Search Results

Your search for revenue returned 581 results.
January 2021 Economic and Budget Outlook

The Independent Fiscal Office will release an updated revenue estimate and discuss economic trends for FY 2020-21 to 2025-26. The briefing is open to the public and submitted questions will be addressed at the end of the presentation. The report will also be posted to the IFO website when the presentation concludes. Click on the link for details on how to register.

Tags: estimates, presentation, revenue

December 2020 Revenue Update

The Commonwealth collected $3.68 billion in General Fund revenues for December, an increase of $774.3 million (26.6%) compared to December 2019. 

Tags: estimates, monthly, revenue

December Economic and Revenue Update

Director Matthew Knittel provided an economic update to the PA Association of Community Bankers.

Tags: economic, presentation, revenue

November 2020 Revenue Update

The Commonwealth collected $2.34 billion in General Fund revenues for November, a decrease of $18.3 million (-0.8%) compared to November 2019.

Tags: estimates, monthly, revenue

November Economic and Revenue Update

Director Matthew Knittel made a presentation to the Harrisburg Trade Association Executives and the PICA 2020 Fall Conference.

Tags: economic, presentation, revenue

October 2020 Revenue Update

The Commonwealth collected $2.59 billion in General Fund revenues for October, a decrease of $77.5 million (2.9%) compared to October 2019.

Tags: estimates, monthly, revenue

Revenue and Economic Update FY 2020-21

The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released its October Revenue and Economic Update. Click the hyperlink above to view the report and presentation.

Tags: economic, revenue

IFO Public Briefing: October 2020 Revenue and Economic Update

The IFO will present a revenue and economic update for FY 2020-21 on October 29 at 10 am. The update will be based on revenues received for the first four months of the fiscal year and the latest state economic data. See the announcement for a link to register for the presentation.

Tags: economic, presentation, revenue

September 2020 Revenue Update

The Commonwealth collected $3.26 billion in General Fund revenues for September, an increase of $76.7 million (2.4%) compared to September 2019.

Tags: estimates, monthly, revenue

Revenue Estimate Performance

This report examines the performance of IFO revenue estimates for the past eight budget cycles.

Tags: estimates, performance, revenue

August 2020 Revenue Update

The Commonwealth collected $2.55 billion in General Fund revenues for August, an increase of $355.5 million (16.2%) compared to August 2019. The IFO estimates that roughly $235.0 million of the increase was associated with extended tax due dates related to the COVID-19 pandemic. 

Tags: estimates, monthly, revenue

Monthly and Quarterly Revenue Estimates

This report provides revenue distributions based on the FY 2020-21 projections contained in the Official Revenue Estimate published by the IFO on June 22, 2020. They reflect the statutory changes that were enacted with the FY 2020-21 state budget.

Tags: estimates, monthly, quarterly, revenue

August 2020 Economic and Revenue Update

Director Matthew Knittel provided a brief economic and revenue update to members of the Senate Appropriations Committee (Democrat).

Tags: economic, revenue

July 2020 Revenue Update

The Commonwealth collected $4.10 billion in General Fund revenues for July, an increase of $1.77 billion compared to July 2019. The IFO estimates that roughly $1.62 billion of the increase was associated with extended tax due dates related to the COVID-19 pandemic. 

Tags: estimates, monthly, revenue

COVID-19 Impact on Local Revenues

In response to a legislative request, the Independent Fiscal Office examined how the COVID-19 pandemic and mandated business closures could impact local earned income taxes (EIT), property taxes and gaming revenues received by municipalities, counties and school districts for the current year.

Tags: local, revenue

June 2020 Revenue Update

The Commonwealth collected $32.28 billion for FY 2019-20, a decline of $2.58 billion (-7.4 percent) from the prior fiscal year. The IFO projects that business closures and mitigation efforts related to the COVID-19 virus resulted in (1) $1.36 billion in lost revenue from reduced economic activity and (2) $1.91 billion that shifts to FY 2020-21 as a result of extended tax due dates. 

Tags: estimates, monthly, revenue

Official Revenue Estimate FY 2020-21

This report provides revised revenue estimates for FY 2019-20 and official estimates for FY 2020-21 related to the General Fund, Motor License Fund, Lottery Fund and federal funds subject to appropriation. 

Presentation

Methodology

Tags: estimates, revenue

May 2020 Revenue Update

The Commonwealth collected $2.11 billion in General Fund revenues for May, a decline of $510.7 million compared to May 2019. The IFO estimates that the COVID-19 virus reduced monthly collections by $515 million due to the impact of continued business closures and other mitigation efforts to slow the spread of the COVID-19 virus.

Tags: estimates, monthly, revenue

Initial Revenue Estimate FY 2020-21

The initial revenue estimate for FY 2020-21 and updated estimates for FY 2019-20 are included. 

Tags: estimates, revenue

Initial Revenue Estimate FY 2020-21 Presentation

Director Matthew Knittel made a presentation on the initial revenue estimate for FY 2020-21 and updated estimates for FY 2019-20.

Tags: estimates, presentation, revenue

IFO Public Briefing: Initial Revenue Estimate FY 2020-21

The Independent Fiscal Office will release an updated revenue estimate for FY 2019-20 and an initial revenue estimate for FY 2020-21. The briefing is open to the public and submitted questions will be addressed at the end of the presentation. The report will also be posted to the IFO website when the presentation concludes. Click on the link for details on how to register.

 

Tags: estimates, presentation, revenue

April 2020 Revenue Update

The Commonwealth collected $2.18 billion in General Fund revenues for April, a decline of $2.23 billion compared to April 2019. The IFO estimates that the COVID-19 virus reduced monthly collections by $2.12 billion due to business closures, delayed payment processing and the extension of some tax due dates.

Tags: estimates, monthly, revenue

Analysis of Revenue Proposals in the 2020-21 Executive Budget

This report provides estimates for the revenue proposals contained in the 2020-21 Executive Budget released February 2020. The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) publishes this report to fulfill its statutory duties as provided under 71 Pa.C.S. § 4104. The act requires that the IFO “provide an analysis, including economic impact, of all tax and revenue proposals submitted by the Governor or the Office of the Budget.”

Tags: estimates, revenue

Projected Revenue Impact of COVID-19

The IFO released an updated revenue projection for FY 2019-20 and a preliminary projection for FY 2020-21 using two scenarios for business closures due to the COVID-19 virus. The release also discusses the impact on economic growth rates and federal stimulus monies that are projected to flow into the state economy.

Tags: estimates, revenue

March 2020 Revenue Update

The Commonwealth collected $4.4 billion in General Fund revenues for March, a decline of $118.1 million compared to March 2019. The IFO estimates that the outbreak of the COVID-19 virus reduced monthly collections by $200 million.

Tags: estimates, monthly, revenue

Family First Prevention Services Act Preliminary Analysis

In response to a legislative request, the IFO conducted a preliminary analysis on the state and county impacts of the Family First Prevention Services Act.

Tags: revenue

February 2020

The Commonwealth collected $2.17 billion in General Fund revenues for February, an increase of $125.9 million compared to February 2019.

Tags: economic, estimates, monthly, revenue

Budget Hearings Packet for Appropriations Committees

The Independent Fiscal Office submitted material to the House and Senate Appropriations Committees in advance of its scheduled budget hearings.

Testimony

Tags: economic, revenue

JANUARY 2020

The Commonwealth collected $3.07 billion in General Fund revenues for January, an increase of $186.0 million compared to January 2019.

Tags: economic, estimates, monthly, revenue

January 2021 Economic and Budget Outlook

The Independent Fiscal Office will release an updated revenue estimate and discuss economic trends for FY 2020-21 to 2025-26. The briefing is open to the public and submitted questions will be addressed at the end of the presentation. The report will also be posted to the IFO website when the presentation concludes. Click on the link for details on how to register.

01/11/2021

December 2020 revenue Update

The Commonwealth collected $3.68 billion in General Fund revenues for December, an increase of $774.3 million (26.6%) compared to December 2019. 

01/04/2021

December Economic and revenue Update

Director Matthew Knittel provided an economic update to the PA Association of Community Bankers.

12/09/2020

November 2020 revenue Update

The Commonwealth collected $2.34 billion in General Fund revenues for November, a decrease of $18.3 million (-0.8%) compared to November 2019.

12/01/2020

State and Local Tax revenues: A 50 State Comparison

This report uses the most recent data from the U.S. Census Bureau, the Internal revenue Service (IRS), the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the Federation of Tax Administrators to facilitate a comparison of state and local tax systems across the 50 states. The report examines (1) the relative level of state and local taxes across states, (2) the distribution of state and local taxes across revenue sources (e.g., income, sales and property) and (3) state debt levels.

11/24/2020

November Economic and revenue Update

Director Matthew Knittel made a presentation to the Harrisburg Trade Association Executives and the PICA 2020 Fall Conference.

11/18/2020

October 2020 revenue Update

The Commonwealth collected $2.59 billion in General Fund revenues for October, a decrease of $77.5 million (2.9%) compared to October 2019.

11/02/2020

revenue and Economic Update FY 2020-21

The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released its October revenue and Economic Update. Click the hyperlink above to view the report and presentation.

10/29/2020

IFO Public Briefing: October 2020 revenue and Economic Update

The IFO will present a revenue and economic update for FY 2020-21 on October 29 at 10 am. The update will be based on revenues received for the first four months of the fiscal year and the latest state economic data. See the announcement for a link to register for the presentation.

10/23/2020

September 2020 revenue Update

The Commonwealth collected $3.26 billion in General Fund revenues for September, an increase of $76.7 million (2.4%) compared to September 2019.

10/01/2020

Demographic Outlook

Section 604-B (a)(2) of the Administrative Code of 1929 specifies that the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) shall “provide an assessment of the state’s current fiscal condition and a projection of what the fiscal condition will be during the next five years. The assessment shall take into account the state of the economy, demographics, revenues and expenditures.” This report fulfills the demographics obligation in advance of the IFO’s release of the Economic and Budget Outlook for Fiscal Year 2020-21 to 2025-26. In prior years, the information contained in this report was presented as an individual section within the IFO’s Five-Year Economic and Budget Outlook.

09/08/2020

revenue Estimate Performance

This report examines the performance of IFO revenue estimates for the past eight budget cycles.

09/03/2020

August 2020 revenue Update

The Commonwealth collected $2.55 billion in General Fund revenues for August, an increase of $355.5 million (16.2%) compared to August 2019. The IFO estimates that roughly $235.0 million of the increase was associated with extended tax due dates related to the COVID-19 pandemic. 

09/01/2020

Monthly and Quarterly revenue Estimates

This report provides revenue distributions based on the FY 2020-21 projections contained in the Official revenue Estimate published by the IFO on June 22, 2020. They reflect the statutory changes that were enacted with the FY 2020-21 state budget.

08/27/2020

August 2020 Economic and revenue Update

Director Matthew Knittel provided a brief economic and revenue update to members of the Senate Appropriations Committee (Democrat).

08/19/2020

July 2020 revenue Update

The Commonwealth collected $4.10 billion in General Fund revenues for July, an increase of $1.77 billion compared to July 2019. The IFO estimates that roughly $1.62 billion of the increase was associated with extended tax due dates related to the COVID-19 pandemic. 

08/03/2020

COVID-19 Impact on Local revenues

In response to a legislative request, the Independent Fiscal Office examined how the COVID-19 pandemic and mandated business closures could impact local earned income taxes (EIT), property taxes and gaming revenues received by municipalities, counties and school districts for the current year.

07/16/2020

Pennsylvania Impact Fee and Natural Gas Trends Presentation

revenue Analyst Jesse Bushman made a presentation to the Center for Energy Policy and Management at Washington & Jefferson College regarding regional natural gas trends and how they are affecting the state's Impact Fee.

07/14/2020

June 2020 revenue Update

The Commonwealth collected $32.28 billion for FY 2019-20, a decline of $2.58 billion (-7.4 percent) from the prior fiscal year. The IFO projects that business closures and mitigation efforts related to the COVID-19 virus resulted in (1) $1.36 billion in lost revenue from reduced economic activity and (2) $1.91 billion that shifts to FY 2020-21 as a result of extended tax due dates. 

07/01/2020

Official revenue Estimate FY 2020-21

This report provides revised revenue estimates for FY 2019-20 and official estimates for FY 2020-21 related to the General Fund, Motor License Fund, Lottery Fund and federal funds subject to appropriation.  Presentation Methodology

06/22/2020

May 2020 revenue Update

The Commonwealth collected $2.11 billion in General Fund revenues for May, a decline of $510.7 million compared to May 2019. The IFO estimates that the COVID-19 virus reduced monthly collections by $515 million due to the impact of continued business closures and other mitigation efforts to slow the spread of the COVID-19 virus.

06/01/2020

Initial revenue Estimate FY 2020-21

The initial revenue estimate for FY 2020-21 and updated estimates for FY 2019-20 are included. 

05/26/2020

Initial revenue Estimate FY 2020-21 Presentation

Director Matthew Knittel made a presentation on the initial revenue estimate for FY 2020-21 and updated estimates for FY 2019-20.

05/26/2020

IFO Public Briefing: Initial revenue Estimate FY 2020-21

The Independent Fiscal Office will release an updated revenue estimate for FY 2019-20 and an initial revenue estimate for FY 2020-21. The briefing is open to the public and submitted questions will be addressed at the end of the presentation. The report will also be posted to the IFO website when the presentation concludes. Click on the link for details on how to register.  

05/19/2020

April 2020 revenue Update

The Commonwealth collected $2.18 billion in General Fund revenues for April, a decline of $2.23 billion compared to April 2019. The IFO estimates that the COVID-19 virus reduced monthly collections by $2.12 billion due to business closures, delayed payment processing and the extension of some tax due dates.

05/01/2020

Analysis of revenue Proposals in the 2020-21 Executive Budget

This report provides estimates for the revenue proposals contained in the 2020-21 Executive Budget released February 2020. The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) publishes this report to fulfill its statutory duties as provided under 71 Pa.C.S. § 4104. The act requires that the IFO “provide an analysis, including economic impact, of all tax and revenue proposals submitted by the Governor or the Office of the Budget.”

04/23/2020

Projected revenue Impact of COVID-19

The IFO released an updated revenue projection for FY 2019-20 and a preliminary projection for FY 2020-21 using two scenarios for business closures due to the COVID-19 virus. The release also discusses the impact on economic growth rates and federal stimulus monies that are projected to flow into the state economy.

04/08/2020

March 2020 revenue Update

The Commonwealth collected $4.4 billion in General Fund revenues for March, a decline of $118.1 million compared to March 2019. The IFO estimates that the outbreak of the COVID-19 virus reduced monthly collections by $200 million.

04/01/2020

February 2020

The Commonwealth collected $2.17 billion in General Fund revenues for February, an increase of $125.9 million compared to February 2019.

03/02/2020

JANUARY 2020

The Commonwealth collected $3.07 billion in General Fund revenues for January, an increase of $186.0 million compared to January 2019.

02/03/2020

State and Local Taxes: A Comparison Across States

This report uses the most recent data from the U.S. Census Bureau, the Internal revenue Service (IRS), the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the Federation of Tax Administrators to facilitate a comparison of state and local tax systems across the fifty states. The report examines (1) the relative level of state and local taxes across states, (2) the distribution of state and local taxes across revenue sources (e.g., income, sales and property) and (3) state debt levels.

01/29/2020

Testimony on Combined Reporting

Director Matthew Knittel provided brief testimony to the Senate Democratic Policy Committee regarding the potential impact of combined reporting on corporate net income tax revenues.

01/29/2020

Mid-Year Update FY 2019-20

The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) has released a mid-year update of its revenue estimate for fiscal year (FY) 2019-20. The revised estimate is $35.738 billion, which is $220 million higher than the IFO’s official estimate. As part of the mid-year update, the IFO also provides an advance look at revenue projections for the next fiscal year. For FY 2020-21, revenues are projected to be $37.117 billion, an increase of 3.9 percent over the current year. The IFO will update the estimate in its next round of revenue projections to be released in late May.

01/28/2020

December 2019

The Commonwealth collected $2.91 billion in General Fund revenues for December, an increase of $2.0 million compared to December 2018.

01/02/2020

November 2019

The Commonwealth collected $2.36 billion in General Fund revenues for November, an increase of $19.8 million (0.8%) compared to November 2018.

12/02/2019

October 2019

The Commonwealth collected $2.67 billion in General fund revenues for October, an increase of $195.5 million (7.9%) compared to October 2018.

11/01/2019

Property Tax Replacement Estimates

In response to a legislative request, the IFO transmitted a letter that provides revenue estimates for various proposed changes to the state tax code affecting personal income and sales and use taxes.

10/04/2019

School District Property Tax Elimination

In response to a legislative request, the IFO transmitted a letter that estimates potential replacement revenues for school district property taxes described in House Bill 13.

10/03/2019

September 2019

The Commonwealth collected $3.19 billion in General fund revenues for September, an increase of $143.8 million (4.7%) compared to September 2018.

10/01/2019

Senior Spending and Tax revenues

In response to a legislative request, the IFO transmitted a letter that analyzes (1) state spending dedicated to seniors, (2) the share of certain tax revenues remitted by seniors and (3) potential changes in senior migration patterns due to proposed tax law changes.  

09/27/2019

August 2019

The Commonwealth collected $2.19 billion in General Fund revenues for August, a decrease of $81.3 million (-3.6%) compared to August 2018.

09/03/2019

IFO News Stand - August Edition

The August edition of our monthly newsletter - The IFO News Stand. The new release highlights links to recent articles and reports that provide insight into state or national economic, demographic, budget and tax revenue trends. 

08/28/2019

Monthly and Quarterly revenue Estimates

This report provides revenue distributions based on the FY 2019-20 projections contained in the Official revenue Estimate published by the IFO on June 21, 2019. They reflect the statutory changes that were enacted with the FY 2019-20 state budget.

08/08/2019

July 2019

The Commonwealth collected $2.33 billion in General Fund revenues for July, an increase of $90.8 million (4.1 percent) compared to July 2018.

08/01/2019

revenue Estimate Performance

This report examines the performance of IFO revenue estimates for the past seven budget cycles.

07/26/2019

IFO News Stand - July Edition

The July edition of our monthly newsletter - The IFO News Stand. The new release highlights links to recent articles and reports that provide insight into state or national economic, demographic, budget and tax revenue trends.

07/18/2019

June 2019

The Commonwealth collected $3.08 billion in General Fund revenues for June, a decrease of $5.3 million (-0.2%) compared to June 2018. Fiscal year revenues were $34.86 billion, an increase of $290.9 million (0.8%) from the prior year.

07/01/2019

Official revenue Estimate FY 2019-20

This report provides revised revenue estimates for FY 2018-19 and official estimates for FY 2019-20 related to the General Fund, Motor License Fund, Lottery Fund and federal funds subject to appropriation.  Methodology

06/21/2019

IFO News Stand - June Edition

The June edition of our monthly newsletter - The IFO News Stand. The new release highlights links to recent articles and reports that provide insight into state or national economic, demographic, budget and tax revenue trends.

06/20/2019

May 2019

The Commonwealth collected $2.62 billion in General Fund revenues for May, an increase of $160.4 million (6.5%) compared to May 2018. Fiscal year-to-date revenues are $31.78 billion, an increase of $296.2 million (0.9%) from the prior year.

06/03/2019

Property Tax Replacement Estimates

In response to a legislative request, the IFO has posted a letter that provides revenue estimates for various proposed changes to the state tax code that affect personal income, sales and property taxes.

05/23/2019

IFO News Stand - May Edition

The May edition of our monthly newsletter - The IFO News Stand. The new release highlights links to recent articles and reports that provide insight into state or national economic, demographic, budget and tax revenue trends.

05/22/2019

Initial revenue Estimate FY 2019-20

The initial revenue estimate for FY 2019-20 and updated estimates for FY 2018-19 are included. For the PowerPoint presentation, click on the hyperlink above.  

05/20/2019

Initial revenue Estimate FY 2019-20 Presentation

Director Matthew Knittel made a presentation on the initial revenue estimate for FY 2019-20 and updated estimates for FY 2018-19.

05/20/2019

Economic and revenue Update

Director Matthew Knittel made a brief presentation to the Harrisburg Trade Association Executives on recent revenue and economic trends for the U.S. and Pennsylvania.

05/16/2019

APRIL 2019

The Commonwealth collected $4.41 billion in General Fund revenues for April, an increase of $659.5 million (17.6%) compared to April 2018. Fiscal year-to-date revenues are $29.16 billion, an  increase of $135.9 million (0.5%) from the prior year.

05/01/2019

IFO News Stand - April Edition

The April edition of our monthly newsletter - The IFO News Stand. The new release highlights links to recent articles and reports that provide insight into state or national economic, demographic, budget and tax revenue trends.

04/22/2019

revenue and Economic Update

Director Matthew Knittel made a brief presentation to the House Financial Rescue Caucus on April 17, 2019 on recent revenue and economic trends for the U.S. and Pennsylvania.

04/17/2019

March 2019

The Commonwealth collected $4.55 billion in General Fund revenues for March, an increase of $228.9 million (5.3%) compared to March 2018. Fiscal year-to-date revenues are $24.75 billion, a decrease of $523.6 million (-2.1%) from the prior year.

04/01/2019

Analysis of revenue Proposals in the 2019-20 Executive Budget

This report provides estimates for the revenue proposals contained in the 2019-20 Executive Budget released February 2019. The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) publishes this report to fulfill its statutory duties as provided under 71 Pa.C.S. § 4104. The act requires that the IFO “provide an analysis, including economic impact, of all tax and revenue proposals submitted by the Governor or the Office of the Budget."  

03/22/2019

IFO News Stand - March Edition

The March edition of our monthly newsletter - The IFO News Stand. The new release highlights links to recent articles and reports that provide insight into state or national economic, demographic, budget and tax revenue trends.

03/19/2019

Economic & Budget Outlook Presentation

Deputy Director Brenda Warburton gave a presentation at a session of the Pennsylvania Education Policy Fellowship Program regarding the Commonwealth's economic and budget outlook. The presentation summarized the office's five year economic and budget outlook (November 2018) as well as more recent updates to the office's revenue estimates for FY 2018-19 and FY 2019-20 (January 2019). The presentation also addressed the office's most recent estimate for school property tax collections.

03/01/2019

February 2019

The Commonwealth collected $2.04 billion in General Fund revenues for February, a decrease of $1.54 billion (-43.0%) compared to February 2018. Fiscal year-to-date revenues are $20.20 billion, a decrease of $0.75 billion (-3.6%) from the prior year.

03/01/2019

PROPERTY TAX ELIMINATION PROJECTION

In response to a legislative request, the IFO has updated projections regarding school district property tax elimination. The document projects the school property tax revenues that would be subject to replacement under potential legislation that would eliminate school property taxes.

02/27/2019

JANUARY 2019

The Commonwealth collected $2.89 billion in General Fund revenues for January, a decrease of $252 million (-8.0%) compared to January 2018. Fiscal year-to-date revenues are $18.2 billion, an increase of $0.79 billion (4.5%) from the prior year.

02/01/2019

Mid-Year Update FY 2018-19

The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) has released a mid-year update of its revenue estimate for fiscal year (FY) 2018-19. The revised estimate is $34.272 billion, which is $373 million higher than the IFO’s offical estimate. As part of the mid-year update, the IFO also provides an advance look at revenue projections for the next fiscal year. For FY 2019-20, revenues are projected to be $35.272 billion, an increase of 2.9 percent over the current year. The office will update the estimate in its next round of revenue projections to be released in late May.

01/29/2019

DECEMBER 2018

The Commonwealth collected $2.91 billion in General Fund revenues for December, an increase of $89 million (3.1%) compared to December 2017. Fiscal year-to-date revenues are $15.3 billion, an increase of $1.04 billion (7.3%) from the prior year.

01/02/2019

IFO NEWS STAND - DECEMBER EDITION

The December edition of our monthly newsletter - The IFO News Stand. The new release highlights links to recent articles and reports that provide insight into state or national economic, demographic, budget and tax revenue trends.

12/11/2018

State and Local Taxes: A Comparison Across States

This report uses the most recent data from the U.S. Census Bureau and U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis to facilitate a comparison of state and local tax systems across the fifty states. The report examines (1) the relative state and local tax burden across states, (2) the distribution of state and local taxes across revenue sources (e.g., income, sales and property), (3) state tax rates and (4) state debt levels.

12/03/2018

November 2018

The Commonwealth collected $2.34 billion in General Fund revenues for November, an increase of $31 million (1.3%) compared to November 2017. Fiscal year-to-date revenues are $12.4 billion, an increase of $950 million (8.3%) from the prior year.

12/03/2018

IFO News Stand - November Edition

The November edition of our monthly newsletter - The IFO News Stand. The new release highlights links to recent articles and reports that provide insight into state or national economic, demographic, budget and tax revenue trends.

11/20/2018

October 2018

The Commonwealth collected $2.5 billion in General Fund revenues for October, an increase of $299 million (13.7%) compared to October 2017. Fiscal year-to-date revenues are $10.0 billion, an increase of $0.9 billion (10.1%) from the prior year.

11/01/2018

IFO News Stand - October Edition

The October edition of our monthly newsletter - The IFO News Stand. The new release highlights links to recent articles and reports that provide insight into state or national economic, demographic, budget and tax revenue trends.

10/17/2018

revenue and Economic Update

Director Matthew Knittel made a brief presentation to the House Financial Rescue Caucus on October 9, 2018 on recent revenue and economic trends for the U.S. and Pennsylvania.  

10/09/2018

September 2018

The Commonwealth collected $3.0 billion in General Fund revenues for September, an increase of $322 million (11.9%) compared to September 2017. Fiscal year-to-date revenues are $7.6 billion, an increase of $0.6 billion (9.0%) from the prior year.

10/01/2018

August 2018

The Commonwealth collected $2.3 billion in General Fund revenues for August, an increase of $145 million (6.8%) compared to August 2017. Fiscal year-to-date revenues are $4.5 billion, an increase of $0.3 billion (7.1%) from the prior year.

09/04/2018

Tax Cut and Jobs Act Update- August 2018

In response to a legislative request, the IFO submitted a letter that discusses the impact of the federal Tax Cut and Jobs Act (TCJA) of 2017 on Pennsylvania General Fund tax revenues and the economy.

08/24/2018

IFO News Stand - August Edition

The August edition of our monthly newsletter - The IFO News Stand. The new release highlights links to recent articles and reports that provide insight into state or national economic, demographic, budget and tax revenue trends.

08/20/2018

July 2018

The Commonwealth collected $2.2 billion in General Fund revenues for July, an increase of $153 million (7.3%) compared to July 2017.

08/01/2018

MONTHLY AND QUARTERLY revenue ESTIMATES

This report provides revenue distributions based on the FY 2018-19 projections contained in the Official revenue Estimate published by the IFO on June 18, 2018. They reflect the statutory changes that were enacted with the FY 2018-19 state budget.

07/30/2018

revenue Estimate Performance

This report examines the performance of IFO revenue estimates for the past six budget cycles.

07/25/2018

IFO News Stand - July Edition

The July edition of our monthly newsletter – The IFO News Stand. The new release highlights links to recent articles and reports that provide insight into state or national economic, demographic, budget and tax revenue trends.

07/24/2018

June 2018

The Commonwealth collected $3.1 billion in General Fund revenues for June, a decrease of $180 million (-5.5%) compared to June 2017. Fiscal year-to-date revenues are $34.6 billion, an increase of $2.9 billion (9.2%) from the prior year.

07/02/2018

IFO News Stand - June Edition

The June edition of our monthly newsletter – The IFO News Stand. The new release highlights links to recent articles and reports that provide insight into state or national economic, demographic, budget and tax revenue trends.

06/19/2018

Official revenue Estimate FY 2018-19

The official revenue estimate for FY 2018-19 and updated estimates for FY 2017-18. Methodology

06/18/2018

Budget And Economic Update with Property Tax Discussion

Director Matthew Knittel gave a budget and economic update to the Pennsylvania Association of School Business Officials (PASBO). revenue Analyst Jesse Bushman also discussed an updated school district property tax forecast and recent proposed legislation. 

06/05/2018

MAY 2018

The Commonwealth collected $2.5 billion in General Fund revenues for May, a decrease of $125 million (-4.9%) compared to May 2017. Fiscal year-to-date revenues are $31.5 billion, an increase of $3.1 billion (10.8%) from the prior year.

06/01/2018

IFO News Stand - May Edition

The May edition of our monthly newsletter – The IFO News Stand. The new release provides links to recent articles and reports that provide insight into state or national economic, demographic, budget and tax revenue trends.

05/16/2018

APRIL 2018

The Commonwealth collected $3.8 billion in General Fund revenues for April, an increase of $325 million (9.5%) compared to April 2017. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $29.0 billion, an increase of $3.2 billion (12.4%) from the prior year.

05/02/2018

Initial revenue Estimate FY 2018-19

The initial revenue estimate for FY 2018-19 and updated estimates for FY 2017-18. Press Release Presentation

05/01/2018

Federal Tax Code Conformity Analysis

The IFO responds to a legislative request regarding the General Fund revenue impact from conformity with certain federal tax code provisions.

04/27/2018

IFO News Stand - April Edition

The first edition of our monthly newsletter – The IFO News Stand. The new release provides links to recent articles and reports that provide insight into state or national economic, demographic, budget and tax revenue trends.

04/20/2018

Analysis of revenue Proposals in the 2018-19 Executive Budget

This report provides estimates for the revenue proposals contained in the 2018-19 Executive Budget released February 2018. The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) publishes this report to fulfill its statutory duties as provided under 71 Pa.C.S. § 4104. The act requires that the IFO “provide an analysis, including economic impact, of all tax and revenue proposals submitted by the Governor or the Office of the Budget.” 

04/18/2018

Corporate Net Income Tax Rate Reduction

The IFO responds to a legislative request regarding the state corporate net income tax (CNIT). The report contains an analysis of state CNIT rates, their impact on revenues and a proposal to reduce the Pennsylvania CNIT rate. 

04/11/2018

MARCH 2018

The Commonwealth collected $4.3 billion in General Fund revenues for March, a decrease of $97 million (-2.2%) compared to March 2017. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $25.3 billion, an increase of $2.9 billion (12.9%) from the prior year.

04/02/2018

IFO Update on Selected Fiscal Topics and Pennsylvania Demographics

Deputy Director Mark Ryan made a presentation to the annual conference of the Pennsylvania Association of School Business Officials and provided updates on topics addressed in recent IFO analyses. The topics included 1) school property tax forecasts and analysis, 2) Pennsylvania demographic trends, 3) the most recent IFO revenue estimates for FY 2017-18 and FY 2018-19 and 4) the impact of pension changes resulting from Act 5 of 2017. 

03/09/2018

February 2018

The Commonwealth collected $3.6 billion in General Fund revenues for February, an increase of $1.7 billion (91.0%) compared to February 2017. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $20.9 billion, an increase of $3.0 billion (16.6%) from the prior year.

03/01/2018

Budget Hearings Packet for Appropriations Committees

The Independent Fiscal Office submitted material to the House and Senate Appropriations Committees in advance of its scheduled budget hearings on Tuesday, February 20.  The hearings packet contains a brief background on the Independent Fiscal Office and its responsibilities, along with a list of the reports and analyses published since January 2017. It also provides data regarding the economic and revenue outlook, demographics, pensions, and natural gas. Testimony Supplemental Table

02/16/2018

January 2018

The Commonwealth collected $3.1 billion in General Fund revenues for January, an increase of $494.6 million (18.7%) compared to January 2017. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $17.4 billion, an increase of $1.27 billion (7.9%) from the prior year.

02/01/2018

State and Local Taxes: A Comparison Across States

This report uses the most recent data from the U.S. Census Bureau, the Internal revenue Service (IRS), the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the Federation of Tax Administrators to facilitate a comparison of state and local tax systems across the fifty states. The report examines (1) the relative state and local tax burden across states, (2) the distribution of state and local taxes across revenue sources (e.g., income, sales and property) and (3) state debt levels.

02/01/2018

Mid-Year Update FY 2017-18

The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) has released a mid-year update of its revenue estimate for fiscal year (FY) 2017-18. The revised estimate is $34.780 billion, which is $35 million higher than the IFO’s November 2017 estimate. As part of the mid-year update, the IFO also provides an advance look at revenue projections for the next fiscal year. For FY 2018-19, revenues are projected to be $33.914 billion, a decrease of -2.5 percent over the current year. The presentation also addresses the impact of recent federal tax law changes on the Pennsylvania budget. The changes affect estimates for corporate net income, personal income and sales tax revenues in FY 2017-18 and FY 2018-19. The office will update the estimate in its next round of revenue projections to be released in early May. Press Release

01/29/2018

December 2017

The Commonwealth collected $2.8 billion in General Fund revenues for December, an increase of $198.1 million (7.6%) compared to December 2016. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $14.2 billion, an increase of $775.8 million (5.8%) from the prior year.

01/02/2018

Responsiveness of State Tax revenues to Economic Growth

In response to a legislative request, the IFO compared the growth of state tax revenues to certain economic metrics to ascertain the responsiveness of revenues to economic growth across states.

12/26/2017

revenue Estimate Performance

This report examines the performance of IFO revenue estimates for the past five budget cycles.

12/22/2017

Updated Monthly and Quarterly revenue Estimates

This report provides updated revenue distributions based on the estimates contained in the Official Monthly and Quarterly revenue Estimates for Fiscal Year 2017-18 published by the IFO on August 10, 2017. The updated distributions reflect the statutory changes enacted with the state budget.

12/21/2017

County Homestead Detail

As an extension of its recent research relating to property taxes, the IFO has released additional data regarding homestead property. Estimates for the numbers and assessed values of homestead properties by county are based, in large part, on the results of a survey of county assessment offices. The County Commissioners Association of Pennsylvania provided valuable assistance by coordinating the survey. Data for Philadelphia has been adjusted based on new information provided by the Philadelphia Department of revenue.

12/06/2017

November 2017

The Commonwealth collected $2.3 billion in General Fund revenues for November, an increase of $318.6 million (16.0%) compared to November 2016. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $11.4 billion, an increase of $577.8 million (5.3%) from the prior year.

12/01/2017

Five Year Economic and Budget Outlook

This report examines the demographic, economic, revenue and expenditure trends that will affect the Commonwealth’s fiscal condition through fiscal year (FY) 2022-23. Based on the economic and demographic assumptions used by this report, the evaluation finds that various factors imply a long-term fiscal imbalance. Press Release IFO Presentation PEW Presentation Letter providing additional detail Updated projections for the PSERS state share

11/16/2017

School Property Tax and Related Data

In response to a legislative request, the IFO collected and analyzed certain data related to school property taxes and potential replacement revenues. Data for Philadelphia in Table 3 has been adjusted based on information provided by the Philadelphia Department of revenue

11/13/2017

Quarterly revenue Review 2017 Q3

The IFO produces this report to facilitate comparison of its quarterly revenue estimates with actual revenue collections. The report also provides context for the variances between estimates and actual collections.

11/03/2017

October 2017

The Commonwealth collected $2.2 billion in General Fund revenues for October, a decrease of $59.3 million (-2.7%) compared to October 2016. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $9.1 billion, an increase of $259.2 million (2.9%) from the prior year.

11/01/2017

September 2017

The Commonwealth collected $2.7 billion in General Fund revenues for September, an increase of $92.4 million (3.5%) compared to September 2016. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $6.9 billion, an increase of $318.6 million (4.8%) from the prior year.

10/02/2017

August 2017

The Commonwealth collected $2.1 billion in General Fund revenues for August, an increase of $113.5 million (5.6%) compared to August 2016. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $4.2 billion, an increase of $226.0 million (5.7%) from the prior year.

09/01/2017

Monthly and Quarterly revenue Estimates

This report provides preliminary revenue distributions based on the FY 2017-18 projections contained in the Official revenue Estimate published by the IFO on June 15, 2017. They do not reflect any potential statutory changes that may be enacted with the state budget.

08/10/2017

Quarterly revenue Review 2017 Q2

The IFO produces this report to facilitate comparison of its quarterly revenue estimates with actual revenue collections. The report also provides context for the variances between estimates and actual collections.

08/02/2017

July 2017

The Commonwealth collected $2.1 billion in General Fund revenues for July, an increase of $113 million (5.7%) compared to July 2016.

08/01/2017

Pennsylvania's Fiscal and Demographic Outlook

Deputy Director Mark Ryan gave a presentation to the Lancaster Chamber of Commerce and Industry addressing Pennsylvania’s long-term fiscal outlook, demographics and the current revenue forecast. 

07/14/2017

Like-Kind Exchange Analysis

The IFO responds to a request regarding the economic benefit and tax revenue impact from eliminating Pennsylvania personal income tax on like-kind exchanges.

07/10/2017

June 2017

The Commonwealth collected $3.3 billion in General Fund revenues for June, an increase of $203.8 million (6.7%) compared to June 2016. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $31.7 billion, an increase of $768.1 million (2.5%) from the prior year.

07/05/2017

Official revenue Estimate FY 2017-18

FY 2017-18 official estimate and FY 2016-17 estimate revision (June 2017). Methodology

06/15/2017

May 2017

The Commonwealth collected $2.58 billion in General Fund revenues for May, an increase of $637 million (32.8%) compared to May 2016. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $28.41 billion, an increase of $564 million (2.0%) from the prior year.  

06/01/2017

State and Local Taxes: A Comparison Across States

This report uses data from the U.S. Census Bureau, the Internal revenue Service (IRS) and the Federation of Tax Administrators to facilitate a comparison of state and local tax systems across the fifty states. The report examines (1) the relative state and local tax burden across states, (2) the distribution of state and local taxes across revenue sources (e.g., income, sales and property) and (3) state debt levels. 

05/31/2017

Quarterly revenue Review 2017 Q1

The IFO produces this report to facilitate comparison of its quarterly revenue estimates with actual revenue collections. The report also provides context for the variances between estimates and actual collections.

05/05/2017

Initial revenue Estimate FY 2017-18

The initial revenue estimate for FY 2017-18 and updated estimates for FY 2016-17. Press Release Presentation

05/02/2017

April 2017

The Commonwealth collected $3.43 billion in General Fund revenues for April, a decrease of $227.0 million (-6.2%) compared to April 2016. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $25.82 billion, a decrease of $73.1 million (-0.3%) from the prior year.

05/01/2017

Property Tax Elimination Projection

The IFO has released new projections regarding school property tax elimination. The document projects the school property tax revenues that would be eliminated, and thus subject to replacement, under legislation that may be introduced in the near future (the relevant parameters are summarized in the document). The projection builds upon a school property tax forecast the IFO released in January of this year.

04/11/2017

Analysis of revenue Proposals in the 2017-18 Executive Budget

This report provides revenue estimates for the tax proposals contained in the 2017-18 Executive Budget released February 2017. The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) publishes this report to fulfill its statutory duties as provided under 71 Pa.C.S. § 4104. The act requires that the IFO “provide an analysis, including economic impact, of all tax and revenue proposals submitted by the Governor or the Office of the Budget.”  Note: A clarifying sentence was added to page 16 since the original publication. (Revised on April 7, 2017)

04/05/2017

March 2017

The Commonwealth collected $4.42 billion in General Fund revenues for March, a decrease of $64.5 million (-1.4%) compared to March 2016. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $22.39 billion, an increase of $153.9 million (0.7%) from the prior year.

04/03/2017

Philadelphia Cigarette & Beverage Tax Impact

The IFO responds to a request regarding the impact of Philadelphia’s local cigarette and beverage taxes on state revenue collections. The letter has been revised to include current footnotes 3 and 6, which provide additional context for the assumptions used by the analysis.  (Revised on March 20, 2017)

03/13/2017

February 2017

The Commonwealth collected $1.88 billion in General Fund revenues for February, an increase of $20.6 million (1.1%) compared to February 2016. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $17.97 billion, an increase of $218.3 million (1.2%) from the prior year.

03/01/2017

Budget Hearing Packet for Appropriations Committees

The IFO has compiled information for the House and Senate Appropriations Committees in advance of its scheduled testimony on Tuesday, February 21.  The hearing packet contains a brief background on the Independent Fiscal Office and its responsibilities, along with a list of the reports and analyses published since January 2016. It also provides data regarding the economic and revenue outlook, demographics, pensions, and natural gas.    Download a version for optimized web viewing

02/16/2017

Pennsylvania Gaming Trends

This research brief contains current and historical trends for casino gaming, pari-mutuel gaming and the lottery. The brief also presents casino gaming revenues, tax rates and effective tax rates for adjacent states, which likely influence trends for Pennsylvania. The final section displays how revenues from the three types of gaming were used in the state budget for the most recent year of actual data, FY 2015-16.

02/13/2017

Long-Term Fiscal Outlook

Deputy Director Mark Ryan made a presentation at a session of the Pennsylvania Education Policy Fellowship Program regarding the Commonwealth's long-term fiscal outlook. The presentation summarized the office's five-year economic and budget outlook (November 2016) as well as more recent updates to the office's revenue estimates for FY 2016-17 and FY 2017-18 (January 2017). The presentation also addressed the office's most recent estimate for school property tax collections.

02/10/2017

January 2017

The Commonwealth collected $2.64 billion in General Fund revenues for January, an increase of $143.6 million (5.7%) compared to January 2016. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $16.10 billion, an increase of $197.8 million (1.2%) from the prior year.

02/01/2017

Mid-Year Update FY2016-17

The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) has released a mid-year update of its revenue estimate for fiscal year (FY) 2016-17. The revised estimate is $32.060 billion, which is $250 million lower than the IFO’s November 2016 estimate and $450 million lower than the estimate published by the IFO at the beginning of the fiscal year. As part of the mid-year update, the IFO also provides an advance look at revenue projections for the next fiscal year. For FY 2017-18, revenues are projected to be $32.637 billion, an increase of 1.8 percent over the current year. The office will update the estimate in its next round of revenue projections to be released in early May. ​Press Release

01/25/2017

Quarterly revenue Review 2016 Q4

The IFO produces this report to facilitate comparison of its quarterly revenue estimates with actual revenue collections. The report also provides context for the variances between estimates and actual collections.

01/24/2017

December 2016

The Commonwealth collected $2.62 billion in General Fund revenues for December, a decrease of $106.6 million (-3.9%) compared to December 2015. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $13.45 billion, an increase of $54.2 million (0.4%) from the prior year.

01/03/2017

November 2016

The Commonwealth collected $1.99 billion in General Fund revenues for November, an increase of $179.2 million (9.9%) compared to November 2015. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $10.84 billion, an increase of $160.9 million (1.5%) from the prior year.

12/01/2016

Five Year Economic and Budget Outlook

This report examines the demographic, economic, revenue and expenditure trends that will affect the Commonwealth’s fiscal condition through fiscal year (FY) 2021-22. Based on the economic and demographic assumptions used by this report, the evaluation finds that various factors imply a long-term fiscal imbalance. Press Release IFO Presentation Don Boyd's Presentation on Public Pension Risk

11/15/2016

October 2016

The Commonwealth collected $2.23 billion in General Fund revenues for October, an increase of $102.9 million (4.8%) compared to October 2015. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $8.85 billion, a decrease of $18.4 million (-0.2%) from the prior year.

11/01/2016

Quarterly revenue Review 2016 Q3

The IFO produces this report to facilitate comparison of its quarterly revenue estimates with actual revenue collections. The report also provides context for the variances between estimates and actual collections.  Fiscal Year 2016-17 2016 Q3 (July to September 2016)

10/27/2016

September 2016

The Commonwealth collected $2.63 billion in General Fund revenues for September, a decrease of $106.5 million (-3.9%) compared to September 2015. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $6.61 billion, a decrease of $121.2 million (-1.8%) from the prior year.

10/03/2016

August 2016

The Commonwealth collected $2.02 billion in General Fund revenues for August, an increase of $147.7 million (7.9%) compared to August 2015. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $3.99 billion, a decrease of $14.8 million (-0.4%) from the prior year.

09/01/2016

Quarterly revenue Estimates

This report provides quarterly revenue estimates for the General Fund, Motor License Fund and Lottery Fund. The quarterly estimates are based on: (1) the FY 2016-17 projections contained in the Official revenue Estimate published by the Independent Fiscal Office on June 15, 2016 and (2) adjustments to reflect the impact of statutory changes that were enacted with the state budget. 

08/24/2016

revenue Estimate Performance

Examination of the performance of IFO revenue estimates for the past four budget cycles (August 2016).

08/12/2016

July 2016

The Commonwealth collected $1.97 billion in General Fund revenues for July, a decrease of $162.5 million (-7.6%) compared to July 2015. See pages 3 and 4 for more detail on the General Fund.

08/01/2016

June 2016

The Commonwealth collected $3.06 billion in General Fund revenues for June, an increase of $145.2 million (5.0%) compared to June 2015. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $30.90 billion, an increase of $309.1 million (1.0%) from the prior year.

07/01/2016

FY 2016-17 Official revenue Estimate

FY 2016-17 official estimate and FY 2015-16 estimate revision (June 2016). General Fund Snapshot Press Release Methodology 

06/15/2016

May 2016

The Commonwealth collected $1.94 billion in General Fund revenues for May, a decrease of $17.3 million (-0.9%) compared to May 2015. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $27.84 billion, an increase of $163.8 million (0.6%) from the prior year.

06/01/2016

A Look Forward: Pennsylvania’s Economic and revenue Outlook

Deputy Director Mark Ryan made a presentation to the 2016 Keystone Rail Freight Seminar regarding Pennsylvania's economic and revenue outlook.

05/13/2016

The Impact of Demographics on General Fund revenues and Expenditures

Deputy Director Mark Ryan made a presentation to the 2016 Pennsylvania Data User Conference regarding the impact of demographics on General Fund revenues and expenditures.

05/12/2016

April 2016

The Commonwealth collected $3.66 billion in General Fund revenues for April, a decrease of $347.9 million (8.7%) compared to April 2015. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $25.90 billion, an increase of $181.1 million (0.7%) from the prior year.

05/01/2016

Analysis of revenue Proposals in the 2016-17 Executive Budget

This report provides revenue estimates for the tax proposals contained in the 2016-17 Executive Budget released February 2016. The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) publishes this report to fulfill its statutory duties as provided under 71 Pa.C.S. § 4104. The act requires that the IFO “provide an analysis, including economic impact, of all tax and revenue proposals submitted by the Governor or the Office of the Budget.” 

04/21/2016

March 2016

The Commonwealth collected $4.49 billion in General Fund revenues for March, an increase of $215.1 million (5.0%) compared to March 2015. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $22.24 billion, an increase of $529.0 million (2.4%) from the prior year.

04/01/2016

February 2016

The Commonwealth collected $1.85 billion in General Fund revenues for February, an increase of $112.1 million (6.4%) compared to February 2015. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $17.75 billion, an increase of $313.9 million (1.8%) from the prior year.

03/01/2016

January 2016

The Commonwealth collected $2.50 billion in General Fund revenues for January, an increase of $100.8 million (4.2%) compared to January 2015. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $15.9 billion, an increase of $201.8 million (1.3%) from the prior year.

02/01/2016

Budget and Economic Update

Director Matthew Knittel provided an economic and revenue update to the Greater Philadelphia Chamber of Commerce. 

01/29/2016

Five-Year Economic and Budget Outlook: FY 2015-16 to 2020-21

This report examines the demographic, economic, revenue and expenditure trends that will affect the Commonwealth’s fiscal condition through fiscal year (FY) 2020-21. Based on the economic and demographic assumptions used by this report, the evaluation finds that various factors imply a long-term fiscal imbalance. (Updated January 2016) Presentation

01/27/2016

December 2015

The Commonwealth collected $2.73 billion in General Fund revenues for December, an increase of $14.6 million (0.5%) compared to December 2014. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $13.4 billion, an increase of $101.2 million (0.8%) from the prior year.  

01/01/2016

November 2015

The Commonwealth collected $1.81 billion in General Fund revenues for November, an increase of $75.0 million (4.3%) compared to November 2014. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $10.7 billion, an increase of $86.6 million (0.8%) from the prior year.

12/01/2015

October 2015

The Commonwealth collected $2.13 billion in General Fund revenues for October, a decrease of $109.9 million (-4.9%) compared to October 2014. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $8.87 billion, an increase of $11.6 million (0.1%) from the prior year.

11/01/2015

September 2015

The Commonwealth collected $2.73 billion in General Fund revenues for September, an increase of $156.2 million (6.1%) compared to September 2014. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $6.74 billion, an increase of $121.5 million (1.8%) from the prior year.

10/01/2015

August 2015

The Commonwealth collected $1.87 billion in General Fund revenues for August, an increase of $76.4 million (4.3%) compared to August 2014.  Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $4.0 billion, a decrease of -$34.8 million (-0.9%) from the prior year.

09/01/2015

July 2015

The Commonwealth collected $2.14 billion in General Fund revenues for July, a decrease of $111.1 million (-4.9%) compared to July 2014.

08/01/2015

Impact Fee Update and 2015 Outlook

This research brief analyzes calendar year (CY) 2014 impact fee revenues (remitted April 2015) reported by the Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission (PUC) and potential scenarios for CY 2015. The research brief also translates the impact fee into an annual average effective tax rate (ETR) based on natural gas price and production data. The ETR is a metric that quantifies the implicit tax burden imposed by the impact fee in a given year.

06/25/2015

Pennsylvania Gaming Trends

This research brief gives a historical overview of gaming trends and revenues in Pennsylvania. This includes the role of gaming in the state economy as well as comparisons to other states. 

02/28/2015

Impact Fee Update - February 2015

This research brief estimates the calendar year 2014 impact fee revenues (to be remitted in April 2015) using data from the Department of Environmental Protection (DEP) and the Public Utility Commission (PUC). The research brief also translates the impact fee into an annual average effective tax rate (ETR) based on recent natural gas price and production data. The ETR is a metric that quantifies the implicit tax burden imposed by the impact fee in a given year.

02/27/2015

Pennsylvania Lottery: Historical Data and Interstate Comparisons

Demographic projections suggest that demand for programs and services funded by lottery revenues will grow at a rate that exceeds the expansion of the Pennsylvania economy. Therefore, an important issue for policymakers is whether lottery revenues can maintain recent growth rates so they will be sufficient to meet those demands. This report provides data to assist policymakers in those deliberations.

01/30/2014

Analysis of Michigan Property Tax Reform

This report presents the results from an analysis of the Michigan property tax reform known as Proposal A. Enacted in 1994, Proposal A replaced all local property taxes used for school operating purposes with higher sales and use, realty transfer and tobacco taxes. It also created a distinction between homestead and nonhomestead property to facilitate the statewide levy of uniform property taxes on those classes of property. The report makes extensive use of data published by various Michigan executive and legislative agencies to illustrate the impact of property tax reform on tax revenues, millage rates, per pupil funding levels and the property tax base over the past two decades.

09/16/2013

Pennsylvania Turnpike Toll revenue Projections: CY 2013 through CY 2024

Estimates toll revenues collected by the Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission (PTC) through calendar year 2024. The scope of this analysis is limited to forecasting toll revenues; it does not address other revenues remitted to the PTC nor does it address the general fiscal condition of the PTC.

05/28/2013

Five_Year_Outlook_2019.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues be during the next five years. The assessment shall take into account the state of the economy, demographics, revenues and expenditures.” In fulfillment of that obligation, the IFO submits this report to the residents of the Commonwealth and members of the

Hits: 160

Five_Year_Outlook_2020.pdf

8293 | contact@ifo.state.pa.us | www.ifo.state.pa.us Staff Acknowledgements Brenda Warburton, Deputy Director Stacey Knavel, Principal Revenue Analyst Karen Maynard, Budget Analyst II Lesley McLaughlin, Revenue Analyst II Jesse Bushman, Revenue Analyst II Joseph Shockey, Revenue Analyst II Mathieu Taylor, Fiscal Analyst II Kathleen Hall, Modeling

Hits: 125

Revenue-Proposal-Analysis-2020-04.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues 2020 The Honorable Members of the Pennsylvania General Assembly: This report provides an analysis of the tax and revenue proposals included in the 2020-21 Executive Budget released in February 2020. The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) publishes this report to fulfill

Hits: 114

Initial-Revenue-Estimate-2018-05.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projec- tions for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary 1, 2018 The Honorable Members of the Pennsylvania General Assembly: The Independent Fiscal Office hereby submits its initial revenue estimate in accordance with Sections 604-B (a)(1) and 605-B (a) of the Administrative Code of 1929. This report provides

Hits: 97

Official-Revenue-Estimate-2018-06.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projec- tions for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary 18, 2018 The Honorable Members of the Pennsylvania General Assembly: The Independent Fiscal Office hereby submits its official revenue estimate in accord- ance with Sections 604-B (a)(1) and 605-B (b) of the Administrative Code of 1929. This report

Hits: 94

Revenue-Estimate-2019-05.pdf

Kar About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues 20, 2019 The Honorable Members of the Pennsylvania General Assembly: The Independent Fiscal Office hereby submits its initial revenue estimate in accordance with Sections 604- B (a)(1) and 605-B (a) of the Administrative Code of 1929. This report provides

Hits: 88

Official-Revenue-Estimate-2019-06.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues June 21, 2019 The Honorable Members of the Pennsylvania General Assembly: The Independent Fiscal Office submits this official revenue estimate in accordance with Section 1704-E (b) of The Fiscal Code. This report provides revenue estimates for fiscal year (FY) 2018-

Hits: 88

IFO - Economic and Budget Outlook - January 2012.pdf

condition will be during the next five years. The assessment shall take into account the state of the economy, demographics, revenues and expenditures.” In fulfillment of that obligation, we submit this report to the residents of the Commonwealth and the General Global Insight, Inc. Demographic projections are from the Penn State Data Center based on tabulations from the 2010 Census. Historical revenue and expenditure data are from the Commonwealth’s Consolidated Annual Financial Report, the Governor’s Executive Budget and various departmental

Hits: 88

Official-Revenue-Estimate-Methodology-2020-6.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues Honorable Members of the Pennsylvania General Assembly: This report accompanies the Independent Fiscal Office’s publication entitled Official Revenue Estimate: Fiscal Year 2020-21. The report describes the methodologies used to produce the revenue estimates included in that publication. Questions or

Hits: 87

Official-Revenue-Estimate-Methodology-2019-06.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues Honorable Members of the Pennsylvania General Assembly: This report accompanies the Independent Fiscal Office’s publication entitled Official Revenue Estimate: Fiscal Year 2019-20. The report describes the methodologies used to produce the revenue estimates included in that publication. Questions or

Hits: 87

CNIT-Rate-Cut-2018-04.pdf

request, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) undertook an analysis of state corporate net income tax (CNIT) rates, their impact on revenues and a proposal to reduce the Pennsylvania CNIT rate. House Bill 130 of 2017 reduces the Pennsylvania CNIT rate of during the past five years and changes scheduled to occur during the subsequent five years. The second section compares CNIT revenues to state personal income and population. Those two metrics are commonly used to compare the relative burden of taxes across

Hits: 85

Independent Fiscal Office

Independent Fiscal Office IFO • Latest Releases • Data • Calendar • Right-to-Know • About • About IFO • Contact IFO • Email Subscription • Links • Follow on Twitter • • Independent Fiscal Office Revenue Estimates Revenue & Economic Update Performance Budgeting Natural Gas Pension Analysis Property Tax Wage Contracts Tax Credit Review News Stand & Other Featured Releases

Hits: 85

Official-Revenue-Estimate-2020-06.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues 22, 2020 The Honorable Members of the Pennsylvania General Assembly: The Independent Fiscal Office hereby submits this official revenue estimate in accordance with Sections 604-B (a)(1) and 605-B (b.1) of the Administrative Code of 1929. This report

Hits: 83

Revenue-Estimate-2020-05.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues 26, 2020 The Honorable Members of the Pennsylvania General Assembly: The Independent Fiscal Office hereby submits its initial revenue estimate in accordance with Sections 604- B (a)(1) and 605-B (a) of the Administrative Code of 1929. This report provides

Hits: 81

PA_Turnpike_Toll_Projections_May_31_2013.pdf

May 28, 2013 Special Report 2013-4 Independent Fiscal Office Pennsylvania Turnpike Toll Revenue Projections: CY 2013 through CY 2024 About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues

Hits: 81

Revenue-Estimate-Performance-2020-09.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - Revenue Estimate Performance | Page 1 This document examines the performance of General Fund revenue estimates made by the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) since

Hits: 69

Revenue-Proposal-Analysis-2019-03.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues intentionally left blank. - INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE March 22, 2019 This report provides an analysis of the tax and revenue proposals included in the 2019-20 Executive Budget released in February 2019. The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) publishes this report to fulfill

Hits: 66

Revenue-Proposal-Analysis-2018-04.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projec- tions for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary 1929. The statute requires that the IFO “provide an analy- sis, including economic impact, of all tax and revenue proposals submitted by the Governor or the Office of the Budget.” This analysis uses various data sources to derive estimates of the

Hits: 66

Revenue-Estimate-Performance-2019-07.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues created by the Act of Nov. 23, 2010 (P.L.1269, No.120). ___________________________________________________________ - This page intentionally left blank. - Revenue Estimate Performance | Page 1 This document examines the performance of General Fund revenue estimates made by the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) since

Hits: 57

IFO_Hearing_Packet_Feb2018.pdf

Economic & Revenue Update Pennsylvania House and Senate Appropriations Committees February 20, 2018 Rachel Carson State Office Building, 400 Market Street, Harrisburg PA questions about the IFO’s budget, past hearings have included wide-ranging discussions regarding Pennsylvania’s economic outlook, labor market, revenue collections, demographics, long-term fiscal outlook and energy industry trends. The office has compiled some of the most frequently requested

Hits: 57

Economic-and-Revenue-Update-2020.pdf

questions about the IFO’s budget, past hearings have included wide-ranging discussions regarding Pennsylvania’s economic outlook, labor market, revenue collections, demographics, long-term fiscal outlook and natural gas trends. This submission includes data, tables and graphs that have been five tax credit reviews. Other functions of the IFO include the preparation of monthly reports on the state economy and revenue collections, periodic revenue estimates, coordinating analyses and issuing actuarial notes for legislation that proposes changes to public employee pension or

Hits: 56

Budget Hearings Packet.pdf

the IFO’s budget, past hearings have included wide-ranging discussions regarding Pennsylvania’s economic and consumer outlook, labor market, revenue collections, demographics, long-term fiscal outlook and energy industry trends. The office has compiled some of the most frequently requested to meet these obligations. Other functions of the IFO include the preparation of monthly reports on the state economy and revenue collections, periodic revenue estimates and special reports and research briefs on various budgetary and economic topics. The enclosure lists recent

Hits: 54

Budget Hearings Packet- Web Version.pdf

the IFO’s budget, past hearings have included wide-ranging discussions regarding Pennsylvania’s economic and consumer outlook, labor market, revenue collections, demographics, long-term fiscal outlook and energy industry trends. The office has compiled some of the most frequently requested to meet these obligations. Other functions of the IFO include the preparation of monthly reports on the state economy and revenue collections, periodic revenue estimates and special reports and research briefs on various budgetary and economic topics. The enclosure lists recent

Hits: 54

RB-2017-5.pdf

State Tax Revenues to Economic Growth INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE DECEMBER 2017 Responsiveness of Independent Fiscal Office Page 1 Introduction This analysis responds to a member of the General Assembly to the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO). The analysis compares the growth of state tax revenues to certain economic metrics to ascertain the responsiveness of revenues to economic growth across states. 1 For this analysis, tax

Hits: 52

Budget_Hearing_Background_Feb2016.pdf

you today. For my opening remarks, I would like to briefly discuss the outlook for the Pennsylvania economy, General Fund revenues and the long‐ term budget outlook. 2016 Economic Outlook Recent economic indicators provide different perspectives on the state and national national forecasts now place the risk of a mild recession at 15 to 20 percent. FY 2015‐16 General Fund Revenues For the mid‐year revenue update released in January, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) increased its General Fund revenue estimate

Hits: 52

QRR_2015Q2.pdf

April to June 2015 Quarterly Revenue Review Fiscal Year 2014-15 Page 1 Introduction The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) produces this report to facilitate comparison of its quarterly revenue estimates with actual revenue collections. The report also provides context for the variances between estimates and actual collections. The revenue

Hits: 51

Revenue-Estimate-Performance-2018-07.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues This page intentionally left blank. - Independent Fiscal Office | Page 1 This document examines the performance of General Fund revenue estimates made by the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) since its inception (September 2011) through May 2018. That time period covers six complete

Hits: 50

QRR_2016Q1.pdf

January to March 2016 Quarterly Revenue Review Fiscal Year 2015-16 Page 1 Introduction Each fiscal year, the IFO publishes a quarterly breakdown of its annual estimates for the General Fund, Motor License Fund and Lottery Fund. The most recent publication detailing the quarterly revenue estimates is available at www.ifo.state.pa.us. The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) produces this report to facilitate comparison

Hits: 45

QRR_2015Q4.pdf

October to December 2015 Quarterly Revenue Review Fiscal Year 2015-16 Page 1 Introduction Each fiscal year, the IFO publishes a quarterly breakdown of its annual estimates for the General Fund, Motor License Fund and Lottery Fund. The most recent publication detailing the quarterly revenue estimates is available at www.ifo.state.pa.us. The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) produces this report to facilitate comparison

Hits: 45

QRR_2013Q4.pdf

October to December 2013 Quarterly Revenue Review Fiscal Year 2013-14 Page 1 Introduction The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) produces this report to facilitate comparison of its quarterly revenue estimates with actual revenue collections. The report also provides context and analysis regarding any variances between the estimates and actual

Hits: 45

Revenue_Estimate_Performance_Dec_2017.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues This page intentionally left blank. - Independent Fiscal Office | Page 1 This document examines the performance of General Fund revenue estimates made by the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) since its inception (September 2011) through June 2017. That time period covers five complete

Hits: 44

Revenue Conference Presentation Jan 2013 FINAL.pdf

2013 Revenue Conference Independent Fiscal Office Commonwealth of Pennsylvania Presentation Overview Economic Outlook o Changes to forecast. o Consumer spending is crucial Date actuals. o Outlook for rest of fiscal year and next fiscal year. Discussion and questions 23.Jan.2013 2013 Revenue Conference 2 Pennsylvania Forecast 23.Jan.2013 2013 Revenue Conference 3 Historical Sources: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, U

Hits: 43

QRR_2014Q2.pdf

April to June 2014 Quarterly Revenue Review Fiscal Year 2013-14 Page 1 Introduction The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) produces this report to facilitate comparison of its quarterly revenue estimates with actual revenue collections. The report also provides context for the variances between estimates and actual collections. The revenue

Hits: 43

IFO ppt.pdf

January 18, 2012 Independent Fiscal Office Economic & Budget Outlook 2012 Revenue Conference January 18, 2012 Independent Fiscal Office Economic & Budget Outlook 2012 Revenue Conference Background • Public Act 120 of 2010 requires Independent Fiscal Office to release a five-year outlook report. – Release date

Hits: 42

Budget_Hearing_Background-Feb2014.pdf

Independent Fiscal Office February 7, 2014 Table of Contents Independent Fiscal Office Overview 1 IFO Reports and Analyses 2 Published Revenue Estimates 3 The Pennsylvania Economy Employment 4 Employment – Job Gains / Losses 5 Inflation and Gasoline Prices 6 Consumer Debt 7 General Fund Revenues Sales and Use Tax – Nonmotor 8 Sales and Use Tax – Motor Vehicles 9 Personal Income Tax – Withholding 10 Personal Income

Hits: 41

SUT Exemption for Aircraft - January 2013.pdf

Tax Exemption: Aircraft Sales, Parts and Maintenance and Repair About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues states that have not implemented policy changes related to aircraft (control states). Finally, the analysis derives the static revenue impact from an SUT exemption for aircraft and examines the number of job gains necessary to offset the static revenue loss due

Hits: 40

Single-Use Plastics Report-2020_06.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues left blank. - Staff Acknowledgements The IFO acknowledges the following staff for their work on this report: Kathleen Hall, Revenue Analyst II Ms. Hall joined the IFO in May 2019. Primary responsibilities include forecasting corporate net income tax revenues, business- and economic-

Hits: 40

Revenue-Update-2020-04.pdf

to a request from the General Assembly, this document updates the Pennsylvania Independent Fiscal Office’s (IFO) official General Fund revenue estimate for fiscal year (FY) 2019-20 to reflect the projected impact from COVID-19 and provide a preview of revenue estimates for FY 2020-21. The estimates represent potential outcomes based on the length of mandated business closures under two

Hits: 40

2013_special_report_funding_and_reforming_public_employee_retirement_systems.pdf

the Commonwealth?.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 Part V–Local Government Pensions. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 Part VI–Conclusion. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 Tables•Table 1–Personal Income Tax, Additional Revenue Estimates.. . . . . . 9•Table 2–Sales Tax, Additional Revenue Estimates. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9•Table 3–Cash Infusion Projections – Public SchoolEmployees’ Retirement System.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10•Table 4–Cash Infusion Projections – State Employees’Retirement

Hits: 40

2013 Appropriation Hearings Background Information.pdf

Appropriations Committee prepared by the Independent Fiscal Office February 8, 2013 Table of Contents Independent Fiscal Office Overview 1 Published Revenue Estimates 2 Major Federal Tax Changes for 2013 3 The Pennsylvania Economy Employment 4 Inflation and Gasoline Prices 5 Consumer Debt and Student Loan Debt 6 General Fund Revenues Sales and Use Tax – Nonmotor 7 Sales and Use Tax – Motor Vehicles 8 Personal Income Tax – Withholding 9 Personal Income

Hits: 40

QRR_2015Q3.pdf

July to September 2015 Quarterly Revenue Review Fiscal Year 2015-16 Page 1 Introduction Each fiscal year, the IFO publishes a quarterly breakdown of its annual estimates for the General Fund, Motor License Fund and Lottery Fund. The most recent publications detailing the annual and quarterly revenue estimates are available at www.ifo.state.pa.us. The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) produces this report to facilitate comparison

Hits: 38

MQRE-FY19-20-Aug.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues Estimates | Page 1 FY 2019-20 Monthly and Quarterly Estimates This report provides monthly estimates for General Fund revenues and quarterly estimates for Motor Li- cense and Lottery Fund revenues for fiscal year (FY) 2019-20. The monthly and quarterly estimates

Hits: 38

IFO Five-Year Outlook.pdf

Global Insight.  Expenditure Outlook  Special focus on healthcare and pensions.  Guest speaker: Ms. Katharine Witgert (NASHP).  Revenue Outlook  Where will growth come from? The Economic and Budget Outlook Slide 2 15.Nov.2012 Some Questions  What implications do broad demographic trends have for revenues and expenditures?  What is the likely path of the Pennsylvania economy over the next six years?  Will future

Hits: 38

ACN_SB1071_A10803_text.pdf

of any provision of this part relating to the limitations under section 401(a)(17) or 415 of the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 (Public Law 99-514, 26 U.S.C. § 401(a)(17) or 415). * * * "Alternate payee." Any spouse 414(u)(12) and any other payments, provided, however, that the limitation under section 401(a)(17) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 (Public Law 99-514, 26 U.S.C. § 401(a)(17)) taken into account for the purpose

Hits: 38

QRR_2015Q1.pdf

January to March 2015 Quarterly Revenue Review Fiscal Year 2014-15 Page 1 Introduction The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) produces this report to facilitate comparison of its quarterly revenue estimates with actual revenue collections. The report also provides context for the variances between estimates and actual collections. The revenue

Hits: 37

QRR_2014Q4.pdf

October to December 2014 Quarterly Revenue Review Fiscal Year 2014-15 Page 1 Introduction The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) produces this report to facilitate comparison of its quarterly revenue estimates with actual revenue collections. The report also provides context for the variances between estimates and actual collections. The revenue

Hits: 37

QRR_2013Q3.pdf

July to September 2013 Quarterly Revenue Review Fiscal Year 2013-14 Page 1 Introduction The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) produces this report to facilitate comparison of its quarterly revenue estimates with actual revenue collections. The report also provides context and analysis regarding any variances between the estimates and actual

Hits: 37

IFO_Hearing_Packet_Feb2019.pdf

addition to questions about the IFO’s budget, past hearings have included discussions regarding Pennsylvania’s economic outlook, labor market, revenue collections, demographics, long-term fiscal outlook and energy industry trends. This submission includes data, tables and graphs that have been time frame for transmittal of those plans and reviews. The IFO also prepares monthly reports on the state economy and revenue collections, periodic revenue estimates, coordinates analyses and issues actuarial notes for legislation proposing changes to public employee pension or retirement

Hits: 37

Economic_and_Revenue_Update_2020_10.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues the Pennsylvania General Assembly: The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) issues this report as an update to its official revenue estimate released in June 2020. Typically, the IFO would release a five-year revenue and economic outlook report in Novem- ber. However

Hits: 36

IFO_Hearing_8-30-2017.pdf

the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) at this informational hearing. The IFO was created by Act 120 of 2010 to provide revenue projections and other budget and economic analysis to the General Assembly and the public. The office currently has 10 staff September 2011, and recently received reappointment for another six-year term. As required by statute, the office provides General Fund revenue projections four times during the fiscal year. Our most recent forecast was released June 15, which projected $32.5 billion

Hits: 34

QRR_2017Q1.pdf

INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE Page 1 QUARTERLY REVENUE REVIEW JANUARY TO MARCH Fiscal Year 2016-17 The IFO produces this report to facilitate comparison of its quarterly revenue estimates with actual reve‐ nue collections. The report also provides context for the variances between estimates and actual collec‐ tions

Hits: 30

MTR-2017-11.pdf

In August, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released monthly projections for the fiscal year (FY) 2017-18 revenue estimate published in June 2017. 1 Through the first five months of FY 2017 -18, total General Fund revenues were $203.1 million (1.8 percent) above the IFO’s official estimate. Tax revenues were $58.5 million (0

Hits: 30

MTR-2017-10.pdf

In August, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released monthly projections for the fiscal year (FY) 2017-18 revenue estimate published in June 2017. 1 Through the first four months of FY 2017-18, total General Fund revenues were $9.6 million (-0.1 percent) below the IFO’s official estimate. Tax revenues were $27.4 million (-0

Hits: 30

QRR_2017Q3.pdf

Page 1 QUARTERLY REVENUE REVIEW JULY TO SEPTEMBER Fiscal Year 2017-18 Each fiscal year, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) publishes monthly breakdowns of these estimates is available at www.ifo.state.pa.us. The IFO produces this report to facilitate comparison of its revenue estimates with actual revenue collec- tions. The report also provides context for the vari- ances between estimates and actual collections

Hits: 29

QRR_2017Q2.pdf

Page 1 QUARTERLY REVENUE REVIEW APRIL TO JUNE Fiscal Year 2016-17 The IFO produces this report to facilitate comparison of its quarterly revenue estimates with actual reve- nue collections. The report also provides context for the variances between estimates and actual collec- tions

Hits: 29

QRE_FY14-15.pdf

Fiscal Year 2014-15 August 14, 2014 Quarterly Revenue Estimates About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues

Hits: 29

MTR-2017-09.pdf

In August, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released monthly projections for the fiscal year (FY) 2017-18 revenue estimate published in June 2017. 1 Through the first three months of FY 2017-18, total General Fund revenues were $25.3 million (0.4 percent) above the IFO’s official estimate. Total tax revenues were $9.4 million

Hits: 29

State_Tax_Comparison_2020_11.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues This report uses the latest data published by the U.S. Census Bureau to compare how states generate revenues. Based on tax or fee type, the report ranks states in descending order based on the ratio of tax revenue to state

Hits: 28

State-Tax-Comparison-2020-01.pdf

A Comparison Across States JANUARY 2020 Independent Fiscal Office About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues This report uses the latest data published by the U.S. Census Bureau to compare how states generate revenues. Based on tax or fee type, the report ranks states in descending order based on the ratio of tax revenue to state

Hits: 28

Presentation_Phil_Chamber_2-12-2015.pdf

and Economic Update What Is the Independent Fiscal Office? • Our role in the budget process. • Other products and publications. Tax Revenues and Budget Deficits. • Tax revenues through January 2015. • Revisions to FY 2014-15 General Fund revenues. • Implications for projected budget deficits. Latest Economic Developments. • Gas

Hits: 28

Presentation-Initial-Revenue-Estimate-2018-05.pdf

Economic and Budget Outlook INITIAL REVENUE ESTIMATE FISCAL YEAR 2018-19 Commonwealth of Pennsylvania May 1, 2018 Independent fiscal office May 1, 2018 Today’s presentation to accelerate recently.  FY 17-18: hitting estimate except for JUA transfer.  FY 18-19: moderately strong tax revenue growth. Final estimate to be released June 15.  May and June: large CNIT payments.  Will sales tax maintain

Hits: 28

QRR_2016Q4.pdf

INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE Page 1 QUARTERLY REVENUE REVIEW OCTOBER TO DECEMBER Fiscal Year 2016-17 The IFO produces this report to facilitate comparison of its quarterly revenue estimates with actual reve- nue collections. The report also provides context for the variances between estimates and actual collec- tions

Hits: 27

QRR_2016Q3.pdf

INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE Page 1 QUARTERLY REVENUE REVIEW JULY TO SEPTEMBER Fiscal Year 2016-17 INTRODUCTION Each fiscal year, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) publishes a quarterly the General Fund (page 2), Motor License Fund and Lottery Fund (page 4). The most recent publication detailing the quarterly revenue estimates is available at www.ifo.state.pa.us. The IFO produces this report to facilitate comparison of its quarterly

Hits: 27

mid-year-FY14-15-presentation.pdf

Mid‐Year Update Independent Fiscal Office Commonwealth of Pennsylvania 2015 Revenue Conference Economic Outlook for 2015 and 2016. • Forecasts: June 2014 vs. January 2015. • Drop in gas prices: SUT and other impacts. • Real wage growth: boost to consumer confidence? FY 2014‐15 General Fund Revenues. • Performance through January. • Revisions to FY 2014‐15 estimate. • Implications for next year. Advance Look at FY 2015‐16 Revenues

Hits: 27

2007_divestment_complete_report.pdf

reflected in the total determination of the employer annual contribution requirement. PSERS and SERS are funded by three sources of revenue: 1) employer contribu- tions, 2) employee contributions, and 3) returns on investments. Of these three funding sources, returns on fund Divestment efforts have been directed mainly against Iran’s petroleum industry because of the importance of that industry in generating revenue for the country. The state of Florida recently enacted legislation specifically addressing divestment from companies doing business with Iran and

Hits: 27

State and Local Tax Burden Study.pdf

Office State and Local Tax Comparison Study October 2012 About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues system relative to other states. This report uses data from the U.S. Census Bureau and the Internal Revenue Service to facilitate a comparison of state and local tax systems across all states. Specifically, the report examines four topics: (1) the

Hits: 26

RB-2020-COVID-19 Local Revenue Impact.pdf

how the COVID-19 pandemic and mandated business closures could impact local earned income taxes (EIT), property taxes and gaming revenues received by municipalities, counties and school districts for the current year. The analysis excludes other important local revenue sources (e.g., realty transfer taxes, occupational taxes and various fees) because the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) lacks relevant data

Hits: 26

Presentation-2018-06-PICPA.pdf

of Certified Public Accountants (PICPA) Commonwealth of Pennsylvania May 1, 2018 Independent fiscal office JUNE 12, 2018 FY 17-18: revenues are close to estimate.  Gains (PIT and SUT) offset losses (CNIT and GRT).  ~$200 million short: non-receipt of JUA transfer.  Tax revenue growth: 16-17 (+1.6%) | 17-18 (+3.9%). FY 18-19: tax revenue growth of +4.2%.  Federal

Hits: 26

Municipal_Analysts_Presentation.pdf

from the Executive and Legislature.  No governing board. Non-partisan vs. bi-partisan.  Primary duties:  General Fund Revenue Estimates (May 1, June 15).  Five-year economic and budget outlook (November 15).  Pension and wage contract analysis Demographic Outlook.  Suggests economic and budgetary challenges. Economic Outlook.  Solid labor market, but consumption tepid. Budget Outlook.  Revenue and expenditures. Pensions. Gaming. General Fund Balance Sheet Growth Rates 13-14 14-15 15-16 14-15 15-16

Hits: 25

PICPA_Presentation.pdf

Today’s Presentation June 7, 2017 2 Revenue Update for FY 2016-17. Negative (base) revenue growth through May. Revenue shortfall approaches ~$1.0 billion. Economic Update. Lots of jobs created, does not translate to spending remain high (~$2.5 - $3.0 billion). PA state-local tax burden similar to U.S. average. Factors That Affect Revenue Shortfall Taxable consumer spending is weak.  Base sales tax growth is +0.7% Jan. to May 2017.  Much

Hits: 24

MTR-2017-05.pdf

General Fund Snapshot The Commonwealth collected $2.58 bil- lion in General Fund revenues for May, an increase of $637 million (32.8%) com- pared to May 2016. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $28.41 billion, an increase of $564 million (2.0%) from the prior year. General Fund Tax Revenue Non-

Hits: 24

MTR-2018-06.pdf

In December, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released an update of the fiscal year (FY) 2017-18 official revenue estimate (originally published in June 2017) and corresponding revised monthly projections. 1 For June, General Fund collections were $154 million included in the updated official estimate per Act 44, but was blocked as a result of a federal court ruling. Revenue collections for the year were $178 million (-0.5 percent) short of the IFO’s official revenue estimate. Excluding the

Hits: 23

IFO_Testimony_Feb2018.pdf

for the packet that has been submitted for this budget hearing, I would like to briefly discuss recent economic and revenue trends, as well the potential impact of the federal Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA). Revenue Update Through January, the IFO revenue estimate is holding up well, and actual revenues are up roughly $190 million over

Hits: 23

TC_2020_Keystone_Innovation_Zone_Tax_Credit.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues within a targeted industry sector. 1 The credit is equal to 50 percent of the increase in gross revenue over the base year and may not exceed $100,000 annually. If a firm’s tax liability is insuffi- cient to utilize

Hits: 22

SR2017-03.pdf

Study 2017 Independent Fiscal Office Page 1 Methodology This report uses data from the U.S. Census Bureau, the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) and the Federation of Tax Administrators to facilitate a comparison of state and local tax systems across the examines (1) the relative state and local tax burden across states, (2) the distribution of state and local taxes across revenue sources (e.g., income, sales and property) and (3) state debt levels. For this analysis, the term “tax burden” equals

Hits: 22

RTR-2014-10.pdf

Office  Commonwealth of Pennsylvania  www.ifo.state.pa.us The Commonwealth collected $2.2 billion in General Fund revenues in October, an increase of $156 million (7.5%) over October 2013. Fiscal year-to-date revenues of $8.9 billion are $661 million (8.1%) over the prior fiscal year-to-date. Excluding July’s $227

Hits: 22

PA_Economy_League_Presentation.pdf

 Similar to the Congressional Budget Office.  Non-partisan analysis. No governing board. Our Primary Duties:  General Fund Revenue Estimate: May 1 & Jun. 15.  Five-Year Economic and Budget Outlook: Nov. 15.  Actuarial analysis for pension legislation tax proposals that have been considered by the General Assembly. 2. Background on school district property tax and potential replacement revenues. 3. Implications for various groups: schools, homeowners, renters, individuals and businesses. 19.May.2017 Today’s Presentation 3 SB 76

Hits: 22

MTR-2018-04.pdf

In December, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released an update of the fiscal year (FY) 2017-18 official revenue estimate (originally published in June 2017) and corresponding revised monthly projections. 1 Through April, total General Fund revenues are $173 million, or 0.6 percent, above the IFO’s updated official estimate. For the month of April, General

Hits: 22

MTR-2017-12.pdf

In December, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released revised monthly projections for the fiscal year (FY) 2017-18 revenue estimate published in June 2017. 1 The new release includes the incremental impact on General Fund revenues of (1) Acts 42, 43, 44 and 55 of 2017 and (2) a recent Supreme Court decision on net operating

Hits: 22

Impact-Fee-Update-2017-Outlook-2017-07.pdf

from the prior year. This research brief (1) examines the reasons for that decline, (2) I Table 1: Impact Fee Revenues and Distributions 2013 2014 2015 2016 Total Revenues $225,752 $223,500 $187,712 $173,259 Counties, Municipalities and HARE Fund 1 123,151 123,300 101,800

Hits: 22

Revenue-Estimate-2019-05-Presentation.pdf

Initial Revenue Estimate FY 2019-20 Independent Fiscal Office May 20, 2019 Main Themes PA economy performs as expected in 2018  GDP, wage and jobs growth close to forecast Other factors drive large revenue gains for FY 2018-19  Taxation of internet sales (permanent gain)  Corporate profits (both permanent and temporary) 

Hits: 21

MTR-2018-03.pdf

In December, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released an update of the fiscal year (FY) 2017-18 official revenue estimate (originally published in June 2017) and corresponding revised monthly projections. 1 Through March, total General Fund revenues are $498 million, or 2.0 percent, above the IFO’s updated official estimate. For the month of March, General

Hits: 21

Impact-Fee-Update-2018-Outlook-2018-06.pdf

ETR quantifies the implicit tax burden imposed by the impact fee in a given year. Introduction Table 1: Impact Fee Revenues and Distributions 2014 2015 2016 2017 Total Revenues $223,500 $187,712 $173,259 $209,557 Counties, Municipalities and HARE Fund 1 123,300 101,800 93,070

Hits: 21

Five_Year_Outlook_2016_IFO_PPT.pdf

Boyd | Rockefeller Institute of Government  Presentation on Public Pension Funding Risk Mark Ryan | Deputy Director, Independent Fiscal Office  Revenues, Expenditures and Fiscal Outlook 11/15/2016 2 A Preview of the Results January 2016: ~$1.9 to $2.7 Billion Structural Deficit.  Roughly 6% to 7% of General Fund revenues.  Driven by DHS, Pensions and temporary payment delays. Summer 2016: Enactment of Policy Changes.  Adds $1.1 billion

Hits: 21

2018_Mid-Year_Update.pdf

Mid-Year Update MID-YEAR Revenue Update Commonwealth of Pennsylvania January 29, 2018 Mid-Year Update Three parts.  Economic forecast: upward revisions due to recent data and tax reform.  Federal tax cut: economic and General Fund impact.  Revenues: FY 17-18 update; preliminary look at FY 18-19. Public presentation later today.  Rachel Carson Building at 2

Hits: 21

About IFO

Article VI-B of the Administrative Code . The office Mission Statement is as follows: The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues administration in the commonwealth, including executive deputy secretary for the Office of the Budget, research director for the Department of Revenue, and unemployment compensation tax services director for the Department of Labor and Industry. Ms. Warburton holds a M.P.A

Hits: 21

RTR-2014-11.pdf

Office  Commonwealth of Pennsylvania  www.ifo.state.pa.us The Commonwealth collected $1.7 billion in General Fund revenues in November, an increase of $34 million (2.0%) over November 2013. Fiscal year-to-date revenues of $10.6 billion are $695 million (7.0%) over the prior fiscal year-to-date. Excluding July’s $227

Hits: 20

RTR-2014-05.pdf

Independent Fiscal Office • Commonwealth of Pennsylvania • www.ifo.state.pa.us The Commonwealth collected $1.86 billion in General Fund revenues for May, a decrease of $167 million (-8.2%) compared to the prior year. Fiscal year-to-date revenues of $25.79 billion, which include an early transfer of $80 million in liquor store profits, are $174 million (-0

Hits: 20

Revenue Trends Report - March 2013.pdf

Office  Commonwealth of Pennsylvania  www.ifo.state.pa.us The Commonwealth collected $4.15 billion in General Fund revenues for March, an increase of 2.2% from the prior year. For the fiscal year-to-date, revenues increased by 3.9% to $20.34 billion. General Fund collections increased by 2.3% and 2.0% over the

Hits: 20

Revenue Trends Report - January 2013.pdf

Office  Commonwealth of Pennsylvania  www.ifo.state.pa.us The Commonwealth collected $2.34 billion in General Fund revenues for January, an increase of 7.6% compared to the prior year. For the fiscal year-to-date, revenues increased by 5.4% to $14.56 billion. General Fund collections increased by 4.8% and 2.9% over the

Hits: 20

MTR-2018-05.pdf

In December, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released an update of the fiscal year (FY) 2017-18 official revenue estimate (originally published in June 2017) and corresponding revised monthly projections. 1 For the month of May, General Fund collections million (-7.4 percent) below estimate but are roughly meeting estimate for the fiscal year. Overall sales and use tax revenues exceeded estimate by $50 million. Collections from motor vehicle and non-motor vehicle sales tax were over estimate by $10

Hits: 20

TC_2020_Research and Development Tax Credit.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues million, with $11 million set aside for small businesses and $44 million for other firms. The Department of Revenue (DOR) approves total credits awarded each fiscal year and can transfer amounts if any portion is unused by either group. To qualify

Hits: 19

RTR-2014-07.pdf

pa.us For the first month of fiscal year 2014-15, the Commonwealth collected $2.2 billion in General Fund revenues, an increase of $323 million (16.8%) over July 2013. Non-tax collections include $227 million in one-time transfers from special funds. Absent these transfers, General Fund revenue increased by $97 million, or 5.0%. Additional detail can be found in the table below and on the following

Hits: 19

Revenue Trends Report - December 2012.pdf

Office  Commonwealth of Pennsylvania  www.ifo.state.pa.us The Commonwealth collected $2.44 billion in General Fund revenues for December, an increase of 7.5% compared to collections for December 2011 (details on the next page). For the fiscal year-to-date, revenues increased by 5.0% to $12.23 billion. General Fund collections increased by 6.3% and 2.1% over the

Hits: 19

Presentation_2017_02_10_EPLC.pdf

 Similar to the Congressional Budget Office.  Non-partisan analysis. No governing board. Our Primary Duties:  General Fund Revenue Estimate: May 1 & Jun. 15.  Five-Year Economic and Budget Outlook: Nov. 15.  Actuarial analysis for pension legislation Lottery, Tobacco Settlement and Oil and Gas Lease funds.  Transfers of available monies from special funds.  Acceleration of revenue or deferrals of expenditures.  Loans or short-term revenue boosts. Post-Recession Budgets 10.Feb.2017 3 November 2016

Hits: 19

MTR-2019-07.pdf

In August, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) will release monthly revenue projections for fiscal year (FY) 2019-20. For July, General Fund collections were $2,329.2 million and were $90.8 million (4.1 percent) higher than July 2018. The tax revenue sources with the largest increase from the prior year include corporate net income tax (CNIT), personal income tax (PIT) and

Hits: 19

MTR-2018-12.pdf

On July 30th, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released monthly revenue projections for fiscal year (FY) 2018-19. 1 General Fund collections were $80.8 million (2.9%) above estimate for net income tax (CNIT) and sales and use tax (SUT) both came in above estimate for the month. Non-tax revenues and other tax revenues also came in higher than expected, while personal income tax (PIT) fell below estimate. December CNIT

Hits: 19

MTR-2018-11.pdf

On July 30th, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released monthly revenue projections for fiscal year (FY) 2018-19. 1 General Fund collections were $154.1 million (7.1%) above estimate for net income tax (CNIT) and sales and use tax (SUT) both came in above estimate for the month. Non-tax revenues and other tax revenues also came in higher than expected, while personal income tax (PIT) fell below estimate. November CNIT

Hits: 19

MTR-2018-02.pdf

In December, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released an update of the fiscal year (FY) 2017-18 official revenue estimate (originally published in June 2017) and corresponding revised monthly projections. 1 Through February, total General Fund revenues are $619 million, or 3.0 percent, above the IFO’s updated official estimate. February General Fund collections were $158

Hits: 19

MQRE-FY20-21-Aug.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues Estimates | Page 1 FY 2020-21 Monthly and Quarterly Estimates This report provides monthly estimates for General Fund revenues and quarterly estimates for Motor Li- cense and Lottery Fund revenues for fiscal year (FY) 2020-21. The monthly and quarterly estimates

Hits: 19

Five_Year_Outlook_2017_Presentation.pdf

Knittel | Director, Independent Fiscal Office  Balance Sheet, Demographic and Economic Outlook Mark Ryan | Deputy Director, Independent Fiscal Office  Revenue and Expenditure Detail, Revenue Package Chaaron Pearson| The PEW Charitable Trusts  Evaluation of State Economic Development Tax Incentives November 16, 2017 2 Budget

Hits: 19

Budget_Hearing_Testimony-Feb2014.pdf

The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provided background materials to the committee regarding the office, the economy and major General Fund revenue sources. I will not review that material in the limited time for opening remarks. Rather, I would like to summarize the IFO’s economic and revenue outlook for the current and next fiscal year. A core function of the IFO is the provision of revenue estimates

Hits: 19

RTR-2015-01.pdf

Office  Commonwealth of Pennsylvania  www.ifo.state.pa.us The Commonwealth collected $2.4 billion in General Fund revenues in January, an increase of $37 million (1.6%) over January 2014. The monthly growth rate is affected by the $80 million transfer of liquor store profits, which occurred in March of the prior year. Fiscal year- to-date revenues of $15.7 billion were $1,051 million (7.2%) higher than the prior year. However, adjusting for one-time

Hits: 18

RTR-2014-12.pdf

Office  Commonwealth of Pennsylvania  www.ifo.state.pa.us The Commonwealth collected $2.7 billion in General Fund revenues in December, an increase of $319 million (13.4%) over December 2013. Fiscal year-to-date revenues of $13.3 billion are $1 billion (8.3%) over the prior fiscal year-to-date. Excluding July’s $227

Hits: 18

RTR-2014-06.pdf

Independent Fiscal Office • Commonwealth of Pennsylvania • www.ifo.state.pa.us The Commonwealth collected $2.82 billion in General Fund revenues for June, an increase of $134 million (5.0%) compared to the prior year. Fiscal year-to-date revenues of $28.61 billion are $40 million (-0.1%) below the prior fiscal year-to-date. Additional information can be

Hits: 18

Revenue Trends Report - September 2012.pdf

Pennsylvania Independent Fiscal Office  www.ifo.state.pa.us The Commonwealth collected $2.43 billion in General Fund revenues in September, an increase of 4.6% compared to collections for September 2011 (details on the next page). In the first three months of the fiscal year, revenues increased by 3.8% to $6.07 billion. For the most recent twelve-month period, General Fund collections increased by

Hits: 18

Revenue Trends Report - June 2013.pdf

Independent Fiscal Office • Commonwealth of Pennsylvania • www.ifo.state.pa.us The Commonwealth collected $2.69 billion in General Fund revenues for June, a decline of 3.5% from the prior year. For the fiscal year-to-date, revenues increased by 3.5% to $28.65 billion. General Fund collections increased by 2.5% over the most recent three-

Hits: 18

Revenue Trends Report - August 2013.pdf

Office  Commonwealth of Pennsylvania  www.ifo.state.pa.us The Commonwealth collected $1.76 billion in General Fund revenues in August, a decrease of $36 million (-2.0%) compared to August 2012. Fiscal year-to-date revenues are $42 million (1.2%) above the previous fiscal year. Additional detail can be found below and on the following

Hits: 18

Revenue Trends Report - April 2013.pdf

Office  Commonwealth of Pennsylvania  www.ifo.state.pa.us The Commonwealth collected $3.59 billion in General Fund revenues for April, an increase of 4.9% from the prior year. For the fiscal year-to-date, revenues increased by 4.1% to $23.93 billion. General Fund collections increased by 2.0% and 2.2% over the

Hits: 18

MTR-2019-01.pdf

On July 30th, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released monthly revenue projections for fiscal year (FY) 2018-19. 1 General Fund collections were $99.1 million (-3.3%) below estimate for while corporate net income tax (CNIT) and personal income tax (PIT) came in below estimate. Other tax and non-tax revenues came in above projections ($14.2 million) in January. The monthly shortfall was attributable to a significant decline in PIT

Hits: 18

MTR-2018-07.pdf

On July 30th, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released its monthly revenue projections for fiscal year (FY) 2018-19 based on: (1) the FY 2018-19 projections contained in the IFO Official Revenue Estimate published on June 18, 2018 and (2) adjustments to reflect the impact of statutory changes that were enacted after

Hits: 18

MTR-2016-06.pdf

General Fund Snapshot The Commonwealth collected $3.06 billion in General Fund revenues for June, an increase of $145.2 million (5.0%) compared to June 2015. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $30.90 billion, an increase of $309.1 million (1.0%) from the prior year. General Fund Tax Revenue

Hits: 18

Impact-Fee-Update-Outlook-2019-06.pdf

ETR quantifies the implicit tax burden imposed by the impact fee in a given year. Introduction Table 1: Impact Fee Revenue and Distributions 2015 2016 2017 2018 Total Distributions 1 $187,712 $173,259 $209,557 $251,831 Counties, Municipalities and million in fees attributable to 2016 and 2017 that were remitted late. For CY 2018, the PUC reported impact fee revenues of $251.8 million, which is $42.3 million more than the amount collected for the prior year. Table 2

Hits: 18

Smetters_Presentation_Full.pdf

Marriage (1996 – 2070) Penn Wharton Budget Model 11 Census Data Microsimulation “The Tax Cut and Jobs Act” Static Analysis 12 Revenue Impact Revenue Effect 2018-2027 (billions of $) Revenue Effect 2018-2040 (billions of $) Tax Provision JCT PWBM PWBM New tax rate and

Hits: 17

RTR-2014-09.pdf

Independent Fiscal Office • Commonwealth of Pennsylvania • www.ifo.state.pa.us The Commonwealth collected $2.6 billion in General Fund revenues in September, an increase of $149 million (6.1%) over September 2013. Fiscal year-to-date revenues of $6.6 billion were $505 million (8.3%) above the previous fiscal year. Excluding July’s $227 million in

Hits: 17

RTR-2014-08.pdf

pa.us For the second month of fiscal year 2014-15, the Commonwealth collected $1.8 billion in General Fund revenues, an increase of $32 million (1.8%) over August 2013. For the fiscal year-to-date, the 9.7% growth from special funds. Excluding those transfers, the fiscal year-to-date General Fund growth rate was 3.5%.  Tax revenues increased by $33 million, or 1.9%. Fiscal year-to-date and recent twelve- month growth rates were 3.2%

Hits: 17

RTR-2013-11.pdf

Office  Commonwealth of Pennsylvania  www.ifo.state.pa.us The Commonwealth collected $1.70 billion in General Fund revenues for November, an increase of $20 million (1.2%) compared to November 2012. Fiscal year-to-date revenues of $9.89 billion are $108 million (1.1%) above the previous fiscal year. Additional detail can be found below

Hits: 17

Revenue Trends Report - October 2012.pdf

Office  Commonwealth of Pennsylvania  www.ifo.state.pa.us The Commonwealth collected $2.04 billion in General Fund revenues for October, an increase of 12.9% compared to collections for October 2011 (details on the next page). In the first four months of the fiscal year, revenues increased by 5.9% to $8.11 billion. General Fund collections increased by 5.5% and 2.0% over the

Hits: 17

Revenue Trends Report - July 2013.pdf

us For July, the first month of fiscal year 2013-14, the Commonwealth collected $1.92 billion in General Fund revenues, an increase of 4.3% over July 2012. General Fund collections increased by 1.8% over the most recent three-month period. Additional detail can be found below and on the following pages.  Tax revenues increased by $99 million (5.5%). An increase in personal income tax collections of $117 million (16.9%) offset decreases

Hits: 17

Revenue Trends Report - August 2012.pdf

Pennsylvania Independent Fiscal Office  www.ifo.state.pa.us The Commonwealth collected $1.8 billion in General Fund revenues in August, a decline of 0.6% compared to collections for August 2011 (details on the next page). In the first two months of the fiscal year, revenues increased by 3.2% to $3.64 billion. For the most recent three month period, collections declined by 4.8%

Hits: 17

Presentation_PASBO_Annual_Conference_3-8-2018.pdf

8, 2018 Today’s Presentation Updates on topics covered in recent IFO analyses:  School property tax  Demographics  Revenue estimates  Pensions / Act 5 2 March 8, 2018 School Property Tax Update New Forecast, Including Homestead Property Background on Property Tax and Discussion Regarding Possible Replacement Options Challenges for Replacement: Growing vs. Declining Districts School District Revenues; FY 2015-16 Source Amount Percent Property Tax (excludes delinquent) $12,615 44.3% Earned Income $1,509 5.3%

Hits: 17

MTR-2019-09.pdf

On August 8th, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released monthly revenue projections for fiscal year (FY) 2019-20. General Fund revenues exceeded the September estimate by $111.0 million and by $86.2 million for the fiscal year-to-date (FYTD

Hits: 17

MTR-2019-03.pdf

On July 30th, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released monthly revenue projections for fiscal year (FY) 2018-19. 1 General Fund collections met estimate for March (+$2.0 million) and are corporate net income tax (CNIT) and insurance premiums tax offset shortfalls in gross receipts tax, cigarette tax and non-tax revenues. PIT collections were above estimate by $10.0 million for the month. The overage was due to withholding ($5.7

Hits: 17

MTR-2018-1.pdf

In December, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released an update of the fiscal year (FY) 2017-18 official revenue estimate (originally published in June 2017) and corresponding revised monthly projections. 1 Through January, total General Fund revenues are $462 million, or 3 percent, above the IFO’s updated official estimate. Most of the year-to-date overage

Hits: 17

MTR-2016-04.pdf

General Fund Snapshot The Commonwealth collected $3.66 billion in General Fund revenues for April, a decrease of $347.9 million (8.7%) compared to April 2015. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $25.90 billion, an increase of $181.1 million (0.7%) from the prior year. General Fund Tax Revenue

Hits: 17

MRU-2020-3.pdf

of the COVID-19 virus, the corresponding business closures and other mitigation efforts had a significant impact on March 2020 revenue collections. Compared to the monthly projections released by the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) in August 2019, March collections of $4 page.) The IFO estimates that the virus contributed roughly $200 million to the monthly shortfall: (1) $50 million in lost revenue due to reduced economic activity, (2) $90 million in processing delays (expected to resolve in the current fiscal year) and

Hits: 17

RTR-2015-04.pdf

Office  Commonwealth of Pennsylvania  www.ifo.state.pa.us The Commonwealth collected $4.0 billion in General Fund revenues for April, an increase of $588 million (17.2%) compared to April 2014. Fiscal year-to-date revenues of $25.7 billion were $1.8 billion (7.5%) higher than the prior fiscal year-to-date. Excluding one-

Hits: 16

RTR-2015-03.pdf

Independent Fiscal Office • Commonwealth of Pennsylvania • www.ifo.state.pa.us The Commonwealth collected $4.3 billion in General Fund revenues for March, an increase of $56 million (1.3%) compared to March 2014. Fiscal year-to-date revenues of $21.7 billion were $1.2 billion (5.9%) higher than the prior year. However, adjusting for one-time

Hits: 16

RTR-2014-04.pdf

Office  Commonwealth of Pennsylvania  www.ifo.state.pa.us The Commonwealth collected $3.42 billion in General Fund revenues for April, a decrease of $173 million (-4.8%) compared to April 2013. Fiscal year-to-date revenues of $23.93 billion are nearly even with the prior fiscal year-to-date. However, this includes an early transfer

Hits: 16

RTR-2014-03.pdf

Office  Commonwealth of Pennsylvania  www.ifo.state.pa.us The Commonwealth collected $4.22 billion in General Fund revenues for March, an increase of $65 million (1.6%) compared to March 2013. Fiscal year-to-date revenues of $20.51 billion are $166 million (0.8%) above the prior fiscal year-to-date. Additional detail can be

Hits: 16

RTR-2014-02.pdf

Office  Commonwealth of Pennsylvania  www.ifo.state.pa.us The Commonwealth collected $1.65 billion in General Fund revenues for February, an increase of $19 million (1.2%) compared to February 2013. Fiscal year-to-date revenues of $16.29 billion are $101 million (0.6%) above the prior fiscal year-to-date. Additional detail can be

Hits: 16

RTR-2014-01.pdf

Office  Commonwealth of Pennsylvania  www.ifo.state.pa.us The Commonwealth collected $2.36 billion in General Fund revenues for January, an increase of $25 million (1.0%) compared to January 2013. Fiscal year-to-date revenues of $14.65 billion are $82 million (0.6%) above the previous fiscal year. Additional detail can be found below

Hits: 16

RTR-2013-12.pdf

Office  Commonwealth of Pennsylvania  www.ifo.state.pa.us The Commonwealth collected $2.39 billion in General Fund revenues for December, a decrease of $50 million (-2.1%) compared to December 2012. Fiscal year-to-date revenues of $12.29 billion are $57 million (0.5%) above the previous fiscal year. Additional detail can be found below

Hits: 16

RTR-2013-10.pdf

Office  Commonwealth of Pennsylvania  www.ifo.state.pa.us The Commonwealth collected $2.09 billion in General Fund revenues for October, an increase of $47 million (2.3%) compared to October 2012. Fiscal year-to-date revenues of $8.20 billion are $88 million (1.1%) above the previous fiscal year. Additional detail can be found below

Hits: 16

Revenue Trends Report - July 2012.pdf

Pennsylvania Independent Fiscal Office  www.ifo.state.pa.us The Commonwealth collected $1.84 billion in General Fund revenues in July, an increase of 7.2% over the amount collected in July 2011. For the most recent three month the prior year. For the most recent twelve month period, collections increased by 1.0%. Change in General Fund Tax Revenues (compared to same period in prior year; dollar amounts in millions) Revenue Source July 2012 FY 12-13 to Date

Hits: 16

Revenue Trends Report - February 2013.pdf

Office  Commonwealth of Pennsylvania  www.ifo.state.pa.us The Commonwealth collected $1.63 billion in General Fund revenues for February, a decline of 4.3% from the prior year. For the fiscal year-to-date, revenues increased by 4.3% to $16.19 billion. General Fund collections increased by 4.3% and 2.0% over the

Hits: 16

REU-2020-02.pdf

In August 2019, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released monthly revenue projections for fiscal year (FY) 2019-20. For February, General Fund revenues exceeded the estimate by $102.9 million (5.0 percent) and by $298.4 million (1.4 percent) for the

Hits: 16

REU-2020-01.pdf

On August 8th, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released monthly revenue projections for fiscal year (FY) 2019-20. General Fund collections for January fell below estimate by $18.4 million (-0 CNIT) and personal income tax (PIT) collections, which were partially offset by higher than expected sales and use tax (SUT) revenues. CNIT collections of $92.0 million for the month came in below projections by $32.1 million (-25.8 percent

Hits: 16

REU-2019-10.pdf

On August 8th, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released monthly revenue projections for fiscal year (FY) 2019-20. General Fund revenues for the month of October exceeded estimate by $143.7 million (5.7 percent) and by $229.8 million (2

Hits: 16

Presentation_Lancaster_Chamber_2017-07-14.pdf

in September 2011.  Similar to the Congressional Budget Office.  Office does not make policy recommendations. Primary duties:  Revenue projections: May 1 and June 15.  Analyze fiscal impact of state employee wage contracts.  Coordinate actuarial analyses of pension legislation.  Numerous special studies on revenue or budget matters.  Five-Year Economic and Budget Outlook. 7/14/2017 2 Today’s Presentation PA’s long-

Hits: 16

Presentation_2016-06-08_GPNP_Budget_Outlook.pdf

Operations September 2011. • Similar to the Congressional Budget Office. • Non‐partisan analysis. No governing board. Our Primary Duties: • General Fund Revenue Estimate: May 1 & Jun. 15. • Five‐Year Economic and Budget Outlook: Nov. 15. • Special studies at request of General Assembly 2008‐2009 Financial Crisis Recent Budgets Have Been Balanced Using Various Short‐Term Measures Underlying Fundamentals Suggest Significant Disparity Between Revenues and Expenditures 8.Jun.2016 3  The widespread 2008‐2009 U.S. financial crisis significantly affected subsequent budgets. • Federal

Hits: 16

Presentation-2019-3-1-EPLC.pdf

Crucial Assumptions | Recession Risk  Demographics: a contracting workforce  Economics: modest 2018 gains from TCJA, strong labor market  Revenues and Expenditures: one-time measures dominate  State and Local Revenues: property tax, impact fee March 1, 2019 2 Budget Outlook Highlights Revenues: exceeding estimate for FY 2018-19. Sales tax

Hits: 16

Presentation-2018-06-PASBO.pdf

Association of School Business Officials Commonwealth of Pennsylvania May 1, 2018 Independent fiscal office JUNE 5, 2018 FY 17-18 Revenues Close to Estimate FYTD Revenues Through May 2018 Amount Change Growth General Fund $31,483 $3,078 10.8% Corporate Net Income 2,318 188

Hits: 16

PICPA Presentation_ June 11, 2019.pdf

economy performed as expected in 2018  GDP, wage and jobs growth was close to forecast Other factors driving large revenue gains for FY 18-19  Taxation of internet sales (permanent gain)  Corporate profits (both permanent and temporary)  of Economic Analysis, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Corporate profits are domestic, non-financial profits only. Wages vs Tax Revenue Growth June 11, 2019 4 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7

Hits: 16

MTR-2019-06.pdf

Last July, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released monthly revenue projections for fiscal year (FY) 2018-19. 1 For June, General Fund collections exceeded estimate by $50.9 million (1 corporate net income tax (CNIT), sales and use tax (SUT), personal income tax (PIT) annual payments and licenses and fees revenue associated with gaming expansion. The surplus in PIT annual payments was partially offset by a significant shortfall in PIT estimated

Hits: 16

MTR-2019-02.pdf

On July 30th, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released monthly revenue projections for fiscal year (FY) 2018-19. 1 General Fund collections were $59.3 million (3.0%) above estimate for million), due to lower than anticipated collections in quarterly payments (-$186.8 million) and withholding (-$26.9 million). Other tax revenues came in over estimate ($2.9 million) in February. Shortfalls in insurance premiums and realty transfer taxes partially offset the

Hits: 16

MTR-2016-08.pdf

General Fund Snapshot The Commonwealth collected $2.02 billion in General Fund revenues for Au- gust, an increase of $147.7 million (7.9%) compared to August 2015. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $3.99 bil- lion, a decrease of $14.8 million (-0.4%) from the prior year. General Fund Tax

Hits: 16

MTR-2016-03.pdf

General Fund Snapshot The Commonwealth collected $4.49 billion in General Fund revenues for March, an increase of $215.1 million (5.0%) compared to March 2015. Fis- cal year-to-date revenues were $22.24 billion, an increase of $529.0 million (2.4%) from the prior year. General Fund Tax Revenue

Hits: 16

MTR-2016-02.pdf

General Fund Snapshot The Commonwealth collected $1.85 billion in General Fund revenues for February, an increase of $112.1 mil- lion (6.4%) compared to February 2015. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $17.75 billion, an increase of $313.9 million (1.8%) from the prior year. General Fund Tax Revenue

Hits: 16

MTR-2015-09.pdf

Neɑ IRS SɎaɎe MigɌaɎiɉɈ DaɎa ReɆeaɍed The Internal Revenue Service (IRS) recently released new data that capture interstate migration patterns for calendar years 2012 and 2013. The data are 4,663 -170 Other States -7,406 -262 Florida -9,092 -645 Total -21,578 -935 Source: U.S. Internal Revenue Service. Excludes foreign migration. Delaware -1,961 7 South Carolina -2,481 -119 North Carolina -2,913 -111 Number from

Hits: 16

TC_2019_Historic_Preservation_Tax_Credit_Report.pdf

Tax Credit project: “The Millworks” located in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania. About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues Iowa’s Historic Preservation and Cultural and Entertainment District Tax Credit: Tax Credits Evaluation Study,” Iowa Department of Revenue, Tax Research and Program Analysis Section (December 2014), p. 10. 7 Acts 1974, No. 273, Section 1. Amended by Acts 1975, No

Hits: 15

Revenue_Estimate_2016-06-15_Snapshot.pdf

General Fund Snapshot Revenue Source FY15-16 Growth FY16-17 Growth General Fund - Total $30,999 1.3% $31,661 2.1% Corporate Net Quarterly 1,821 10.9% 1,874 2.9% Annual 1,344 -3.6% 1,470 9.4% Other Tax Revenue 5,095 0.3% 4,960 -2.6% Non-Tax Revenue 658 -40.2% 578 -12.3% Note: dollar amounts

Hits: 15

Revenue Trends Report - November 2012.pdf

Office  Commonwealth of Pennsylvania  www.ifo.state.pa.us The Commonwealth collected $1.68 billion in General Fund revenues for November, a decrease of 2.3% compared to collections for November 2011 (details on the next page). In the first five months of the fiscal year, revenues increased by 4.4% to $9.79 billion. General Fund collections increased by 5.1% and 1.4% over the

Hits: 15

REU-2019-12.pdf

On August 8th, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released monthly revenue projections for fiscal year (FY) 2019-20. General Fund collections were $58.5 million (-2.0 percent) below estimate for The monthly shortfall was a result of lower than anticipated corporate net income tax (CNIT) and personal income tax (PIT) revenues. CNIT collections were $526.5 million for the month, which was 3.6 percent below estimate. The monthly result was

Hits: 15

Presentation_PICPA_9-24-2013.pdf

improved since spring? o Short Answer: No. o Economy has absorbed some hits. o A few more to come. Tax Revenues. o Best real-time indicator of PA economic conditions. Upcoming Studies. o HB 76 and SB 76. o Five-Year Reserve Earnings billions of dollars Losses from sales of securities $111 billion $34 billion 24 . Sept . 2013 9 How Are Revenues? Revenues best indicator of PA economy. Often a disconnect between economic forecast and real time revenue data. Look at data

Hits: 15

MTR-2019-08.pdf

On August 8th, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released monthly revenue projections for fiscal year (FY) 2019-20. Compared to those estimates, General Fund collections of $2,192.9 million in 7 million (-4.2 percent) under estimate due to an unexpected, one-time transfer that occurred in July. Monthly PIT revenues were $20.8 million (2.6 percent) higher than anticipated. The differential was in part due to withholding payments, which

Hits: 15

MTR-2019-05.pdf

On July 30th, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released monthly revenue projections for fiscal year (FY) 2018-19. 1 For May, General Fund collections exceeded estimate ($17.4 million) and are the year exceed the estimate ($323.6 million) as final and estimated payments are higher than anticipated. May non-tax revenues surpassed the estimate by $2.4 million. The result was due to higher than predicted escheats and treasury collections which

Hits: 15

MTR-2019-04.pdf

On July 30th, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released monthly revenue projections for fiscal year (FY) 2018-19. 1 General Fund collections exceeded estimate for April ($508.6 million) and are 138.8 million) payments. Overall FYTD CNIT collections are growing at a rate of 22.4 percent. April non-tax revenues were $58.0 million above estimate. Licenses and fees ($32.3 million) and escheats collections ($34.9 million) both exceeded

Hits: 15

MTR-2018-09.pdf

On July 30th, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released monthly revenue projections for fiscal year (FY) 2018-19. 1 General Fund collections were $137.8 million (4.7 percent) above estimate fiscal year. The IFO does not anticipate that the first quarter growth in CNIT (31.6%) and SUT (8.9%) revenues can be sustained for the remainder of the fiscal year. General Fund Snapshot General Fund Tax Revenue Non-Tax Revenue

Hits: 15

MTR-2016-05.pdf

General Fund Snapshot The Commonwealth collected $1.94 billion in General Fund revenues for May, a decrease of $17.3 million (-0.9%) compared to May 2015. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $27.84 billion, an increase of $163.8 million (0.6%) from the prior year. General Fund Tax Revenue

Hits: 15

MTR-2015-08.pdf

2 Annual average growth since 2006. 3 Thousands of payroll jobs. August 2015 Monthly Trends Report General Fund Non-Tax Revenue Aug-15 $1,868 $1,848 $20 Growth 4.3% 4.1% 23.7% FYTD $4,003 $3,945 $57 Growth -0.9% 4.6% -78.5% Dollar amounts are in millions. Tax Revenue The Commonwealth collected $1.87 billion in General Fund revenues for August, an increase of $76.4 million (4.3%

Hits: 15

Releases

IFO - Releases IFO • Latest Releases • Data • Calendar • Right-to-Know • About • About IFO • Contact IFO • Email Subscription • Links • Follow on Twitter • • Releases IFO Releases Five Year Economic and Budget Outlook January 21, 2021 | Revenue Estimates The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released its five-year Economic and Budget Outlook. Click the hyperlink above to view the report and presentation. Tags: budget , economic , outlook Full Report January 2021 Economic Update January 20, 2021 | Revenue & Economic Update The January edition of our Monthly Economic Update includes links to recent articles and reports that provide insight

Hits: 15

RTR-2015-02.pdf

Office  Commonwealth of Pennsylvania  www.ifo.state.pa.us The Commonwealth collected $1.74 billion in General Fund revenues for February, an increase of $94 million (5.7%) compared to February 2014. Fiscal year-to-date revenues of $17.4 billion were $1,145 million (7.0%) higher than the prior year. However, after adjusting for one-

Hits: 14

Revenue Trends Report - May 2013.pdf

Office  Commonwealth of Pennsylvania  www.ifo.state.pa.us The Commonwealth collected $2.03 billion in General Fund revenues for May, an increase of 7.1% from the prior year. For the fiscal year-to-date, revenues increased by 4.3% to $25.96 billion. General Fund collections increased by 4.2% and 2.2% over the

Hits: 14

REU-2019-11.pdf

On August 8th, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released monthly revenue projections for fiscal year (FY) 2019-20. General Fund revenues for the month of November were above estimate by $42.1 million (1.8 percent) and by $272.0 million

Hits: 14

QRR_2015Q3_preliminary.pdf

IFO General Fund Revenue Estimate Comparison to Actual Revenues October 1, 2015 The Independent Fiscal Office recently published quarterly estimates for fiscal year (FY) 2015-16 General Fund, Motor

Hits: 14

NFIB_Presentation.pdf

Established September 2011; 10 staff, but expanding. ◦ Like the Congressional Budget Office: non-partisan analysis. What we do. ◦ General Fund revenue estimates (multiple releases). ◦ Five-year budget and economic outlook (November). ◦ Supply actuarial notes for pension legislation. ◦ Performance-based budget reports NO policy recommendations. Dec.13.2017 3 IFO Role in the Budget Process May 1 (prelim) and June 15: issue revenue estimate. ◦ Provides General Assembly a starting point for deliberations. ◦ Governor still provides “official certification” of estimate. November 15: Five-Year

Hits: 14

MTR-2018-10.pdf

On July 30th, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released monthly revenue projections for fiscal year (FY) 2018-19. 1 General Fund collections were $19.5 million (-0.8 percent) below estimate historically low escheat payments, which are partially offset by an overage in Treasury collections. General Fund Snapshot General Fund Tax Revenue Non-Tax Revenue Oct-18 $2,474 $2,445 $30 Growth 13.7% 13.2% 88.7% FYTD $10,028

Hits: 14

MTR-2017-06.pdf

General Fund Snapshot The Commonwealth collected $3.3 billion in General Fund revenues for June, an in- crease of $203.8 million (6.7%) compared to June 2016. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $31.7 billion, an increase of $768.1 million (2.5%) from the prior year. General Fund Tax Revenue

Hits: 14

MTR-2017-04.pdf

General Fund Snapshot The Commonwealth collected $3.43 bil- lion in General Fund revenues for April, a decrease of $227.0 million (-6.2%) com- pared to April 2016. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $25.82 billion, a decrease of $73.1 million (-0.3%) from the prior year. General Fund Tax Revenue

Hits: 14

MTR-2017-03.pdf

General Fund Snapshot The Commonwealth collected $4.42 bil- lion in General Fund revenues for March, a decrease of $64.5 million (-1.4%) com- pared to March 2016. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $22.39 billion, an increase of $153.9 million (0.7%) from the prior year. General Fund Tax Revenue

Hits: 14

MTR-2017-02.pdf

General Fund Snapshot The Commonwealth collected $1.88 bil- lion in General Fund revenues for Febru- ary, an increase of $20.6 million (1.1%) compared to February 2016. Fiscal year- to-date revenues were $17.97 billion, an increase of $218.3 million (1.2%) from the prior year. General Fund Tax Revenue

Hits: 14

MTR-2017-01.pdf

General Fund Snapshot The Commonwealth collected $2.64 bil- lion in General Fund revenues for January, an increase of $143.6 million (5.7%) com- pared to January 2016. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $16.10 billion, an increase of $197.8 million (1.2%) from the prior year. General Fund Tax Revenue

Hits: 14

MTR-2016-12.pdf

General Fund Snapshot The Commonwealth collected $2.62 bil- lion in General Fund revenues for Decem- ber, a decrease of $106.6 million (-3.9%) compared to December 2015. Fiscal year- to-date revenues were $13.45 billion, an increase of $54.2 million (0.4%) from the prior year. General Fund Tax Revenue

Hits: 14

MTR-2016-11.pdf

General Fund Snapshot The Commonwealth collected $1.99 bil- lion in General Fund revenues for Novem- ber, an increase of $179.2 million (9.9%) compared to November 2015. Fiscal year- to-date revenues were $10.84 billion, an increase of $160.9 million (1.5%) from the prior year. General Fund Tax Revenue

Hits: 14

MTR-2016-10.pdf

General Fund Snapshot The Commonwealth collected $2.23 billion in General Fund revenues for October, an increase of $102.9 million (4.8%) compared to October 2015. Fis- cal year-to-date revenues were $8.85 billion, a decrease of $18.4 million (-0.2%) from the prior year. General Fund Tax Revenue

Hits: 14

MTR-2015-10.pdf

Security recipients are to receive a 2.0% COLA in 2017. October 2015 Monthly Trends Report General Fund Non-Tax Revenue Oct-15 $2,132 $2,109 $23 Growth -4.9% -4.6% -27.8% FYTD $8,868 $8,764 $103 Growth 0.1% 2.6% -66.8% Dollar amounts are in millions. Tax Revenue The Commonwealth collected $2.13 billion in General Fund revenues for October, a decrease of $109.9 million (-4.9%

Hits: 14

MQRE-FY18-19-July.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projec- tions for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary Estimates | Page 1 FY 2018-19 Monthly and Quarterly Estimates This report provides monthly estimates for General Fund revenues and quarterly esti- mates for Motor License and Lottery Fund revenues for fiscal year (FY) 2018-19. The monthly and quarterly estimates

Hits: 14

Impact-Fee-Update-Outlook-2020.pdf

data. The ETR quantifies the implicit tax burden imposed by the impact fee in a given year. 2019 Impact Fee Revenues For CY 2019, the PUC reported impact fee revenues were $200.4 million, which is $51.4 million less than the amount collected for the prior year. Table 2

Hits: 14

IFO_Revenue_Estimate_2013-14_Mid-Year_Update.pdf

General Fund Revenue Estimate FY 2013-14 Mid-Year Update Independent Fiscal Office January 23, 2014 At the beginning of the fiscal year, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) forecasted FY 2013-14 General Fund revenues of $29.154 billion. For comparison, the revenue estimate certified by the Governor and published by the Department of Revenue

Hits: 14

GPNP July 10, 2012 final.pdf

Overview  Introduction to Independent Fiscal Office (IFO).  Who we are.  What we do.  Official Revenue Estimate.  Other analyses.  Brief Economic Update.  What do tax data show? 10.Jul.2012 1 2012 GPNP IFO Concept  IFO combines two federal agencies.  Congressional Budget Office.  Annual budget projections.  Special studies on revenues or expenditures.  Joint Committee on Taxation.  “Scoring” of changes to tax policy.  Analysis of various tax code

Hits: 14

EPLC Feb 2020 FINAL.pdf

a governing board composed of legislators  Bi-partisan vs non-partisan Duties span a wide range of issues:  Revenue estimates (how much revenues are available?)  Performance based budgeting | Tax credit reviews  Special Studies: property tax reform, natural gas, minimum wage February

Hits: 14

TC_2019_Film_Production_Tax_Credit_Report.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues  The analysis finds that the net return on investment (ROI) is 13.1 cents of state tax revenue for each tax credit dollar. That ROI is consistent with other government and academic studies.  On net, the tax credit retains

Hits: 13

Revenue_Estimate_2015-06-15_Snapshot.pdf

IFO Revenue Estimate – General Fund Snapshot June 15, 2015 This snapshot summarizes the Independent Fiscal Office’s (IFO) revised revenue estimate for FY14-15 and its official revenue estimate for FY15-16. The full report (available on the IFO website

Hits: 13

Revenue_Estimate_2014-06-16_Snapshot.pdf

IFO Revenue Estimate – General Fund Snapshot June 16, 2014 This snapshot summarizes the Independent Fiscal Office’s (IFO) revised revenue estimate for FY13-14 and its official revenue estimate for FY14-15. The full report (available on the IFO website

Hits: 13

QRE_FY15-16.pdf

Fiscal Year 2015-16 September 17, 2015 Quarterly Revenue Estimates Independent Fiscal Office Page 1 FY 2015-16 Quarterly Revenue Estimates This document provides quarterly revenue estimates for the General Fund, Motor License Fund and Lottery Fund. The quarterly estimates

Hits: 13

Presentation_PICPA_12-3-2014.pdf

Budget Outlook FY 2014-15 to FY 2019-20 Provide Five-Year Projections For: • Pennsylvania Demographics • Pennsylvania Economics • General Fund Revenues • General Fund Expenditures Why Do We Do It? • Establish a neutral baseline to assess fiscal situation. • Identify long-term budget a small increase for younger workers. 3.Dec.2014 A Continuation of Broad Trends 15 Fiscal Outlook Year-to-Date Revenues Long-Term Fiscal Imbalance Tax Base Erosion 3.Dec.2014 16 3.Dec.2014 17 Fiscal Year-to-Date Revenues

Hits: 13

Presentation-2019-01-Mid-Year-Update.pdf

Mid-Year Update Economic Forecast Revenues Through January Revised Forecast FY 2018-19 Preliminary Forecast FY 2019-20 January 29, 2019 Forecast: June 2018 vs Jan labor market  Solid income growth  Stable interest rates  Low/stable energy prices January 29, 2019 5 FYTD Revenues Through January January 29, 2019 6 Actual Revenues IFO Estimate Admin Estimate Amount Growth Amount $ Diff Amount $ Diff General Fund

Hits: 13

Presentation-2018-06-Philly-Pitt-Chambers.pdf

Philadelphia Commonwealth of Pennsylvania May 1, 2018 Independent fiscal office JUNE 4, 2018 June.04.2018 2 FY 17-18 Revenues Close to Estimate FYTD Revenues Through May 2018 Amount Change Growth General Fund $31,483 $3,078 10.8% Corporate Net Income 2,318 188

Hits: 13

MTR-2016-01.pdf

General Fund Snapshot The Commonwealth collected $2.50 billion in General Fund revenues for January, an increase of $100.8 million (4.2%) compared to January 2015. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $15.9 billion, an increase of $201.8 million (1.3%) from the prior year. General Fund Tax Revenue

Hits: 13

MTR-2015-11.pdf

Online. Data for 2015 are estimates based on exports through September. November 2015 Monthly Trends Report General Fund Non-Tax Revenue Tax Revenue Nov-15 $1,808 $1,796 $12 Growth 4.3% 3.8% 374.9% FYTD $10,676 $10,561 $115

Hits: 13

2013-07 Monthly Economic Summary.pdf

S. Department of Labor - Survey of Households. 2/ U.S. Department of Labor - Survey of Establishments. 3/ PA Department of Revenue. 4/ Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. 5/ Energy Information Administration. 6/ U.S. Department of Labor. For non-release months 6% 1.7% n.a. 5.3% 5.6% 5.4% n.a. Snapshot: Pennsylvania Casinos Lead Region in Gross Revenue Independent Fiscal Office Commonwealth of Pennsylvania In 2004, the Pennsylvania General Assembly approved the Pennsylvania Race Horse Development and Gaming

Hits: 13

2002_drop_report.pdf

Municipal Police Pension Law. In the absence of carefully crafted legislation, compliance with federal anti-discrimination rules and the Internal Revenue Code could be problematic as well. Under a DROP, the employee forgoes somewhat higher ultimate monthly pension benefits, but gains Pennsylvania local governments, and the clear need to integrate DROPs with existing federal and state laws, such as the Internal Revenue Code, The Age Discrimination in Employment Act, the Pension Forfeiture Act, the Municipal Pension Plan Funding Standard and Recovery Act

Hits: 13

Revenue_Estimate_2015-05-04_Release.pdf

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE May 4, 2015 Independent Fiscal Office Releases Revenue Estimates (Harrisburg) - - The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) today released new revenue estimates for FY 2014-15 and FY 2015-16, according to director Matthew Knittel. By statute, the office issues an

Hits: 12

PSBA Presentation - Final.pdf

last analysis: SB 76 of 2013. Conclude: Consider current proposal and forecasts. 1/19/2017 2 FY14-15 School District Revenues 1/19/2017 3 Source Amount Percent Property Tax $12,285 44.5% Earned Income $1,476 5.4% Other profits. PA excludes $400 million of one-time escheats gains and a $227 million transfer. Sources: US Census Bureau (tax revenues), US Bureau of Economic Analysis (personal income). Data for FY 2013-14 and FY 2014-15. Ratio: State and Local

Hits: 12

Presentation_PA_Bus_Council_6-22-15.pdf

Pennsylvania Business Council June 22, 2015 Independent Fiscal Office Matthew Knittel, Director Budget and Revenue Update Calendar Years, Annual Growth Rates 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Real State GDP 1.1% 0.7% 1 5% Personal Income 12,088 5.7% 12,662 4.8% Inheritance 984 12.1% 906 -7.9% Other Tax Revenue 4,034 -2.8% 3,981 -1.3% Non-Tax Revenue 1,107 117.4% 543 -50.9% Dollar amounts

Hits: 12

Presentation_2016-05-13_KRFS_Economic_and_Revenue_Outlook.pdf

Mark J. Ryan, Deputy Director Independent Fiscal Office presented to the A Look Forward: Pennsylvania’s Economic and Revenue Outlook 2016 Keystone Rail Freight Seminar May 13, 2016 May 13, 2016 2 Economic Outlook • Stable Economic Growth • Low Inflation 2015 54.9 55.6 n.a. Updated 48.6 52.4 50.6 May 13, 2016 7 Short‐Term Revenue Outlook • Modest, But Steady Revenue Growth • Capital Stock & Franchise Tax Phased‐Out • Recent Reliance on One‐Time Revenues May 13

Hits: 12

MTR-2015-07.pdf

Bureau of Labor Statistics. 16-19 51.9% 48.8% 44.4% 40.9% Monthly Trends Report General Fund Tax Revenue Non-Tax Revenue Jul 2015 $2,135 $2,097 $38 Growth -4.9% 5.1% -84.9% FYTD $2,135 $2,097 $38

Hits: 12

Initial_Estimate_May_2017_Presentation.pdf

Economic and Budget Outlook Initial Revenue Estimate FY 2016-17 to FY 2021-22 Commonwealth of Pennsylvania May 2, 2017 The Economic Forecast.  General weakness Recent U.S. data confirm weak PA trends: 2017 Q1 Real GDP +0.7% growth, +0.3% consumer spending. The Revenue Forecast.  All forecasts except tobacco and IPT underperform.  Base growth rate for FYTD is negative (-1.0%). 

Hits: 12

IFO-Presentation-11-14-2019.pdf

Pension-IRA $61 2018 PA Cash Income $599 PA Wage Income $348 Bus Net Inc $59 November 14, 2019 13 Revenue and Expenditure Outlooks Revenues above IFO estimate by $230 million through October  Adding $200m to official estimate  Strength in sales-use, escheats

Hits: 12

IFO testimony CR Hearing Jan 29 2020.pdf

on combined reporting, the use of the filing method by other states and the IFO’s perspective on the potential revenue impact. Background Under mandatory combined reporting, multi-state firms that form a unitary group are required to file a combined based on the ownership of the group, as well as the relationships between the entities within the group. Estimating the revenue impact from combined reporting is subject to uncertainty, largely because taxing authorities lack full information regarding the characteristics of potential

Hits: 12

Five_Year_Outlook_2020_Presentation_Final.pdf

s Presentation Four Parts  Demographics a contracting labor force  Economics job recovery slows, some permanent job loss  Revenues solid, income surge due to federal stimulus  Expenditures significant growth due to one-time measures Analysis finds a ~$2 PA Cash Income Growth Very Strong January 21, 2021 10 Source: Various state and federal agency websites. See IFO Official Revenue Estimate Methodology (June 2020). Disconnect: Labor Market vs Other PA Indicators January 21, 2021 11 Economic Negatives Economic Positives Payroll

Hits: 12

Econ Summit Presentation Feb 28 2017.pdf

the Congressional Budget Office. • Supply non-partisan analysis. • No governing board. Separate from legislature.  Our primary duties: • General Fund Revenue Estimate: May 1 & June 15. • Five-Year Economic & Budget Outlook: Nov. 15. • Actuarial analysis of pension legislation. • Special studies at 2 Projected Budget Deficit February 28, 2017 3 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 Growth Begin Balance $275 $2 -$936 Revenue Available 29,855 30,994 31,309 1.0% Expenditures 30,127 31,931 33,410 4.6% Ending Balance

Hits: 12

TC_2019_New_Jobs_Tax_Credit_Report.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues and subtracting year one employment (average of the first four quarters). DCED issues tax 4 The Department of Revenue performs compliance checks on applicants and ensures that approved tax credits are used appropriately. 5 See “Job Creation Tax Credit: Program Guidelines

Hits: 11

Select Committee Oct 1 2012 FINAL.pdf

 Analysis Results:  Surplus or shortfall to (1) the Education Stabilization Fund and (2) school districts.  Detail by revenue source.  Background on Property Tax forecast.  Some general economic analysis. 1.Oct.2012 Analysis of HB 1776 and 01%.  Transfers from Property Tax Relief Fund.  Analysis assumes that General Fund is held harmless and Department of Revenue able to separate new revenues from existing revenues. 1.Oct.2012 Analysis of HB 1776 and SB 1400 of 2012

Hits: 11

SD-Property-Tax-Forecast-2020.pdf

were $533 million and delinquent collections were $535 million, resulting in a total of $14.6 billion for school district revenues related to the property tax. 1 The department plans to release actual collections for FY 2018-19 in late Spring FY 2024-25, which comprise approximately 93 percent of receipts related to the school property tax, are based on projected revenue growth from (1) tax base expansion (also referred to as economic growth) and (2) millage rate increases as limited under

Hits: 11

Revenue_Estimate_2015-06-15_Release.pdf

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE June 15, 2015 Independent Fiscal Office Releases Revenue Estimate (Harrisburg) - - The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) today released its official revenue estimate, according to director Matthew Knittel. The IFO’s initial revenue estimate was released on May 4th, and the official

Hits: 11

Revenue-Estimate-2020-05-Presentation.pdf

Initial Revenue Estimate FY 2020-21 Independent Fiscal Office May 26, 2020 Solid PA Growth Prior to Pandemic May 26, 2020 1 1.4% -0.1% 1.5% 6.3% Per Capita Consumer Debt 4.3% 3.5% 3.7% 3.8% Revenues Through March (exclude COVID-19) +$165 million over estimate Note: Figures for 2020.1 for Net New Jobs and Home

Hits: 11

Public Employee Retirement Laws of PA Local Governments (2009).pdf

may be prohibited by a pension plan statute or would endanger the pension plan’s qualified status under the Internal Revenue Code, the list should not be used as an automatic approval of any listed investment. Prudent Person Rule. In addition of the pension plan. The financial data provide information on the financial position of the pension trust fund and the revenues and expenses of the fund. The demographic data provide information on the current number and compensation of active and retired

Hits: 11

Pitt_Chamber_Presentation.pdf

February 27, 2018 Matthew Knittel, Director Independent Fiscal Office CompetePA Retreat Economy, Revenues and Budget Pennsylvania economic growth rates or change 2015 2016 2017 2018 Real Gross Domestic Product 2.3% 0.6% 46.7 52.2 60.4 61.8 Home Price Index 2.5% 4.1% 4.4% 4.0% Tax revenues exceed estimate through February (+$135 million)  Strong acceleration of estimated income tax payments in Dec-Jan (+33%)  Mini-

Hits: 11

MTR-2017-08.pdf

governments continue to devote more resources to education and treatment. The Pennsylvania Opioid Crisis General Fund Snapshot General Fund Tax Revenue Non-Tax Revenue Aug-17 $2,129 $2,086 $43 Growth 5.6% 4.5% 119.5% FYTD $4,214 $4,149 $65

Hits: 11

MTR-2017-07.pdf

boost to wage growth during the next few quarters. PA PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH STEADY General Fund Snapshot General Fund Tax Revenue Non-Tax Revenue Jul-17 $2,085 $2,063 $22 Growth 5.7% 6.7% -42.4% FYTD $2,085 $2,063 $22

Hits: 11

MTR-2016-09.pdf

GENERAL FUND SNAPSHOT The Commonwealth collected $2.63 billion in General Fund revenues for September, a decrease of $106.5 million (-3.9%) compared to September 2015. Fiscal year-to-date reve- nues of gas and motor vehicles. Excludes services. Source: U.S. Dept. of Commerce. PA: Annual growth rate of sales tax revenues based on latest three months of data. Excludes transfers to or from the Enhanced Revenue Collection Account. Source: PA Dept

Hits: 11

MRU-2020-09.pdf

September revenue collections of $3.26 billion were $347.3 million (11.9 percent) higher than the monthly projection associated with the income tax (PIT). Fiscal year-to-date (FYTD) collections exceed estimate by $739.6 million (8.1 percent). Monthly SUT revenues were $132.9 million (15.4 percent) above estimate due to strong non-motor vehicle (NMV) and motor vehicle (MV

Hits: 11

Mid_Year_FY16-17_Presentation.pdf

Economic and Budget Outlook 2017 Revenue Conference FY 2016-17 to FY 2021-22 Commonwealth of Pennsylvania IFO Mid-Year Update January 25, 2017 Presentation has three parts.  Economic update. Unexpected broad weakness.  Revenue update for FY 2016-17.  Revenue forecast for FY 2017-18. Theme: What is driving weakness?  Base General

Hits: 11

Demographics_Outlook_2020.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues be during the next five years. The assessment shall take into account the state of the economy, demographics, revenues and expenditures.” In fulfillment of the demographics obligation, the IFO submits this report to the residents of the Commonwealth and members of

Hits: 11

2012-09 Monthly Economic Summary 7.pdf

S. Department of Labor - Survey of Households. 2/ U.S. Department of Labor - Survey of Establishments. 3/ PA Department of Revenue. 4/ PA Department of Revenue. 5/ PA Department of Revenue. 6/ Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. 7/ Energy Information Administration. 8/ U.S. Department of

Hits: 11

SD-Property-Tax-Forecast-2019.pdf

were $532 million and delinquent collections were $552 million, resulting in a total of $14.1 billion for school district revenues related to the property tax. 1 The department is expected to release actual collections for FY 2017-18 in late 17, estimated by IFO thereafter. Forecast Overview Independent Fiscal Office March 2019 2 school property tax, are based on projected revenue growth from (1) tax base expansion (also referred to as economic growth) and (2) tax rate increases as limited under

Hits: 10

Revenue_Estimate_2014-06-16_Release.pdf

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE June 16, 2014 Independent Fiscal Office Releases Revenue Estimate (Harrisburg) - - The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) today released its official revenue estimate, according to director Matthew Knittel. The IFO’s initial revenue estimate was released on May 1, and the official

Hits: 10

RB-2018-01.pdf

were $530 million and delinquent collections were $569 million, resulting in a total of $13.7 billion for school district revenues related to the property tax. 1 The department is expected to release actual collections for FY 2016-17 in late FY 2022-23, which represent approximately 93 percent of receipts related to the school property tax, are based on projected revenue growth from (1) tax base expansion (also referred to as economic growth) and (2) tax rate increases as limited under

Hits: 10

Official-Revenue-Estimate-2020-06-Presentation.pdf

Official Revenue Estimate FY 2020-21 Independent Fiscal Office June 22, 2020 Solid PA Growth Prior to Pandemic June 22, 2020 1 1.4% -0.1% 1.5% 6.3% Per Capita Consumer Debt 4.3% 3.5% 3.7% 3.8% Revenues Through March (exclude COVID-19) +$165 million over estimate Note: Figures for 2020.1 for Net New Jobs and Home

Hits: 10

MRU_2020_11.pdf

For November, revenue collections were $2.34 billion, which was $90.9 million above the monthly projections associated with the Independent Fiscal Office motor ($75.2 million, 9.7 percent) and motor vehicle ($20.0 million, 17.3 percent) collections. FYTD SUT tax revenues also exceed the forecast ($681.6 million). The result is due to an overage in both non-motor ($562.0

Hits: 10

MRU-2020-12.pdf

For December, revenue collections were $3.68 billion, which were $774.4 million (26.6 percent) above the monthly projections associated with the 1 million, 4.8 percent), with an additional $3.4 million (2.8 percent) from motor vehicle collections. FYTD SUT revenues exceed estimate ($726.2 million, 12.8 percent) due to non-motor ($603.2 million, 12.4 percent) and motor

Hits: 10

MRU-2020-08.pdf

On August 27, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released monthly revenue projections for fiscal year (FY) 2020-21 based on its official estimate released June 22. Compared to those estimates, General income tax (PIT). Fiscal year-to-date (FYTD) collections exceed estimate by $392.3 million (6.3 percent). Monthly SUT revenues were $150.8 million (17.1 percent) above estimate due to overages in both non-motor vehicle (NMV) and motor

Hits: 10

MRU-2020-06.pdf

June revenue collections of $2.67 billion fell short of monthly projections released by the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) in August 2019 billion, $3.24 billion (-9.1 percent) below estimate. The shortfall roughly consists of: (1) $1.36 billion in lost revenue from reduced economic activity and (2) $1.91 billion that shifts to FY 2020-21 as a result of extended

Hits: 10

Initial_Estimate_May_2017_Press_Release.pdf

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE May 2, 2017 Independent Fiscal Office Releases Revenue Estimates (Harrisburg) - - The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) today released new revenue estimates for FY 2016-17 and FY 2017-18, according to director Matthew Knittel. By statute, the office issues an

Hits: 10

The Payroll Tax Cut Extension FINAL.pdf

Office January 31, 2012 How Will the Proposed Extension of the Payroll Tax Cut Impact the PA Economy and Tax Revenues? Director’s Note: The following text discusses the possible economic impact from a policy under consideration by the U.S to extend the payroll tax cut for the full year. How will the proposed extension affect Commonwealth residents and tax revenues for the current and subsequent fiscal years? BACKGROUND The Federal Insurance Contributions Act tax (FICA, also known as the payroll

Hits: 9

TC_2020_Mobile Telecommunications Broadband Investment Tax Credit.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues be claimed in one year cannot exceed 50% of the taxpayer's CNIT liability. Source: PA Department of Revenue. Section 3: State Comparison | Page 7 Section 3: State Comparison The expansion of broadband infrastructure is a common state public policy initiative

Hits: 9

Revenue_and_Economic_Update_Presentation_2020_10.pdf

October Revenue and Economic Update FY 2020-21 Independent Fiscal Office October 29, 2020 Modest Improvement to 2020 Economic Forecast October 29 consumption down ~10%  Home improvement, cars, appliances and computers all taxable October 29, 2020 7 Mitigation vs. Recovery Period: Revenue Growth Rates October 29, 2020 8 Mitigation Mar to Jun Recovery Jul to Oct Notes General Fund Tax -9.2%

Hits: 9

RB-2016-02.pdf

resources through the tax system instead of through the annual budget process. These values should not be construed as the revenue that could be gained if a particular tax incentive were repealed, as the economic activity may not have occurred in the tax incentive is unknown (N/A) or nominal. The Department of Community and Economic Development and the Department of Revenue administer most tax incentives. Figures shown below are generally from the tax expenditure section of the Executive Budget. Figures for

Hits: 9

QRE_FY15-16.xlsx

General Fund FY 2015-16 General Fund Revenue Estimates (dollar amounts in millions) 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2016 Q1 2016 Q2 FY 2015-16 Jul-Sep Oct-Dec Total General Fund $6,662.1 $6,570.8 $8,644.9 $8,843.8 $30,721.6 Total Tax Revenue 6,620.1 6,505.7 8,498.9 8,553.5 30,178.2 Total Corporation Taxes 660.3

Hits: 9

Pennsylvania_Aging_Presentation.pdf

2016.  More income dedicated to housing expenses.  More housing debt. III.Funding for Seniors’ Programs.  Outlook for revenue sources is tepid.  Demand and price effects create imbalance. May 24, 2017 2 I. Demographic Trends  Subtle, yet Withdrawls Wages Business Income 2006 2014 May 24, 2017 14 The “Three Legged Stool” is now a chair. Source: Internal Revenue Service. Includes adjustments for unreported income. Data are for U.S. Senior Spending Patterns Shift Share of Spending for Age

Hits: 9

NGIFE-2018.pdf

produce less than 90 Mcf per day are exempt from the fee in any operating year. Table 1: Impact Fee Revenues and Distributions 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Total Revenues $225,752 $223,500 $187,712 $173,259 $219,371 Counties, Municipalities and HARE Fund 1 123,151 123,300

Hits: 9

MRU-2020-10.pdf

Revenue collections for October were $2.59 billion, which was $275.2 million (11.9 percent) above the monthly projection associated net income tax (CNIT). Fiscal year-to-date (FYTD) collections exceed estimate by $1.01 billion (8.8 percent). SUT revenues for October totaled $1,089.4 million, $132.5 million (13.8 percent) over estimate, mainly due to stronger than

Hits: 9

MRU-2020-07.pdf

In August, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) will release monthly revenue projections for fiscal year (FY) 2020 -21. For July, General Fund collections were $4.10 billion and $1.77 billion pandemic. Excluding this shift, July monthly collections exceeded the prior year total by $154.8 million, or 6.6 percent. Revenues were likely bolstered by pent-up demand from COVID-19 business closures earlier this year and the continued effect of

Hits: 9

MRU-2020-05.pdf

May revenue collections of $2.11 billion fell below monthly projections released by the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) in August 2019 by the COVID-19 virus. The shortfall is entirely attributable to the virus and consists of: (1) $430 million in lost revenue from reduced economic activity, (2) $15 million in processing delays or delayed due dates (expected to resolve in the current

Hits: 9

mid-year-FY16-17-press-release.pdf

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE January 25, 2017 Independent Fiscal Office Releases Revised Revenue Estimate for FY 2016-17 (Harrisburg) - - Director Matthew Knittel released a mid-year update of the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) revenue estimate for fiscal year (FY) 2016-17. The revised estimate is $32.060 billion, which is $250 million lower than

Hits: 9

mid-year-FY14-15-press-release.pdf

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE January 28, 2015 Independent Fiscal Office Releases Revised Revenue Estimate for FY 2014-15 (Harrisburg) - - Director Matthew Knittel released a mid-year update of the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) revenue estimate for fiscal year (FY) 2014-15. The revised estimate is $30.207 billion, which is $250 million higher than

Hits: 9

2004_srpvffinal.pdf

funds may be spent and the types of benefits an FRA may provide to its members. STATE AID State aid revenues distributed annually to FRAs are derived from a 2 percent tax imposed on the gross premiums of fire insurance policies contribution range. The flexibility of funding that occurs with the adoption of a contribution range is particularly appropriate where the revenues available for funding the retirement plan may vary over time and where the retirement benefit is not the primary source

Hits: 9

RB_2020_12_PPP_Loans_to_PA_Businesses.pdf

related mitigation efforts. Due to those efforts, many firms suspended operations temporarily. The loans would be used to replace lost revenues and allow firms to retain employees who might otherwise be released. To qualify for loan forgiveness, loans must have been receiving loans that did not intend to lay off employees. Other firms that received loans might not have incurred a revenue reduction, or incurred only a brief, temporary reduction that was recouped in subsequent months. The SBA Inspector General has also

Hits: 8

Property-Tax-Update-August-2018.pdf

The original documents can be found on the IFO website. 1 Table 1 provides the most recent breakdown of the revenue sources used by school districts. The data show that property taxes comprised 42.4 percent of school district funds for 60 percent). Graph 2 uses the same data as Graph 1 but displays annual growth rates for the three tax revenue sources. The data show that personal income tax has been more volatile than sales or property tax. I hope that

Hits: 8

Presentation_2016-05-12_PaDUC_Impact_of_Demographics.pdf

Mark J. Ryan, Deputy Director Independent Fiscal Office presented to the The Impact of Demographics on General Fund Revenues and Expenditures 2016 Pennsylvania Data User Conference May 12, 2016 Office Began Operations September 2011. • Similar to the Congressional Budget Office. • Non‐partisan analysis. No governing board. Our Primary Duties: • General Fund Revenue Estimate: May 1 & Jun. 15. • Five‐Year Economic and Budget Outlook: Nov. 15. • Special studies at request of General Assembly

Hits: 8

perez ppt.pdf

Arturo Pérez NCSL Fiscal Affairs Program Director Overview – State fiscal conditions continue to improve, but at a very slow pace. – Revenue performance is solid – Expenditures are stable – Budget gaps are few in FY 2012 Overview (continued) – States face ongoing budget challenges Flat (-1% to 1%), n= 3 Less than -1%, n= 6 Source: NCSL survey of legislative fiscal officers, summer 2011. Revenue Outlook for the Remainder of FY 2012 0 16 28 7 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Pessimistic Concerned

Hits: 8

NGIFE-2016.pdf

produce less than 90 Mcf (thousand cubic feet) per day are exempt. Plugged horizontal wells are Table 1: Impact Fee Revenues and Distributions 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Total Revenues $202,472 $225,752 $223,500 $187,712 $174,600 Counties, Municipalities and HARE Fund 1 107,683 123,151

Hits: 8

MRU-2020-04.pdf

Revenue collections of $2.18 billion in April were below monthly projections released by the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) in August IFO estimates that the shortfall is almost entirely attributable to the virus and consists of: (1) $385 million in lost revenue due to reduced economic activity, (2) $140 million in processing delays or delayed due dates (expected to resolve in the

Hits: 8

Monthly_Economic_Update_June_2020.pdf

COVID-19 Revenue Losses Place Some Pennsylvania Municipalities at Risk The University of Pittsburgh released a tool that estimates the potential revenue loss to Pennsylvania municipalities due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Researchers estimate that revenue losses range from $833 million to

Hits: 8

Impact-Fee-Estimate-2019.pdf

the estimated CY 2019 collections with actual collections and distributions for the prior three years. Introduction Table 1: Impact Fee Revenue and Distributions 2016 2017 2018 2019 Total Distributions 1 $173,259 $209,557 $251,831 $198,200 Counties, Municipalities and from prior years. This component includes the total impact of both factors: Estimated impact: -$7.5 million. 2019 Impact Fee Revenues Independent Fiscal Office January 2020 2 Table 2: Well Count and Estimated Collections for 2019 Operating Number of Number of

Hits: 8

2020_Impact_Fee_Estimate.pdf

data. The ETR quantifies the implicit tax burden imposed by the impact fee in a given year. 2020 Impact Fee Revenues The estimate for the CY 2020 impact fee is $144.9 million, which represents a $55.9 million decrease from 500 10,500 10,500 Conservation Districts/Commission 7,750 7,897 7,897 7,897 Table 1: Impact Fee Revenue and Distributions Note: Dollar amounts in thousands. Fees are remitted in the following April and distributed in July. Source: Pennsylvania

Hits: 8

Revenue_Estimate_2016-06-15_Release.pdf

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE June 15, 2016 Independent Fiscal Office Releases Revenue Estimates (Harrisburg) - - The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) today released updated revenue estimates for FY 2015-16 and FY 2016-17, according to director Matthew Knittel. By statute, the office issues its

Hits: 7

RB-2019-01.pdf

produce less than 90 Mcf per day are exempt from the fee in any operating year. Table 1: Impact Fee Revenues and Distributions 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Total Revenues $223,500 $187,712 $173,259 $209,557 $246,970 Counties, Municipalities and HARE Fund 1 123,300 101,800

Hits: 7

press release - economic and budget outlook.pdf

use to assess the fiscal sustainability of current tax and spending policies,” Knittel said. The report considers the demographic, economic, revenue and expenditure trends that may affect the Commonwealth’s fiscal position over the next five years. On a current-policy basis, the analysis finds that expenditure growth has the potential to significantly exceed revenue growth over this period. Other major findings include:  The Pennsylvania economy will continue to expand, but at a lackluster

Hits: 7

Presentation-2019-5-1-PAEL.pdf

Raised by Advocates:  Alleviates poverty.  Greater job satisfaction.  Less turnover.  Expands the economy and generates tax revenues.  Reduces expenditures on healthcare programs (Medicaid). Raised by Opponents:  They are "starter" wages paid to inexperienced workers.  Includes all primary and secondary jobs, all full- and part-time. Excludes self-employed and independent contractors. Source: "Analysis of Revenue Proposals," IFO (March 2019). Projected Employment Impact (2018) May 1, 2019 9 Lower Upper % Change Avg Wage # Jobs Affected Change

Hits: 7

PBB_2020_DOS_REPORT.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues active licensees.  In 2018, the State Athletic Commission sanctioned a record 552 events and generated its largest revenue to date at $904,000.  For FY 2018-19, DOS registered 17,323 notary public candidates. Activity Primary Service 1 Elections

Hits: 7

PBB_2019_DGS_Report.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues n.a. Law enforcement program transactions $5,359 $425 $2,277 $6,136 $2,639 n.a. Recycling revenue $3,053 $2,381 $2,355 $3,095 $1,988 n.a. Recycling costs paid (responsible recycling) $442 $420 $454 $465 $459

Hits: 7

Monthly_Economic_Update_August_2020.pdf

support programs provided temporary funding that allowed many households to pay down their debt. Number of Small Businesses Open and Revenues Decline from July Peak Opportunity Insights released updated data for the number of small businesses open and small business revenues, as compared to January 2020. Small businesses open in the U.S. declined by 12.5% at the beginning of

Hits: 7

Five_Year_Outlook_2016_Press_Release.pdf

will be available for download on the office website (www.ifo.state.pa.us). The report evaluates the demographic, economic, revenue and expenditure trends that will affect the Commonwealth’s fiscal condition through fiscal year (FY) 2021-22. Updated revenue estimates suggest policymakers could face a budget imbalance of more than $500 million in the current fiscal year. The projected

Hits: 7

Five_Year_Outlook_2014_Press_Release.pdf

171 million for the current fiscal year and $1,679 million related to next year.” Knittel said. “The non-recurring revenues and one-time costs savings employed in the FY 2014-15 budget contribute significantly to this deficit.” The report evaluates the demographic, economic, revenue and expenditure trends that will affect the Commonwealth’s fiscal condition through FY 2019-20. Based on assumptions used in

Hits: 7

Response-Letter-9-30-2019.pdf

IFO provides the enclosed table in response to that request. Please note the following:  The estimates utilize the latest revenue forecast released by the IFO (June 21, 2019 and updated to reflect statutory changes that were enacted with the fiscal at the state level.  The SUT estimates assume that any increase in the SUT rate would coincide with a revenue neutral adjustment to the SUT transfers for public transportation. In other words, public transportation would not receive a funding windfall

Hits: 6

Public_Data-General_Fund.xlsx

Fiscal Year SUMMARY | DETAIL - CORPORATE TAXES | DETAIL - CONSUMPTION TAXES | DETAIL - OTHER TAXES | DETAIL - NON-TAX REVENUES (dollar amounts in millions) | (dollar amounts in millions) | (dollar amounts in millions) | (dollar amounts in millions) | (dollar amounts in millions) Fiscal Year Total General Fund Total Tax Revenue Total Corporation Taxes Total Consumption Taxes Total Other Taxes Total Nontax Revenue | Corporate Tax Clearing Account Corporate Net Income Capital

Hits: 6

Press_Release_2018_Economic_and_Budget_Outlook.pdf

24, is available for download on the office website (www.ifo.state.pa.us). The report evaluates the demographic, economic, revenue and expenditure trends that will affect the Commonwealth’s fiscal condition through fiscal year (FY) 2023-24. Updated revenue and expenditure estimates suggest policymakers could face a potential budget imbalance of up to $1.71 billion in the upcoming

Hits: 6

Press_Release_2017_Economic_and_Budget_Outlook.pdf

23, is available for download on the office website (www.ifo.state.pa.us). The report evaluates the demographic, economic, revenue and expenditure trends that will affect the Commonwealth’s fiscal condition through fiscal year (FY) 2022-23. Updated revenue and expenditure estimates suggest policymakers could face a potential budget imbalance of up to $0.99 billion in the upcoming

Hits: 6

PICA_Presentation_2020_11.pdf

November Economic and Revenue Update PICA Fall Conference 2020 Matthew Knittel, IFO Director November 18, 2020 PA Economic Forecast and Latest Quarterly Data November consumer spending patterns revert?  Do individuals rejoin the labor force, or get by with less? November 18, 2020 6 Revenues Are Up First 4 Months of Fiscal Year November 18, 2020 7 Mitigation Period Mar to Jun Recovery Period Jul

Hits: 6

PBB_2020_DCED_REPORT.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues economic impact and to increase the number of hotel rooms sold, travelers’ expenditures and state and local tax revenues in the Commonwealth. Resources 14-15 Actual 15-16 Actual 16-17 Actual 17-18 Actual 18-19 Actual 19-20 Budget

Hits: 6

PBB_2019_Criminal_Justice_Report.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues the supervised population that is employed either full- or part-time at the end of the fiscal year. • Revenue generated (total and per inmate) from PCI. The revenue generated measure re- flects the sale of goods and services to governmental and

Hits: 6

NewsStand_2019_October.pdf

the homeownership rate is anticipated to decline. Americans Pay about 86% of Federal Taxes Owed On September 26, the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) released new estimates on taxpayer compliance. It report- ed an annual gap of $381 billion between taxes owed per capita) in 2018. Pennsylvania Ranks 2nd in Nation for "Sin Tax” Reliance A new Tax Policy Center report discusses revenue trends for common (alcohol, tobacco and gambling) and emerging (marijuana, e-cigarettes and sugar-sweetened beverages) sin taxes. In 2017

Hits: 6

MTR-2015-10-Highlights.pdf

Monthly Trends Report Independent Fiscal Office Highlights of the October Report October 2015 General Fund revenues declined by $110 million (-4.9%) compared to the same month in the prior year. However, the comparison with the prior year is affected by one-time payments and timing issues. October 2014 inheritance tax revenues included a $100 million payment that did not recur this year. In addition, some personal income tax withholding collections associated

Hits: 6

HAC testimony Feb 2019.pdf

context for the packet that has been submitted for this budget hearing, I would like to discuss recent economic and revenue trends. I would also like to make some brief comments regarding the IFO’s recently published performance-based budget (PBB) plans and tax credit reviews. Revenue Update for FY 2018-19 Through January, actual revenues exceed the IFO official revenue estimate by $321 million (and the

Hits: 6

Announcement-Updated_Revenue_Estimates_and_Report.pdf

Independent Fiscal Office January 21, 2016 IFO to Release Revised Revenue Estimates and Updated Fiscal Outlook The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) will hold a public presentation to release new revenue estimates and provide an update to its five-year economic and budget outlook. Date and Time: Wednesday, January 27, 2016

Hits: 6

2020_Mid_Year_Update.pdf

Mid-Year Update Economic Forecast Revenues Through January Revised Forecast FY 2019-20 Preliminary Forecast FY 2020-21 January 28, 2020 PA Economic Forecast: June 2019 exclude independent contractors and self-employed. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Forecasts by IFO. Revenues July 2019 to January 2020 January 28, 2020 7 Actual Revenues IFO Estimate Admin Estimate Amount Growth Adjust Amount $ Diff

Hits: 6

RTR-May 2012.pdf

Revenue Trends Report (dollar amounts in millions) Through May 2012 May Percent May Percent 2012 2011 2011 2011 May Percent 2012 9,375.8 3.6% 2.4% 2.8% 0.6% 7.3% 28,112.5 3.0% Total Tax Revenue 1,841.1 7.3% 9,114.2 3.3% 2.4% 3.5% 3.7% 9.3% 27,258

Hits: 5

RTR-Mar 2012.pdf

Revenue Trends Report (dollar amounts in millions) Through March 2012 March Percent March Percent 2011 2011 2011 2011 March Percent 2012 7,935.2 2.4% 2.8% 0.6% 7.3% 3.1% 27,872.3 3.5% Total Tax Revenue 4,011.7 1.9% 7,849.8 2.4% 3.5% 3.7% 9.3% 3.4% 27,043

Hits: 5

RTR-Jun 2012a.pdf

Revenue Trends Report (dollar amounts in millions) Through June 2012 June Percent June Percent 2012 2011 2011 2011 June Percent 2012 8,097.7 -2.3% 2.4% 2.8% 0.6% 7.3% 27,678.0 0.7% Total Tax Revenue 2,663.5 -4.0% 7,766.0 1.4% 2.4% 3.5% 3.7% 9.3% 27,148

Hits: 5

RTR-Feb 2012.pdf

Revenue Trends Report (dollar amounts in millions) Through February 2012 February Percent February Percent 2011 2011 2011 2011 February Percent 2012 6,144.5 1.3% 2.8% 0.6% 7.3% 3.1% 27,788.7 3.5% Total Tax Revenue 1,687.7 12.0% 6,093.4 1.9% 3.5% 3.7% 9.3% 3.4% 26,967

Hits: 5

RTR-Apr 2012.pdf

Revenue Trends Report (dollar amounts in millions) Through April 2012 April Percent April Percent 2012 2011 2011 2011 April Percent 2012 9,186.2 4.3% 2.4% 2.8% 0.6% 7.3% 27,994.3 2.5% Total Tax Revenue 3,261.4 2.8% 8,960.8 4.0% 2.4% 3.5% 3.7% 9.3% 27,133

Hits: 5

Revenue Trends Report - January 2012.pdf

Revenue Trends Report (dollar amounts in millions) January 2012 January Percent January Percent 2011 2011 2011 2011 January Percent 2012 Change 6,160.6 0.6% 2.8% 0.6% 7.3% 3.1% 27,615.8 3.0% Total Tax Revenue 2,150.4 -3.2% 6,118.7 1.2% 3.5% 3.7% 9.3% 3.4% 26,786

Hits: 5

RB 2019 Natural Gas Royalties.pdf

Natural gas royalties are an important source of income for many Pennsylvania landowners. Firms pay royalties based on the revenues received from the sale of natural gas extracted from wells located on a landowner’s property. Pennsylvania law mandates a percent of the market value of the sale. 1 Some contracts allow firms to deduct post-production costs from gross revenues prior to the application of the relevant royalty rate. Post-production costs reflect various expenses incurred to bring the gas

Hits: 5

Presentation-2018-11-19-CCAP.pdf

time jobs. Sources: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and U.S. Census Bureau. Forecasts by IFO. FY 18-19 Revenues Strong Thru October November 19, 2018 9 Gain Thru October Notes Corporate Net Income +$96 profit shifting, older tax years 17 20 0 0 0 Sports Wagering 0 55 28 29 30 All Other 2 6 3 3 4 Total Revenue 145 182 51 49 51 iLottery Profits 10 31 37 45 43 Note: millions of dollars. Forecasts by IFO. A

Hits: 5

PA_Assoc_of_Community_Bankers_Presentation_2020_12.pdf

December Economic and Revenue Update Pennsylvania Association of Community Bankers Matthew Knittel, IFO Director December 9, 2020 PA Economic Forecast and Latest Quarterly Data consumer spending patterns revert?  Do individuals rejoin the labor force, or get by with less? December 9, 2020 6 Revenues Are Up First 5 Months of Fiscal Year December 9, 2020 7 Mitigation Period Mar to Jun Recovery Period Jul

Hits: 5

NGIFE-2015.pdf

were drilled or operating in the previous calendar year. To date, the impact fee has generated approximately $856 million in revenues, which were distributed to local governments and state agencies to offset the impact from unconventional natural gas extraction. The proceeds qualify for exemption from the impact fee if their production does not exceed the stripper well Table 1: Impact Fee Revenues and Distributions 2012 2013 2014 2015 Total Revenues $202,472 $225,752 $223,500 $185,500 Counties, Municipalities and HARE

Hits: 5

HTAE_2019_05_15.pdf

Economic and Revenue Update Harrisburg Trade Association Executives May 15, 2019 U.S. and PA Economic Trends May 15, 2019 1 2015 2016 rate for first quarter. Professional Services include the Management and Administrative sectors. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. FYTD Revenues Through April May 15, 2019 4 April 2018 April 2019 Dollar Change Growth Rate Total General Fund $29,027 $29

Hits: 5

Five-Year-Outlook-Nov-2013-Press-Release.pdf

deliberations without the healthy beginning balances that have characterized the last three fiscal years.” The report considers the demographic, economic, revenue and expenditure trends that may affect the Commonwealth’s fiscal position over the next five years. Projections are made on budgets have been balanced by surplus funds carried over from FY 2010-11. Current- year expenditures have exceeded current-year revenues, and the surplus funds have been consumed steadily. By the end of the current fiscal year, those funds will be

Hits: 5

TC_2020_Organ and Bone Marrow Donation Tax Credit.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues enactment of the OBMD, the stated intent of the authorizing legislation and documentation provided by the Department of Revenue. For this review, the IFO has established the purpose and goals of the OBMD as follows: Goals  Reduce the number of

Hits: 4

SR2014-03-presentation.pdf

Consolidation  Independent nonpartisan agency. • Began operations in September 2011. • Analyze fiscal, economic and budgetary issues.  Primary Duties: • Annual revenue estimate: May 1 and June 15. • Five-Year Economic & Budget Outlook: Nov. 15. • Mid-Year Budget Update: late January.  2014 10 Property Tax Relief 16.Dec.2014 11 Consolidated SD vs. Total of Individual SDs, $ millions State Funding State Revenue Item Consolidated Individual Net Difference Basic Education Funding 151.1 156.5 -5.4 Special Education Funding 30.1 30

Hits: 4

PSBA-Property-Tax-Update-March-2020.pdf

March 13, 2020 Property Tax Update Pennsylvania School Boards Association March 13, 2020 School District Revenues: FY 2017-18 March 13, 2020 2 Source Amount Percent Property Tax $13,511 44.6% Earned Income $1,592 SNAP purchases)  Tax clothing: ~+920 million  Other: basic cable services, non-prescription drugs, amusements March 13, 2020 4 Revenue Growth and Volatility Comparison March 13, 2020 5 -8.0% -6.0% -4.0% -2.0% 0.0% 2.0%

Hits: 4

IFO-Press-Release-11-14-2019.pdf

25, is available for download on the office website (www.ifo.state.pa.us). The report evaluates the demographic, economic, revenue and expenditure trends that will affect the Commonwealth’s fiscal condition through fiscal year (FY) 2024-25 and includes a historical comparison of General Fund program expenditures and revenue trends. For the period FY 2014-15 through FY 2019-20, the data reveal that expenditures expanded at a rate

Hits: 4

Five_Year_Outlook_2015_Press_Release.pdf

revised spending levels enacted with the FY 2015-16 budget will alter the projections.” The report evaluates the demographic, economic, revenue and expenditure trends that will affect the Commonwealth’s fiscal condition through FY 2020-21. Based on assumptions used in through FY 2020-21, the rate of increase for pension contributions moderates and the imbalance begins to stabilize as net revenues and expenditures each increase at an average rate of 3.7 percent per annum.  Pennsylvania’s economic growth over

Hits: 4

Economic_and_Revenue_Update_Presentation_August_2020.pdf

Economic and Revenue Update Matthew Knittel Independent Fiscal Office August 19, 2020 Four Things to Note Wage and Salary data are stronger than shifts to home remodeling, furniture/appliances, groceries, cars  But what impact from loss of $600 weekly FPUC payment? July revenues exceed expectation  Car sales tax breaks record | projected $2 billion shift largely captured August 19, 2020 1 Latest Real-

Hits: 4

2013-10 Monthly Economic Summary.pdf

S. Department of Labor - Survey of Households. 2/ U.S. Department of Labor - Survey of Establishments. 3/ PA Department of Revenue. 4/ Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. 5/ Energy Information Administration. 6/ U.S. Department of Labor. For non-release months fee structure, a typical UGW producing for 15 consecutive years will return roughly $190 to $355 million in impact fee revenue, with approximately 50 percent of the funds received during the first five years of production. 5 For FY 2012-13

Hits: 4

2013-01 Monthly Economic Report.pdf

S. Department of Labor - Survey of Households. 2/ U.S. Department of Labor - Survey of Establishments. 3/ PA Department of Revenue. 4/ Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. 5/ Energy Information Administration. 6/ U.S. Department of Labor. For non-release months that issue, one must know how an exten- sion of the payroll tax cut would have affected spend- ing, tax revenues and total output. For 2009, Pennsylva- nia residents paid $28.2 billion in OASDI taxes. 3 If ad- justed by

Hits: 4

2002_dbdc_report.pdf

insurance companies and mutual fund companies with investment options meeting the requirements of a tax-qualified plan under the Internal Revenue Code. The additional alternative retirement plans are selected and approved by the State System of Higher Education (SSHE) through a Thus, fiduciaries must seek out the course of conduct that will best serve the interests of the beneficiary. The Internal Revenue Code also imposes a similar duty, known as the “exclusive benefit rule,” upon the Systems’ trustees. In fact, the exclusive

Hits: 4

Response-Letter-09-19-2019.pdf

This letter responds to your request that the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provide estimates of the annual loss of tax revenue associated with the elimination of property taxes – imposed by all political subdivisions - on residents that are age 65 or older requested the following details/parameters:  The number of households impacted by the proposal.  The annual loss of tax revenue associated with (1) school district property taxes and (2) county and municipal property taxes.  The definition of household income

Hits: 3

RB 2019 RACP.pdf

that: o have a regional or multi-jurisdictional impact; o generate substantial increases or maintain current levels of employment, tax revenues or other measures of economic activity; o do not obtain primary funding through other state programs; and o have cultural the legislative caucuses and the Governor’s Office. Projects are primarily funded by state-issued bonds backed by sales tax revenue. In the listed FY 2019-20 enacted appropriations on the Illinois Governor’s Office of Management and Budget’s website

Hits: 3

PBB_2020_PEMA_REPORT.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues Measures 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Descriptive # Pennsylvania PSAPs 1 -- 64 64 64 63 60 Total 911 revenue collected ($ millions) $191 $240 $316 $317 $316 $317 Total 911 expenditures ($ millions) 2 $294 $335 $330 $362 $352 $360 Output # 911 calls

Hits: 3

MER-2014-07.pdf

S. Department of Labor ‐ Survey of Households. 2/ U.S. Department of Labor ‐ Survey of Establishments. 3/ PA Department of Revenue. Excludes transfers to or from the Enhanced Revenue Collection Account. 4/ U.S. Census Bureau– Building Permits. 5/ Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. 6/ U.S. Energy Information

Hits: 3

Kling_Presentation.pdf

economic outlook, the agency posted files containing the following information:  Historical data  Spending projections by budget account  Revenue projections by category, along with tax parameters and effective marginal tax rates  10-year projections of economic output, prices are some examples:  A report on CBO’s economic forecasting record since 1976  A report on CBO’s revenue forecasting record since 1982  A report on how CBO’s projections of subsidies under the Affordable Care Act compared

Hits: 3

ITEP-Presentation-11-14-2019.pdf

development means smart taxes, smart spending. What Should We Ask From Our Tax System?  Short-term adequacy: raise enough revenue to pay for services in FY20.  Long-term sustainability: raise enough $ for 10, 20 yrs down the road.  profits at the state level.  6 of 13 PA-based companies in the sample paid < 3%.  Eight-year revenue loss from this gap: $126 billion The Future of State Corporate Income Taxes Post-TCJA: ???  New territorial tax system

Hits: 3

Initial_Revenue_Estimate_Annoucement_May_2020.pdf

IFO Public Briefing The Independent Fiscal Office will release an updated revenue estimate for FY 2019-20 and an initial revenue estimate for FY 2020-21. The briefing is open to the public and submitted questions will be addressed at the

Hits: 3

IFO_Retirement_Task_Force_Jan2018_Presentation.pdf

dramatic transformation.  Began roughly five years ago. Continues over next decade.  Subtle impacts on economic growth and tax revenues.  Difficult to quantify. Must view long-term trends.  Key factor: Baby Boomers and their characteristics:  Sheer numbers businesses pass tax to consumers. Sources: U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey), PA Department of Education, PA Department of Revenue, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Consumer Expenditure Survey) and Internal Revenue Service. All computations by the IFO. U.S

Hits: 3

Briefing_Info_May_3_2016.pdf

Independent Fiscal Office Independent Fiscal Office to Release Revenue Projections and Conduct Briefing The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) will release updated revenue forecasts for fiscal years 2015- 16 and 2016-17 on Tuesday, May 3, 2016. The office will hold a 1

Hits: 3

2012-12 Monthly Economic Summary FINAL.pdf

S. Department of Labor - Survey of Households. 2/ U.S. Department of Labor - Survey of Establishments. 3/ PA Department of Revenue. 4/ PA Department of Revenue. 5/ PA Department of Revenue. 6/ Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. 7/ Energy Information Administration. 8/ U.S. Department of

Hits: 3

2012-11 Monthly Economic Summary- DRAFT 6.pdf

S. Department of Labor - Survey of Households. 2/ U.S. Department of Labor - Survey of Establishments. 3/ PA Department of Revenue. 4/ PA Department of Revenue. 5/ PA Department of Revenue. 6/ Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. 7/ Energy Information Administration. 8/ U.S. Department of

Hits: 3

2012-10 Monthly Economic Summary FINAL.pdf

S. Department of Labor - Survey of Households. 2/ U.S. Department of Labor - Survey of Establishments. 3/ PA Department of Revenue. 4/ PA Department of Revenue. 5/ PA Department of Revenue. 6/ Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. 7/ Energy Information Administration. 8/ U.S. Department of

Hits: 3

2012-08 Monthly Economic Summary_Final.pdf

S. Department of Labor - Survey of Households. 2/ U.S. Department of Labor - Survey of Establishments. 3/ PA Department of Revenue. 4/ PA Department of Revenue. 5/ PA Department of Revenue. 6/ Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. 7/ Energy Information Administration. 8/ U.S. Department of

Hits: 3

2006_surviving_spouse_healthcare_study.pdf

State Police * Probation and Parole Board Public School Building Authority Public School Employees' Retirement System Public Utility Commission Public Welfare Revenue Securities Commission State State Employees' Retirement System State Ethics Commission State System of Higher Education ** State Tax Equalization Board Thaddeus PA Public Television Network Commission Probation and Parole, Board of Public School Employes' Retirement System Public Utility Commission Public Welfare Revenue Securities Commission State State Employes' Retirement System State Police State Public School Building Authority State System of Higher Education State

Hits: 3

Pensions

Act of 2008 ("HEART Act"); 2) the Uniformed Services Employment and Reemployment Rights Act of 1994 ("USERRA"); and 3) Internal Revenue Code Section 414(u) [IRC §414(u)]. Act 2013 - 33 (Senate Bill Number 798, Printer's Number 818). Signed into Act of 2008 (HEART Act); 2) the Uniformed Services Employment and Reemployment Rights Act of 1994 (USERRA); and 3) Internal Revenue Code Section 414(u) [IRC §414(u)]. Additionally, the bill would require SERS to revert back to the method used

Hits: 3

WJ-Presentation-Natural-Gas-7-14-20.pdf

Pennsylvania Impact Fee and Natural Gas Trends Jesse Bushman – Revenue Analyst July 14, 2020 1 Center for Energy Policy & Management Washington & Jefferson College Impact Fee July 14, 2020 2 Per fuels taxes down in FY19-20, projected to decline further in FY20-21.  IFO to release report estimating local revenue losses (county, municipal, school). Recent Trends – Decline and Deceleration July 14, 2020 10 2018 2019 2020 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

Hits: 2

Supplemental_Table.pdf

Revenue Estimate Comparison Detail IFO Mid-Year Executive Budget IFO less Exec Budget 2017-18 2018-19 2017-18 2018-19 2017-18 2018-19 Total General Fund $34,780 $33,914 $34,752 $33,972 $28 -$58 Total Tax Revenue 31,922 33,180 32,158 33,361 -237 -181 Corporate Net Income 2,991 3,318 3,010 3

Hits: 2

SR2017-06.pdf

county assessment offices. Other data from the State Tax Equalization Board, the U.S. Census Bureau, the Philadelphia Department of Revenue and the Pennsylvania Department of Education. Calculations by the IFO. 1 The assessed value share is weighted by 2015 county data from the State Tax Equalization Board. Philadelphia data were adjusted based on information provided by the Philadelphia Department of Revenue. C Partial data supplied by the county assessment office. Missing information estimated by the IFO using data from the State

Hits: 2

SR2017-05.pdf

FY 2015-16 Act 1 Property Tax Reduction Allocations. Philadelphia data adjusted based on information from the Philadelphia Department of Revenue. Sources: Pennsylvania Department of Education, State Tax Equalization Board, the Philadelphia Department of Revenue and county assessment offices. Computations by the IFO. Note: dollar amounts in thousands, except the average per homestead is in

Hits: 2

Response-Letter-10-7-2019.pdf

requests the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to provide additional data on the minimum wage analysis included in the Analysis of Revenue Proposals published by the office in March 2019. Your letter requests additional detail regarding the net wage gains displayed in 554 $2,744 Note: Wage ranges reflect hourly wage prior to increase to $12.00 per hour. Source: Analysis of Revenue Proposals, Table 2.6, Independent Fiscal Office (March 2019). Author: Charlene Raves CreationDate: 2019-10-10 15:47:44 Creator

Hits: 2

Response-Letter-08-16-2019.pdf

ifo.state.pa.us/download.cfm?file=/Resources/Documents/Response-Letter-05-10-2019.pdf. 3 See the Department of Revenue’s 2017 Property Tax/Rent Rebate Program Statistical Report: https://www.revenue.pa.gov/GeneralTaxInformation/News%20and%20Statistics/ReportsStats/PTRR/GenAssembly/ Documents/2019_ptrr_report.pdf. Author: Charlene Raves Creator: Microsoft® Word 2016 CreationDate: 2019-08-

Hits: 2

RB-10-2020-Economic_Development_Incentives.pdf

The estimates represent a mix of conventions and data sources. Most tax credit data were provided by the Department of Revenue and reflect the utilization of tax credits (i.e., the application against tax liability). Data on state spending, grants and and Farm Products Show Fund. * FY 2019-20 values not yet released for BFTDA- Venture Investment. Source: PA Department of Revenue, PA Department of Community and Economic Development, Comprehensive Annual Financial Reports and state accounting system. Tax Credits and Economic Development

Hits: 2

Public_Data-Motor_License_Fund.xlsx

Reg. & Titling Misc. Collections | Gross Receipts Aeronautics Fines Vehicle Code Fines Misc.-Treasury Misc.-Trans-portation Misc.-General Services Misc.-Revenue Veh. Code Fines Clearing PA Turnpike Commission Justice Collections 1997-98 1,812.7 1,022.4 703.1 87 Reg. & Titling Misc. Collections | Gross Receipts Aeronautics Fines Vehicle Code Fines Misc.-Treasury Misc.-Trans-portation Misc.-General Services Misc.-Revenue Veh. Code Fines Clearing PA Turnpike Commission Justice Collections 1997 Q3 564.2 383.4 157.2 23.5 | 143

Hits: 2

Presentation-2019-04-House-Financial-Rescue-Caucus.pdf

Recent Revenue and Economic Trends IFO Presentation to the House Financial Rescue Caucus - April 17, 2019 Growth Rate General Fund Tax Revenues 2017.3 2017.4 2018.1 2018.2 2018.3 2018.4 2019.1 Non-Motor Sales (base, see note

Hits: 2

Presentation-2018-10-House-Financial-Rescue-Caucus.pdf

Recent Revenue and Economic Trends Growth Rate or Change General Fund Tax Revenues (YOY) 2017.12017.22017.32017.42018.12018.22018.3 Non-Motor SUT (base)1.8% 2.4% 2.9% 3

Hits: 2

PBB_2020_DOH_REPORT_Final_Update.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues 191.8 191.8 # Certs. issued for medical marijuana ID (000s) -- -- -- 25.7 125.6 151.4 Tax revenue generated ($ millions) 8 -- -- -- $0.1 $3.5 $12.0 # Operational facilities 9 Growers/Processors -- -- -- 12 18 25 Dispensaries -- -- -- 27 52 100 Statewide

Hits: 2

PBB_2020_DEP_Report.pdf

DRAFT About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues by Chapter 105 permit fees. These fees include dam fees and water ob- struction and encroachment fees. Additional revenue for this activity includes submerged lands license charges and limited power annual fees. Resources 14-15 Actual 15-16 Actual 16-17

Hits: 2

PBB_2019_PCCD_Report.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues each account. The amount of fund balance that is used each year to offset the shortfall in fee revenues.  Average training costs per student. The change in training costs associated with changes in the service model.  Cumulative amount owed

Hits: 2

PBB-Board Hearing Jan 23 2020.pptx

amount/share of spending incentivized ▪ Determine type of spending and industries affected ▪ Use IMPLAN to estimate multiplier effects, jobs, tax revenues Economic metrics for MTBI, RDTC and KIZ ▪ Gross ROI and net ROI (deducts alternative use of monies) ▪ GDP | labor earnings 000 credit for qualified activities within zone ▪ Must be located in a KIZ (28 zones) ▪ Credit = 50% increase in gross revenues from prior year ▪ KIZ firms partner with higher education and local businesses ▪ Credit is oversubscribed | 84% proration factor | 80-90%

Hits: 2

Oct_2020_Revenue_and_Economic_Update_Announ.pdf

OCTOBER REVENUE AND ECONOMIC UPDATE Fiscal Year 2020-21 The Independent Fiscal Office presents Date and Time Thursday, October 29, 2020 at 10:00AM The Independent Fiscal Office will release an updated revenue estimate and discuss economic trends for FY 2020-21. The briefing is open to the public and submitted questions will

Hits: 2

October_2020_Revenue_and_Economic_Update_Announcement.pdf

OCTOBER REVENUE AND ECONOMIC UPDATE Fiscal Year 2020-21 The Independent Fiscal Office presents Date and Time Thursday, October 29, 2020 at 10:00AM The Independent Fiscal Office will release an updated revenue estimate and discuss economic trends for FY 2020-21. The briefing is open to the public and submitted questions will

Hits: 2

October_2020_Revenue_and_Economic_Update_Announcement (002).pdf

OCTOBER REVENUE AND ECONOMIC UPDATE Fiscal Year 2020-21 The Independent Fiscal Office presents Date and Time Thursday, October 29, 2020 at 10:00AM The Independent Fiscal Office will release an updated revenue estimate and discuss economic trends for FY 2020-21. The briefing is open to the public and submitted questions will

Hits: 2

October_2020_Revenue_and_Economic_Update_Announ..pdf

OCTOBER REVENUE AND ECONOMIC UPDATE Fiscal Year 2020-21 The Independent Fiscal Office presents Date and Time Thursday, October 29, 2020 at 10:00AM The Independent Fiscal Office will release an updated revenue estimate and discuss economic trends for FY 2020-21. The briefing is open to the public and submitted questions will

Hits: 2

Newsstand_2018_May.pdf

the nation as a whole and home sales increased for the sixth consecutive year. These factors produced stronger-than-anticipated revenues for wage, sales, business, property, and real estate transfer taxes. The report also discusses recent social and demographic trends for forward based on the report. IRS Releases Preliminary U.S. Income Tax Data for 2016 For most states, income tax revenues came in far below projections for FY 2016-17, leading to large budget defi- cits. New federal income tax data

Hits: 2

Monthly_Economic_Update_December_2020.pdf

business travel will also likely impact leisure travel through increased fares and fewer flights, as business travel represents a large revenue source for airlines. PA Renters Will Owe an Estimated $224 Million in Rent by December 31 The federal eviction moratorium A report from the Mortgage Bankers Association finds that rental property owners lost approximately $9.2 billion in 2020 Q3 revenue from renter households that missed, delayed or made a reduced payment. Current negotiations in Congress include the extension of the

Hits: 2

MER-2015-06.pdf

S. Department of Labor - Survey of Households. 2/ U.S. Department of Labor - Survey of Establishments. 3/ PA Department of Revenue. Excludes transfers to or from the Enhanced Revenue Collection Account. 4/ U.S. Census Bureau– Building Permits. 5/ Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. 6/ U.S. Energy Information

Hits: 2

MER-2015-04.pdf

S. Department of Labor ‐ Survey of Households. 2/ U.S. Department of Labor ‐ Survey of Establishments. 3/ PA Department of Revenue. Excludes transfers to or from the Enhanced Revenue Collection Account. 4/ U.S. Census Bureau– Building Permits. 5/ Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. 6/ U.S. Energy Information

Hits: 2

MER-2015-03.pdf

S. Department of Labor ‐ Survey of Households. 2/ U.S. Department of Labor ‐ Survey of Establishments. 3/ PA Department of Revenue. Excludes transfers to or from the Enhanced Revenue Collection Account. 4/ U.S. Census Bureau– Building Permits. 5/ Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. 6/ U.S. Energy Information

Hits: 2

MER-2015-02.pdf

S. Department of Labor ‐ Survey of Households. 2/ U.S. Department of Labor ‐ Survey of Establishments. 3/ PA Department of Revenue. Excludes transfers to or from the Enhanced Revenue Collection Account. 4/ U.S. Census Bureau– Building Permits. 5/ Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. 6/ U.S. Energy Information

Hits: 2

MER-2015-01.pdf

S. Department of Labor - Survey of Households. 2/ U.S. Department of Labor - Survey of Establishments. 3/ PA Department of Revenue. Excludes transfers to or from the Enhanced Revenue Collection Account. 4/ U.S. Census Bureau– Building Permits. 5/ Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. 6/ U.S. Energy Information

Hits: 2

MER-2014-12.pdf

S. Department of Labor ‐ Survey of Households. 2/ U.S. Department of Labor ‐ Survey of Establishments. 3/ PA Department of Revenue. Excludes transfers to or from the Enhanced Revenue Collection Account. 4/ U.S. Census Bureau– Building Permits. 5/ Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. 6/ U.S. Energy Information

Hits: 2

MER-2014-11.pdf

S. Department of Labor ‐ Survey of Households. 2/ U.S. Department of Labor ‐ Survey of Establishments. 3/ PA Department of Revenue. Excludes transfers to or from the Enhanced Revenue Collection Account. 4/ U.S. Census Bureau– Building Permits. 5/ Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. 6/ U.S. Energy Information

Hits: 2

MER-2014-10.pdf

S. Department of Labor ‐ Survey of Households. 2/ U.S. Department of Labor ‐ Survey of Establishments. 3/ PA Department of Revenue. Excludes transfers to or from the Enhanced Revenue Collection Account. 4/ U.S. Census Bureau– Building Permits. 5/ Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. 6/ U.S. Energy Information

Hits: 2

MER-2014-09.pdf

S. Department of Labor ‐ Survey of Households. 2/ U.S. Department of Labor ‐ Survey of Establishments. 3/ PA Department of Revenue. Excludes transfers to or from the Enhanced Revenue Collection Account. 4/ U.S. Census Bureau– Building Permits. 5/ Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. 6/ U.S. Energy Information

Hits: 2

MER-2014-08.pdf

S. Department of Labor ‐ Survey of Households. 2/ U.S. Department of Labor ‐ Survey of Establishments. 3/ PA Department of Revenue. Excludes transfers to or from the Enhanced Revenue Collection Account. 4/ U.S. Census Bureau– Building Permits. 5/ Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. 6/ U.S. Energy Information

Hits: 2

MER-2014-06.pdf

S. Department of Labor ‐ Survey of Households. 2/ U.S. Department of Labor ‐ Survey of Establishments. 3/ PA Department of Revenue. Excludes transfers to or from the Enhanced Revenue Collection Account. 4/ U.S. Census Bureau– Building Permits. 5/ Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. 6/ U.S. Energy Information

Hits: 2

IFO_Analyst_Opening.pdf

full-time, professional work in fiscal analysis. An IFO analyst: 1) compiles, organizes, analyzes and forecasts data relating to state revenues, expenditures and the economy; 2) applies economic and statistical principles, practices and techniques to design and complete research on fiscal and economic issues; 3) prepares regular reports on the economy and state revenues; and 4) drafts text and prepares data tables and graphs for presentations and published analyses. Applicants will be assessed based

Hits: 2

ACN_SB1_A01354_A01558_2017_06_03a.pdf

cost notes). The 3.6% proxy for budget growth is based on the average annual growth in projected General Fund revenue from FY 2017-18 to 2021-22 in the IFO’s November 2016 five-year economic and budget outlook. Table growth as increases in costs above that rate decrease available dollars for other programs in future years, excluding any new revenue. The actuarial cost notes prepared by the System actuaries use the expected return, which is consistent with the development of

Hits: 2

2000_cost_of_living_adjustments.pdf

mortality of the recipients. In addition to shifting costs to the future, pay-as-you-go financing increases the total revenues required to finance the postretirement adjustment due to the lost potential for income on invested contributions. Numerous funding problems were more consistent with the matching principle of accounting that requires that the costs of a period be matched with the revenues of that period. In the case of public employee pension benefits, the matching principle assures inter-generational equity by providing

Hits: 2

Links

Employment • Quarterly Personal Income • Gross State Product • Business Outlook, Philadelphia Fed State Government • Department of Labor and Industry • Department of Revenue • General Assembly • Office of the Budget • Office of the Governor State Budget News • Pew Center for States • Rockefeller Institute of State Budget Officers Federal Government • Board of Governors, Federal Reserve • Congressional Budget Office • Department of Treasury • Government Accountability Office • Internal Revenue Service • Joint Committee on Taxation • Office of Management and Budget • FRED - St. Louis Fed IFO Pennsylvania Independent Fiscal Office Email Subscription Get alerts on new studies and reports. Sign Up Latest Tweets • (Jan 21) The IFO released its five-year Economic and Budget Outlook for fiscal years 2020-21 to 2025-26. Report:… • (Jan 20) Recent data show that Pennsylvania local public school district employment declined 5.5% from November 2019. See th… • (Jan 19) The IFO will release its long-term economic and budget outlook for FY 2020-21 to 2025-26 on January 21st at 10 am.… Contact Info (717) 230-8293 contact@ifo.state.pa.us Follow on Twitter Independent Fiscal Office 2nd Floor Rachel Carson State Office Building 400 Market Street Harrisburg, PA 17105 viewport: width=device-width, initial-scale

Hits: 2

Data

IFO - Data IFO • Latest Releases • Data • Calendar • Right-to-Know • About • About IFO • Contact IFO • Email Subscription • Links • Follow on Twitter • • Data Historical General Fund Revenues Historical Motor License Fund Revenues IFO Pennsylvania Independent Fiscal Office Email Subscription Get alerts on new studies and reports. Sign Up Latest Tweets • (Jan 21) The IFO released its five-year Economic and Budget Outlook for fiscal years 2020-21 to 2025-26. Report:… • (Jan 20) Recent data show that Pennsylvania local public school district employment declined 5.5% from November 2019. See th… • (Jan 19) The IFO will release its long-term economic and budget outlook for FY 2020-21 to 2025-26 on January 21st at 10 am.… Contact Info (717) 230-8293 contact@ifo.state.pa.us Follow on Twitter Independent Fiscal Office 2nd Floor Rachel Carson State Office Building 400 Market Street Harrisburg, PA 17105 viewport: width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0, maximum-scale=1.0 msapplication-TileColor: #ffffff msapplication-config: /Resources/images/favicons

Hits: 2

Response-Letter-09-06-2019.pdf

an increase in the sales and use tax rate of slightly more than 0.5 percentage points would provide sufficient revenues to fund the proposed rebates. If you have any further questions regarding this analysis, please do not hesitate to contact

Hits: 1

Response-Letter-05-13-2019.pdf

Allegheny county would be 8.0% or 9.0%. Estimates assume that all transfers from SUT are adjusted to a revenue neutral rate, i.e., special funds do not receive a windfall from the increased tax rate. Options to Fund School

Hits: 1

RB-2020-10-Impact_of_TCJA_on_PA_Taxpayers.pdf

and rental income is 51 percent. See “Federal Tax Compliance Research: Tax Gap Estimates for Tax Years 2011-2013,” Internal Revenue Service (September 2019). 3 The IRS state tax data include nine income groups for taxpayers that reported positive Adjusted Gross

Hits: 1

RB-2015-04.pdf

Ðice issues this research brief to ful Ðill its statutory obligation to provide an economic analysis of all economic and revenue proposals included in the Executive Budget. Table 1 provides a comparison of minimum wage rates for Pennsylvania and adjacent states

Hits: 1

Publicity - Economic and Budget Outlook - 2014.pdf

staff on the Commonwealth’s structural imbalance and the economic, demographic and fiscal trends that will affect the expenditures and revenues over the next five years. Guest Presenter: Daniel White, Senior Economist Moody’s Analytics Presentation on two topics that influence

Hits: 1

Presentation_PBC_6-12-14.pdf

1.5 0.1 -0.1 0.1 Note: Includes non-taxable social security, interest and pension income. Source: Internal Revenue Service. Share of Total Income on Federal Tax Return By Income Type and Age Cohort Large Job Shift to Service

Hits: 1

Presentation-2018-10-Performance-Based-Budget-Board.pdf

each activity.  Performance information is one of many factors that play a role in state budget decisions (e.g., revenue availability, court decisions, federal funding impacts, formula requirements, constituent pressures). 15 October 15, 2018 16 October 15, 2018 Presentation to

Hits: 1

Presentation-2018-08-PA-State-Association-Boroughs.pdf

 Modeled after the Congressional Budget Office.  Separate from Executive and Legislative branches. Various mandatory duties.  General Fund revenue estimates.  Coordinate pension analysis. Analyze wage contracts.  Develop Performance-Based Budget plans for agencies. Things the office does

Hits: 1

platt ppt.pdf

bea.gov Recent Trends in Personal Income, Earnings and Wages in Pennsylvania Joel D. Platt Associate Director for Regional Economics Revenue Forecasting Conference Independent Fiscal Office for Pennsylvania January 18, 2012 www.bea.gov BEA’s Mission To promote a better

Hits: 1

PBB_2020_DHS_REPORT_Final_Updated.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues

Hits: 1

PBB_2019_JCJC_Report.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues

Hits: 1

PBB_2019_DOBS_Report.pdf

About the Independent Fiscal Office The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) provides revenue projections for use in the state budget process along with impartial and timely analysis of fiscal, economic and budgetary issues

Hits: 1

PBB-Tax-Credits-Schedule-2019-05.pdf

Education Human Services – Part 3 Aging PA Historical & Museum Commission Agriculture Labor and Industry 5 Drug and Alcohol Programs Insurance Revenue Executive Offices Environmental Hearing Board Conservation and Natural Resources Year Tax Credits 1 Film Production New Jobs Historic Preservation Incentive

Hits: 1

PBB-Board-Hearing-Agenda-January 2019-Revised.pdf

Review of Tax Credits (Film Production, New Jobs & Historical Preservation Incentive) Amy Gill, Deputy Secretary of Tax Policy, Department of Revenue Scott Dunkelberger, Executive Deputy Secretary, DCED Carol Kilko, Deputy Secretary, DCED Carrie Lepore, Deputy Secretary, DCED Andrea Lowery, Executive Director

Hits: 1

PBB Board Hearing Agenda- January 2019.pdf

Review of Tax Credits (Film Production, New Jobs & Historical Preservation Incentive) Amy Gill, Deputy Secretary of Tax Policy, Department of Revenue Scott Dunkelberger, Executive Deputy Secretary, DCED Carol Kilko, Deputy Secretary, DCED Carrie Lepore, Deputy Secretary, DCED Andrea Lowery, Executive Director

Hits: 1

novak ppt.pdf

January 18, 2012 Jason Novak Research and Policy Support Manager Half Empty or Half Full? • Increased economic activity equals tax revenue increases if and only if the tax system matches the economy. • Government sector debts suggest further employment and spending cuts

Hits: 1

Newsstand_2019_March.pdf

14.1 billion of federal tax re- funds. Those refunds typically provide a boost to consumer spending and sales tax revenues in the spring. IFO NEWS STAND A monthly glimpse at the state of the economy CreationDate: 2019-03-18 20

Hits: 1

Newsstand_2018_October.pdf

fiscal year (FFY) 2018 of $779 billion. The deficit is $113 billion (17.0%) higher than FFY 2017. Total tax revenue was up $14 billion (0.4%) from the prior year, constrained by a $92 billion (-31.1%) decline in corporate

Hits: 1

Newsstand_2018_December.pdf

schedule will be higher than if the price was below that threshold. In June 2018, the IFO estimated impact fee revenues of $235 million if the average price exceeded $3.00. If the price fell below that threshold, then impact fee

Hits: 1

Monthly_Economic_Update_November_2020_Final.pdf

PCE ($14.4 trillion) shifted to 66% services and 34% goods. On net, this shift likely enhances Pennsylvania sales tax revenues, as many goods are taxed but services are generally exempt. Consumer Debt Increases from Prior Year, Credit Card Balances Continue

Hits: 1

MER-2014-05.pdf

S. Department of Labor ‐ Survey of Households. 2/ U.S. Department of Labor ‐ Survey of Establishments. 3/ PA Department of Revenue. 4/ U.S. Census Bureau– Building Permits. 5/ Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. 6/ U.S. Energy Information Administration. 7

Hits: 1

MER-2014-04.pdf

S. Department of Labor ‐ Survey of Households. 2/ U.S. Department of Labor ‐ Survey of Establishments. 3/ PA Department of Revenue. 4/ U.S. Census Bureau– Building Permits. 5/ Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. 6/ U.S. Energy Information Administration. 7

Hits: 1

MER-2014-03.pdf

S. Department of Labor ‐ Survey of Households. 2/ U.S. Department of Labor ‐ Survey of Establishments. 3/ PA Department of Revenue. 4/ Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. 5/ U.S. Energy Information Administration. 6/ U.S. Department of Labor ‐ Bureau of

Hits: 1

MER-2014-02.pdf

S. Department of Labor ‐ Survey of Households. 2/ U.S. Department of Labor ‐ Survey of Establishments. 3/ PA Department of Revenue. 4/ Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. 5/ U.S. Energy Information Administration. 6/ U.S. Department of Labor ‐ Bureau of

Hits: 1

MER-2014-01.pdf

S. Department of Labor ‐ Survey of Households. 2/ U.S. Department of Labor ‐ Survey of Establishments. 3/ PA Department of Revenue. 4/ Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. 5/ U.S. Energy Information Administration. 6/ U.S. Department of Labor ‐ Bureau of

Hits: 1

MER-2013-12.pdf

S. Department of Labor - Survey of Households. 2/ U.S. Department of Labor - Survey of Establishments. 3/ PA Department of Revenue. 4/ Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. 5/ U.S. Energy Information Administration. 6/ U.S. Department of Labor - Bureau of

Hits: 1

MER-2013-11.pdf

S. Department of Labor - Survey of Households. 2/ U.S. Department of Labor - Survey of Establishments. 3/ PA Department of Revenue. 4/ Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. 5/ Energy Information Administration. 6/ U.S. Department of Labor. For non-release months

Hits: 1

jackson ppt.pdf

professional services, also involved. • Hotels, restaurants, retail, short-term housing also get a boost. • State and local budget crunch (reduced revenues, more need for many services, can’t put it on a credit card) adding to job losses, among other things

Hits: 1

House Budget Hearing Request.pdf

Unfortunately, migration data for all individuals in a particular age group are not readily available. However, the United States Internal Revenue Service (IRS) provides state data on in and out migration by the age of the primary tax filer. These data

Hits: 1

House Appropriation Response Letter 2-28-2020.pdf

1 3.4 4.6 11.2 Public Utility Commission 1.8 3.8 6.0 8.1 19.7 Revenue 4.3 9.1 14.5 19.6 47.5 State Department 1.9 4.0 6.4 8.6

Hits: 1

Economic_and_Budget_Outlook_2021_Annoucement_Final.pdf

presents Date and Time Thursday, January 21, 2021 at 10:00 AM The Independent Fiscal Office will release an updated revenue estimate and discuss economic trends for FY 2020-21 to 2025-26. The briefing is open to the public and

Hits: 1

2020 PBB Agenda.pdf

Research & Development, Keystone Innovation Zones, Mobile Telecom & Broadband, Organ & Bone Marrow) Amy Gill, Deputy Secretary of Tax Policy, Department of Revenue Dennis Davin, Secretary, DCED Sarah Spishock, Keystone Innovation Zones Program Manager Carol Kilko, Deputy Secretary of Business Financing 11:00

Hits: 1

2015_Economic_and_Budget_Outlook.pdf

detailed discussion by IFO staff on the economic, demographic and fiscal trends that will affect the Commonwealth’s expenditures and revenues over the next five fiscal years. Guest Presenter: Ray Landis, Advocacy Manager AARP Pennsylvania Presentation on retirement insecurity and the

Hits: 1

2013-09 Monthly Economic Summary-FINAL.pdf

S. Department of Labor - Survey of Households. 2/ U.S. Department of Labor - Survey of Establishments. 3/ PA Department of Revenue. 4/ Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. 5/ Energy Information Administration. 6/ U.S. Department of Labor. For non-release months

Hits: 1

2013-08 Monthly Economic Summary.pdf

S. Department of Labor - Survey of Households. 2/ U.S. Department of Labor - Survey of Establishments. 3/ PA Department of Revenue. 4/ Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. 5/ Energy Information Administration. 6/ U.S. Department of Labor. For non-release months

Hits: 1

2013-06 Monthly Economic Summary - FINAL.pdf

S. Department of Labor - Survey of Households. 2/ U.S. Department of Labor - Survey of Establishments. 3/ PA Department of Revenue. 4/ Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. 5/ Energy Information Administration. 6/ U.S. Department of Labor. For non-release months

Hits: 1

2013-05_Monthly_Economic_Summary.pdf

S. Department of Labor - Survey of Households. 2/ U.S. Department of Labor - Survey of Establishments. 3/ PA Department of Revenue. 4/ Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. 5/ Energy Information Administration. 6/ U.S. Department of Labor. For non-release months

Hits: 1

2013-04 Monthly Economic Report.pdf

S. Department of Labor - Survey of Households. 2/ U.S. Department of Labor - Survey of Establishments. 3/ PA Department of Revenue. 4/ Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. 5/ Energy Information Administration. 6/ U.S. Department of Labor. For non-release months

Hits: 1

2013-03b Monthly Economic Summary.pdf

S. Department of Labor - Survey of Households. 2/ U.S. Department of Labor - Survey of Establishments. 3/ PA Department of Revenue. 4/ Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. 5/ Energy Information Administration. 6/ U.S. Department of Labor. For non-release months

Hits: 1

2013-02 Monthly Economic Report.pdf

S. Department of Labor - Survey of Households. 2/ U.S. Department of Labor - Survey of Establishments. 3/ PA Department of Revenue. 4/ Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. 5/ Energy Information Administration. 6/ U.S. Department of Labor. For non-release months

Hits: 1

Pensions

the plan intended to ensure that the Allegheny County Employees' Retirement System is maintained as tax qualified under the Internal Revenue Code of 1986. Legislative Session 2011 - 2012 Act 2012 - 43 (House Bill Number 1702, Printer's Number 3331). Signed into

Hits: 1