 2019-20, a decline of $2.58 billion (-7.4 percent) from the prior fiscal year. The IFO projects that business closures and mitigation efforts related to the COVID-19 virus resulted in (1) $1.36 billion in lost revenue from reduced economic activity and (2) $1.91 billion that shifts to FY 2020-21 as a result of extended tax due dates. 

07/01/2020

Economic Impact from Regulation of Single-Use Plastics

As required by act 20 of 2019, this report examines the economic impact from the regulation of single-use plastics. The report considers three types of regulation that have been enacted by other states and local jurisdictions: a ban, a fee and a ban-plus-fee. The report examines potential outcomes if these regulations were implemented statewide for plastic retail bags. The analysis is also extended to a ban on expanded polystyrene foam foodservice products.

06/30/2020

PSCOA Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Pennsylvania State Corrections Officers Association (PSCOA).

06/26/2020

Impact Fee Update and 2020 Outlook

This report examines impact fee collections for 2019 and provides an outlook for 2020.

06/25/2020

May 2020 Revenue Update

The Commonwealth collected $2.11 billion in General Fund revenues for May, a decline of $510.7 million compared to May 2019. The IFO estimates that the COVID-19 virus reduced monthly collections by $515 million due to the impact of continued business closures and other mitigation efforts to slow the spread of the COVID-19 virus.

06/01/2020

SEIU Local 668 UC Referees Unit Wage Contract Analysis

The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) has issued a cost analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Service Employees International Union (SEIU) Local 668 Unemployment Compensation (UC) Referees.

05/07/2020

Analysis of Revenue Proposals in the 2020-21 Executive Budget

This report provides estimates for the revenue proposals contained in the 2020-21 Executive Budget released February 2020. The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) publishes this report to fulfill its statutory duties as provided under 71 Pa.C.S. § 4104. The act requires that the IFO “provide an analysis, including economic impact, of all tax and revenue proposals submitted by the Governor or the Office of the Budget.”

04/23/2020

Projected Revenue Impact of COVID-19

The IFO released an updated revenue projection for FY 2019-20 and a preliminary projection for FY 2020-21 using two scenarios for business closures due to the COVID-19 virus. The release also discusses the impact on economic growth rates and federal stimulus monies that are projected to flow into the state economy.

04/08/2020

Family First Prevention Services act Preliminary Analysis

In response to a legislative request, the IFO conducted a preliminary analysis on the state and county impacts of the Family First Prevention Services act.

03/04/2020

CIVEA Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Correctional Vocational Education Association (CIVEA).

02/27/2020

School District Property Tax Forecast

This report contains the IFO's forecasted school district property tax collections from FY 2018-19 through FY 2024-25. The report also contains projections of the act 1 index and estimates of school district property taxes that can be attributed to homesteads. Total school property tax collections for FY 2018-19 ($15.0 billion) and FY 2019-20 ($15.3 billion) are estimated using millage rates published by the Pennsylvania Department of Education and property tax assessment data. For FY 2020-21 through FY 2024-25, collections are projected based on the statutory, economic and structural factors that affect growth rates of property taxes. During that period, total school property tax collections are projected to grow at an average annual rate of 3.9 percent, reaching $18.6 billion by FY 2024-25.

02/06/2020

Testimony on Combined Reporting

Director Matthew Knittel provided brief testimony to the Senate Democratic Policy Committee regarding the potential impact of combined reporting on corporate net income tax revenues.

01/29/2020

Department of Human Services - Part 1

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to develop performance-based budget plans for all agencies under the Governor’s jurisdiction once every five years. For the second year, the IFO reviewed the Department of Community and Economic Development, Department of Human Services (Part 1), Department of Health, Department of Environmental Protection, Department of State and Pennsylvania Emergency Management Agency. Click on the link to access the performance-based budget review for the Department of Human Services. The report has been reposted with modifications adopted by vote of the Performance-Based Budget Board.

01/21/2020

Department of Community and Economic Development

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to develop performance-based budget plans for all agencies under the Governor’s jurisdiction once every five years. For the second year, the IFO reviewed the Department of Community and Economic Development, Department of Human Services (Part 1), Department of Health, Department of Environmental Protection, Department of State and Pennsylvania Emergency Management Agency. Click on the link to access the performance-based budget review for the Department of Community and Economic Development.

01/21/2020

Research and Development Tax Credit

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review all state tax credits over a five-year period. For the second year, the IFO reviewed the Research and Development, Keystone Innovation Zone, Mobile Telecommunications Broadband Investment and Organ and Bone Marrow Donation Tax Credits. Click on the link to access the Research and Development Tax Credit Report.

01/21/2020

Keystone Innovation Zone Tax Credit

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review all state tax credits over a five-year period. For the second year, the IFO reviewed the Research and Development, Keystone Innovation Zone, Mobile Telecommunications Broadband Investment and Organ and Bone Marrow Donation Tax Credits. Click on the link to access the Keystone Innovation Zone Tax Credit Report.

01/21/2020

Department of Health

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to develop performance-based budget plans for all agencies under the Governor’s jurisdiction once every five years. For the second year, the IFO reviewed the Department of Community and Economic Development, Department of Human Services (Part 1), Department of Health, Department of Environmental Protection, Department of State and Pennsylvania Emergency Management Agency. Click on the link to access the performance-based budget review for the Department of Health.

01/20/2020

Pennsylvania Emergency Management Agency

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to develop performance-based budget plans for all agencies under the Governor’s jurisdiction once every five years. For the second year, the IFO reviewed the Department of Community and Economic Development, Department of Human Services (Part 1), Department of Health, Department of Environmental Protection, Department of State and Pennsylvania Emergency Management Agency. Click on the link to access the performance-based budget review for the Pennsylvania Emergency Management Agency.

01/16/2020

Department of State

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to develop performance-based budget plans for all agencies under the Governor’s jurisdiction once every five years. For the second year, the IFO reviewed the Department of Community and Economic Development, Department of Human Services (Part 1), Department of Health, Department of Environmental Protection, Department of State and Pennsylvania Emergency Management Agency. This report was updated to reflect the Performance-Based Budget Board vote to amend the report on January 22, 2020. Click on the link to access the performance-based budget review for the Department of State.

01/16/2020

Department of Environmental Protection

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to develop performance-based budget plans for all agencies under the Governor’s jurisdiction once every five years. For the second year, the IFO reviewed the Department of Community and Economic Development, Department of Human Services (Part 1), Department of Health, Department of Environmental Protection, Department of State and Pennsylvania Emergency Management Agency. Click on the link to access the performance-based budget review for the Department of Environmental Protection.

01/16/2020

Mobile Telecommunications Broadband Investment Tax Credit

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review all state tax credits over a five-year period. For the second year, the IFO reviewed the Research and Development, Keystone Innovation Zone, Mobile Telecommunications Broadband Investment and Organ and Bone Marrow Donation Tax Credits. Click on the link to access the Mobile Telecommunications Broadband Investment Tax Credit Report.

01/16/2020

Organ and Bone Marrow Donation Tax Credit

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review all state tax credits over a five-year period. For the second year, the IFO reviewed the Research and Development, Keystone Innovation Zone, Mobile Telecommunications Broadband Investment and Organ and Bone Marrow Donation Tax Credits. Click on the link to access the Organ and Bone Marrow Donation Tax Credit Report.

01/16/2020

2019 Impact Fee Estimate

This research brief uses recent data published by the Department of Environmental Protection to project CY 2019 Impact Fee collections. Collections are estimated to be $198.2 million, a decrease of $53.6 million from the prior year.

01/09/2020

ALES Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Association of Liquor Enforcement Officers (ALES).

11/06/2019

OPEIU Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Office and Professional Employees International Union (OPEIU).

11/06/2019

PDA Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Pennsylvania Doctors Alliance (PDA).

11/06/2019

SEIU Healthcare Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Service Employees International Union (SEIU), Healthcare.

11/06/2019

Redevelopment Assistance Capital Program

In response to a legislative request, the Independent Fiscal Office published a research brief related to the Redevelopment Assistance Capital Program. The brief provides historical data of the program and examines the potential impact of proposed legislation. This research brief was updated November 12, 2019 to take act 43 of 2019 into consideration.

10/31/2019

PLEA Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Pennsylvania Liquor Enforcement Association (PLEA).

10/11/2019

FOSCEP Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Federation of State Cultural and Educational Professionals (FOSCEP).

10/11/2019

Minimum Wage Increase Estimates

In response to a legislative request, the IFO transmitted a letter that expands upon a prior analysis on the impact of a proposed minimum wage increase.

10/10/2019

Management and Non-Represented Wage Contract Analysis

In response to a legislative request, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) has issued a cost analysis that assumes management and non-represented employees will receive salary increases consistent with the new collective bargaining agreements.

09/25/2019

ISSU Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Independent State Stores Union (ISSU).

09/13/2019

UFCW Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and UFCW.

08/13/2019

SEIU Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and SEIU.

08/13/2019

AFSCME Wage Contract Analysis

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and AFSCME.

08/13/2019

Monthly and Quarterly Revenue Estimates

This report provides revenue distributions based on the FY 2019-20 projections contained in the Official Revenue Estimate published by the IFO on June 21, 2019. They reflect the statutory changes that were enacted with the FY 2019-20 state budget.

08/08/2019

Impact Fee Update and 2019 Outlook

This report examines impact fee collections for 2018 and provides an outlook for 2019.

06/28/2019

PA Economy League Presentation

In partnership with the Pennsylvania Economy League, Director Matthew Knittel and Deputy Director Brenda Warburton will make multiple presentations on raising the state minimum wage to $12.00 per hour. The presentation examines the proposed minimum wage’s impact on employment, worker incomes, prices and state spending.

05/01/2019

Analysis of Revenue Proposals in the 2019-20 Executive Budget

This report provides estimates for the revenue proposals contained in the 2019-20 Executive Budget released February 2019. The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) publishes this report to fulfill its statutory duties as provided under 71 Pa.C.S. § 4104. The act requires that the IFO “provide an analysis, including economic impact, of all tax and revenue proposals submitted by the Governor or the Office of the Budget."  

03/22/2019

SCHOOL DISTRICT PROPERTY TAX FORECAST

This report contains the IFO's forecasted school district property tax collections from FY 2017-18 through FY 2023-24. The report also contains projections of the act 1 index and estimates of school district property taxes that can be attributed to homesteads. Total school property tax collections for FY 2017-18 ($14.5 billion) and FY 2018-19 ($14.9 billion) are estimated using millage rates published by the Pennsylvania Department of Education and property tax assessment data. For FY 2019-20 through FY 2023-24, collections are projected based on the statutory, economic and structural factors that affect growth rates of property taxes. During that period, total school property tax collections are projected to grow by an average annual rate of 3.2 percent, reaching $17.3 billion by FY 2023-24.  

03/18/2019

2018 IMPact FEE ESTIMATE - JANUARY 2019

This research brief uses recent data published by the Department of Environmental Protection to project CY 2018 Impact Fee collections.

01/24/2019

Film Production Tax Credit

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review all state tax credits over a five-year period. For the first year, the IFO reviewed the Film Production, Historic Preservation and New Jobs Tax Credits. Click on the link to access the Film Production Tax Credit Report.

01/18/2019

New Jobs Tax Credit

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review all state tax credits over a five-year period. For the first year, the IFO reviewed the Film Production, Historic Preservation and New Jobs Tax Credits. Click on the link to access the New Jobs Tax Credit Report.

01/18/2019

Historic Preservation Tax Credit

act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review all state tax credits over a five-year period. For the first year, the IFO reviewed the Film Production, Historic Preservation and New Jobs Tax Credits. Click on the link to access the Historic Preservation Tax Credit Report.

01/18/2019

Performance-Based Budgeting Update

On October 15, Deputy Director Brenda Warburton gave a presentation to the Performance-Based Budget Board which provided an update regarding act 48 implementation.

10/16/2018

Tax Cut and Jobs act Update- August 2018

In response to a legislative request, the IFO submitted a letter that discusses the impact of the federal Tax Cut and Jobs act (TCJA) of 2017 on Pennsylvania General Fund tax revenues and the economy.

08/24/2018

MONTHLY AND QUARTERLY REVENUE ESTIMATES

This report provides revenue distributions based on the FY 2018-19 projections contained in the Official Revenue Estimate published by the IFO on June 18, 2018. They reflect the statutory changes that were enacted with the FY 2018-19 state budget.

07/30/2018

Impact Fee Update and 2018 Outlook

This report examines 2017 impact fee collections and natural gas production in Pennsylvania. It also provides an outlook for 2018.

06/28/2018

Federal Tax Code Conformity Analysis

The IFO responds to a legislative request regarding the General Fund revenue impact from conformity with certain federal tax code provisions.

04/27/2018

Analysis of Revenue Proposals in the 2018-19 Executive Budget

This report provides estimates for the revenue proposals contained in the 2018-19 Executive Budget released February 2018. The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) publishes this report to fulfill its statutory duties as provided under 71 Pa.C.S. § 4104. The act requires that the IFO “provide an analysis, including economic impact, of all tax and revenue proposals submitted by the Governor or the Office of the Budget.” 

04/18/2018

Corporate Net Income Tax Rate Reduction

The IFO responds to a legislative request regarding the state corporate net income tax (CNIT). The report contains an analysis of state CNIT rates, their impact on revenues and a proposal to reduce the Pennsylvania CNIT rate. 

04/11/2018

Fiscal Impact of School Property Tax Rebates

In response to a legislative request, the IFO estimated the fiscal impact of a school property tax rebate for all homesteads. The rebate would be equal to the statewide average school property tax paid by homesteads. The response includes both baseline estimates for currently eligible homesteads and estimates for a behavioral effect based on the filing of additional homestead applications in response to the availability of rebates.

03/13/2018

IFO Update on Selected Fiscal Topics and Pennsylvania Demographics

Deputy Director Mark Ryan made a presentation to the annual conference of the Pennsylvania Association of School Business Officials and provided updates on topics addressed in recent IFO analyses. The topics included 1) school property tax forecasts and analysis, 2) Pennsylvania demographic trends, 3) the most recent IFO revenue estimates for FY 2017-18 and FY 2018-19 and 4) the impact of pension changes resulting from act 5 of 2017. 

03/09/2018

UGSOA Wage Contract Analysis

Section 604-B(a)(8) of act 100 of 2016 (act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis for the current fiscal year and remaining subsequent fiscal years of the impact of each proposed collective bargaining agreement under the jurisdiction of the Governor prior to execution, including the costs to cover public employee wages, benefits, pensions and working conditions that have been reduced in writing under section 701 of the act of July 23, 1970 (P.L. 563, No. 195), known as the Public Employe Relations act.

03/08/2018

ALES Wage Contract Analysis

Section 604-B(a)(8) of act 100 of 2016 (act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis for the current fiscal year and remaining subsequent fiscal years of the impact of each proposed collective bargaining agreement under the jurisdiction of the Governor prior to execution, including the costs to cover public employee wages, benefits, pensions and working conditions that have been reduced in writing under section 701 of the act of July 23, 1970 (P.L. 563, No. 195), known as the Public Employe Relations act.

02/16/2018

SPECIAL FUND RECEIPTS AND DISBURSEMENTS

In response to a legislative request, the IFO compiled certain data presented in the Governor’s Executive Budget for various years to produce a multi-year history of receipts and disbursements for selected special funds. The letter identifies certain special fund budgeting and reporting issues that should be considered when analyzing the data. The letter also provides computations for a potential budget increase factor based on the annual increases in population and the consumer price index. 

02/15/2018

Mid-Year Update FY 2017-18

The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) has released a mid-year update of its revenue estimate for fiscal year (FY) 2017-18. The revised estimate is $34.780 billion, which is $35 million higher than the IFO’s November 2017 estimate. As part of the mid-year update, the IFO also provides an advance look at revenue projections for the next fiscal year. For FY 2018-19, revenues are projected to be $33.914 billion, a decrease of -2.5 percent over the current year. The presentation also addresses the impact of recent federal tax law changes on the Pennsylvania budget. The changes affect estimates for corporate net income, personal income and sales tax revenues in FY 2017-18 and FY 2018-19. The office will update the estimate in its next round of revenue projections to be released in early May. Press Release

01/29/2018

2017 Impact Fee Estimate - January 2018

This research brief uses recent data published by the Department of Environmental Protection to project CY 2017 Impact Fee collections in Pennsylvania. Revised for technical factor on 2/22/2018.

01/19/2018

School District Property Tax Forecast

This research brief contains the IFO's forecasted school district property tax collections from FY 2016-17 through FY 2022-23. The brief also contains estimates of school district property tax collections that can be attributed to homestead property.  Total school property tax collections for FY 2016-17 ($14.0 billion) and FY 2017-18 ($14.4 billion) are estimated using millage rates published by the Pennsylvania Department of Education and property tax assessment data. For FY 2018-19 through FY 2022-23, collections are projected based on the statutory, economic and structural factors that affect growth rates of property taxes. During that period, total school property tax collections are projected to grow by an average annual rate of 3.3 percent, reaching $17.0 billion by FY 2022-23.

01/18/2018

Updated Monthly and Quarterly Revenue Estimates

This report provides updated revenue distributions based on the estimates contained in the Official Monthly and Quarterly Revenue Estimates for Fiscal Year 2017-18 published by the IFO on August 10, 2017. The updated distributions reflect the statutory changes enacted with the state budget.

12/21/2017

Five Year Economic and Budget Outlook

This report examines the demographic, economic, revenue and expenditure trends that will affect the Commonwealth’s fiscal condition through fiscal year (FY) 2022-23. Based on the economic and demographic assumptions used by this report, the evaluation finds that various factors imply a long-term fiscal imbalance. Press Release IFO Presentation PEW Presentation Letter providing additional detail Updated projections for the PSERS state share

11/16/2017

Quarterly Revenue Review 2017 Q3

The IFO produces this report to facilitate comparison of its quarterly revenue estimates with actual revenue collections. The report also provides context for the variances between estimates and actual collections.

11/03/2017

PDA Wage Contract Analysis

Pursuant to section 604-B(a)(8) of the Administrative Code of 1929, the Independent Fiscal Office has prepared a cost analysis of the collective bargaining agreements between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Pennsylvania Doctors Alliance (PDA).

10/02/2017

Child Care and Early Education Funding in Pennsylvania

The report provides an overview of the economic impacts of state spending on subsidized child care and no-cost pre-kindergarten programs in Pennsylvania.

09/06/2017

Monthly and Quarterly Revenue Estimates

This report provides preliminary revenue distributions based on the FY 2017-18 projections contained in the Official Revenue Estimate published by the IFO on June 15, 2017. They do not reflect any potential statutory changes that may be enacted with the state budget.

08/10/2017

Quarterly Revenue Review 2017 Q2

The IFO produces this report to facilitate comparison of its quarterly revenue estimates with actual revenue collections. The report also provides context for the variances between estimates and actual collections.

08/02/2017

Like-Kind Exchange Analysis

The IFO responds to a request regarding the economic benefit and tax revenue impact from eliminating Pennsylvania personal income tax on like-kind exchanges.

07/10/2017

PLEA Wage Contract Analysis

Pursuant to section 604-B(a)(8) of the Administrative Code of 1929, the Independent Fiscal Office has prepared a cost analysis of the collective bargaining agreements between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Pennsylvania Liquor Enforcement Association (PLEA).

07/05/2017

Impact Fee Update and 2017 Outlook

This research brief examines 2016 impact fee collections and natural gas production in Pennsylvania. It also provides an outlook for 2017. 

07/04/2017

actuarial Impact of act 5 - School District Pension Contributions

Deputy Director Mark Ryan made a presentation to the Pennsylvania School Boards Association (PSBA) regarding the impact of recently enacted pension legislation (act 5 of 2017) on school district pension contributions.

06/28/2017

actuarial Note for Senate Bill 1; A01354 and A01558

The actuarial note analyzes a proposal to amend the Public School Employees' Retirement Code and the State Employees' Retirement Code to (1) require most new employees to select one of three new plan design options and (2) make certain actuarial funding changes. The plan design options include two hybrid plans consisting of defined benefit and defined contribution components. The third option is a stand-alone defined contribution plan.  On June 5, 2017 the IFO updated the actuarial note by clarifiying certain language in the summary of Senate Bill 1. A list of the changes is available here. 

06/03/2017

Quarterly Revenue Review 2017 Q1

The IFO produces this report to facilitate comparison of its quarterly revenue estimates with actual revenue collections. The report also provides context for the variances between estimates and actual collections.

05/05/2017

Analysis of Revenue Proposals in the 2017-18 Executive Budget

This report provides revenue estimates for the tax proposals contained in the 2017-18 Executive Budget released February 2017. The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) publishes this report to fulfill its statutory duties as provided under 71 Pa.C.S. § 4104. The act requires that the IFO “provide an analysis, including economic impact, of all tax and revenue proposals submitted by the Governor or the Office of the Budget.”  Note: A clarifying sentence was added to page 16 since the original publication. (Revised on April 7, 2017)

04/05/2017

Horse Racing Analysis

act 7 of 2016 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to provide technical assistance to the Joint State Government Commission (JSGC) for a study related to various aspects of the Pennsylvania horse racing industry. The IFO agreed to provide analysis and text necessary to address the statutory requirement that the report include “a determination of the economic return to the Commonwealth, racetrack operators, horsemen, breeders and other stakeholders on the investment of gaming assessments collected under the act of July 5, 2004 (P.L.572, No.71).” This report is the IFO's submission to the JSGC in fulfillment of this requirement. Note: Tables D and I (pages 8 and 21) and supporting text were updated since the original publication. (Revised March 13, 2017) Letter to Rep. Stephens in response to questions regarding the IFO analysis. (March 28, 2017)

03/13/2017

Philadelphia Cigarette & Beverage Tax Impact

The IFO responds to a request regarding the impact of Philadelphia’s local cigarette and beverage taxes on state revenue collections. The letter has been revised to include current footnotes 3 and 6, which provide additional context for the assumptions used by the analysis.  (Revised on March 20, 2017)

03/13/2017

ISSU & PSSU Wage Contracts Analysis

Pursuant to section 604-B(a)(8) of the Administrative Code of 1929, the Independent Fiscal Office has prepared a cost analysis of the collective bargaining agreements between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the following unions: Independent State Stores Union (ISSU) Pennsylvania Social Services Union (PSSU), Hearing Officers

03/08/2017

Pennsylvania Gaming Trends

This research brief contains current and historical trends for casino gaming, pari-mutuel gaming and the lottery. The brief also presents casino gaming revenues, tax rates and effective tax rates for adjacent states, which likely influence trends for Pennsylvania. The final section displays how revenues from the three types of gaming were used in the state budget for the most recent year of actual data, FY 2015-16.

02/13/2017

PFBC Wage Contract Analysis

Section 604-B(a)(8) of act 100 of 2016 (act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis for the current fiscal year and remaining subsequent fiscal years of the impact of each proposed collective bargaining agreement under the jurisdiction of the Governor prior to execution, including the costs to cover public employee wages, benefits, pensions and working conditions that have been reduced in writing under section 701 of the act of July 23, 1970 (P.L. 563, No. 195), known as the Public Employe Relations act.

02/02/2017

Quarterly Revenue Review 2016 Q4

The IFO produces this report to facilitate comparison of its quarterly revenue estimates with actual revenue collections. The report also provides context for the variances between estimates and actual collections.

01/24/2017

Updated School District Property Tax Forecast

Letter updating the IFO's forecast of school district property tax collections for FY 2015-16 through FY 2021-22. The letter also includes projections of school district debt service payments and earned income tax collections for FY 2015-16 through FY 2021-22. Total school property tax collections for FY 2015-16 ($13.6 billion) and FY 2016-17 ($13.9 billion) are estimated using millage rates published by the Pennsylvania Department of Education. For FY 2017-18 through FY 2021-22, collections are projected based on a forecast of the act 1 index and exceptions. During that period, total school property tax collections are projected to grow by an average annual rate of 3.5 percent, reaching $16.5 billion by FY 2021-22. Prior reports / references: (1) 2013 IFO analysis of HB / SB 76 and (2) 2014 update of the school property tax forecast.

01/09/2017

2016 Impact Fee Estimate - January 2017

This research brief uses recent data published by the Department of Environmental Protection to project CY 2016 Impact Fee collections in Pennsylvania.

01/02/2017

Five Year Economic and Budget Outlook

This report examines the demographic, economic, revenue and expenditure trends that will affect the Commonwealth’s fiscal condition through fiscal year (FY) 2021-22. Based on the economic and demographic assumptions used by this report, the evaluation finds that various factors imply a long-term fiscal imbalance. Press Release IFO Presentation Don Boyd's Presentation on Public Pension Risk

11/15/2016

Quarterly Revenue Review 2016 Q3

The IFO produces this report to facilitate comparison of its quarterly revenue estimates with actual revenue collections. The report also provides context for the variances between estimates and actual collections.  Fiscal Year 2016-17 2016 Q3 (July to September 2016)

10/27/2016

actuarial Note for Amendment A10803 to Senate Bill 1071, Printer's Number 1913

10/24/2016

AFSCME Wage Contract Analysis

Section 604-B(a)(8) of act 100 of 2016 (act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis for the current fiscal year and remaining subsequent fiscal years of the impact of each proposed collective bargaining agreement under the jurisdiction of the Governor prior to execution, including the costs to cover public employee wages, benefits, pensions and working conditions that have been reduced in writing under section 701 of the act of July 23, 1970 (P.L. 563, No. 195), known as the Public Employe Relations act.

09/27/2016

SEIU Wage Contract Analysis

Section 604-B(a)(8) of act 100 of 2016 (act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis for the current fiscal year and remaining subsequent fiscal years of the impact of each proposed collective bargaining agreement under the jurisdiction of the Governor prior to execution, including the costs to cover public employee wages, benefits, pensions and working conditions that have been reduced in writing under section 701 of the act of July 23, 1970 (P.L. 563, No. 195), known as the Public Employe Relations act.

09/27/2016

Quarterly Revenue Estimates

This report provides quarterly revenue estimates for the General Fund, Motor License Fund and Lottery Fund. The quarterly estimates are based on: (1) the FY 2016-17 projections contained in the Official Revenue Estimate published by the Independent Fiscal Office on June 15, 2016 and (2) adjustments to reflect the impact of statutory changes that were enacted with the state budget. 

08/24/2016

Impact Fee Update and 2016 Outlook

This research brief examines 2015 impact fee collections and natural gas production in Pennsylvania. It also provides an outlook for 2016. 

07/14/2016

The Impact of Demographics on General Fund Revenues and Expenditures

Deputy Director Mark Ryan made a presentation to the 2016 Pennsylvania Data User Conference regarding the impact of demographics on General Fund revenues and expenditures.

05/12/2016

Analysis of Revenue Proposals in the 2016-17 Executive Budget

This report provides revenue estimates for the tax proposals contained in the 2016-17 Executive Budget released February 2016. The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) publishes this report to fulfill its statutory duties as provided under 71 Pa.C.S. § 4104. The act requires that the IFO “provide an analysis, including economic impact, of all tax and revenue proposals submitted by the Governor or the Office of the Budget.” 

04/21/2016

Impact Fee Update - February 2016

This research brief uses recent data published by the Department of Environmental Protection to project CY 2015 Impact Fee collections in Pennsylvania. 

02/29/2016

Five-Year Economic and Budget Outlook: FY 2015-16 to 2020-21

This report examines the demographic, economic, revenue and expenditure trends that will affect the Commonwealth’s fiscal condition through fiscal year (FY) 2020-21. Based on the economic and demographic assumptions used by this report, the evaluation finds that various factors imply a long-term fiscal imbalance. (Updated January 2016) Presentation

01/27/2016

Shared-Risk Pension Analysis

This letter provides a statutorily required report analyzing the implementation of the shared-risk pension provisions introduced by act 120 of 2010.

12/18/2015

Raising the Minimum Wage in Pennsylvania

This research brief presents an analysis of the potential impact of the proposal to 1) raise the Pennsylvania state minimum wage from $7.25 to $10.10 and 2) automatically adjust future minimum wage levels to offset inflation.

11/30/2015

Impact Fee Update and 2015 Outlook

This research brief analyzes calendar year (CY) 2014 impact fee revenues (remitted April 2015) reported by the Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission (PUC) and potential scenarios for CY 2015. The research brief also translates the impact fee into an annual average effective tax rate (ETR) based on natural gas price and production data. The ETR is a metric that quantifies the implicit tax burden imposed by the impact fee in a given year.

06/25/2015

Analysis of a Statewide Financial Transactions Tax

Letter discussing issues that should be considered when evaluating a potential state-level tax on the transfer of securities (May 2015). The office was asked to discuss the viability of the tax and identify any benefits or detriments associated with it. 

05/15/2015

The Effect of act 1 of 2015

Letter discussing the effect of act 1, which uses an index to limit the ability of school districts to increase real property millage rates (April 2015).

04/17/2015

Impact Fee Update - February 2015

This research brief estimates the calendar year 2014 impact fee revenues (to be remitted in April 2015) using data from the Department of Environmental Protection (DEP) and the Public Utility Commission (PUC). The research brief also translates the impact fee into an annual average effective tax rate (ETR) based on recent natural gas price and production data. The ETR is a metric that quantifies the implicit tax burden imposed by the impact fee in a given year.

02/27/2015

Natural Gas Extraction: An Interstate Tax Comparison

This report compares Pennsylvania's unique natural gas tax structure to other states. The report also considers other taxes that may be levied on natural gas producers such as real and personal property, corporate and personal income, sales and use and miscellaneous fees. Due to the complexity of the analysis, readers are encouraged to thoroughly review the methodology and assumptions contained in Section 1 of this report. Full report Analysis-in-Brief (2 pages) Background on effective tax rates (2 pages, updated 4/4/2014 for the 2013 reporting year impact fee collections)

03/17/2014

Analysis of school property taxes paid by homeowners age 70 and older

Letter providing an analysis of school property taxes paid by homeowners age 70 and older (October 2013). The analysis presents a preliminary assessment of data on the cost of a school property tax freeze for those homeowners and a brief discussion of factors that affect the cost of a freeze over the long-term.

10/29/2013

Analysis of Michigan Property Tax Reform

This report presents the results from an analysis of the Michigan property tax reform known as Proposal A. Enacted in 1994, Proposal A replaced all local property taxes used for school operating purposes with higher sales and use, realty transfer and tobacco taxes. It also created a distinction between homestead and nonhomestead property to facilitate the statewide levy of uniform property taxes on those classes of property. The report makes extensive use of data published by various Michigan executive and legislative agencies to illustrate the impact of property tax reform on tax revenues, millage rates, per pupil funding levels and the property tax base over the past two decades.

09/16/2013

Uncapping the Film Production Tax Credit: A Fiscal and Economic Analysis

This report presents the results of an analysis performed by the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) on the fiscal and economic impacts of eliminating the cap on Pennsylvania’s film production tax credit (FPTC). The report also considers stand-alone tax credits for post-production and digital interactive media services.

05/31/2013

An Analysis of Medicaid Expansion in Pennsylvania

Estimates the fiscal and economic impact of expanding Medicaid (Medical Assistance) under the provisions of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care act (ACA). The scope of the analysis is limited to the impact of Medicaid expansion; it does not address the costs, savings or economic effects of the ACA generally.

04/22/2013

ACN_SB1071_A10803_text.pdf

administration, for applicability, for liability, for member statements and for suspension of provisions of the Public Employee Retirement Study Commission Act. Amend Bill, pages 731 through 1084, lines 1 through 30, page 1085, lines 1 through 29, by striking out all under 51 Pa.C.S. § 7302 (relating to granting military leaves of absence), leave granted under section 1178 of the act of March 10, 1949 (P.L.30, No.14), known as the Public School Code of 1949, or other types

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2006_surviving_spouse_healthcare_study.pdf

III – Commonwealth Management Directives 530.24 and 315.16, Governing Administration of the Retired Employee Health Program . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63 Appendix IV – Act 35 of 1991 and Act 183 of 1992, Medical Insurance Coverage for Survivor Spouses of Annuitants . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73 Appendix V – State Employees’ Retirement System Administrative Procedures

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2007_divestment_complete_report.pdf

Administration Commonwealth of Pennsylvania Representative Steven W. Cappelli District 83 Lycoming County Ms. Paula R. Mandle President The Swarthmore Group Acting Executive Director: James L. McAneny Commission Office: 510 Finance Building P. O. Box 1429 Harrisburg, PA 17105-1429 Telephone: (717 I INTRODUCTION AND OVERVIEW INTRODUCTION The Public Employee Retirement Commission was created in 1981 by the Public Employee Retirement Commission Act (Act 66 of 1981). The Commission is composed of nine members, five of whom are appointed by the Governor with

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Public Employee Retirement Laws of PA Local Governments (2009).pdf

Estates and Fiduciaries Code . . . . . . . . . . 5 Postretirement Adjustments for Certain Retired Municipal Police Officers and Firefighters . . . . . 7 Public Employee Pension Forfeiture Act . . . . . . . . . 8 Home Rule Charter Municipal Employee Retirement Systems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 Sources of Public Employee Retirement System Consulting Services, Information, and Technical Assistance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 Municipal Pension Plan Funding Standard and Recovery Act Act and Regulations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 Reporting Requirements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 Actuarial Funding Requirements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 Required Actuarial Cost Estimates for Benefit Changes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 General

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Pensions

IFO - Pensions IFO IFO • Latest Releases • Revenue Estimates • Revenue & Economic Update • Performance Budgeting • Energy • Pension Analysis • Property Tax • Wage Contracts • Tax Credit Review • Economics and Other • Data • Right-to-Know • About • About IFO • Job Opportunities • Contact IFO • Email Subscription • Links • Follow on Twitter • • Pensions Legislation Enacted - Municipal Municipal Pension Legislation Enacted Since 2001 Legislative Session 2015 - 2016 Act 2015 - 63 ( House Bill Number 239, Printer's Number 2334 ). Description to be added. Legislative Session 2013 - 2014 Act 2014 - 58 (House Bill Number 128, Printer's Number 126). Signed into law on June 18, 2014, Act 58 amended

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2013_special_report_funding_and_reforming_public_employee_retirement_systems.pdf

COMMISSION HARRISBURG 17120 January 28, 2013 To:Members of the Pennsylvania General Assemblyand Governor CorbettUnder the Public Employee Retirement Commission Act (Act 66 of 1981), this Commission has a responsibility to study, on a continuing basis, the Commonwealth’s public employee retirement

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MQRE-FY19-20-Aug.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us Website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - FY 2019-20 Monthly and Quarterly Estimates Total -229.6 Table 1 General Fund Adjustments 1 Note: Figures in dollar millions. Includes the impact of Acts 13, 15, 16, 20 and 65 of 2019. 1 Excludes any impact on refunds. FY 2019-20 Monthly and Quarterly Estimates | Page

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ACN_SB1_A01354_A01558_2017_06_03a.pdf

page 33 of this transmittal document. In addition, this transmittal includes attached cost notes and supplemental letters prepared by Conduent, actu- ary for the Public School Employees’ Retirement System (PSERS) and Korn Ferry Hay Group, actu- ary for the State Employees’ Retirement System (SERS). The proposal amends the retirement codes to (1) require most new employees

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Pensions

IFO - Pensions IFO IFO • Latest Releases • Revenue Estimates • Revenue & Economic Update • Performance Budgeting • Energy • Pension Analysis • Property Tax • Wage Contracts • Tax Credit Review • Economics and Other • Data • Right-to-Know • About • About IFO • Job Opportunities • Contact IFO • Email Subscription • Links • Follow on Twitter • • Pensions Legislation Enacted - School and State School and State Pension Legislation Enacted Since 2001 Legislative Session 2017 - 2018 Act 2017 - 5 ( Senate Bill Number 1, Printer's Number 902 ). Signed into law on June 12, 2017, Act 5 amends Titles 24 and 71 to provide new members of PSERS and SERS with three retirement benefit options. The

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2002_drop_report.pdf

those created in the absence of statutory guidance have the potential to be unexpectedly expensive and conflict with municipal codes, Act 205 and the Municipal Police Pension Law. In the absence of carefully crafted legislation, compliance with federal anti-discrimination rules pose no significant problem for municipal pension plans, non-conformance with Pennsylvania’s Municipal Pension Plan Funding Standard and Recovery Act (Act 205), for example, would have the potential to cause inequitable allocations in the annual distribution of more than $130

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SD-Property-Tax-Forecast-2020.pdf

PDE, or department) is for fiscal year (FY) 2017-18. For that year, current-year collections were $13.5 billion, Act 1 allocations were $533 million and delinquent collections were $535 million, resulting in a total of $14.6 billion for assessed values published by the State Tax Equalization Board (STEB), to estimate current-year collections for school districts. Data on Act 1 allocations are released by PDE each fiscal year, and the amounts for FY 2018-19 and FY 2019-20

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PBB_2021_PennDOT_REPORT_ADDENDUM.pdf

ifo.state.pa.us INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE March 25, 2021 The Honorable Members of the Pennsylvania Performance-Based Budget Board: Act 48 of 2017 specifies that the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) shall “review agency performance-based budget information and develop an Agency Response ................................................................................................. 62 - This page intentionally left blank. - Background on Performance-Based Budgeting | Page 1 Background on Performance-Based Budgeting Act 48 of 2017 is known as the Performance-Based Budgeting and Tax Credit Efficiency Act. The act requires the Independent

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TC_2022_Coal_Refuse_Energy_and_Reclamation.pdf

24, 2022 The Honorable Members of the Performance-Based Budget Board and Chairs of the House and Senate Finance Committees: Act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review various state tax credits over a five-year period reviewed four tax credits: the Educational, Coal Refuse En- ergy and Reclamation, Brewers’ and Mixed-Use Development Tax Credits. The act requires the IFO to submit tax credit reviews to the Performance-Based Budget Board and the Chairs of the House

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MQRE_FY22_23_August.pdf

53.6 Total -147.3 Table 1 General Fund Adjustments Note: Figures in dollar millions. Reflects (1) the impact of Acts 53, 54 and 55 of 2022 and (2) the extension of the moratorium on federal student loan repayments and up 7 4.2 3.8 15.3 Oil Company Franchise 253.2 250.8 233.5 224.7 962.2 Act 89 OFT - Liquid Fuels 125.0 117.9 102.7 156.7 502.3 Act 89 OFT - Fuels 38.4

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index.cfm

to fulfill its statutory duties as provided under Section 604-B (a)(4) of the Administrative Code of 1929. The act requires that the IFO “provide an analysis, including economic impact, of all tax and revenue proposals submitted by the Governor received approximately $1.6 billion in federal child care stimulus funds from the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act; Coronavirus Response and Relief Supplemental Appropriations Act (CRRSA); and American Rescue Plan (ARP). ... (Full Report) 2023 PA Payroll Jobs Revised

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SD-Property-Tax-Forecast-2019.pdf

PDE, or department) is for fiscal year (FY) 2016-17. For that year, current-year collections were $13.1 billion, Act 1 allocations were $532 million and delinquent collections were $552 million, resulting in a total of $14.1 billion for assessed values published by the State Tax Equalization Board (STEB), to estimate current-year collections for school districts. Data on Act 1 allocations are released by PDE each fiscal year, and the amounts for FY 2017-18 and FY 2018-19

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2021-SD-Property-Tax-Forecast.pdf

PDE, or department) is for fiscal year (FY) 2018- 19. For that year, current-year collections were $13.9 billion, Act 1 allocations were $533 million and delinquent collections were $551 million, resulting in a total of $15.0 billion for percent. Tax base growth is informed by taxable assessed values published by the State Tax Equalization Board (STEB). Data on Act 1 allocations are released by PDE each fiscal year, and the amounts for FY 2019-20 and FY 2020-21

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TC_2020_Research and Development Tax Credit.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - Rachel Carson State Office Building, 400 Market The Honorable Members of the Performance-Based Budget Board and Chairs of the House and Senate Finance Committees: Act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review various state tax credits over a five- year period. For the

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SD_Property_Tax_Forecast_Nov_2021.pdf

or the department) is for fiscal year (FY) 2019-20. For that year, current-year collections were $14.3 billion, Act 1 allocations were $534 million and delinquent collections were $506 million, for a total of $15.3 billion. 1 The 2021-22 millage rates and (3) new wage projections that increase the statewide average weekly wage (SAWW) portion of the Act 1 Index projection. Forecast Overview Table 1 provides the IFO’s estimate of school district property taxes for FY 2020-

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RB-2018-01.pdf

PDE, or department) is for fiscal year (FY) 2015-16. For that year, current-year collections were $12.6 billion, Act 1 allocations were $530 million and delinquent collections were $569 million, resulting in a total of $13.7 billion for the data from STEB with survey data collected in conjunction with the County Commissioners Association of Pennsylvania. 2 Data on Act 1 allocations are released by PDE each fiscal year, and the amounts for FY 2016-17 and FY 2017-18

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TC_2021_Neighborhood_Assistance_Program.pdf

19, 2021 The Honorable Members of the Performance-Based Budget Board and Chairs of the House and Senate Finance Committees: Act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review various state tax credits over a five- year period Resource Enhancement and Protection Program, Entertainment Economic Enhancement Program, Video Game Production and Keystone Special Development Zone Tax Credits. The act requires the IFO to submit tax credit reviews to the Performance-Based Budget Board and the Chairs of the House

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MQRE_FY21_22_August.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us Website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - FY 2021-22 Monthly and Quarterly Estimates Total 3,746.9 Table 1 General Fund Adjustments Note: Figures in dollar millions. Reflects the impact of Acts 24, 25 and 26 of 2021. Excludes the $115.3 million transfer to the Tobacco Settlement Fund, as that transfer was already

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TC_2023_Rural_Jobs_Investment.pdf

3, 2023 The Honorable Members of the Performance-Based Budget Board and Chairs of the House and Senate Finance Committees: Act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review various state tax credits over a five- year period year, the IFO reviewed four tax credits: Manufacturing, Resource Manufacturing, Rural Jobs and Investment, and Waterfront Development Tax Credits. The act requires the IFO to submit tax credit reviews to the Performance-Based Budget Board and the Chairs of the House

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TC_2019_Historic_Preservation_Tax_Credit_Report.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE January 14, 2019 The Honorable Members of the Performance-Based Budget Board and Chairs of the House and Senate Finance Committees: Act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review various state tax credits over a five- year period. For the

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Pensions

IFO - Pensions IFO IFO • Latest Releases • Revenue Estimates • Revenue & Economic Update • Performance Budgeting • Energy • Pension Analysis • Property Tax • Wage Contracts • Tax Credit Review • Economics and Other • Data • Right-to-Know • About • About IFO • Job Opportunities • Contact IFO • Email Subscription • Links • Follow on Twitter • • Pensions Legislation Enacted - Statutes PA Public Employee Pension Statutes • First Class City Code, act of May 20, 1915, PL 566, as amended, 53 P.S. §§ 13431-13449 and 53 P.S. § 761 • Second Class City Code, act of April 15, 1917, P.L. 39, as amended, 53 P.S. Sections 23561-23592 (non-uniformed), 23601-23620 , (fire

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TC_2021_Keystone_Special_Development_Zones_Update.pdf

29, 2021 The Honorable Members of the Performance-Based Budget Board and Chairs of the House and Senate Finance Committees: Act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review various state tax credits over a five- year period Resource Enhancement and Protection Program, Entertainment Economic Enhancement Program, Video Game Production and Keystone Special Development Zones Tax Credits. The act requires the IFO to submit tax credit reviews to the Performance-Based Budget Board and the Chairs of the House

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TC_2021_Entertainment_Economic_Enhancement_Program.pdf

25, 2021 The Honorable Members of the Performance-Based Budget Board and Chairs of the House and Senate Finance Committees: Act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review various state tax credits over a five- year period Resource Enhancement and Protection Program, Entertainment Economic Enhancement Program, Video Game Production and Keystone Special Development Zones Tax Credits. The act requires the IFO to submit tax credit reviews to the Performance-Based Budget Board and the Chairs of the House

Hits: 27

TC_2021_Resource_Enhancement_and_Protection.pdf

25, 2021 The Honorable Members of the Performance-Based Budget Board and Chairs of the House and Senate Finance Committees: Act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review various state tax credits over a five- year period Resource Enhancement and Protection Program, Entertainment Economic Enhancement Program, Video Game Production and Keystone Special Development Zones Tax Credits. The act requires the IFO to submit tax credit reviews to the Performance-Based Budget Board and the Chairs of the House

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TC_2020_Organ and Bone Marrow Donation Tax Credit.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - Rachel Carson State Office Building, 400 Market The Honorable Members of the Performance-Based Budget Board and Chairs of the House and Senate Finance Committees: Act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review various state tax credits over a five- year period. For the

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TC_2020_Keystone_Innovation_Zone_Tax_Credit.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - Rachel Carson State Office Building, 400 Market The Honorable Members of the Performance-Based Budget Board and Chairs of the House and Senate Finance Committees: Act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review various state tax credits over a five- year period. For the

Hits: 26

TC_2023_PA_Resource_Manufacturing.pdf

3, 2023 The Honorable Members of the Performance-Based Budget Board and Chairs of the House and Senate Finance Committees: Act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review various state tax credits over a five- year period IFO reviewed four tax credits: the Manufacturing, Resource Manufac- turing, Rural Jobs and Investment, and Waterfront Development Tax Credits. The act requires the IFO to submit tax credit reviews to the Performance-Based Budget Board and the Chairs of the House

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TC_2020_Mobile Telecommunications Broadband Investment Tax Credit.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - Rachel Carson State Office Building, 400 Market The Honorable Members of the Performance-Based Budget Board and Chairs of the House and Senate Finance Committees: Act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review various state tax credits over a five- year period. For the

Hits: 24

TC_2019_New_Jobs_Tax_Credit_Report.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE January 14, 2019 The Honorable Members of the Performance-Based Budget Board and Chairs of the House and Senate Finance Committees: Act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review various state tax credits over a five- year period. For the

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TC_2019_Film_Production_Tax_Credit_Report.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE January 14, 2019 The Honorable Members of the Performance-Based Budget Board and Chairs of the House and Senate Finance Committees: Act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review various state tax credits over a five- year period. For the

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PBB_2022_DLI_REPORT.pdf

ifo.state.pa.us INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE January 19, 2022 The Honorable Members of the Pennsylvania Performance-Based Budget Board: Act 48 of 2017 specifies that the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) shall “review agency performance-based budget information and develop an Schedule ....................................................... 63 Agency Response .......................................................................................................................... 64 - This page intentionally left blank. - Background and Methodology | Page 1 Background on Performance-Based Budgeting Act 48 of 2017 is known as the Performance-Based Budgeting and Tax Credit Efficiency Act. The act requires the Independent

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PBB_2020_DCED_REPORT.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - Rachel Carson State Office Building, 400 Market pa.us INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE January 21, 2020 The Honorable Members of the Pennsylvania Performance-Based Budget Board: Act 48 of 2017 specifies that the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) shall “review agency performance-based budget information and develop an agency performance-

Hits: 24

Official-Revenue-Estimate-2020-06.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us Website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - Rachel Carson State Office Building, 400 Market unrestricted General Fund and Motor License Fund revenues that may be considered for appropriation in the General Appropriations Act. Estimates for the Lottery Fund represent net revenues after the deduction of certain expenses. Federal funds subject to General Fund appropriation are

Hits: 24

TC_2021_Video_Game_Production.pdf

25, 2021 The Honorable Members of the Performance-Based Budget Board and Chairs of the House and Senate Finance Committees: Act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review various state tax credits over a five- year period Resource Enhancement and Protection Program, Entertainment Economic Enhancement Program, Video Game Production and Keystone Special Development Zone Tax Credits. The act requires the IFO to submit tax credit reviews to the Performance-Based Budget Board and the Chairs of the House

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PBB_2022_PDE_REPORT_Amended.pdf

ifo.state.pa.us INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE January 19, 2022 The Honorable Members of the Pennsylvania Performance-Based Budget Board: Act 48 of 2017 specifies that the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) shall “review agency performance-based budget information and develop an Schedule ....................................................... 63 Agency Response .......................................................................................................................... 64 - This page intentionally left blank. - Background and Methodology | Page 1 Background on Performance-Based Budgeting Act 48 of 2017 is known as the Performance-Based Budgeting and Tax Credit Efficiency Act. The act requires the Independent

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Five_Year_Outlook_2020.pdf

benefits, Lost Wage Assistance pay- ments and the first week of unemployment for all affected workers.  The Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2021 (CAA), the most recent stimulus legislation, provides FPUC bonus payments of $300 per week through the week ending March net income tax (CNIT) revenues are significantly impacted by the federal tax treatment of certain provisions enacted under the CARES Act (i.e., deductibility of expenses paid with PPP loans and the ability to defer certain 2020 employer payroll taxes). The

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TC_2023_Waterfront_Development.pdf

3, 2023 The Honorable Members of the Performance-Based Budget Board and Chairs of the House and Senate Finance Committees: Act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review various state tax credits over a five- year period IFO reviewed four tax credits: the Manufacturing, Resource Manufac- turing, Rural Jobs and Investment, and Waterfront Development Tax Credits. The act requires the IFO to submit tax credit reviews to the Performance-Based Budget Board and the Chairs of the House

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RB 2019 RACP.pdf

guidelines are as follows: 1  All grant awards must be included in at least one Capital Budget Project Itemization Act and have remaining project allocation amounts.  Programs must meet the statutory definition(s) of an eligible project, which include Independent Fiscal Office Page 2 All projects must also follow requirements under the competitive bidding process, Pennsylvania Steel Products Procurement Act, Trade Practices Act, public works contractors’ bond law, the Pennsylvania Prevailing Wage Act, the Americans with Disabilities Act and meet

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Five_Year_Outlook_2019.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us Website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - Rachel Carson State Office Building, 400 Market that impact revenues include:  CNIT revenues have been significantly impacted by the federal Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA). Income shifting in response to the Act provided an artificial boost to FY 2018-19 revenues, but reported profits are expected

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2002_dbdc_report.pdf

in another state or with the federal government; service in public education in a community college under the Community College Act; service with a -7- county school board where administrative duties or the agency was transferred to some other governmental entity service as a temporary federal employee assigned to a Commonwealth agency, service in a community college under the Community College Act, service in the Cadet Nurse Corps in World War II, service as a justice of the peace prior to January

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TC_2022_Educational_Tax_Credits.pdf

24, 2022 The Honorable Members of the Performance-Based Budget Board and Chairs of the House and Senate Finance Committees: Act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review various state tax credits over a five- year period IFO reviewed four tax credits: the Educational, Coal Refuse Energy and Reclamation, Brewers’ and Mixed-Use Development Tax Credits. The act requires the IFO to submit tax credit reviews to the Performance-Based Budget Board and the Chairs of the House

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PBB_2022_DHS_REPORT_ADDENDUM.pdf

ifo.state.pa.us INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE January 19, 2022 The Honorable Members of the Pennsylvania Performance-Based Budget Board: Act 48 of 2017 specifies that the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) shall “review agency performance-based budget information and develop an be completed in a timely manner and submitted by the IFO to the board for review.” For the purposes of Act 48 of 2017, the Department of Human Services is reviewed over a three-year period. This report contains the third

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2000_cost_of_living_adjustments.pdf

s Recommendations . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 Appendix II - Senate Resolution No. 103 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53 -v- Introduction The Public Employee Retirement Commission was established by Act 66 of 1981 to conduct actuarial and policy analyses for proposed legislation impacting public employee retirement systems in Pennsylvania, to historically, and the practice is not acceptable for private sector pension plans regulated by the federal Employee Retirement Income Security Act (ERISA). The most appropriate funding method for a postretirement adjustment is actuarial funding. In general, actuarial funding provides for set

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SD_Prop_Tax_Update_Jun_2023.pdf

property tax collections were $16.1 billion. The total includes $15.0 billion in current-year collections, $535 million in Act 1 allocations and $544 million in delinquent collections. 1 The figure below displays a 10-year history of SD property 1 Current-year collections (current and interim) are receipts from non-delinquent property taxes levied for the current fiscal year. Act 1 allocations are distributions of slots revenue from the Property Tax Relief Fund to reduce property taxes paid by homestead

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Revenue-Estimate-2019-05.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us Website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE May 20, 2019 The unrestricted General Fund and Motor License Fund revenues that may be considered for appropriation in the General Appropriations Act. Estimates for the Lottery Fund represent net revenues after the deduction of certain expenses. Federal funds subject to General Fund appropriation are

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Presentation_PASBO_Annual_Conference_3-8-2018.pdf

Presentation Updates on topics covered in recent IFO analyses:  School property tax  Demographics  Revenue estimates  Pensions / Act 5 2 March 8, 2018 School Property Tax Update New Forecast, Including Homestead Property Background on Property Tax and Discussion Tax (excludes delinquent) $12,615 44.3% Earned Income $1,509 5.3% Other Local Sources $2,185 7.7% Act 1 Allocations (slots) $531 1.9% State (excludes Act 1) $9,944 34.9% Federal $775 2.7% Other (debt

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PBB_2021_PSP_REPORT_ADDENDUM.pdf

ifo.state.pa.us INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE March 25, 2021 The Honorable Members of the Pennsylvania Performance-Based Budget Board: Act 48 of 2017 specifies that the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) shall “review agency performance-based budget information and develop an Schedule............................. 49 Agency Response............................................................................................... 50 - This page intentionally left blank. - Background and Methodology | Page 1 Background on Performance-Based Budgeting Act 48 of 2017 is known as the Performance-Based Budgeting and Tax Credit Efficiency Act. The act requires the Independent

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Official-Revenue-Estimate-2019-06.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us Website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - Rachel Carson State Office Building, 400 Market unrestricted General Fund and Motor License Fund revenues that may be considered for appropriation in the General Appropriations Act. Estimates for the Lottery Fund represent net revenues after the deduction of certain expenses. Federal funds subject to General Fund appropriation are

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MQRE-FY23-24_Revised_Jan.pdf

Miscellaneous 31.9 Total -$204.6 Table 1 General Fund Adjustments Note: Figures in dollar millions. Reflects the impacts of Acts 33 and 34 of 2023. Excludes the impact on refunds. FY 2023-24 Revised Monthly Estimates | Page 2 July Aug Statutes Affecting Revenues The revised estimates for FY 2023-24 published by the IFO include the impact from statutory changes (Acts 33 and 34 of 2023) enacted in conjunction with the remainder of the state budget. This section briefly summarizes the

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TC_2022_Mixed_Use_Development.pdf

24, 2022 The Honorable Members of the Performance-Based Budget Board and Chairs of the House and Senate Finance Committees: Act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review various state tax credits over a five- year period IFO reviewed four tax credits: the Educational, Coal Refuse Energy and Reclamation, Brewers’ and Mixed-Use Development Tax Credits. The act requires the IFO to submit tax credit reviews to the Performance-Based Budget Board and the Chairs of the House

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Single-Use Plastics Report-2020_06.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - Rachel Carson State Office Building, 400 Market ifo.state.pa.us INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE June 30, 2020 The Honorable Members of the Pennsylvania General Assembly: Act 20 of 2019 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to “evaluate the economic impact to the Com- monwealth, its industry partners and

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Summary_Tax_Credit_Reviews_Oct_2023.pdf

Jobs and Investment............................................................................................................. 21 Waterfront Development ................................................................................................................ 22 Summary of Selected Results ................................................................................................. 23 - This page intentionally left blank. - Page 1 Introduction Act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review the various Pennsylvania state tax credits every five years Performance-Based Budget (PBB) Board for approval and make the reports available to the public on the IFO website. The act specifies that tax credit reviews contain the following content: ▪ The purpose for which the tax credit was created. ▪ Whether the

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PSBA Webinar - IFO - Act5_Actuarial.pdf

Actuarial Impact of Act 5 of 2017 Presentation to the Pennsylvania School Boards Association Independent Fiscal Office Mark J. Ryan, Deputy Director June 28 Rates Not Affected Description FY 2017-18 Rate Employer Normal Cost Rate 7.70% Unfunded Accrued Liability Rate 24.04% Act 120 Collars n.a. Health Insurance Rate 0.83% Total Employer Contribution Rate 32.57% 6/28/2017 2 Note

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PBB_2020_PEMA_REPORT.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - Rachel Carson State Office Building, 400 Market pa.us INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE January 16, 2020 The Honorable Members of the Pennsylvania Performance-Based Budget Board: Act 48 of 2017 specifies that the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) shall “review agency performance-based budget information and develop an agency performance-

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Act_25_Letter_Feb_2022.pdf

the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provide updated estimates for the reduction in school property taxes due to the implementation of Act 25 of 2011. The request also included an estimate of the impact on residential property and business property taxpayers. This analysis provides a high-level estimate of the potential impact on taxpayers from Act 25 from fiscal year (FY) 2012- 13 to FY 2020-21. Act 25 of 2011, which took effect in FY

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TC_2023_Manufacturing.pdf

3, 2023 The Honorable Members of the Performance-Based Budget Board and Chairs of the House and Senate Finance Committees: Act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review various state tax credits over a five- year period year, the IFO reviewed four tax credits: Manufacturing, Resource Manufacturing, Rural Jobs and Investment, and Waterfront Development Tax Credits. The act requires the IFO to submit tax credit reviews to the Performance-Based Budget Board and the Chairs of the House

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TC_2022_Brewers.pdf

24, 2022 The Honorable Members of the Performance-Based Budget Board and Chairs of the House and Senate Finance Committees: Act 48 of 2017 requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to review various state tax credits over a five- year period IFO reviewed four tax credits: the Educational, Coal Refuse Energy and Reclamation, Brewers’ and Mixed-Use Development Tax Credits. The act requires the IFO to submit tax credit reviews to the Performance-Based Budget Board and the Chairs of the House

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SD_Prop_Tax_Update_Aug_2022.pdf

15.7 billion in FY 2020-21. The total includes $14.6 billion in current-year collections, $535 million in Act 1 allocations and $591 million in delinquent collections. 1 The figure below displays a 10-year history of SD property 1 Current-year collections (current and interim) are receipts from non-delinquent property taxes levied for the current fiscal year. Act 1 allocations are distributions of slots revenue from the Property Tax Relief Fund to reduce property taxes paid by homestead

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Revenue-Estimate-2020-05.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us Website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - Rachel Carson State Office Building, 400 Market unrestricted General Fund and Motor License Fund revenues that may be considered for appropriation in the General Appropriations Act. Estimates for the Lottery Fund represent net revenues after the deduction of certain expenses. Federal funds subject to General Fund appropriation are

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RB_2022_06_PA_Gasoline_Tax.pdf

4 1 Includes non-restricted and restricted Oil Company Franchise Tax (OCFT) revenues as defined by statute. The ratio of Act 89 Liquid Fuels (gasoline) and Fuels (diesel) revenue collections is used to estimate the gasoline portion of any revenue category that contains combined gasoline and diesel collections. 2 Act 35 of 1981, Act 32 of 1983, Act 26 of 1991, Act 3 of 1997 and Act 89 of 2013

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PBB_2020_DEP_Report.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE January 16, 2020 The Honorable Members of the Pennsylvania Performance-Based Budget Board: Act 48 of 2017 specifies that the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) shall “review agency performance-based budget information and develop an agency performance-

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PBB_2019_PCCD_Report.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE January 14, 2019 The Honorable Members of the Pennsylvania Performance-Based Budget Board: Act 48 of 2017 specifies that the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) shall “review agency performance-based budget information and develop an agency performance-

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Official-Revenue-Estimate-2018-06.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us Website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE Rachel Carson State Office unrestricted General Fund and Motor License Fund revenues that may be considered for appropriation in the General Appropriations Act. Estimates for the Lottery Fund represent net revenues after the deduction of certain expenses. Federal funds subject to General Fund appropriation are

Hits: 16

Initial-Revenue-Estimate-2018-05.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us Website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE Rachel Carson State Office unrestricted General Fund and Motor License Fund revenues that may be considered for appropriation in the General Appropriations Act. Estimates for the Lottery Fund represent net revenues after the deduction of certain expenses. Federal funds subject to General Fund appropriation are

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IFO - Economic and Budget Outlook - January 2012.pdf

January 2012 The Economic & Budget Outlook: Fiscal Years 2013-2017 Independent Fiscal Office Commonwealth of Pennsylvania Forward Act 120 of 2010 establishes the Independent Fiscal Office. Section 4104 of the Act specifies that the Office shall “provide an assessment of the state’s current fiscal condition and a projection of what

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PBB_2023_DOR_REPORT.pdf

ifo.state.pa.us INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE January 3, 2023 The Honorable Members of the Pennsylvania Performance-Based Budget Board: Act 48 of 2017 specifies that the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) shall “review agency performance-based budget information and develop an Schedule ..................................................... 29 Agency Response ....................................................................................................................... 30 - This page intentionally left blank. - Background and Methodology | Page 1 Background on Performance-Based Budgeting Act 48 of 2017 is known as the Performance-Based Budgeting and Tax Credit Efficiency Act. The act requires the Independent

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PBB_2020_DOS_REPORT.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - Rachel Carson State Office Building, 400 Market pa.us INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE January 16, 2020 The Honorable Members of the Pennsylvania Performance-Based Budget Board: Act 48 of 2017 specifies that the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) shall “review agency performance-based budget information and develop an agency performance-

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PBB_2019_DOBS_Report.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE January 14, 2019 The Honorable Members of the Pennsylvania Performance-Based Budget Board: Act 48 of 2017 specifies that the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) shall “review agency performance-based budget information and develop an agency performance-

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PBB_2019_Criminal_Justice_Report.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE January 14, 2019 The Honorable Members of the Pennsylvania Performance-Based Budget Board: Act 48 of 2017 specifies that the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) shall “review agency performance-based budget information and develop an agency performance-

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Official-Revenue-Estimate-Methodology-2019-06.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us Website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - Rachel Carson State Office Building, 400 Market normally distributed, uncorrelated and had constant variance over time. Cash Flow Method Under the cash flow method, firms act as collection agents for the Commonwealth and remit weekly or monthly tax collections based on recent transactions. Payment rules are simple and

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Five_Year_Outlook_2021.pdf

665 million). The increase in DCJ is largely due to the replacement of Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act Coronavirus Relief Fund (CRF) dollars that were used in FY 2020-21 ($1.26 billion). The projections throughout most of years, PSP expenditures have shifted out of the Motor License Fund (MLF) to the General Fund as a result of Act 85 of 2016. For FY 2022-23, the General Fund is projected to absorb both the annual decrease in MLF

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PBB_2019_JCJC_Report.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE January 14, 2019 The Honorable Members of the Pennsylvania Performance-Based Budget Board: Act 48 of 2017 specifies that the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) shall “review agency performance-based budget information and develop an agency performance-

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MQRE-FY18-19-July.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us Website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - FY 2018-19 Monthly and Quarterly Estimates 4 Total -13.5 Table 1 General Fund Adjustments Note: figures in dollar millions. Includes the impact of Acts 39 and 42 of 2018. FY 2018-19 Monthly and Quarterly Estimates | Page 2 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb

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Response-Letter-2-27-2020.pdf

from federal, state and local sources. Specifically, your letter requests a fiscal analysis of the federal Family First Prevention Services Act (Family First). Family First provides new federal funding for certain evidence- based prevention services, but limits federal funding for congregate Child Welfare Program Funding in Pennsylvania For state fiscal year (SFY) 2017-18, child welfare program spending reported through the Act 148 invoices in Pennsylvania totaled $1,828.3 million and was funded by a combination of state, local and federal

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RB_2021_09_Pension_Outlook.pdf

its statutory duties, the IFO works with the state pension systems and contracted actuaries to analyze proposed pension legislation. The acts below were analyzed by the IFO prior to enactment and are notable for current and future impacts to the systems. • Act 5 of 2017: For both state systems, the State Employees’ Retirement System (SERS) and Public School Employees’ Retirement System (PSERS

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PBB_2020_DHS_REPORT_Final_Updated.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - Rachel Carson State Office Building, 400 Market pa.us INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE January 21, 2020 The Honorable Members of the Pennsylvania Performance-Based Budget Board: Act 48 of 2017 specifies that the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) shall “review agency performance-based budget information and develop an agency performance-

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Budget Hearings Packet.pdf

Appropriations Committees for these budget hearings. Second, the office published cost analyses of nine proposed collective bargaining agreements pursuant to Act 14 of 2016. Finally, the office is responsible for coordinating analyses and issuing actuarial notes for legislation proposing changes to public employee pension or retirement plans pursuant to Act 100 of 2016. The office has filled vacant positions and bolstered staffing to meet these obligations. Other functions of the

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Budget Hearings Packet- Web Version.pdf

Appropriations Committees for these budget hearings. Second, the office published cost analyses of nine proposed collective bargaining agreements pursuant to Act 14 of 2016. Finally, the office is responsible for coordinating analyses and issuing actuarial notes for legislation proposing changes to public employee pension or retirement plans pursuant to Act 100 of 2016. The office has filled vacant positions and bolstered staffing to meet these obligations. Other functions of the

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RB_2022_06_Act_105_Pre-Funding_Impact.pdf

on Public Pensions, Benefits and Risk Management (August 2021). The subcommittee requested that the IFO examine the financial impact from Act 105 of 2019. This research brief uses data from the affected entities to assess the immediate and long- term financial implications from that legislation. Overview of Act 105 Introduced as House Bill 1982, Act 105 of 2019 allows certain employers that participate in the State Employees’ Retirement

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PBB_2023_EO_REPORT.pdf

page intentionally left blank. - INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE January 3, 2023 The Honorable Members of the Pennsylvania Performance-Based Budget Board: Act 48 of 2017 specifies that the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) shall “review agency performance-based budget information and develop an Schedule ..................................................... 39 Agency Response ....................................................................................................................... 40 - This page intentionally left blank. - Background and Methodology | Page 1 Background on Performance-Based Budgeting Act 48 of 2017 is known as the Performance-Based Budgeting and Tax Credit Efficiency Act. The act requires the Independent

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PBB_2023_DDAP_REPORT.pdf

ifo.state.pa.us INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE January 3, 2023 The Honorable Members of the Pennsylvania Performance-Based Budget Board: Act 48 of 2017 specifies that the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) shall “review agency performance-based budget information and develop an Schedule ....................................................... 37 Agency Response .......................................................................................................................... 38 - This page intentionally left blank. - Background and Methodology | Page 1 Background on Performance-Based Budgeting Act 48 of 2017 is known as the Performance-Based Budgeting and Tax Credit Efficiency Act. The act requires the Independent

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PBB_2021_DHS_REPORT_ADDENDUM.pdf

ifo.state.pa.us INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE March 25, 2021 The Honorable Members of the Pennsylvania Performance-Based Budget Board: Act 48 of 2017 specifies that the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) shall “review agency performance-based budget information and develop an be completed in a timely manner and submitted by the IFO to the board for review.” For the purposes of Act 48 of 2017, the Department of Human Services will be reviewed over a three-year period. This report contains the

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Official-Revenue-Estimate-Methodology-2020-6.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us Website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - Rachel Carson State Office Building, 400 Market the timeline of the phased reopening for Pennsylvania businesses. Cash Flow Method Under the cash flow method, firms act as collection agents for the Commonwealth and remit weekly or monthly tax collections based on recent transactions. Payment rules are simple and

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IFO_Hearing_Packet_Feb2018.pdf

and Other Attributes 28 PBB and Tax Credit Review Schedule 29 Independent Fiscal Office Background The office was created by Act 120 of 2010 and enters its seventh year of operation. The office currently employs 10 staff: 3 managers, 1 office 8.3% 8.2% Unfunded Liability Rate 2 20.9% 24.0% 25.0% 26.5% 27.0% Application of Act 120 Collar 3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Total Employer Contribution Rate 30.0% 32

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Act_1_Index_Update_Nov_2023.pdf

Act 1 of 2006 limits the annual increase in school district millage rates to a computed statewide index with certain exceptions. 1 The base Act 1 Index is calculated by averaging the percentage increase in the Pennsylvania Statewide Average Weekly Wage (SAWW) and the Employment

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2004_srpvffinal.pdf

of calendar year 2002, there were 1,987 4 FRAs operating in the Commonwealth. The Volunteer Firefighter’s Relief Association Act (Act 1968-84) regulates the administration of relief association affairs and the expenditure of funds. Act 84 requires that a relief

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Revenue_Estimate_2023_06.pdf

estimates for unrestricted General Fund and Motor License Fund revenues that may be considered for appropriation in the General Appropriations Act. Estimates for the Lottery Fund represent net revenues after the deduction of certain expenses. Federal funds subject to General Fund it is unclear if those gains can be sustained. 2 The provision was part of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, which also reduced the federal corporate income tax rate from 35% to 21%. Economic Outlook | Page 8 A relevant metric

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Revenue_Estimate_2021_05.pdf

estimates for unrestricted General Fund and Motor License Fund revenues that may be considered for appropriation in the General Appropriations Act. The report also provides detail on the revenue impact of increased federal funding related to the outbreak of COVID-19 recipients report annual incomes of less than $10,000. See “UI Generosity and Job Acceptance: Effects of the 2020 Cares Act” Petrosky-Nadeau and Valetta, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (May 17, 2021) at https://www.frbsf.org/economic-research

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PBB_2022_AGING_REPORT_Addendum.pdf

ifo.state.pa.us INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE January 19, 2022 The Honorable Members of the Pennsylvania Performance-Based Budget Board: Act 48 of 2017 specifies that the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) shall “review agency performance-based budget information and develop an Schedule ..................................................... 41 Agency Response ....................................................................................................................... 42 - This page intentionally left blank. - Background and Methodology | Page 1 Background on Performance-Based Budgeting Act 48 of 2017 is known as the Performance-Based Budgeting and Tax Credit Efficiency Act. The act requires the Independent

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PBB_2020_DOH_REPORT_Final_Update.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - Rachel Carson State Office Building, 400 Market pa.us INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE January 21, 2020 The Honorable Members of the Pennsylvania Performance-Based Budget Board: Act 48 of 2017 specifies that the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) shall “review agency performance-based budget information and develop an agency performance-

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Official_Revenue_Estimate_Methodology_2023_06.pdf

residuals were normally distributed, uncorrelated and had constant variance over time. Cash Flow Method Under the cash flow method, firms act as collection agents for the Commonwealth and remit weekly or monthly tax collections based on recent transactions. Payment rules are not reflected in the corporate profits forecast (e.g., certain tax law provisions from the 2017 Tax Cut and Jobs Act). 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Revenue $2,751 $2,879 $3,398 $2,827 $4,424 $5

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Official_Revenue_Estimate_Methodology_2022.pdf

residuals were normally distributed, uncorrelated and had constant variance over time. Cash Flow Method Under the cash flow method, firms act as collection agents for the Commonwealth and remit weekly or monthly tax collections based on recent transactions. Payment rules are takes into account recent trends in revenue collections. Beginning in FY 2016-17, collections include the impact of liquor modernization (Acts 39 and 85 of 2016). 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Revenue $348 $362 $372 $382 $366 $416

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Official_Revenue_Estimate_Methodology_2021.pdf

residuals were normally distributed, uncorrelated and had constant variance over time. Cash Flow Method Under the cash flow method, firms act as collection agents for the Commonwealth and remit weekly or monthly tax collections based on recent transactions. Payment rules are Use Tax Historical and Projected Revenues General Fund Methodologies | Page 12 with payments to individuals under the American Rescue Plan Act. Motor and non-motor model projections are gross of any transfers, which are deducted from projections to derive net flows

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MQRE-FY20-21-Aug.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us Website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - FY 2020-21 Monthly and Quarterly Estimates 1 Total -130.2 Table 1 General Fund Adjustments Note: Figures in dollar millions. Reflects the impact of Act 23-2020. FY 2020-21 Monthly and Quarterly Estimates | Page 2 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May

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June_Revenue_Estimate_2021.pdf

estimates for unrestricted General Fund and Motor License Fund revenues that may be considered for appropriation in the General Appropriations Act. The report also provides detail on the revenue impact of increased federal funding related to the outbreak of COVID-19 recipients report annual incomes of less than $10,000. See “UI Generosity and Job Acceptance: Effects of the 2020 Cares Act” Petrosky-Nadeau and Valetta, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (May 17, 2021) at https://www.frbsf.org/economic-research

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Revenue-Estimate-2023-05.pdf

estimates for unrestricted General Fund and Motor License Fund revenues that may be considered for appropriation in the General Appropriations Act. Estimates for the Lottery Fund represent net revenues after the deduction of certain expenses. Federal funds subject to General Fund it is unclear if those gains can be sustained. 2 The provision was part of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, which also reduced the federal corporate income tax rate from 35% to 21%. Economic Outlook | Page 8 A relevant metric

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QRE_FY14-15.pdf

pa.us Staff Contacts: Matthew Knittel, Director Mark Ryan, Deputy Director __________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). __________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank.- Independent Fiscal Office Page 1 FY 2014- www.ifo.state.pa.us/resources/PDF/Revenue_Estimate_2014-06-16.pdf . Table 2 General Fund Statutory Adjustment Detail – Acts 1A and 126 ($ millions) Revenue Source FY 2014-15 Corporate Net Income Tax $1.9 Capital Stock and Franchise Tax 1.6

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PBB_2023_DCNR_REPORT.pdf

ifo.state.pa.us INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE January 3, 2023 The Honorable Members of the Pennsylvania Performance-Based Budget Board: Act 48 of 2017 specifies that the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) shall “review agency performance-based budget information and develop an Schedule ....................................................... 31 Agency Response .......................................................................................................................... 32 - This page intentionally left blank. - Background and Methodology | Page 1 Background on Performance-Based Budgeting Act 48 of 2017 is known as the Performance-Based Budgeting and Tax Credit Efficiency Act. The act requires the Independent

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Five_Year_Outlook_2022.pdf

General Fund revenues contract by 9.2% ($4.45 billion). If the $3.84 billion transfer from American Rescue Plan Act funds is removed, then the decline is 1.4% ($0.61 billion). The contraction is due to the corporate net collections during the forecast period are significantly impacted by rate/base changes enacted with the FY 2022-23 state budget (Act 53-2022). Act 53 (1) reduced the CNIT rate from 9.99% to 8.99% for tax years beginning after

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PBB_2022_AGRICULTURE_REPORT.pdf

ifo.state.pa.us INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE January 19, 2022 The Honorable Members of the Pennsylvania Performance-Based Budget Board: Act 48 of 2017 specifies that the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) shall “review agency performance-based budget information and develop an Schedule ....................................................... 43 Agency Response .......................................................................................................................... 44 - This page intentionally left blank. - Background and Methodology | Page 1 Background on Performance-Based Budgeting Act 48 of 2017 is known as the Performance-Based Budgeting and Tax Credit Efficiency Act. The act requires the Independent

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PBB_2019_DGS_Report.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE January 14, 2019 The Honorable Members of the Pennsylvania Performance-Based Budget Board: Act 48 of 2017 specifies that the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) shall “review agency performance-based budget information and develop an agency performance-

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Five_Year_Outlook_2023.pdf

forecast (July 2023). CNIT collections are also impacted by rate/base changes enacted with the FY 2022-23 state budget (Act 53 of 2022). Act 53 (1) reduced the CNIT rate from 9.99% to 8.99% for tax years beginning after December 31, 2022

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Economic_and_Revenue_Update_2021.pdf

blank. - Independent Fiscal Office 1 March 2021 Independent Fiscal Office Overview Independent Fiscal Office Overview The office was created by Act 120 of 2010 and enters its tenth year of operation. The office currently employs 13 staff: 1 director, 2 managers until the termination of the national public health emergency declaration). Calendar year 2020 figures include funds authorized by the CARES Act but awarded in CY 2021. 6.6 million PA recipients CY 2021 does not include general aid CY 2021 does

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SERS_Stress_Test_Impact_Analysis_2023.pdf

ifo.state.pa.us INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE December 1, 2023 Governor Josh Shapiro The Honorable Members of the General Assembly Act 128 of 2020 amended Title 71 of the Pennsylvania Consolidated Statutes to require the State Employees’ Retirement System (SERS) to of the system and submit the results to the Governor, the General Assembly and the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO). The act directs the IFO to produce a report that summarizes the results, including a calculation of projected employer contributions to pro-

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SERS_Stress_Test_Impact_Analysis_2022.pdf

ifo.state.pa.us INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE December 1, 2022 Governor Tom Wolf The Honorable Members of the General Assembly Act 128 of 2020 amended Title 71 of the Pennsylvania Consolidated Statutes to require the State Employees’ Retirement System (SERS) to of the system and submit the results to the Governor, the General Assembly and the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO). The act directs the IFO to produce a report that summarizes the results, including a calculation of projected employer contributions to pro-

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RB_2021_01_Economic_Impact_of_Federal_Stimulus.pdf

Congress enacted three pieces of legislation. These actions included the $2.2 trillion Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act which included the first round of EIPs ($1,200 per adult), the establishment of the Paycheck Protection Program (PPP), funding certain unemployed individuals. Payments were made for qualifying weeks during August and the first week of September. 3) Consolidated Appropriations Act (CAA), 2020 In December 2020, Congress approved $900 billion of additional stimulus. The CAA included a smaller round of EIPs

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RB-2016-02.pdf

performance‐based service delivery system that ensures inquiries or leads from a business or potential entrepreneur are referred to, and acted upon expeditiously by, the appropriate ser‐ vice provider(s) in the region. Pennsylvania First $37,800 $20,000 Provides grants The program is supported by loan repayments and interest, as well as expenditures from the Machinery and Equipment Loan Fund. Act 161 of 2014 transitioned the administration of this fund to the Pennsylvania In‐ dustrial Development Authority. Minority Business Development Loans

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PBB_2023_PID_REPORT.pdf

ifo.state.pa.us INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE January 3, 2023 The Honorable Members of the Pennsylvania Performance-Based Budget Board: Act 48 of 2017 specifies that the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) shall “review agency performance-based budget information and develop an Schedule ....................................................... 29 Agency Response .......................................................................................................................... 30 - This page intentionally left blank. - Background and Methodology | Page 1 Background on Performance-Based Budgeting Act 48 of 2017 is known as the Performance-Based Budgeting and Tax Credit Efficiency Act. The act requires the Independent

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PBB_2022_PHMC_REPORT.pdf

ifo.state.pa.us INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE January 19, 2022 The Honorable Members of the Pennsylvania Performance-Based Budget Board: Act 48 of 2017 specifies that the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) shall “review agency performance-based budget information and develop an Schedule ..................................................... 21 Agency Response ....................................................................................................................... 22 - This page intentionally left blank. - Background and Methodology | Page 1 Background on Performance-Based Budgeting Act 48 of 2017 is known as the Performance-Based Budgeting and Tax Credit Efficiency Act. The act requires the Independent

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PASBO_March_17_2021.pdf

Projecting the Components of the Act 1 Index Pennsylvania Association of School Business Officials March 17, 2021 Statewide School Property Tax Growth Rates 2 -2.0% 18-19 19-20 20-21 21-22 22-23 23-24 24-25 25-26 All School Property Tax Act 1 Base Index Note: Includes Current and Interim, Act 1 Allocations and delinquent taxes. Source: School District Property Tax Forecast

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IFO_PASBO_Presentation_Nov_2021.pdf

is $330 million higher in FY 25-26 than February ▪ Due to 20-21 revision and significant increase in projected Act 1 index. ▪ Projected SAWW at highest levels of Act 1 time period. November 16, 2021 8 School District Property Tax Forecast November 16, 2021 9 2019-20 2020-21

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EPLC-2-19-21.pdf

2.9% Total General Fund 33.14 37.98 14.6% 42.97 3.1% Note: Billions of dollars. CARES Act $1.33 billion Enhanced FMAP $2.07 billion Cost Shifts $1.06 billion One Time Measures Boost Revenues, Reduce Expenditures 1,938 delayed due dates Payment on PPP loans $100 affects personal income tax JUA transfer $200 court challenge CARES Act $1,330 used for DHS, PSP, DCJ, DOH Enhanced FMAP $2,070 assumed to end 2021 Q2 DHS cost shifts

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EPLC Feb 2020 FINAL.pdf

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Corporate Net Income Personal Income Sales-Use PA Economy or GDP Tax Cuts and Jobs Act Wayfair Decision +66% +48% +43% +40% 2010-11 = 1.0 Lottery and Other New Games February 28, 2020 13 2015- 17 17-18 18-19 19-20 20-21 21-22 22-23 23-24 24-25 School Property Tax Act 1 Base Index Note: Includes Current and Interim, Act 1 Allocations and delinquent taxes. Source: School District Property Tax Forecast

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Select Committee Oct 1 2012 FINAL.pdf

HB 1776 and SB 1400 of 2012 – Slide 12 School Property Tax Forecast The IFO forecast uses the structure of “Act 1” to forecast property taxes. There are two major components: 1. The Adjusted Index, which places a cap on the mainly pensions and special education). 1.Oct.2012 Analysis of HB 1776 and SB 1400 of 2012 – Slide 13 IFO Act 1 Index Projections Base Adjusted Index Index* FY 2013-14 1.7% 1.9% FY 2014-15 2.2% 2

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Response-Letter-09-12-2019-Part-2.pdf

rebates by an estimated $345.2 million. Under the proposal, the increase in rebates provided would be funded by current Act 1 allocations that are distributed to school districts. The table that follows provides the estimated reduction in Act 1 allocations for each school district necessary to fund the $1,500 version of the proposal. The estimated impact was

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PSBA-Property-Tax-Update-March-2020.pdf

Percent Property Tax $13,511 44.6% Earned Income $1,592 5.3% Other Local Sources $2,347 7.8% Act 1 Allocations (slots) $533 1.8% State (excludes Act 1) $10,962 36.2% Federal $897 3.0% Other (debt related) $439 1.4% Total $30,282 100.0%

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Presentation-2019-3-1-EPLC.pdf

4.4% 3.4% 3.0% Note: Millions of dollars. Internet SUT represents impact of ecommerce/nexus, digital downloads and Act 43 of 2017. Tax Burden Ratios March 1, 2019 16 PA U.S. Difference Personal Income 2.66% 2.44% Percent Property Tax $13,052 42.4% Earned Income $1,563 5.1% Other Local Sources $2,224 7.2% Act 1 Allocations (slots) $532 1.7% State (excludes Act 1) $10,779 35.1% Federal $843 2.7% Other (debt

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MQRE_FY20_21_Revised_Feb.pdf

Misc. 531.2 Total 331.2 Table 1 General Fund Adjustments Note: Figures in dollar millions. Reflects the impact of Act 114 of 2020. FY 2020-21 Revised Monthly Estimates | Page 2 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar revised estimate for FY 2020-21 published by the IFO on January 21, 2021 includes the impact from statutory changes (Act 114-2020) enacted in conjunction with the second part of the state budget. This section briefly summarizes the recently enacted

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EPLC_3_4_2022_update.pdf

841 $2.19 billion in FY 22-23? Rainy day fund $100 Revenue shifts $1,938 delayed due dates CARES Act $1,545 used for DHS, PSP, DCJ, DOH Enhanced FMAP $2,070 $2,200 assumed to end 2022 Q2 DHS 18 18-19 19-20 20-21 21-22 22-23 23-24 24-25 25-26 School Property Tax Act 1 Base Index Note: Includes Current and Interim, Act 1 Allocations and delinquent taxes. Source: School District Property Tax Forecast

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State_Tax_Comparison_2020_11.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - Rachel Carson State Office Building, 400 Market 3.8 billion of Premium and Advance Premium Tax Credits for qualified recipients enrolled under the Affordable Care Act. Largely due to the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) of 2017, the ratio of federal income tax to personal income for

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Revenue_Estimate_2022_06.pdf

estimates for unrestricted General Fund and Motor License Fund revenues that may be considered for appropriation in the General Appropriations Act. Estimates for the Lottery Fund represent net revenues after the deduction of certain expenses. Federal funds subject to General Fund Liquid Fuels Taxes 1,750 5.7 1,764 0.8 Oil Company Franchise 954 5.4 962 0.9 Act 89 OCFT - Liquid Fuels 500 5.9 502 0.5 Act 89 OCFT - Fuels 146 1.5 150 2.1

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Revenue_Estimate_2022_05.pdf

estimates for unrestricted General Fund and Motor License Fund revenues that may be considered for appropriation in the General Appropriations Act. Estimates for the Lottery Fund represent net revenues after the deduction of certain expenses. Federal funds subject to General Fund Liquid Fuels Taxes 1,759 6.2 1,773 0.8 Oil Company Franchise 960 6.1 968 0.9 Act 89 OCFT - Liquid Fuels 504 6.8 507 0.5 Act 89 OCFT - Fuels 148 2.6 151 2.1

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QRR_2016Q1.pdf

collections; however, some of it was due to special fund transfers that were contained in the General Appropriations Act of 2015 (enacted in December). Table 2 General Fund Year-Over-Year Growth Rates Quarterly Fiscal YTD Fiscal Yr. Revenue Source Actual million above estimate. Fiscal year-to-date revenues of $648 million were below estimate by $9 million.  Act 89 OCF – Liquid Fuels revenues of $121 million were $60 million below estimate. Fiscal year-to-date revenues of $389 million were

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QRR_2014Q2.pdf

Quarterly Revenue Review April to June 2014 Page 3 Motor License Fund Overview Legislation enacted in December 2013 (Act 89) impacts the reporting and comparison of actual Liquid Fuels Taxes and certain fee revenue. The estimates reflected in Table 2 were million and were $31 million above estimate. Table 2 provides additional detail. In total, it is estimated that Act 89 increased Motor License Fund fiscal year revenues by approximately $53 million. The Liquid Fuels Taxes category generated $352 million for the

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PSERS_Stress_Test_Impact_Analysis_2024.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE February 28, 2024 Governor Josh Shapiro Honorable Members of the General Assembly: Act 128 of 2020 amended Title 24 of the Pennsylvania Consolidated Statutes to require the Public School Employees’ Retirement System (PSERS of the system and submit the results to the Governor, the General Assembly and the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO). The act directs the IFO to produce a report that summarizes the results, including the ratio of projected employer contributions to projected

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PBB_2021_DMVA_REPORT_ADDENDUM.pdf

ifo.state.pa.us INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE March 25, 2021 The Honorable Members of the Pennsylvania Performance-Based Budget Board: Act 48 of 2017 specifies that the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) shall “review agency performance-based budget information and develop an Tax Credit Review Schedule .............................. 33 - This page intentionally left blank. - Background and Methodology | Page 1 Background on Performance-Based Budgeting Act 48 of 2017 is known as the Performance-Based Budgeting and Tax Credit Efficiency Act. The act requires the Independent

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PASBO_Presentation_March_16_2023.pdf

0 ECONOMIC and ACT 1 INDEX UPDATE 68 TH PASBO Annual Conference & Exhibits Commonwealth of Pennsylvania March 16, 2023 Good Morning and a Quick inflation and wages II Statewide Public School Employment, Payroll and Wages ▪ COVID jobs contraction ▪ Real Average Weekly Wage contracts III Act I Index Outlook ▪ Statewide Average Weekly Wage (SAWW) remains elevated ▪ Significant and sudden jump in Employment Cost Index (ECI) March

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IFO_Hearing_Materials_Feb_22_2022.pdf

blank. - Independent Fiscal Office 1 February 2022 Independent Fiscal Office – Overview Independent Fiscal Office – Overview The office was created by Act 120 of 2010 and enters its tenth year of operation. The office currently employs 12 staff: 1 director, 2 managers The IFO 22-23 estimate assumes a transfer of $2.19 billion of federal funds to the General Fund under Act 24- 2021. The Executive Budget assumes that this transfer does not occur. Dollar Amount (millions) Growth Rate Independent Fiscal Office

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House_State_Gov_Comm_Presentation_August_2021.pdf

State Pension System Update House State Government Committee Testimony Matthew Knittel, Director Independent Fiscal Office August 19, 2021 Recent Legislation • Act 5 of 2017: Act 5 established two hybrid defined benefit and defined contribution plans and a pure defined contribution plan for both state systems

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Economic_and_Revenue_Update_2020.pdf

by Activity .............................................................................................. 30 Tax Credits and Economic Development Incentives ...................................................................... 31 1 Independent Fiscal Office Overview The office was created by Act 120 of 2010 and enters its ninth year of operation. The office currently employs 13 staff: 3 managers, 1 office 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 CNIT PIT GDP SUT 10-11 = 1.0 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act Wayfair Decision Extra Due Date Forecast 16 Impact of Federal Changes on Tobacco Taxes FY 2019-20 FY 2020-21

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The Payroll Tax Cut Extension FINAL.pdf

workers received a boost in their take-home pay due to the Tax Relief, Unemployment Insurance Reauthorization and Job Creation Act of 2010. That Act temporarily reduced the payroll taxes that employers withheld from employee paychecks and remitted to the federal government. On December 23

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Tax_Credit_and_Other_Incentives_2022.pdf

in Educational Improvement Tax Credits (EITC) and $54 million in Educational Opportunity Scholarship Tax Credits (OSTC) in FY 2021-22. Act 55 of 2022 increased the program caps from $280 million to $340 million for the EITC program and from $55 claimed $66.9 million and $8 million for the Film Production Tax Credit and the Entertainment Economic Enhancement Program, respectively. Act 53 of 2022 increased the Film Tax Credit cap from $70 million to $100 million and the Entertainment Economic Enhancement

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Revenue_Estimate_Performance_2023_08.pdf

of actual General Fund revenues. If the scheduled $200 million transfer from the Pennsylvania Professional Liability Joint Underwriting Association (JUA, Act 85 of 2016) that was not received is excluded, then the adjusted difference is -$641 million, or -2.0%. Those official estimate was -$178 million, or -0.5% of actual General Fund revenues. If the scheduled $200 million JUA transfer (Act 44 of 2017) that was not received is excluded, then the adjusted difference is $22 million, or 0.1%. Corporate

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Revenue-Estimate-Performance_2022_10.pdf

of actual General Fund revenues. If the scheduled $200 million transfer from the Pennsylvania Professional Liability Joint Underwriting Association (JUA, Act 85 of 2016) that was not received is excluded, then the adjusted difference is -$641 million, or -2.0%. Those official estimate was -$178 million, or -0.5% of actual General Fund revenues. If the scheduled $200 million JUA transfer (Act 44 of 2017) that was not received is excluded, then the adjusted difference is $22 million, or 0.1%. Corporate

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Revenue-Estimate-Performance-2021-09.pdf

of actual General Fund revenues. If the scheduled $200 million transfer from the Pennsylvania Professional Liability Joint Underwriting Association (JUA, Act 85 of 2016) that was not received is excluded, then the adjusted difference is -$641 million, or -2.0%. Those official estimate was -$178 million, or -0.5% of actual General Fund revenues. If the scheduled $200 million JUA transfer (Act 44 of 2017) that was not received is excluded, then the adjusted difference is $22 million, or 0.1%. Corporate

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Revenue-Estimate-Performance-2020-09.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us Website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - Revenue Estimate Performance | Page 1 This document General Fund revenues. If the scheduled $200 million transfer from the Pennsylvania Professional Liability Joint Underwriting Association (JUA, Act 85 of 2016) that was not received is excluded, then the adjusted difference is -$641 million, or -2.0 percent. Those revenues

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Revenue-Estimate-Performance-2019-07.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us Website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - Revenue Estimate Performance | Page 1 This document General Fund revenues. If the scheduled $200 million transfer from the Pennsylvania Professional Liability Joint Underwriting Association (JUA, Act 85 of 2016) that was not received is excluded, then the adjusted difference is -$641 million, or -2.0 percent. Those revenues

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RB_2023_08_PTRR_Expansion.pdf

rebates to 429,137 claimants. That amount includes $144.3 million in one-time bonus rebates that were authorized by Act 54 of 2022. Table 1 provides rebate and dollar amounts for 2021 by household income and claimant type. The table shows that most rebates went to elderly ($255.1 million, 72.8%) and disabled ($89.4 million, 25.5%) residents. Act 7 of 2023 expands the PTRR program (changes detailed in Table 2 on next page). For 2023, the act increases

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RB-10-2020-Economic_Development_Incentives.pdf

Taxpayers claimed $174.8 million in Educational Improvement Tax Credits (EITC), increasing $23.9 million over the prior fiscal year. Act 16 of 2019 increased the program cap from $160.0 million to $185.0 million. Credits are available to eligible The program was created to incentivize film and television production in Pennsylvania and has been modified numerous times. Most recently, Act 13 of 2019 increased the annual program cap to $70.0 million.  The amount claimed for the Tax Credit

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QRR_2015Q4.pdf

21 million below estimate. Fiscal year-to-date revenues of $439 million were below estimate by $25 million. • Act 89 OCF – Liquid Fuels revenues of $119 million were $19 million below estimate. Fiscal year-to-date revenues of $268 million were below estimate by $20 million. • Act 89 OCF – Fuels deposits of $40 million were $2 million below estimate. Fiscal year- to-date revenues of $80 million were below

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QRR_2015Q3.pdf

category are broken down as follows: • Oil company franchise tax collections totaled $230 million, $4 million below estimate. • Act 89 OCF – Liquid Fuels revenues of $150 million were $1 million below estimate. • Act 89 OCF – Fuels deposits of $40 million were $2 million below estimate. • Other Liquid Fuel Taxes collections of $21 million were $4

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PSERS_Stress_Test_Impact_Analysis_2023.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE March 1, 2023 Governor Josh Shapiro Honorable Members of the General Assembly: Act 128 of 2020 amended Title 24 of the Pennsylvania Consolidated Statutes to require the Public School Employees’ Retirement System (PSERS of the system and submit the results to the Governor, the General Assembly and the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO). The act directs the IFO to produce a report that summarizes the results, including the ratio of projected employer contributions to projected

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Kling_Presentation.pdf

the model that CBO uses to make long-term projections  An appendix about the effects of the 2017 tax act on the economy and budget  A primer about how CBO estimates the costs of federal credit programs Explaining Analytical s revenue forecasting record since 1982  A report on how CBO’s projections of subsidies under the Affordable Care Act compared with actual outcomes  A report on how CBO’s projections of outlays for 2017 compared with actual outcomes

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Wage_Contracts_PDA.pdf

Capitol Building 139 Main Capitol Building Harrisburg, PA 17120 Harrisburg, PA 17120 Dear Sirs: Section 604-B(a)(8) of Act 100 of 2016 (Act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis

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Wage Contract SEIU-FINAL.pdf

Capitol Building 139 Main Capitol Building Harrisburg, PA 17120 Harrisburg, PA 17120 Dear Sirs: Section 604-B(a)(8) of Act 100 of 2016 (Act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis

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Wage Contract PFBC-FINAL.pdf

Capitol Building 139 Main Capitol Building Harrisburg, PA 17120 Harrisburg, PA 17120 Dear Sirs: Section 604-B(a)(8) of Act 100 of 2016 (Act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis

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Wage Contract AFSCME-FINAL.pdf

Capitol Building 139 Main Capitol Building Harrisburg, PA 17120 Harrisburg, PA 17120 Dear Sirs: Section 604-B(a)(8) of Act 100 of 2016 (Act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis

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UGSOA_Wage_Contract_Analysis_2024.pdf

Harrisburg, PA 17120 Harrisburg, PA 17120 Dear President Pro Tempore Ward and Speaker McClinton: Section 604-B(a)(8) of Act 100 of 2016 (Act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis

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UGSOA_Wage_Contract_Analysis_2021.pdf

Capitol Building 110 Main Capitol Building Harrisburg, PA 17120 Harrisburg, PA 17120 Dear Sirs: Section 604-B(a)(8) of Act 100 of 2016 (Act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis

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UGSOA_Wage_Contract_ Analysis_2020.pdf

Capitol Building 110 Main Capitol Building Harrisburg, PA 17120 Harrisburg, PA 17120 Dear Sirs: Section 604-B(a)(8) of Act 100 of 2016 (Act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis

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UFCW_Wage_Contract_Analysis_2023.pdf

Harrisburg, PA 17120 Harrisburg, PA 17120 Dear President Pro Tempore Ward and Speaker McClinton: Section 604-B(a)(8) of Act 100 of 2016 (Act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis

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SR2017-05.pdf

2,268 3 Based on the number of homesteads reported by the Pennsylvania Department of Education for FY 2015-16 Act 1 Property Tax Reduction Allocations. Philadelphia data adjusted based on information from the Philadelphia Department of Revenue. Sources: Pennsylvania Department in which they are classified by the Pennsylvania Department of Education. 1 Current and interim property tax collections. Excludes (1) Act 1 property tax reduction allocations and (2) delinquent tax collections. 2 Estimated by the IFO. Excludes the portion of the

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SEIU_Local_668_Wage_Contract_Analysis_2023.pdf

Harrisburg, PA 17120 Harrisburg, PA 17120 Dear President Pro Tempore Ward and Speaker McClinton: Section 604-B(a)(8) of Act 100 of 2016 (Act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis

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SEIU_Local_668_UC_Referees_Wage_Contract_Analysis_2024.pdf

Harrisburg, PA 17120 Harrisburg, PA 17120 Dear President Pro Tempore Ward and Speaker McClinton: Section 604-B(a)(8) of Act 100 of 2016 (Act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis

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SEIU_HCPA_Wage_Contract_Analysis_2023.pdf

Harrisburg, PA 17120 Harrisburg, PA 17120 Dear President Pro Tempore Ward and Speaker McClinton: Section 604-B(a)(8) of Act 100 of 2016 (Act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis

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SEIU Local 668 UC Referees Analysis- 2020.pdf

INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE May 7, 2020 The Honorable Members of the Pennsylvania General Assembly: Section 604-B(a)(8) of Act 100 of 2016 (Act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis

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SEIU Healthcare Wage Contract Analysis- 2019.pdf

Capitol Building 139 Main Capitol Building Harrisburg, PA 17120 Harrisburg, PA 17120 Dear Sirs: Section 604-B(a)(8) of Act 100 of 2016 (Act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis

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Revenue_Proposal_Analysis_2022_04.pdf

967 million in FY 2026-27. Broaden the Current Addback Provision: The proposal expands the original addback provision enacted by Act 52 of 2013. Regarding the current addback, Information Notice Corporation Taxes 2016-1 states the following: The Add-Back disallows i.e., allowing the economy to expand or contract in response to the policy). For the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017, most studies using dynamic models found that dynamic effects reduced the static revenue loss by 10% to 20%

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Revenue_Proposal_Analysis_2021_04.pdf

pattern of payments based on their analysis of 2018 tax returns after passage of the federal Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA), as discussed in a memo transmitted to the House Appropriations Committee (February 28, 2020). The DOR observed that 62% 32 Using a methodology similar to the 2019 study, the CBO estimated the budget impact of the Raise the Wage Act of 2021, which would increase the federal minimum wage to $15.00 by 2025. In addition to shifting the analysis

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Revenue-Update-2020-04.pdf

on interest deductions and the employee retention credit that are part of the Coronavirus Aid, Relief and Economic Security (CARES) Act.  The small business loans and grants are the projected share that Pennsylvania receives from the $349 billion set aside in the CARES Act. While the $349 billion is administered as a loan, the loans will be forgiven if used for eligible expenses such

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Revenue-Proposal-Analysis-2020-04.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us Website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE April 23, 2020 The payments based on their analysis of 2018 tax returns after passage of the federal Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA). DOR observed that 62 percent of firms antici- pating a higher tax liability due to the TCJA increased their March and

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Revenue-Estimate-Performance-2018-07.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us Website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - Independent Fiscal Office | Page 1 This document General Fund revenues. If the scheduled $200 million transfer from the Pennsylvania Professional Liability Joint Underwriting Association (JUA, Act 85 of 2016) that was not received is excluded, then the adjusted difference is -$641 million, or -2.0 percent. Those Independent

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RB_2023_03_Rental_Assistance.pdf

rent. The initial moratorium was extended several times to August 2021. A summary is as follows: ▪ March 2020: The CARES Act included a renter eviction moratorium through July 2020. A state eviction moratorium was enacted concurrently through August 2020. ▪ September 2020 Office | Research Brief | March 2023 Independent Fiscal Office Page 2 In December 2020, the federal government enacted the Consolidated Appropriations Act (CAA), which included the Emergency Rental Assistance Program (ERAP1) to help renters with rent and utilities. The program included $25

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RB_2021_11_Economic_Development_Incentives.pdf

See table on page 3.) A few program highlights: • Taxpayers claimed $179.5 million in Educational Improvement Tax Credits (EITC). Act 26 of 2021 increased the program cap from $185.0 million to $225.0 million. The entire increase was allocated fiscal impact is in FY 2022-23 and is expected to reduce sales tax collections by approximately $40 million annually. • Act 25 of 2021 created the Pennsylvania Housing Tax Credit. Taxpayers that own or develop qualified low-income housing projects can

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RB_2020_12_PPP_Loans_to_PA_Businesses.pdf

2020, the Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) was enacted as part of the federal Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act. 1 The program made forgivable loans available to small businesses and other entities that met certain criteria such as firms as firms that did not report an industry or sector. 1 The original $349 billion of loans under the CARES Act was later expanded by $320 billion by the Paycheck Protection Program and Health Care Enhancement Act of 2020. 2 Applicants

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Public_Data-Motor_License_Fund.xlsx

Licenses and Fees Total of Other Motor Receipts | Liquid Fuels Fuel Use Motor Carriers/ IFTA Alternative Fuels Oil Company Franchise Act 89 OCFT- Fuels Act 89 OCFT- Liquid Fuels | Special Hauling Permits Reg. Other States-IRP Operators Licenses Real ID Vehicle Reg. & Titling Misc. Collections

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PSEA_Wage_Contract_Analysis_2023.pdf

Harrisburg, PA 17120 Harrisburg, PA 17120 Dear President Pro Tempore Ward and Speaker McClinton: Section 604-B(a)(8) of Act 100 of 2016 (Act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis

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PSEA Wage Contract Analysis- 2020.pdf

Capitol Building 110 Main Capitol Building Harrisburg, PA 17120 Harrisburg, PA 17120 Dear Sirs: Section 604-B(a)(8) of Act 100 of 2016 (Act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis

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PSCOA Wage Contract Analysis- 2020.pdf

Capitol Building 110 Main Capitol Building Harrisburg, PA 17120 Harrisburg, PA 17120 Dear Sirs: Section 604-B(a)(8) of Act 100 of 2016 (Act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis

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PSBA Presentation - Final.pdf

Percent Property Tax $12,285 44.5% Earned Income $1,476 5.4% Other Local Sources $2,126 7.7% Act 1 Allocations (slots) $530 1.9% State (exclude Act 1) $9,492 34.4% Federal $815 3.0% Other (debt related) $855 3.1% Total $27,578 100.0%

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Property-Tax-Update-August-2018.pdf

for Pennsylvania School Districts in FY 2016-17 Revenue Source Amount Percent Property Tax $13,052 42.4% State (exclude Act 1) $10,779 35.1% Other Local $2,224 7.2% Earned Income $1,563 5.1% Act 1 Allocations $532 1.7% Federal $843 2.7% Other (debt related) $1,759 5.7% Total $30,752 100

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Presentation_2017_02_10_EPLC.pdf

Percent Property Tax $12,285 44.5% Earned Income $1,476 5.4% Other Local Sources $2,126 7.7% Act 1 Allocations (slots) $530 1.9% State (exclude Act 1) $9,492 34.4% Federal $815 3.0% Other $855 3.1% Total $27,578 100.0% Note: dollar

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Presentation-2018-06-PASBO.pdf

FY 2016-17 Collections Fiscal Year 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 Current & Interim 12,285 12,615 13,052 Act 1 Allocations 530 530 532 Delinquent 575 569 552 Total 13,390 13,714 14,136 Note: Dollar amounts in Estimates Adjusted for Woodwork School Property Tax and Homestead Estimates (FY 2017-18) School Property Tax (SPT) Paid - ($ millions) – excludes Act 1 $13,312 $0 $13,312 SPT Paid by Homesteads ($ millions) – excludes Act 1 $7,222 $536 $7,758 Number

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PLEA_Wage_Contract_Analysis_2023.pdf

Harrisburg, PA 17120 Harrisburg, PA 17120 Dear President Pro Tempore Ward and Speaker McClinton: Section 604-B(a)(8) of Act 100 of 2016 (Act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis

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PLEA Wage Contract Analysis- 2019.pdf

Capitol Building 139 Main Capitol Building Harrisburg, PA 17120 Harrisburg, PA 17120 Dear Sirs: Section 604-B(a)(8) of Act 100 of 2016 (Act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis

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PDA_Wage_Contract_Analysis_2023.pdf

Harrisburg, PA 17120 Harrisburg, PA 17120 Dear President Pro Tempore Ward and Speaker McClinton: Section 604-B(a)(8) of Act 100 of 2016 (Act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis

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PDA Wage Contract Analysis- 2019.pdf

Capitol Building 139 Main Capitol Building Harrisburg, PA 17120 Harrisburg, PA 17120 Dear Sirs: Section 604-B(a)(8) of Act 100 of 2016 (Act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis

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PBB_Board_Amend_03_09_22.pdf

for the Dept. of Education Motion to Amend and Resubmit At this time, pursuant to Section 7(c)(4) of Act 48 of 2017, I am making a motion to direct the IFO to amend and resubmit the 2022 performance-based current expenditures per weighted student count (as defined by the legislature in Section 2502.53(c)(2)(ii)(A) of Act 14 of 1949) by quartiles based upon median household income and students of color as a share of enrollment 7

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PA_Turnpike_Toll_Projections_May_31_2013.pdf

state.pa.us Staff Contacts: Matthew Knittel, Director Mark Ryan, Deputy Director The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). - This page was intentionally left blank. - INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE Second Floor Turnpike toll revenues, toll rates and E-ZPass utilization rates. 1 The PTC fiscal year ends on May 31. 2 Act 44 of 2007 requires the PTC to make annual payments of $900 million to PennDOT, subject to certain federal approvals

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PA_Economy_League_Presentation.pdf

Percent Property Tax $12,285 44.5% Earned Income $1,476 5.4% Other Local Sources $2,126 7.7% Act 1 Allocations (slots) $530 1.9% State (exclude Act 1) $9,492 34.4% Federal $815 3.0% Other (debt related) $855 3.1% Total $27,578 100.0%

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OPEIU_Wage_Contract_Analysis_2023.pdf

Harrisburg, PA 17120 Harrisburg, PA 17120 Dear President Pro Tempore Ward and Speaker McClinton: Section 604-B(a)(8) of Act 100 of 2016 (Act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis

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OPEIU Wage Contract Analysis- 2019.pdf

Capitol Building 139 Main Capitol Building Harrisburg, PA 17120 Harrisburg, PA 17120 Dear Sirs: Section 604-B(a)(8) of Act 100 of 2016 (Act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis

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NAP-2018-03.pdf

up to 75 percent 1 The NAP is authorized under Article XIX-A of the Tax Reform Code of 1971 (Act 48-1994). 2 This report is provided in response to a legislative request and does not constitute a tax credit review as required under Act 48-2017. 3 The following areas are deemed distressed for purposes of the NAP: Enterprise Zones, Keystone Opportunity Zones, Keystone

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ISSU_Wage_Contract_Analysis_2023.pdf

Harrisburg, PA 17120 Harrisburg, PA 17120 Dear President Pro Tempore Ward and Speaker McClinton: Section 604-B(a)(8) of Act 100 of 2016 (Act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis

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ISSU Wage Contract Analysis- 2019.pdf

Capitol Building 139 Main Capitol Building Harrisburg, PA 17120 Harrisburg, PA 17120 Dear Sirs: Section 604-B(a)(8) of Act 100 of 2016 (Act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis

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IFO_Hearing_Packet_Feb2019.pdf

Performance-Based Budgeting (PBB) Timeline in First Year .................................. 26 1 Independent Fiscal Office Overview Background The office was created by Act 120 of 2010 and enters its eighth year of operation. The office currently employs 11 staff: 3 managers, 1 office General Assembly, provide economic, revenue or fiscal analysis to the extent that staff resources are available for that purpose. 1 Act 42 of 2018 changed the due date from May 1 to May 20. 2 Act 42 of 2018 changed the

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FOSCEP Wage Contract Analysis- 2019.pdf

Capitol Building 139 Main Capitol Building Harrisburg, PA 17120 Harrisburg, PA 17120 Dear Sirs: Section 604-B(a)(8) of Act 100 of 2016 (Act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis

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CNIT-Rate-Cut-2018-04.pdf

rate cut over time, workers and consumers could also benefit. In the recent debate regarding the Tax Cut and Jobs Act (TCJA) of 2017, the following studies or papers were cited. All incidence figures refer to the assumed long‐run incidence shifting to foreign entities in the static estimate. 13 See “Preliminary Details and Analysis of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act,” Tax Foundation, Special Report No. 241 (December 2017) for an itemization of dynamic effects from the TCJA of 2017. The

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CIVEA_Wage_Contract_Analysis_2023.pdf

Harrisburg, PA 17120 Harrisburg, PA 17120 Dear President Pro Tempore Ward and Speaker McClinton: Section 604-B(a)(8) of Act 100 of 2016 (Act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis

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CIVEA Wage Contract Analysis- 2019.pdf

Capitol Building 139 Main Capitol Building Harrisburg, PA 17120 Harrisburg, PA 17120 Dear Sirs: Section 604-B(a)(8) of Act 100 of 2016 (Act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis

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Analysis of Recent Collective Bargaining Agreements.pdf

Capitol Building 139 Main Capitol Building Harrisburg, PA 17120 Harrisburg, PA 17120 Dear Sirs: Section 604-B(a)(8) of Act 100 of 2016 (Act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis

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ALES_Wage_Contract_Analysis_2024.pdf

Harrisburg, PA 17120 Harrisburg, PA 17120 Dear President Pro Tempore Ward and Speaker McClinton: Section 604-B(a)(8) of Act 100 of 2016 (Act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis

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ALES Wage Contract Analysis- 2019.pdf

Capitol Building 139 Main Capitol Building Harrisburg, PA 17120 Harrisburg, PA 17120 Dear Sirs: Section 604-B(a)(8) of Act 100 of 2016 (Act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis

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AFSCME_Wage_Contract_Analysis_2023.pdf

Harrisburg, PA 17120 Harrisburg, PA 17120 Dear President Pro Tempore Ward and Speaker McClinton: Section 604-B(a)(8) of Act 100 of 2016 (Act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis

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SUT Exemption for Aircraft - January 2013.pdf

pa.us Staff Contacts: Matthew Knittel, Director Mark Ryan, Deputy Director __________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). __________________________________________________________ - This page was intentionally left blank. - INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE Second Floor, Rachel vary based on the use, type, maximum certificated takeoff 2 See section 204(67) and (68) of the act of March 4, 1971 (P.L. 6, No.2), known as the Tax Reform Code of 1971. These provisions were added by

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State-Tax-Comparison-2020-01.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - Rachel Carson State Office Building, 400 Market consistent with the exception of the motor vehicle tax. The change in motor vehicle tax was due to Act 89 of 2013 that eliminated both (1) the inflationary cap on the Oil Company Franchise Tax and (2) the fixed excise tax

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Revenue-Proposal-Analysis-2019-03.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us Website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE March 22, 2019 This offset by less spending or lower incomes elsewhere in the state economy. Higher spending by tourists or visitors acts like a spending injection into the state economy, while higher worker productivity and lower turnover costs imply higher output and profits for

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Revenue-Proposal-Analysis-2018-04.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us Website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE Rachel Carson State Office to the IFO’s most recent CNIT baseline projection (includes impact of the federal Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017). The estimate includes a behavioral impact that partially offsets the revenue loss due to the lower rate because corporations have

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Response_Letter_2021_April.pdf

If those assumptions hold, then senior homeowners remitted $2.4 to $2.7 billion of school district property taxes (excludes Act 1 allocations) for FY 2018-19 and the same amounts for FY 2020-21. 2 It is noted that school 2025-26 Current-Year $13,930 $14,301 $14,109 $14,595 $15,155 $15,795 $16,405 $16,985 Act 1 Allocations 1 533 534 535 535 535 535 535 535 Delinquent 2 551 565 488 616 618 622 645

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Response-Letter-05-13-2019.pdf

658 4.95% 694 696 699 702 705 708 711 PTRR Payments 6 263 259 255 251 248 244 240 Act 1 Property Tax Subsidies 7 533 533 530 530 530 530 530 School District Property Tax 8 14,546 14 tax rent rebate (PTRR) payments could be utilized to offset school district property tax and driven out similar to the Act 1 subsidies. FY 2017-18 are actuals consistent with the Governor's Executive Budget, later years are estimated by the

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RB_2024_03_Child_Care.pdf

received approximately $1.6 billion in federal child care stimulus funds from the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act; Coronavirus Response and Relief Supplemental Appropriations Act (CRRSA); and American Rescue Plan (ARP). In general, stimulus funds had to be used to cover facility costs (e.g

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RB-2020-10-Impact_of_TCJA_on_PA_Taxpayers.pdf

On December 22, 2017, the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) was signed into law. The act made significant changes to the federal individual income and corporate net income tax codes that generally became effective for tax

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Presentation_Pension_Town_Hall_3-26-2015.pdf

Employees’ Retirement System (SERS). • Public School Employees’ Retirement System (PSERS).  Useful terms in the pension debate: • Defined benefit plans. • Act 120, rate collars and annual required contribution (ARC). • Unfunded accrued liabilities (UAL).  Size of the unfunded liabilities – history & projections the cost of benefits attributable to the current year of service (normal cost) and (2) amortization of the UAL.  Act 120 of 2010 – legislation that reduced benefits for employees hired after 1/1/2011 (SERS) and 7/1/2011 (PSERS

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Presentation_Harrisburg_Rotary_4-11-2016.pdf

between the actuarial value of assets and the actuarial value of pension liabilities (benefits).  Rate collar – a provision in Act 120 of 2010 that limits the annual increase in employer contribution rates. Currently 4.5 percentage points per year. 4 Key Terminology Component SERS PSERS Normal Cost (NC) 4.95% 8.38% Unfunded Accrued Liability (UAL) 26.56% 19.44% Act 120 Collars ‐6.51% ‐2.82% Total Employer Rate (on payroll) 25.00% 25.00% 4/11/2016 7 2015‐

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Presentation-2018-10-Performance-Based-Budget-Board.pdf

Overview of Act 48 Implementation October 15, 2018 Presentation to the Performance-Based Budget Board Act 48 Overview  Act 48 of 2017 directs the IFO to develop performance-based budget (PBB) plans for each agency

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IFO_Testimony_Feb2018.pdf

to briefly discuss recent economic and revenue trends, as well the potential impact of the federal Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA). Revenue Update Through January, the IFO revenue estimate is holding up well, and actual revenues are up roughly $190 either could have a material impact on short-term economic growth. Federal Tax Law Changes The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act will have important implications for General Fund revenues and the overall budget. In the short term, the IFO projects a

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2013-10 Monthly Economic Summary.pdf

fee reve- nues for Pennsylvania municipalities, counties, conser- vation districts and certain state agencies. The impact fee was enacted by Act 13 of 2012. 3 The structure of the fee is a function of the price of natural gas, with adjust- in 2014 compared to 2013. 1 .EIA, Natural Gas Withdrawals and Production, Pennsylvania. 2 .Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection. 3 .Act 13 of 2012, Amendment to the Oil and Gas Act. 4 .Represents direct extraction-related employment in industries identified by

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Right-to-Know

IFO - Right-to-Know IFO IFO • Latest Releases • Revenue Estimates • Revenue & Economic Update • Performance Budgeting • Energy • Pension Analysis • Property Tax • Wage Contracts • Tax Credit Review • Economics and Other • Data • Right-to-Know • About • About IFO • Job Opportunities • Contact IFO • Email Subscription • Links • Follow on Twitter • • Right-to-Know Act 3 of 2008 establishes 19 types of legislative records which are available to the public. The types of legislative records the Right-to-Know Law are spelled out in Section 102 of the law, in the definition of "legislative record." Act 120 of 2010 defines the Independent Fiscal Office as a "legislative agency." If you would like to make an official

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Releases

to fulfill its statutory duties as provided under Section 604-B (a)(4) of the Administrative Code of 1929. The act requires that the IFO “provide an analysis, including economic impact, of all tax and revenue proposals submitted by the Governor received approximately $1.6 billion in federal child care stimulus funds from the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act; Coronavirus Response and Relief Supplemental Appropriations Act (CRRSA); and American Rescue Plan (ARP). Tags: brief , care , child , research Full Report 2023 PA Payroll Jobs Revised

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Pensions

Regular Session 2007-2008 Special Session #1 (Energy Policy) 2005-2006 Regular Session 2005-2006 Special Session #1 (taxpayer relief act) 2003-2004 Regular Session 2001-2002 Regular Session 2001-2002 Special Session #1 Bill Type - Any - - All Bills and Resolutions - Document-Leg Ref Bureau House Bill House Resolution Senate Bill Senate Resolution Bill # Printer # Keyword Sponsor System Act 600 Police Pension Plans Act 96 County Systems All Municipal Systems All Systems Allegheny County Borough & Township Fire City - Fire

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State_Tax_Comparison_2023_02.pdf

income tax is a progressive tax. 16 Although reported on the federal income tax return, payments for Self-Employment Contributions Act (SECA) are not included because those payments are not income taxes. State Rank AmountRatio State Rank AmountRatio Connecticut 1 $30 due to three factors: (1) most counties reassess properties infrequently, (2) the cap on millage rate increases due to the Act 1 Index and (3) the influx of federal stimulus funds. Tax Type Rank ATR Rank ATR Rank ATR Personal Income

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State_Tax_Comparison_2022_01.pdf

also excludes $2.9 billion of Premium and Advance Premium Tax Credits for qualified recipients enrolled under the Affordable Care Act. 14 Although reported on the federal income tax return, payments for Self-Employment Contributions Act (SECA) are not included because those payments are not income taxes. State Rank Amount Ratio State Rank Amount Ratio Massachusetts

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Special-Funds-Response-Letter-03-08-2019.pdf

034 Difference -4,724 1,573 4,052 9,050 10,465 -5,964 Cigarette Fire Safety and Firefighter Protection Act Enforcement Fund Receipts 13 101 20 23 118 30 Disbursements 0 0 0 0 154 50 Difference 13 101 20 287 44,129 41,726 37,480 36,943 -5,619 -8,807 -7,186 Cigarette Fire Safety & Firefighter Prot. Act Enf. Fund 50 50 254 0 0 154 -50 -50 -100 Coal Lands Improvement Fund 143 200 600 43 13

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Revenue_Proposal_Analysis_2024_03.pdf

states that have legalized marijuana face banking challenges because marijuana remains a Schedule I substance under the federal Controlled Substances Act. As a result, many financial institutions are hesitant to work with firms in the cannabis industry, leading them to deal with cash transactions is already incorporated into the estimate. 1 See: Marijuana Banking: Legal Issues and the SAFE(R) Banking Acts (congress.gov). 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 Wholesale Excise Tax $31 $115 $157 $161 $165

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Response_Letter_9_23_2019.pdf

If those assumptions hold, then senior homeowners remitted $2.3 to $2.6 billion of school district property taxes (excludes Act 1 allocations) for FY 2017-18 and $2.5 to $2.7 billion for FY 2019-20. It is noted businesses are fully passed forward to consumers. Property taxes remitted by businesses are not included. School district property tax excludes Act 1 allocations and assumes 57.5 percent of tax is remitted by homeowners. Source: Tax revenues from IFO Official Revenue

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RB_2023_06_Student_Loan_Repayment.pdf

On June 3, 2023, the federal Fiscal Responsibility Act was signed into law. The act suspends the U.S. debt ceiling limit through January 1, 2025. It also formally ends the student loan repayment moratorium

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RB_2023_03_Expiration_of_the_Enhanced_FMAP.pdf

eligible rate is 90% and applies to MA enrollees who are eligible due to Medicaid expansion under the Affordable Care Act. The current CHIP rate is about 67% and applies to children enrolled in the program. Since March 2020, the Families First Coronavirus Relief Act provides additional support to states for Medicaid-funded programs in the form of a higher or enhanced FMAP. For traditional

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RB_2022_08 County Income Patterns.pdf

loans are not available at the county level, so IFO used the mailing address from the PPP Freedom of Information Act dataset published by the Small Business Administration to calculate the share of PPP business loans to each county. This share S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Personal Income Summary, 2017-20. (Web) U.S. Small Business Administration, PPP Freedom of Information Act Dataset, 2020 (Web) Staff Acknowledgements Michaela Miller, Mitchell Young and Mathieu Taylor produced this research brief. Questions regarding this document

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RB_08_2023_County_Income_Patterns.pdf

are not available at the county level, so the IFO used the mailing address from the PPP Freedom of Information Act dataset published by the Small Business Administration to calculate the share of PPP business loans to each county. This share S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Personal Income Summary, 2018-21. (Web) U.S. Small Business Administration, PPP Freedom of Information Act Dataset, 2021. (Web) Staff Acknowledgements Rachel Flaugh and Michaela Miller produced this research brief. Questions regarding this document can be

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QRR_2017Q3.pdf

6 464.0 32.6 Oil Company Franchise 262.5 249.1 13.4 262.5 249.1 13.4 Act 89 OCF - Liquid Fuels 160.7 149.4 11.3 160.7 149.4 11.3 Act 89 OCF - Fuels 38.7 37.9 0.8 38.7 37.9 0.8 Other Liquid Fuels Taxes 4

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QRR_2017Q2.pdf

1,713.1 19.6 Oil Company Franchise 188.9 242.2 -53.3 836.8 880.3 -43.5 Act 89 OCF - Liquid Fuels 259.9 141.6 118.3 694.0 569.1 124.9 Act 89 OCF - Fuels -8.8 37.2 -46.0 90.9 153.4 -62.5 Other Liquid Fuels Taxes 4

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QRR_2017Q1.pdf

1,266.8 -5.5 Oil Company Franchise 217.0 209.9 7.1 652.9 638.1 14.8 Act 89 OCF ‐ Liquid Fuels 137.2 158.2 -21.0 417.3 427.5 -10.2 Act 89 OCF ‐ Fuels 35.3 37.0 -1.7 111.5 116.2 -4.7 Other Liquid Fuels Taxes 4

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QRR_2016Q4.pdf

1 836.5 8.6 Oil Company Franchise 218.2 210.0 8.2 435.8 428.2 7.6 Act 89 OCF - Liquid Fuels 120.4 125.5 -5.1 280.1 269.3 10.8 Act 89 OCF - Fuels 38.6 39.9 -1.3 76.2 79.2 -3.0 Other Liquid Fuels Taxes 4

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QRR_2016Q3.pdf

0 430.4 10.6 Oil Company Franchise 217.7 218.2 -0.5 217.7 218.2 -0.5 Act 89 OCF—Liquid Fuels 159.7 143.8 15.9 159.7 143.8 15.9 Act 89 OCF—Fuels 37.6 39.3 -1.7 37.6 39.3 -1.7 Other Liquid Fuels Taxes 4

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QRR_2015Q2.pdf

1 -17.7 Oil Company Franchise 227.5 209.7 17.8 747.4 734.1 13.3 Act 89 OCF - Liquid Fuels 108.1 168.6 -60.5 577.7 609.0 -31.3 Act 89 OCF - Fuels 38.1 38.0 0.1 157.2 157.0 0.2 Other Liquid Fuels Taxes 17.8 12

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QRR_2015Q1.pdf

8 24.9 Oil Company Franchise 176.3 186.2 -9.9 520.0 524.4 -4.4 Act 89 OCF - Liquid Fuels 191.6 138.4 53.2 469.6 440.4 29.2 Act 89 OCF - Fuels 38.4 38.1 0.3 119.1119.0 0.1 Other Liquid Fuels Taxes 16.8 9.9

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QRR_2014Q4.pdf

721.1 -18.6 Oil Company Franchise 171.5 167.9 3.6 343.7338.2 5.5 Act 89 OCF - Liquid Fuels 135.6 139.4 -3.8 278.0 302.0 -24.0 Act 89 OCF - Fuels 41.0 40.9 0.1 80.7 80.9 -0.2 Other Liquid Fuels Taxes 21.6 11

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QRE_FY15-16.xlsx

2 $719.0 $2,768.7 Liquid Fuels Taxes 450.4 434.6 428.9 409.4 1,723.3 Act 89 OCF - Liquid Fuels 150.2 137.5 180.6 122.3 590.6 Act 89 OCF - Fuels 41.4 41.9 38.5 38.2 160.0 Oil Company Franchise 233.6 230.6

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QRE_FY15-16.pdf

2 $719.0 $2,768.7 Liquid Fuels Taxes 450.4 434.6 428.9 409.4 1,723.3 Act 89 OCF - Liquid Fuels 150.2 137.5 180.6 122.3 590.6 Act 89 OCF - Fuels 41.4 41.9 38.5 38.2 160.0 Oil Company Franchise 233.6 230.6

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PSBA_January_19_2022.pdf

16,605 $17,305 Growth Rate 2.5% 0.3% 2.5% 4.0% 4.3% 4.6% 4.2% Act 1 Allocations 1 534 535 535 535 535 535 535 Delinquent 2 506 500 610 620 630 650 680 Total FY 2019-20. Estimated by IFO thereafter. For more detail on forecast, see “School District Property Tax Forecast” (Nov 2021). Act 1 Index Components: Actual and Forecast 6 1.9% 3.4% 4.3% 4.3% 3.6% 2.4% 4

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Presentation_Rotary_Club_of_York_7-15-2015.pdf

Key Terminology Component SERS PSERS Normal Cost (NC) 5.00% 8.46% Unfunded Accrued Liability (UAL) 26.41% 17.51% Act 120 Collars -10.91% -5.47% Total Employer Rate 20.50% 20.50% 7/15/2015 7 2014-15 Employer 10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 $ Billions Combined SERS (CY) / PSERS (FY) 2008-2009 Recession Sustained Underfunding 2001 Benefit Expansion Act 120 Collars 2001 Recession Actuarial Surplus Sources: SERS Comprehensive Annual Financial Reports; PSERS Actuarial Valuations; multiple years. 7/15/2015

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Presentation_2016-06-08_GPNP_Budget_Outlook.pdf

Assistance. • Commitment of additional resources from PHEAA to maintain grants. Changes Since January Report FY 2015‐16 Appropriation Changes in Act 1A Basic Education Subsidy $50 Medical Assistance Programs ‐153 PHEAA Grants ‐ 39 Other (various increases/decreases) ‐8 Total ‐150 Note: dollar amounts are in millions. Compared to estimates in the January 2016 IFO report, which was based primarily on Act 10A of 2015. 8.Jun.2016 8  FY 2016‐17 revenue estimate increased by $61 million in the May

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Presentation-Initial-Revenue-Estimate-2018-05.pdf

Estimates May.01.2018 3 FY 2017-18 Gains Driven by Economy Amount IFO Revised Official $34,745 JUA Transfer (Act 44) -200 Corporate Net Income -176 Escheats -109 Gross Receipts -89 Non-Motor Sales 93 Personal Income 110 All Other 128 May 1 Estimate 34,501 Total Revision -$244 JUA Transfer (Act 44) -200 All Other -44 Note: Dollar amounts in millions. JUA is Pennsylvania Professional Liability Joint Underwriting Association. May.01

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Presentation-2019-01-Mid-Year-Update.pdf

non-motor vehicle revenues.  Up +8.1% thru Jan. | Adding +$239 million to official.  Big gain: marketplace sales act (Act 43 of 2017).  Original FY 18-19 estimate is $40 million. Revise to $257 million. Motor vehicle revenues very

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PBB_Board_Hearing_Jan_26_2022.pdf

of residents age 25 to 64 met goal ▪ COVID-19 shifts more student enrollments to online courses (~78% in 2020) ▪ Act 24-2011 generally prohibits the collection of student-level data, unless mandated by federal or state law. January 26, 2022 Total GGO $20.4 $0.8 $7.4 $0.7 $4.0 $1.7 $35.0 University of PA-Vet. Act. 31.7 -- -- -- -- -- 31.7 State Food Purchase -- 22.7 -- -- -- -- 22.7 Ag. Bus. and Workforce Inv. -- -- -- 4.5 -- -- 4.5

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PBB_Board_Hearing_Jan_25_2022.pdf

Enrollment in fee-for-service (FFS) programs declined as participants were moved to CHC ▪ FFS nursing facilities, OBRA Waiver and Act 150 Attendant Care Program saw substantial enrollment declines Average state costs per participant vary widely by program ▪ CHC average cost for FFS nursing facilities, LIFE and OBRA Waiver ranged from $20,100 to $22,100 in FY 20-21 | The Act 150 average cost was $44,100 in FY 20-21 January 25, 2022 9 DHS Metric Highlights (Continued) 41% of

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NGPR-2016Q4.pdf

the Department of Environmental Protection as inactive, after the operator properly filed for inactive status pursuant to Section 3214 of Act 13 of 2012. Shut-In Temporary suspension of production activity. Directly corresponds to the term “capped,” as defined in Act 13 of 2012. Spud The commencement of drilling activity. Often refers to the first stage at which casing is placed

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NGPR-2016Q3.pdf

the Department of Environmental Protection as inactive, after the operator properly filed for inactive status pursuant to Section 3214 of Act 13 of 2012. Shut-In Temporary suspension of production activity. Directly corresponds to the term “capped,” as defined in Act 13 of 2012. Spud The commencement of drilling activity. Often refers to the first stage at which casing is placed

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NGPR-2016Q2.pdf

the Department of Environmental Protection as inactive, after the operator properly filed for inactive status pursuant to Section 3214 of Act 13 of 2012. Shut In Temporary suspension of production activity. Directly corresponds to the term “capped,” as defined in Act 13 of 2012. Spud The commencement of drilling activity. Often refers to the first stage at which casing is placed

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NGPR-2016Q1.pdf

the Department of Environmental Protection as inactive, after the operator properly filed for inactive status pursuant to Section 3214 of Act 13 of 2012. Shut In Temporary suspension of production activity. Directly corresponds to the term “capped,” as defined in Act 13 of 2012. Spud The commencement of drilling activity. Often refers to the first stage at which casing is placed

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NGPR-2015-2H.pdf

the Department of Environmental Protection as inactive, after the operator properly filed for inactive status pursuant to Section 3214 of Act 13 of 2012. Shut In Temporary suspension of production activity. Directly corresponds to the term “capped,” as defined in Act 13 of 2012. Spud The commencement of drilling activity. Often refers to the first stage at which casing is placed

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NCSL_PA_IFO_11_15_21.pdf

NATIONAL CONFERENCE OF STATE LEGISLATURES 2 NATIONAL CONFERENCE OF STATE LEGISLATURES 3 NATIONAL CONFERENCE OF STATE LEGISLATURES American Rescue Plan Act Funding 4 NATIONAL CONFERENCE OF STATE LEGISLATURES Flexible Spending for States Coronavirus State and Local Fiscal Recovery Funds 5 ○ $350 Formula disbursement ○ Funds must be obligate by Dec. 31, 2024, and spent by Dec. 31, 2026. ○ More flexible than CARES Act Coronavirus Relief Fund ○ NCSL working directly with Treasury to clarify guidance questions. ○ *Waiting on the Final Rule NATIONAL CONFERENCE OF

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Municipal_Analysts_Presentation.pdf

Contribution Rates 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 PSERS SERS Act 5 of 2017 Act 120 of 2010 2018 Unfunded Liability ~$67 billion Assumed Rate of Return: 7.25% Source: Consolidated Annual Financial Reports and

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MSC_March_31_2021.pdf

Total 34.1 17.5 30.9 Note: Figures in dollar billions. CARES is Coronavirus Aid, Relief and Economic Security Act of 2020. CAA is Consolidated Appropriations Act of 2020. ARP is American Rescue Plan of 2021. ARP monies must be spent on costs incurred prior to Dec

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MQRE_FY23-24_08_2023.pdf

1 5.2 5.1 20.7 Oil Company Franchise 255.7 255.4 224.8 220.6 956.5 Act 89 OFT - Liquid Fuels 144.9 106.4 107.5 143.0 501.8 Act 89 OFT - Fuels38.5 39.9 34.7 34.5 147.6 Motor Licenses and Fees 300.1 273.1

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Monthly_Economic_Update_September_2020.pdf

released state-level data for tax year 2018 that reveal the significant impact of the federal Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) of 2017 on Pennsylvania residents that filed a federal income tax return. Major provisions of the act include: lower tax rates, a $10,000 cap on the state and local tax (SALT) deduction, a near doubling of

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Monthly_Economic_Update_January_2022.pdf

Since then, $21.0 billion of Economic Impact Payments were injected into the state economy by the federal Consolidated Appropriations Act and American Rescue Plan. A second round of PPP loans injected another $10.0 billion, expanded unemployment compensation $16.1 Apr Aug Dec 2021 YOY Growth in Philadelphia CPI-U All Items Shelter Less Shelter American Rescue Plan Consolidated App. Act 7.7% 6.6% 4.3% Monthly Data Aug-21 Sept-21 Oct-21 Nov-21 Dec-21 Unemployment Rate

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MER-2014-12.pdf

of gasoline pur‐ chased remains unchanged, then the lower price implies annual savings of $1,011, or 28.1 percent. Act 89 of 2013 increased the applicable wholesale price and millage rate that is applied to the wholesale price un‐ der the Oil Company Franchise Tax. The act effectively raised the gasoline excise tax by 9.5 cents on January 1, 2014 and will add another 9.7

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Letter_to_JSGC.pdf

13, 2017 Mr. Glenn Pasewicz Executive Director Joint State Government Commission 108 Finance Building Harrisburg, PA 17120 Dear Director Pasewicz: Act 7 of 2016 required the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to provide assistance to the Joint State Government Commission (JSGC) for return to the Commonwealth, racetrack operators, horsemen, breeders and other stakeholders on the investment of gaming assessments collected under the act of July 5, 2004 (P.L.572, No.71).” The IFO has strong concerns and objections regarding how JSGC altered

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Ironman_Triathlon_Impact_Analysis_2024_04.pdf

Hotel (5%) $49 Impact Analysis Note: Dollars in thousands. 2023 Ironman Triathlon Independent Fiscal Office Page 4 Background and Methodology Act 54 of 2022 established the Sports, Marketing and Tourism Account which provides competitive grants to local partners to attract high-quality amateur and professional sporting and e-sporting events to the Commonwealth. The Act requires the IFO to provide an analysis of the direct and indirect impact of the event. To project the economic

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IFO_Response_Letter_April_12_2022.pdf

the office in November 2021. The IFO estimates that 58% of statewide property taxes are paid by homeowners if all Act 1 allocations are also included. Furthermore, American Community Survey data show that senior homeowners (age 65 or older) remit 30% 2024-25 2025-26 Current-Year $14,276 $14,280 $14,630 $15,215 $15,875 $16,605 $17,305 Act 1 Allocations 1 534 535 535 535 535 535 535 Delinquent 2 506 500 610 620 630 650 680 Total

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IFO_Hearing_Materials_March_2023.pdf

blank. - Independent Fiscal Office 1 March 2023 Independent Fiscal Office – Overview Independent Fiscal Office – Overview The office was created by Act 120 of 2010 and enters its eleventh year of operation. The office currently employs 11 staff: 1 director, 1 manager 556.1 590.8 678.2 929.8 1,059.6 Tax Credits and Economic Development Incentives Actual ($ millions) Note: Act 132 of 2020 eliminated the Mobile Telecommunications Broadband Investment Tax Credit and established the Underserved Broadband Funding Program, a grant

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IFO_Hearing_Materials_02_2024.pdf

blank. - Independent Fiscal Office 1 February 2024 Independent Fiscal Office Overview Independent Fiscal Office – Overview The office was created by Act 120 of 2010 and enters its 13 th year of operation. The office currently employs 9 staff: 1 director, 1 812.1 1,395.4 1,402.3 Tax Credits and Other Incentives Utilized or Awarded ($ millions) Exec. Budget Note: Act 132 of 2020 eliminated the Mobile Telecommunications Broadband Investment Tax Credit and established the Underserved Broadband Funding Program, a grant

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IFO_Hearing_8-30-2017.pdf

operations, duties and recent publications of the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) at this informational hearing. The IFO was created by Act 120 of 2010 to provide revenue projections and other budget and economic analysis to the General Assembly and the public would be happy to answer any questions that you may have. Independent Fiscal Office Background The office was created by Act 120 of 2010 and is finishing its sixth year of operation. The office currently employs 10 staff: 3 managers, 1

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IFO ppt.pdf

Economic & Budget Outlook 2012 Revenue Conference January 18, 2012 Independent Fiscal Office Economic & Budget Outlook 2012 Revenue Conference Background • Public Act 120 of 2010 requires Independent Fiscal Office to release a five-year outlook report. – Release date is November 15 th . – Consider economics, demographics, revenues and expenditures. • Act also requires Office to convene a revenue estimating conference by January 31 st of each year. • For this year, the

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House_Maj_Policy_Comm_Aug_30_2021.pdf

2024-25 2025-26 Current-Year $14,276 $14,080 $14,570 $15,130 $15,770 $16,380 $16,960 Act 1 1 534 535 535 535 535 535 535 Delinquent 2 565 487 616 617 621 645 667 Total $15 dollars. PSERS includes both state and local school district contributions. Sources: Submissions supplied by SERS and PSERS in accordance with Act 37 of 2020. CreationDate: 2021-08-30 16:14:19 Creator: Microsoft® PowerPoint® for Microsoft 365 ModDate: 2021-08-30

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FTA_Presentation_Oct_24_2022.pdf

Incentives Without ROI 2022 FTA Revenue Estimation and Tax Research Conference October 24, 2022 Background: Independent Fiscal Office Created by Act 120 of 2010 and began operations in 2011 Nearly all states have a fiscal office ▪ But they are housed within available?) ▪ Performance based budgeting | Tax credit reviews ▪ Special Studies: property tax reform, natural gas, minimum wage October 24, 2022 1 Act 48 Tax Credit Reviews Statute: Did the tax credits accomplish their legislative intent? ▪ Submit reviews to Performance-Based Budget Board

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Five_Year_Outlook_2020_Presentation_Final.pdf

2.9% Total General Fund 33.14 37.98 14.6% 42.97 3.1% Note: Billions of dollars. CARES Act $1.33 billion Enhanced FMAP $2.07 billion Cost Shifts $1.06 billion Primary Cost Drivers: Annual Change in Spending 1,938 delayed due dates Payment on PPP loans $100 affects personal income tax JUA transfer $200 court challenge CARES Act $1,330 used for DHS, PSP, DCJ, DOH Enhanced FMAP $2,070 assumed to end 2021 Q2 DHS cost shifts

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Announcement-Updated_Revenue_Estimates_and_Report.pdf

In particular, the expenditure estimates for FY 2015-16 primarily utilize the appropriations contained in the recently enacted General Appropriation Act of 2015. Act 120 of 2010 created the Independent Fiscal Office to provide revenue projections for use in the state budget process along

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2013-01 Monthly Economic Report.pdf

describe various tax in- creases and spending reductions, was largely averted due to the enactment of the American Taxpayer Relief Act of 2012. The act extended most tax cuts originally enacted in 2002, 2003 and 2009. However, the payroll tax cut, which reduced the employee

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2013 Appropriation Hearings Background Information.pdf

and Revenues - Key Forecast Risks 13 Suggested Reading 14 1 Independent Fiscal Office - Overview Background The office was created by Act 120 of 2010. Matthew Knittel serves as director for a staff of nine individuals. Analysts generally have backgrounds in economics an $85 million annual impact on sales and use tax collections once it is fully phased in. American Taxpayer Relief Act of 2012 (Jan. 2, 2013): • Increases income tax rate from 35% to 39.6% for taxable income > $450,000 (married

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About IFO

IFO - About IFO IFO IFO • Latest Releases • Revenue Estimates • Revenue & Economic Update • Performance Budgeting • Energy • Pension Analysis • Property Tax • Wage Contracts • Tax Credit Review • Economics and Other • Data • Right-to-Know • About • About IFO • Job Opportunities • Contact IFO • Email Subscription • Links • Follow on Twitter • • About IFO The Independent Fiscal Office was created by Act 120 of 2010 , and Act 100 of 2016 transferred its authorizing statute to Article VI-B of the Administrative Code . The office Mission Statement is

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TCJA-Update-August-2018.pdf

staitdown&id=5053 and htt p://budgetmodel.whatton.upenn.edu/issues/20 17 / 12/ 18/the-tax-cuts-and-jobs -act-re ported-b y- conference-committee -121517-preliminar y-static-and-dy namic-e ffects-on-the-bud get-and-

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Tax_Credit_and_PBB_Overview_2019-01-24.pdf

Tax Credit Reviews Historic Preservation Film Production New Jobs Presentation to the Performance-Based Budget Board January 24, 2019 Act 48 of 2017 – Tax Credit Duties The tax credit review:  Identify the purpose for which the tax credit was

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Tax_Credits_and_Other_Incentives_2024.pdf

the IFO. For recent years, estimates from these sources may simply reflect total credits awarded or the program cap. 2. Act 132 of 2020 eliminated the Mobile Telecommunications Broadband Investment Tax Credit and established the Underserved Broadband Funding Program, a grant

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TaxCredit and PBB Overview- 2019-01-24.pptx

Historic Preservation Film Production New Jobs Presentation to the Performance-Based Budget Board January 24, 2019 1/24/2019 0 Act 48 of 2017 – Tax Credit Duties The tax credit review: ▪ Identify the purpose for which the tax credit was established

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TaxCredit and PBB Overview- 2019-01-24.pdf

Tax Credit Reviews Historic Preservation Film Production New Jobs Presentation to the Performance-Based Budget Board January 24, 2019 Act 48 of 2017 – Tax Credit Duties The tax credit review:  Identify the purpose for which the tax credit was

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State and Local Tax Burden Study.pdf

pa.us Staff Contacts: Matthew Knittel, Director Mark Ryan, Deputy Director __________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). __________________________________________________________ This page was left blank intentionally. State and Local Tax Comparison Study

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Smetters_Presentation_Full.pdf

10 Census Data Microsimulation Marriage (1996 – 2070) Penn Wharton Budget Model 11 Census Data Microsimulation “The Tax Cut and Jobs Act” Static Analysis 12 Revenue Impact Revenue Effect 2018-2027 (billions of $) Revenue Effect 2018-2040 (billions of $) Tax Provision JCT

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Senate_Appropriations_Committee_Response_Letter_2022.pdf

statewide property taxes are paid by homeowners, which equates to $9.11 billion in school district property taxes if all Act 1 allocations ($534 million) are also included. Furthermore, ACS data show that senior homeowners (age 65 or older) comprise 30%

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Senate Appropriations Response Letter 3-6-2020.pdf

the implementation and performance of Qualified Opportunity Zones. The Qualified Opportunity Zones created by the federal Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provide tax benefits for eligible capital invested into designated economically distressed communities (zones). The first zones were designated in April

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Revenue_Proposal_Analysis_2023_05.pdf

balance of the Medical Marijuana Program Fund to the General Fund to offset Department of Health expenditures (as authorized under Act 16 of 2016). The proposal would increase FY 2023-24 nontax revenues by $32 million. Cigarette Tax Transfer to Tobacco

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Revenue_Estimate_Performance_Dec_2017.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us Website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - Independent Fiscal Office | Page 1 This document

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Revenue_Estimate_2016-06-15_Snapshot.pdf

as the temporary effects of the 2014 statutory changes diminish. Liquor Code Amendments – The estimate includes $106 million attributable to Act 39 of 2016, which made extensive changes to the Liquor Code. The changes include expanded wine permits, flexible pricing, auction

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Revenue_Estimate_2015-06-15_Release.pdf

website at www.ifo.state.pa.us. A separate document describes the methods and data used to make the projections. Act 120 of 2010 created the Independent Fiscal Office to provide revenue projections for use in the state budget process along

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Revenue_Estimate_2014-06-16_Release.pdf

website at www.ifo.state.pa.us. A separate document describes the methods and data used to make the projections. Act 120 of 2010 created the Independent Fiscal Office to provide revenue projections for use in the state budget process along

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Revenue_and_Economic_Update_Presentation_2020_10.pdf

March to May  Reduce monthly payments | take out equity  Latest monthly data show clear deceleration | September ~+80% CARES Act allows early withdrawals from 401k and IRA  Up to $100,000 for qualified persons | 10% penalty does not apply

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Revenue-Estimate-2019-05-Presentation.pdf

Dollar amounts are in millions. Internet Sales Collections includes (1) e-commerce/nexus, (2) digital downloads and (3) marketplace sales (Act 43 of 2017). CNIT Forecast Underpredicts FY 18-19 May 20, 2019 17 AAGR FYE 11-18 Growth 18-19

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Revenue Conference Presentation Jan 2013 FINAL.pdf

Over‐Year Quarterly Growth Rates Forecast from IHS Global Insight, January 2013. Federal Tax Changes for 2013 American Taxpayer Relief Act of 2012 (Jan. 2, 2013):  Increases income tax rate from 35% to 39.6% for taxable income > $450,000

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REU-2020-01.pdf

Pennsylvania taxable retail sales continue to exhibit unusually strong growth largely driven by increases re- lated to expanded nexus under Act 43-2017 and the Wayfair decision.  The U.S. CPI-U and Philadelphia metro CPI-U increased by 0

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REU-2019-12.pdf

to the implementation of the cap on state and local tax (SALT) deductions under the federal Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA), taxpayers had an incentive to pay their last PIT quarterly payment for the current tax year in December (in

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Response-Letter-09-19-2019.pdf

represents the net amounts remitted by this senior homeowner group. It does not include any property tax relief realized through Act 1 allocations. The figure also disregards any property tax rebates received by senior homeowners or renters through the Property Tax

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RB_2023_07_CNIT_Data.pdf

displayed in this document. It is also noted that these data reflect the corporate tax rate of 9.99%, before Act 53 of 2022 reduced the tax rate to 8.99% for TY 2023 and phased-in lower rates to 4

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RB_2023_02_ChildCare.pdf

the industry recovered 3,000 jobs in CY 2021 and 2,400 jobs in CY 2022. The American Rescue Plan Act (ARPA) of 2021 included $24 billion in Child Care Stabilization Grants to address the lack of child care options for

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RB 2019 Natural Gas Royalties.pdf

those income sources due to income shifted out of tax year 2017 due to the federal Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. Data for other counties support that assumption.  Compute the differential between the actual and counterfactual scenarios. The difference is

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QRR_2013Q4.pdf

of the Property Tax Rent Rebate Program typically occurs in July. The transfer is required by Special Session Act 1 of 2006. Table 3 Lottery Fund - Comparison of Estimates and Reported Collections ($ millions) Fourth Quarter - 2013 Fiscal Year-to-Date Actual

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QRR_2013Q3.pdf

of the Property Tax Rent Rebate Program typically occurs in July. The transfer is required by Special Session Act 1 of 2006. Table 3 Lottery Fund - Comparison of Projections and Reported Collections ($ millions) 2013 - Third Quarter Fiscal Year-to-Date Actual

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press release - economic and budget outlook.pdf

face significant challenges in crafting tax and spending policies to address a growing imbalance between revenues and expenditures,” said Knittel. Act 120 of 2010 created the Independent Fiscal Office to provide revenue projections for use in the state budget process along

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Presentation_PICPA_9-24-2013.pdf

14 to FY 2018-19. o Demographics, Economics, Expenditures, Revenues. o Special Reports. o Last Year: Pensions and Affordable Care Act. 24 . Sept . 2013 23 Property Tax Reform Last year, IFO analyzes HB and SB 1776. o Finds $1.5 to

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Presentation_Phil_Chamber_2-12-2015.pdf

projected budget deficits. Latest Economic Developments. • Gas prices. Consumer confidence. Low inflation. 12.Feb.2015 2 Today’s Presentation  Act 120 of 2010 Creates Independent Fiscal Office. • Hiring starts September 2011. Currently 9 staff. • Similar to the Congressional Budget Office

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Presentation-2018-11-19-CCAP.pdf

motor vehicle sales tax only; excludes motor vehicle sales tax. Internet SUT represents impact of ecommerce/nexus, digital downloads and Act 43 of 2017. Forecasts by IFO. Gaming Expansion Estimates November 19, 2018 11 17-18 18-19 19-20 20-

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Presentation-2018-07-NCSL.pdf

establish the distribution of outcomes and the probabilities associated with those outcomes. 7/29/2018 5 Implementation  Legislation (now Act 5 of 2017) proposed a significant benefit redesign for new employees beginning in 2019.  Benefit options include hybrid DB

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PICPA Presentation_ June 11, 2019.pdf

Dollar amounts are in millions. Internet Sales Collections includes (1) e-commerce/nexus, (2) digital downloads and (3) marketplace sales (Act 43 of 2017). CNIT Forecast Underpredicts FY 18-19 June 11, 2019 15 AAGR FYE 11-18 Growth 18-19

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PBB_Board_Hearing_Mar_09_2022.pdf

of residents age 25 to 64 met goal ▪ COVID-19 shifts more student enrollments to online courses (~78% in 2020) ▪ Act 24-2011 generally prohibits the collection of student-level data, unless mandated by federal or state law. March 9, 2022

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PBB_Board_Hearing_Jan_09_2023.pdf

state parks in FY 22-23 ▪ PID – 1332 waiver program to reduce consumer healthcare costs ▪ Federal American Rescue Plan (ARP) Act funding for initiatives in DDAP and DCNR PBB reports reflect the significant impact of COVID-19 ▪ More variance noted in

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PBB_Board_Hearing_Apr_28_2021.pdf

to 2020 ▪ The number of complaints increased by 605 (47.7%) ▪ Use of force complaints increased by 280 (86.2%) Act 57-2020 establishes database of local police officer separation records ▪ Key measures to monitor: # LEAs enrolled | # Officer separation records | # Reports

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PBB_Board_Hearing_Apr_27_2021.pdf

bridges on the local system | receives no performance data on most of the 78,000 miles of locally-controlled roads Act 44-2007 requires transit agencies to report key metrics to PennDOT ▪ Trips per hour | operating cost per hour | operating revenue

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PBB-Overview-2019-01-22.pdf

PBB Overview and Recommendations DOC/PBPP JCJC PCCD Presentation to the Performance-Based Budget Board January 22, 2019 Act 48 of 2017 - PBB Duties IFO shall develop PBB plans for all agencies.  Statute gives significant discretion.  Shall

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PBB-Board-Hearing-Agenda-January 2019-Revised.pdf

Director, Juvenile Court Judges’ Commission 11:30am - 12:00pm Review of Pennsylvania Commission on Crime and Delinquency Plan Derin Myers, Acting Executive Director, PCCD 12:00pm Adjournment Senate Appropriations Committee Senator Pat Browne, Chairman 281 Main Capitol Building Harrisburg, PA 17120

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PBB Board Hearing Agenda- January 2019.pdf

Director, Juvenile Court Judges’ Commission 11:30am - 12:00pm Review of Pennsylvania Commission on Crime and Delinquency Plan Derin Myers, Acting Executive Director, PCCD 12:00pm Adjournment Senate Appropriations Committee Senator Pat Browne, Chairman 281 Main Capitol Building Harrisburg, PA 17120

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NGPR-2019Q4.pdf

recovered from a well. Shut In Temporary suspension of production activity. Directly corresponds to the term Capped, as defined in Act 13 of 2012. Spud The commencement of drilling activity. Often refers to the first stage at which casing is placed

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NGPR-2019Q3.pdf

recovered from a well. Shut In Temporary suspension of production activity. Directly corresponds to the term Capped, as defined in Act 13 of 2012. Spud The commencement of drilling activity. Often refers to the first stage at which casing is placed

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NGPR-2019Q2.pdf

recovered from a well. Shut In Temporary suspension of production activity. Directly corresponds to the term Capped, as defined in Act 13 of 2012. Spud The commencement of drilling activity. Often refers to the first stage at which casing is placed

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NGPR-2019Q1.pdf

recovered from a well. Shut In Temporary suspension of production activity. Directly corresponds to the term “capped,” as defined in Act 13 of 2012. Spud The commencement of drilling activity. Often refers to the first stage at which casing is placed

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NGPR-2018Q4.pdf

recovered from a well. Shut-In Temporary suspension of production activity. Directly corresponds to the term “capped,” as defined in Act 13 of 2012. Spud The commencement of drilling activity. Often refers to the first stage at which casing is placed

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NGPR-2018Q3.pdf

recovered from a well. Shut-In Temporary suspension of production activity. Directly corresponds to the term “capped,” as defined in Act 13 of 2012. Spud The commencement of drilling activity. Often refers to the first stage at which casing is placed

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NGPR-2018Q2.pdf

recovered from a well. Shut-In Temporary suspension of production activity. Directly corresponds to the term “capped,” as defined in Act 13 of 2012. Spud The commencement of drilling activity. Often refers to the first stage at which casing is placed

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NGPR-2018Q1.pdf

recovered from a well. Shut-In Temporary suspension of production activity. Directly corresponds to the term “capped,” as defined in Act 13 of 2012. Spud The commencement of drilling activity. Often refers to the first stage at which casing is placed

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NGPR-2017Q4.pdf

recovered from a well. Shut-In Temporary suspension of production activity. Directly corresponds to the term “capped,” as defined in Act 13 of 2012. Spud The commencement of drilling activity. Often refers to the first stage at which casing is placed

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NGPR-2017Q3.pdf

recovered from a well. Shut-In Temporary suspension of production activity. Directly corresponds to the term “capped,” as defined in Act 13 of 2012. Spud The commencement of drilling activity. Often refers to the first stage at which casing is placed

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NGPR-2017Q2.pdf

recovered from a well. Shut-In Temporary suspension of production activity. Directly corresponds to the term “capped,” as defined in Act 13 of 2012. Spud The commencement of drilling activity. Often refers to the first stage at which casing is placed

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NGPR-2017Q1.pdf

recovered from a well. Shut-In Temporary suspension of production activity. Directly corresponds to the term “capped,” as defined in Act 13 of 2012. Spud The commencement of drilling activity. Often refers to the first stage at which casing is placed

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NewsStand_2019_August.pdf

small when compared to workers with advanced degrees. New Federal Tax Data Reflect Impact of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act The IRS released tax filing statistics for 2018 federal returns filed through July 2019. The total number of returns filed

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MTR-2019-07.pdf

trended downward since July 2018, when many analysts be- lieve the economic impact from the federal Tax Cuts and Jobs Act peaked. The 12-month growth rate re- mains strong, but should revert to historical levels given more recent trends. 

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MTR-2019-06.pdf

Treasury collections (next page) for the fiscal year include $30.4 million for a settlement under the Air Pollution Control Act that was deposited into the General Fund in July 2018. Sales and Use Tax — Motor SELECT GENERAL FUND TAX REVENUES

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MTR-2019-05.pdf

Treasury collections (next page) for the fiscal year include $30.4 million for a settlement under the Air Pollution Control Act that was deposited into the General Fund in July 2018. Sales and Use Tax — Motor SELECT GENERAL FUND TAX REVENUES

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MTR-2019-04.pdf

Treasury collections (next page) for the fiscal year include $30.4 million for a settlement under the Air Pollution Control Act that was deposited into the General Fund in July 2018. Sales and Use Tax — Motor SELECT GENERAL FUND TAX REVENUES

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MTR-2019-03.pdf

Treasury collections (next page) for the fiscal year include $30.4 million for a settlement under the Air Pollution Control Act that was deposited into the General Fund in July 2018. Sales and Use Tax — Motor SELECT GENERAL FUND TAX REVENUES

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MTR-2019-02.pdf

Treasury collections (next page) for the fiscal year include $30.4 million for a settlement under the Air Pollution Control Act that was deposited into the General Fund in July 2018. Sales and Use Tax — Motor SELECT GENERAL FUND TAX REVENUES

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MTR-2019-01.pdf

Treasury collections (next page) for the fiscal year include $30.4 million for a settlement under the Air Pollution Control Act that was deposited into the General Fund in July 2018. Sales and Use Tax — Motor SELECT GENERAL FUND TAX REVENUES

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MTR-2018-12.pdf

Treasury collections (next page) for the fiscal year include $30.4 million for a settlement under the Air Pollution Control Act that was deposited into the General Fund in July 2018. Sales and Use Tax — Motor SELECT GENERAL FUND TAX REVENUES

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MTR-2018-11.pdf

Treasury collections (next page) for the fiscal year include $30.4 million for a settlement under the Air Pollution Control Act that was deposited into the General Fund in July 2018. Sales and Use Tax — Motor SELECT GENERAL FUND TAX REVENUES

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MTR-2018-10.pdf

Treasury collections (next page) for the fiscal year include $30.4 million for a settlement under the Air Pollution Control Act that was deposited into the General Fund in July 2018. Sales and Use Tax — Motor SELECT GENERAL FUND TAX REVENUES

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MTR-2018-09.pdf

Treasury collections (next page) for the fiscal year include $30.4 million for a settlement under the Air Pollution Control Act that was deposited into the General Fund in July 2018. Sales and Use Tax — Motor SELECT GENERAL FUND TAX REVENUES

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MTR-2018-08.pdf

Treasury collections (next page) for the fiscal year include $30.4 million for a settlement under the Air Pollution Control Act that was deposited into the General Fund in July 2018. Sales and Use Tax — Motor SELECT GENERAL FUND TAX REVENUES

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MTR-2018-07.pdf

dates. Treasury collections (next page) for July 2018 include $30.4 million for a settlement under the Air Pollution Control Act that was deposited into the General Fund. Sales and Use Tax — Motor SELECT GENERAL FUND TAX REVENUES ANNUAL GROWTH RATES

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MTR-2018-06.pdf

million) from the Pennsylvania Professional Liability Joint Underwriting Association (JUA). The transfer was included in the updated official estimate per Act 44, but was blocked as a result of a federal court ruling. Revenue collections for the year were $178 million

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MTR-2018-05.pdf

is within $25 million of actual revenues, the June monthly estimate includes a $200 million transfer from the JUA (per Act 44) that will not be received. This will cause a significant non-tax shortfall in the last month of the

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MTR-2018-02.pdf

to earlier-than- expected transfers from the state store fund ($85.1 million) and various special funds ($48 million). Additionally, Act 43 of 2017 authorized the securitization of Tobacco Settlement Fund payments to be deposited in the General Fund. In February

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MTR-2017-12.pdf

revenue estimate published in June 2017. 1 The new release includes the incremental impact on General Fund revenues of (1) Acts 42, 43, 44 and 55 of 2017 and (2) a recent Supreme Court decision on net operating loss deductions. 2

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MTR-2017-11.pdf

file=/ Resources/Documents/MQRE_FY17-18.pdf. 2 The release will include the incremental impact on General Fund revenues of (1) Acts 42, 43, 44 and 55 of 2017 and (2) a recent Supreme Court decision on net operating loss deductions. FY

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MTR-2017-07.pdf

August last year but in July this year.  Realty transfer tax collections were impacted by a transfer due to Act 58 of 2015. The transfer was -$12.7 million in July 2016 and -$17.2 million in July 2017. 

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MTR-2017-06.pdf

attributable to home health care services and services for the elderly and disabled, which have expanded under the Affordable Care Act. In contrast, the manufacturing and mining sectors declined by 8,861 and 8,768 jobs, respectively. For manufacturing, the decline

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MRU_2021_04.pdf

April were bolstered by federal stimulus payments that began arriving in March as a result of the American Rescue Plan Act. FYTD SUT collections of $10.48 billion exceed estimate by $236.0 million (2.3%). Other revenue sources that surpassed

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MRU_2020_11.pdf

collections. Withholding collections in November were reduced by a $200 million transfer to the Property Tax Relief Fund (PTRF) under Act 114 of 2020 (which was not included in the IFO’s Official Estimate). General Fund fiscal-year-to-date (FYTD

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MRU-2020-12.pdf

The overage was primarily due to stronger than expected corporate net income tax (CNIT) collections and one-time transfers under Act 114 of 2020 (not included in the IFO’s Official Estimate). Monthly CNIT collections of $760.9 million were $333

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Monthly_Economic_Update_June_2020.pdf

consumer spending patterns appeared to return to normal. The study estimated that the $296 billion of payments from the CARES Act will increase consumer spending by $138 billion, assuming an average MPC. The study notes that if the same type of

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Monthly_Economic_Update_April_2020.pdf

impact on Pennsylvania entrepreneurial activity. The BFS tracks business applications for employer businesses as a measure of business formation, which acts a leading indicator of state economic activity. During the period of March 8 through April 11, 2020 business applications fell

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Impact_Fee_Update_Outlook_2021.pdf

Statewide production data and spud well counts can be found at https://www.depgreenport.state.pa.us/ReportExtracts/OG/OilGasWellProdReport. • Act 13 impact fee revenues and distributions can be found at http://www.puc.state.pa.us /filing_resources/issues_laws_regulations/act_13_impact_fee_.aspx

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Impact-Fee-Update-Outlook-2020.pdf

spud well counts can be found at https://www.paoiland gasreporting.state.pa.us/publicreports/Modules/Welcome/Welcome.aspx.  Act 13 impact fee revenues and distributions can be found at http://www.puc.state.pa.us /filing_resources/issues_laws_regulations/act_13_impact_fee_.aspx

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Impact-Fee-Update-Outlook-2019-06.pdf

and spud well counts can be found at https://www.paoilandgasreporting.state.pa.us/ publicreports/Modules/Welcome/Welcome.aspx.  Act 13 impact fee revenues and distributions can be found at http://www.puc.state.pa.us/filing_resources/ issues_laws_regulations/act_13_impact_fee_.aspx

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Impact-Fee-Update-2018-Outlook-2018-06.pdf

and spud well counts can be found at https://www.paoilandgasreporting.state.pa.us/ publicreports/Modules/Welcome/Welcome.aspx.  Act 13 impact fee revenues and distributions can be found at http://www.puc.state.pa.us/filing_resources/ issues_laws_regulations/act_13_impact_fee_.aspx

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Impact-Fee-Update-2017-Outlook-2017-07.pdf

and spud well counts can be found at https://www.paoilandgasreporting.state.pa.us/publicreports/ Modules/Welcome/Welcome.aspx.  Act 13 impact fee revenues and distributions can be found at http://www.puc.state.pa.us/ Ðiling_resources/issues_laws_regulations/ act_13_impact_fee_.aspx

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Impact-Fee-Estimate-2019.pdf

and spud well counts can be found at https://www.paoilandgasreporting.state.pa.us/ publicreports/Modules/Welcome/Welcome.aspx.  Act 13 impact fee revenues and distributions can be found at http://www.puc.state.pa.us/filing_resources/ issues_laws_regulations/act_13_impact_fee_.aspx

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IFO_Response_Letter_Feb_21_2023.pdf

notably smaller than in prior IFO analyses of similar proposals due to corporate net income tax (CNIT) changes enacted under Act 53-2022. In part, those changes reduce the CNIT rate gradually from 8.99% for TY 2023, to 4.99%

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IFO_Pension_Analysis_Policies_(January_1_2024).pdf

The IFO’s duties for pension review and analysis are described in 615-B of the Administration Code of 1929 (Act of April 9, 1929, P.L. 177, No. 175). The code can be found at this link: https://www.legis

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IFO Five-Year Outlook.pdf

Hospital Assessment and the Philadelphia Hospital Assessment need reauthorization in FY 2013-14. Impact of Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (PPACA)  Provision allows states to expand their MA program.  Individuals with incomes up to 133% federal poverty line

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HAC testimony Feb 2019.pdf

losses are as follows:  The extra sales tax monies are largely due to the underestimate of the impact from Act 43 of 2017, which required all internet sellers with annual sales above $10,000 in the state to collect tax

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GPNP July 10, 2012 final.pdf

 Not an accounting or “watchdog” agency. 10.Jul.2012 3 2012 GPNP Conference Some Specific Mandated Duties  Per Act 120 of 2010:  Initial (May 1) and Official (June 15) revenue estimate.  Five-Year Outlook Report (November 15

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Five_Year_Outlook_Presentation_2023_final.pdf

5,949 $6,152 Growth Rate 17.5% -3.7% -3.3% -2.3% 1.7% 2.9% 3.4% Act 53 Tax Cut -$110 -$480 -$680 -$920 -$1,210 -$1,510 -$1,860 Net Revenues $6,143 $5,540 $5

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Five_Year_Outlook_2015_Press_Release.pdf

patterns associated with an aging populace and (2) increase state expenditures associated with the long-term care of the elderly. Act 120 of 2010 created the Independent Fiscal Office to provide revenue projections for use in the state budget process along

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Five_Year_Outlook_2014_Press_Release.pdf

65+ cohort. These demographic trends will restrain tax revenues and increase expenditures due to the rise in the service population. Act 120 of 2010 created the Independent Fiscal Office to provide revenue projections for use in the state budget process along

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Five-Year-Outlook-Nov-2013-Press-Release.pdf

this same period. These demographic trends will diminish tax revenues and place additional pressure on expenditures such as Medical Assistance. Act 120 of 2010 created the Independent Fiscal Office to provide revenue projections for use in the state budget process along

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Economic_and_Revenue_Update_2020_10.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us Website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - Rachel Carson State Office Building, 400 Market

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Econ Summit Presentation Feb 28 2017.pdf

2020 PSERS SERS FY 2017-18 SERS 31.7% PSERS 32.6% Unfunded Liability $62.2 billion No Employer Contribution Act 120 Collars Note: Employer contribution rates after FYE 2018 for PSERS and FYE 2017 for SERS are based on system

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Demographics_Outlook_2020.pdf

contact@ifo.state.pa.us website: www.ifo.state.pa.us ___________________________________________________________ The Independent Fiscal Office was created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - Rachel Carson State Office Building, 400 Market

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Congressional_Budget_Office_Nov_15_2022.pdf

receipts are projected to rise again after 2025 because of the scheduled expiration of some provisions of the 2017 tax act. 13 Short Term ▪ Inflation ▪ Economic growth ▪ Labor supply ▪ Supply chains ▪ International issues Longer Term ▪ Fiscal trajectory ▪ Size of the labor

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CompetePA_March_11_2021.pdf

5 hospital, college, restaurant Total 34.0 17.4 31.0 Note: Figures in dollar billions. CAA is Consolidated Appropriations Act of 2020. ARP is American Rescue Plan of 2021. ARP monies must be spent on costs incurred prior to Dec

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Budget_Roundtable_Response_Letter_02_2024.pdf

6.9% The spike in hardship withdrawals in 2020 was due to penalty-free distributions temporarily allowed under the CARES Act. As shown, more than three times as many participants used a hardship withdrawal in 2023 than 2018. Chairman Grove requested

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Budget_Hearing_Background_Feb2016.pdf

Thank you. I would be happy to answer any questions that you might have. Background The office was created by Act 120 of 2010. Matthew Knittel has served as director since the inception of the office in September 2011, and he

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Budget_Hearing_Background-Feb2014.pdf

Corporate Net Income Tax 12 Realty Transfer Tax 13 1 Independent Fiscal Office - Overview Background The office was created by Act 120 of 2010. Matthew Knittel has served as director since the inception of the office in September 2011, and currently

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BEFC_Response_Letter_12_19_23.pdf

low performing schools,” a news article from October 2017 notes that “…when the [SPP] scores were first released, the then-acting Secretary of Education suggested a score of 70 as a yardstick for overall success.” 1 Representative Sturla asked the IFO

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2023_Mid_Year_Update.pdf

profits growth higher profit margins (FactSet) stimulus increases purchases 2022 Q3-Q4 declining profit margins (FactSet) 2017 Tax Cuts Jobs Act must amortize R&D costs (not expense) ~+$150 million revenues for TY 2022 $2,500 $3,000 $3,500 $4

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2023_Impact_Fee_Estimate.pdf

Data Sources ▪ Statewide production data and spud well counts can be found at https://greenport.pa.gov/ReportExtracts/OG/OilGasWellProdReport. ▪ Act 13 impact fee revenues and distributions can be found at http://www.puc.state.pa.us /filing_resources/issues_laws_regulations/act_13_impact_fee_.aspx

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2022-Impact-Fee-Estimate.pdf

and spud well counts can be found at https://www.paoiland gasreporting.state.pa.us/publicreports/Modules/Welcome/Welcome.aspx. • Act 13 impact fee revenues and distributions can be found at http://www.puc.state.pa.us /filing_resources/issues_laws_regulations/act_13_impact_fee_.aspx

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2021_Impact_Fee_Estimate.pdf

and spud well counts can be found at https://www.paoiland gasreporting.state.pa.us/publicreports/Modules/Welcome/Welcome.aspx. • Act 13 impact fee revenues and distributions can be found at http://www.puc.state.pa.us /filing_resources/issues_laws_regulations/act_13_impact_fee_.aspx

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2020_Mid_Year_Update.pdf

4.7% 6.5% 3.9% 3.6% 3.9% Note: The adjusted growth rates remove the estimated impact of Act 43-2017 and PA Bulletin 2018-01 from SUT. PIT for FY 20-21 excludes extra withholding deposit date. Initial

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2020_Impact_Fee_Estimate.pdf

spud well counts can be found at https://www.paoiland gasreporting.state.pa.us/publicreports/Modules/Welcome/Welcome.aspx.  Act 13 impact fee revenues and distributions can be found at http://www.puc.state.pa.us /filing_resources/issues_laws_regulations/act_13_impact_fee_.aspx

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2020 PBB Agenda.pdf

Jonathan Marks, Deputy Secretary for Elections and Commissions Tim Gates, Chief Counsel Kathleen Kotula, Deputy Chief Counsel Kalonji Johnson, BPOA, Acting Commissioner Kim Mattis, Finance and Operations Director Wanda Murren, Communications Director Julie Snader, Finance and Operations Deputy Director 11:00

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2013-07 Monthly Economic Summary.pdf

Independent Fiscal Office Commonwealth of Pennsylvania In 2004, the Pennsylvania General Assembly approved the Pennsylvania Race Horse Development and Gaming Act. Since that time, Pennsylvania has overtaken New Jersey in gross casino revenue and leads all other states in the Mid-

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Pensions

IFO - Pensions IFO IFO • Latest Releases • Revenue Estimates • Revenue & Economic Update • Performance Budgeting • Energy • Pension Analysis • Property Tax • Wage Contracts • Tax Credit Review • Economics and Other • Data • Right-to-Know • About • About IFO • Job Opportunities • Contact IFO • Email Subscription • Links • Follow on Twitter • • Pensions Act 100 of 2016 transferred the responsibility to provide actuarial notes for legislation that proposes changes to public employee pension or

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Pensions

Stress Test Impact Analysis (2023) PSERS Stress Test Impact Analysis (2023) SERS Stress Test Impact Analysis (2022) Financial Impact of Act 105 of 2019 (2022) Public Pension Status and Outlook (2021) Issued by the Public Employee Retirement Commission Funding and Reforming

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Pensions

Regular Session 2007-2008 Special Session #1 (Energy Policy) 2005-2006 Regular Session 2005-2006 Special Session #1 (taxpayer relief act) 2003-2004 Regular Session 2001-2002 Regular Session 2001-2002 Special Session #1 1999-2000 Regular Session 1997-1998 Regular

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