PA and U.S. Record Historic Wage GrowthUsing the latest data, the Independent Fiscal Office published a research brief that finds historic wage gains for the U.S. and Pennsylvania. The brief notes that employee compensation comprises 56% of final sales and firms will likely push most labor costs forward to final consumers, thereby putting upward pressure on prices and inflation.
Tags: growth, wage |
Inflation Eroding Real Wages and Pension BenefitsThe IFO published a new research brief that examines the impact of inflation on the real earnings of Pennsylvania workers and the real value of public pension benefits. Tags: inflation, pension, wages |
UGSOA Wage Contract AnalysisThis letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the United Government Security Officers of America (UGSOA). Tags: contract, wage |
Testimony on Minimum WageDirector Matt Knittel made a brief presentation to the House Commerce Committee on the proposal to raise the minimum wage. The hearing was originally scheduled for February 16, 2021 but was rescheduled to March 11, 2021. Tags: minimum, wage |
UGSOA Wage Contract AnalysisThis letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the United Government Security Officers of America (UGSOA). Tags: contract, wage |
PSEA Wage Contract AnalysisThis letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Pennsylvania State Education Association (PSEA), Non-Tenured Teachers Unit. Tags: contract, wage |
PSCOA Wage Contract AnalysisThis letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Pennsylvania State Corrections Officers Association (PSCOA). Tags: contract, wage |
SEIU Local 668 UC Referees Unit Wage Contract AnalysisThe Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) has issued a cost analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Service Employees International Union (SEIU) Local 668 Unemployment Compensation (UC) Referees. Tags: contract, wage |
CIVEA Wage Contract AnalysisThis letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Correctional Vocational Education Association (CIVEA). Tags: contract, wage |
School District Property Tax ForecastThis report contains the IFO's updated forecast of school district property tax collections from FY 2020-21 to FY 2025-26. This report updates the forecast that the IFO published in February 2021 and includes (1) actual FY 2019-20 current-year property tax collections, (2) the impact from FY 2021-22 millage rates and (3) new wage projections that increase the statewide average weekly wage (SAWW) portion of the Act 1 Index projection. 11/08/2021 |
PA and U.S. Record Historic wage GrowthUsing the latest data, the Independent Fiscal Office published a research brief that finds historic wage gains for the U.S. and Pennsylvania. The brief notes that employee compensation comprises 56% of final sales and firms will likely push most labor costs forward to final consumers, thereby putting upward pressure on prices and inflation. 11/03/2021 |
Inflation Eroding Real wages and Pension BenefitsThe IFO published a new research brief that examines the impact of inflation on the real earnings of Pennsylvania workers and the real value of public pension benefits. 10/19/2021 |
2019 wage Contracts Summary TableThis table provides an up-to-date summary of the recent wage contracts analyzed by the IFO. Additional estimates will be provided after the relevant contract detail has been transmitted to the IFO by the Office of Administration. 09/27/2021 |
UGSOA wage Contract AnalysisThis letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the United Government Security Officers of America (UGSOA). 09/27/2021 |
Economic Impact of Federal StimulusThis research brief examines the impact of certain federal stimulus programs enacted in response to the COVID-19 pandemic on Pennsylvania residents and the economy. It estimates the total amount of federal stimulus provided directly to individuals by income group and considers the impact on employment, output, and whether the infusion of federal monies into the state economy is conducive to raising the state minimum wage. 05/10/2021 |
Testimony on Minimum wageDirector Matt Knittel made a brief presentation to the House Commerce Committee on the proposal to raise the minimum wage. The hearing was originally scheduled for February 16, 2021 but was rescheduled to March 11, 2021. 03/11/2021 |
Budget Hearings Packet for Appropriations CommitteesThe Independent Fiscal Office submitted materials to the House and Senate Appropriations Committees ahead of its scheduled budget hearings. This packet examines the minimum wage, personal and corporate income tax and other proposals included in the FY 2021-22 Executive Budget. 03/04/2021 |
UGSOA wage Contract AnalysisThis letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the United Government Security Officers of America (UGSOA). 11/12/2020 |
PSEA wage Contract AnalysisThis letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Pennsylvania State Education Association (PSEA), Non-Tenured Teachers Unit. 07/02/2020 |
PSCOA wage Contract AnalysisThis letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Pennsylvania State Corrections Officers Association (PSCOA). 06/26/2020 |
SEIU Local 668 UC Referees Unit wage Contract AnalysisThe Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) has issued a cost analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Service Employees International Union (SEIU) Local 668 Unemployment Compensation (UC) Referees. 05/07/2020 |
CIVEA wage Contract AnalysisThis letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Correctional Vocational Education Association (CIVEA). 02/27/2020 |
ALES wage Contract AnalysisThis letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Association of Liquor Enforcement Officers (ALES). 11/06/2019 |
OPEIU wage Contract AnalysisThis letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Office and Professional Employees International Union (OPEIU). 11/06/2019 |
PDA wage Contract AnalysisThis letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Pennsylvania Doctors Alliance (PDA). 11/06/2019 |
SEIU Healthcare wage Contract AnalysisThis letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Service Employees International Union (SEIU), Healthcare. 11/06/2019 |
PLEA wage Contract AnalysisThis letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Pennsylvania Liquor Enforcement Association (PLEA). 10/11/2019 |
FOSCEP wage Contract AnalysisThis letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Federation of State Cultural and Educational Professionals (FOSCEP). 10/11/2019 |
Minimum wage Increase EstimatesIn response to a legislative request, the IFO transmitted a letter that expands upon a prior analysis on the impact of a proposed minimum wage increase. 10/10/2019 |
Management and Non-Represented wage Contract AnalysisIn response to a legislative request, the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) has issued a cost analysis that assumes management and non-represented employees will receive salary increases consistent with the new collective bargaining agreements. 09/25/2019 |
ISSU wage Contract AnalysisThis letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Independent State Stores Union (ISSU). 09/13/2019 |
UFCW wage Contract AnalysisThis letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and UFCW. 08/13/2019 |
SEIU wage Contract AnalysisThis letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and SEIU. 08/13/2019 |
AFSCME wage Contract AnalysisThis letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and AFSCME. 08/13/2019 |
PA Economy League PresentationIn partnership with the Pennsylvania Economy League, Director Matthew Knittel and Deputy Director Brenda Warburton will make multiple presentations on raising the state minimum wage to $12.00 per hour. The presentation examines the proposed minimum wage’s impact on employment, worker incomes, prices and state spending. 05/01/2019 |
UGSOA wage Contract AnalysisSection 604-B(a)(8) of Act 100 of 2016 (Act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis for the current fiscal year and remaining subsequent fiscal years of the impact of each proposed collective bargaining agreement under the jurisdiction of the Governor prior to execution, including the costs to cover public employee wages, benefits, pensions and working conditions that have been reduced in writing under section 701 of the act of July 23, 1970 (P.L. 563, No. 195), known as the Public Employe Relations Act. 03/08/2018 |
ALES wage Contract AnalysisSection 604-B(a)(8) of Act 100 of 2016 (Act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis for the current fiscal year and remaining subsequent fiscal years of the impact of each proposed collective bargaining agreement under the jurisdiction of the Governor prior to execution, including the costs to cover public employee wages, benefits, pensions and working conditions that have been reduced in writing under section 701 of the act of July 23, 1970 (P.L. 563, No. 195), known as the Public Employe Relations Act. 02/16/2018 |
PDA wage Contract AnalysisPursuant to section 604-B(a)(8) of the Administrative Code of 1929, the Independent Fiscal Office has prepared a cost analysis of the collective bargaining agreements between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Pennsylvania Doctors Alliance (PDA). 10/02/2017 |
PLEA wage Contract AnalysisPursuant to section 604-B(a)(8) of the Administrative Code of 1929, the Independent Fiscal Office has prepared a cost analysis of the collective bargaining agreements between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Pennsylvania Liquor Enforcement Association (PLEA). 07/05/2017 |
Savings and Costs of a $12/hour Minimum wage on DHS-administered ProgramsIn response to a legislative request, the IFO reviewed the Department of Human Services' projections for the state savings and costs that could occur if Pennsylvania's minimum wage were to be increased to $12 per hour. 06/30/2017 |
ISSU & PSSU wage Contracts AnalysisPursuant to section 604-B(a)(8) of the Administrative Code of 1929, the Independent Fiscal Office has prepared a cost analysis of the collective bargaining agreements between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the following unions: Independent State Stores Union (ISSU) Pennsylvania Social Services Union (PSSU), Hearing Officers 03/08/2017 |
PFBC wage Contract AnalysisSection 604-B(a)(8) of Act 100 of 2016 (Act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis for the current fiscal year and remaining subsequent fiscal years of the impact of each proposed collective bargaining agreement under the jurisdiction of the Governor prior to execution, including the costs to cover public employee wages, benefits, pensions and working conditions that have been reduced in writing under section 701 of the act of July 23, 1970 (P.L. 563, No. 195), known as the Public Employe Relations Act. 02/02/2017 |
AFSCME wage Contract AnalysisSection 604-B(a)(8) of Act 100 of 2016 (Act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis for the current fiscal year and remaining subsequent fiscal years of the impact of each proposed collective bargaining agreement under the jurisdiction of the Governor prior to execution, including the costs to cover public employee wages, benefits, pensions and working conditions that have been reduced in writing under section 701 of the act of July 23, 1970 (P.L. 563, No. 195), known as the Public Employe Relations Act. 09/27/2016 |
SEIU wage Contract AnalysisSection 604-B(a)(8) of Act 100 of 2016 (Act of July 20, 2016, P.L. 849, No. 100) requires the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to: Provide a cost analysis for the current fiscal year and remaining subsequent fiscal years of the impact of each proposed collective bargaining agreement under the jurisdiction of the Governor prior to execution, including the costs to cover public employee wages, benefits, pensions and working conditions that have been reduced in writing under section 701 of the act of July 23, 1970 (P.L. 563, No. 195), known as the Public Employe Relations Act. 09/27/2016 |
Raising the Minimum wage in PennsylvaniaThis research brief presents an analysis of the potential impact of the proposal to 1) raise the Pennsylvania state minimum wage from $7.25 to $10.10 and 2) automatically adjust future minimum wage levels to offset inflation. 11/30/2015 |
Revenue-Proposal-Analysis-2019-03.pdf3 Sales and Use Tax ........................................................................................................................... 8 Personal Income Tax ....................................................................................................................... 9 Resource Enhancement Tax Credit ................................................................................................... 9 Raising the Minimum Wage .................................................................................................... 11 Minimum Wage Across States ........................................................................................................ 12 Recent Minimum Wage Studies ...................................................................................................... 14 Workers Affected by a $12 per Hour Minimum Wage ....................................................................... 19 Businesses Affected by a Hits: 454 |
Revenue-Proposal-Analysis-2020-04.pdfSales and Use Tax ......................................................................................................................... 14 Cigarette Tax ................................................................................................................................ 14 Personal Income Tax ..................................................................................................................... 15 Gaming Taxes ............................................................................................................................... 15 Raising the Minimum Wage .................................................................................................... 17 Minimum Wage Across States ........................................................................................................ 18 Recent Minimum Wage Studies ...................................................................................................... 20 Border County Comparison ............................................................................................................ 23 Workers Affected by a $12 per Hour Minimum Wage ....................................................................... 25 Hits: 339 |
Revenue_Proposal_Analysis_2021_04.pdfResults ........................................................................................................................ 20 Average Effective Tax Rates on Income Sources ............................................................................ 22 Impact on State Migration .............................................................................................................. 22 Summary ...................................................................................................................................... 24 Raising the Minimum Wage .................................................................................................... 25 Proposal Highlights ....................................................................................................................... 25 Raising the Minimum Wage ........................................................................................................... 26 Minimum Wage Across States ....................................................................................................... 26 Recent Minimum Wage Studies ..................................................................................................... 28 Workers Affected by a $12 per Hour Minimum Wage Hits: 275 |
Revenue-Proposal-Analysis-2018-04.pdfTax and Revenue Proposals ......................................................................................... 3 Corporate Net Income Tax ........................................................................................ 3 Natural Gas Severance Tax ....................................................................................... 7 Raising the Minimum Wage ....................................................................................... 15 Minimum Wage Across States ................................................................................. 16 Workers Directly Affected by a Higher Minimum Wage ........................................... 19 Potential Employment Impact of a Higher Minimum Wage ...................................... 22 Income Hits: 202 |
RB-2015-04.pdfIndependent Fiscal Of Ðice November 2015 1 Research Brief 2015‐4 November 2015 Raising the Minimum Wage in Pennsylvania The FY 2015‐16 Executive Budget includes a proposal that (1) increases the state minimum wage from $7.25 to $10.10 and (2) automatically adjusts future minimum wage levels to offset in Ðlation. This research Hits: 139 |
Revenue_Proposal_Analysis_2022_04.pdfNet Income Tax ............................................................................................................... 3 Cigarette Tax .................................................................................................................................. 5 Personal Income Tax ....................................................................................................................... 5 Gaming Taxes ................................................................................................................................. 5 Nontax Revenues ............................................................................................................................ 5 Raising the Minimum Wage ...................................................................................................... 7 Comparison to Other States ............................................................................................................. 7 Recent Minimum Wage Studies ........................................................................................................ 9 Border County Comparison ............................................................................................................ 10 Economic and Revenue Impact ...................................................................................................... 12 - This page intentionally left blank. - Introduction | Page 1 Introduction Hits: 87 |
Five_Year_Outlook_2021.pdf2024 2025 Real Gross Domestic Product 1.7% -4.5% 4.4% 2.3% 2.1% 2.1% 2.0% Wages and Salaries 4.4% -0.3% 7.7% 5.2% 4.4% 4.0% 3.9% Philadelphia Metro CPI-U Protection Program (PPP) transfers. Growth in 2021 Q2 contracts due to the decline of federal stimulus compared to 2020 Q2. ▪ Wages and Salaries grew by more than 10% in the second and third quarters. ▪ Inflation as measured by the Consumer Price Hits: 57 |
Five_Year_Outlook_2019.pdfComponents of Population Change ................................................................................... 9 Population Growth Across States .....................................................................................13 Section 3: Economic Outlook .............................................................................................. 15 Employment Trends .......................................................................................................17 Wage Trends .................................................................................................................18 Consumer Trends ..........................................................................................................19 Housing Trends .............................................................................................................20 Section 4: Revenue Outlook ............................................................................................... 21 Revenue Versus Economic Growth ..................................................................................22 Personal Income Tax .....................................................................................................24 performance of a state economy: (1) real gross domestic product (GDP, excludes inflation), (2) nominal GDP, (3) statewide wages and salaries, (4) the regional consumer price index (CPI-U) and (5) the annual change in payroll employment (i.e., net job Hits: 52 |
PBB_2022_DLI_REPORT.pdf22,169 22,044 19,405 8,670 11,567 Misclassified construction workers 1 700 720 755 710 430 458 Wages collected ($ thousands) 1 $5,737 $3,589 $4,256 $8,196 $7,753 $3,678 1 Calendar year. Key Metrics monitor future program performance under the new system. Job Training and Workforce Development Multiple activities in this report promote higher wage and employment levels for targeted groups. The department is the lead state agency for the federal Workforce Innovation and Opportunity Hits: 51 |
Five_Year_Outlook_2020.pdftarget inflation rate of 2.0 percent. Interest rates remain relatively low. Energy prices do not increase dramatically. Wage earners receive raises that exceed inflation (i.e., real wages increase). Payroll employment does not return to its pre-pandemic level until CY 2026. 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Hits: 51 |
Presentation-2019-5-1-PAEL.pdfRaising the Minimum Wage to $12.00 Presentation for the PA Economy League Matthew Knittel, Director Independent Fiscal Office May 1, 2019 The Pennsylvania care, hospitals and nursing/residential care facilities. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, State and Area Employment. The Minimum Wage Proposal Increase minimum wage from $7.25 to $12.00/hr (+65.5%). Note: average wage for workers earning Hits: 42 |
TC_2023_Manufacturing.pdfpayroll (4.75% to 5.00% depending on the state). Each state program has its own requirements for minimum qualified wages and increases in payroll or employment. The annual program caps range from $4 million in Pennsylvania to $25 million in that year. ▪ Program data are limited, but applicants have committed to creating 415 full-time manufacturing jobs with an average wage of $86,000. Tax credits were authorized at an average of roughly $3,800 per new job created ($1.6 Hits: 40 |
RB_2021_01_Economic_Impact_of_Federal_Stimulus.pdfstate economy, when combined with temporary labor market conditions attributable to the pandemic, is conducive to raising the state minimum wage from its current level of $7.25 per hour. 1 Stimulus Overview Since March 2020, at least four pieces of compensation for self-employed and gig economy workers) and direct and general support to state and local governments. 2) Lost Wage Assistance (LWA) Program In August 2020, the administration used executive authority to repurpose funds earmarked for emergency management to provide Hits: 32 |
PBB_2021_DHS_REPORT_ADDENDUM.pdforiginal measures provided. As part of this addendum, the Performance-Based Budget Board requested information on staff turnover and average wage for contracted or third-party direct care workers for child welfare services. DHS re- sponded that these metrics are not available. The available data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics on average wage of select occupations related to County Child Welfare are detailed below. 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Hits: 30 |
TC_2019_Film_Production_Tax_Credit_Report.pdflittle to promote economic growth because a large portion of the subsidized expenses flow out of state as wages to non-residents and some recipients would film in the state regardless of the tax credit. This analysis examines these and other the-line (e.g., crews) labor costs. For example, Illinois offers a 30 percent credit, but only resident wage and employer benefits up to $100,000 are qualified expenses. For New Mexico, non-resident above-the-line labor that does not Hits: 29 |
Five_Year_Outlook_2022.pdf1.7% 1.8% Nominal GDP -3.5% 9.4% 9.3% 4.4% 3.8% 4.2% 4.1% Wages and Salaries -0.2% 7.2% 8.4% 4.7% 4.3% 4.0% 3.9% Net Payroll Jobs (000s data for recent quarters. Notable trends include: ▪ Real GDP contracted by 0.9% on an annualized basis in 2022 Q2. ▪ Wages and Salaries paid grew by 9.3% (year-over-year) in 2022 Q2 and decelerated to 6.4% (estimate) by Hits: 29 |
TC_2021_Video_Game_Production.pdfSection 2: VGP Tax Credit Overview | Page 8 Based on application data, the number of Pennsylvania residents employed and salaries/wages paid in- creased with the number of applicants. (See Table 2.2.) In FY 2019-20, recipients of the VGP Tax Credit paid approximately $2.3 million in qualified wages associated with VGP approved projects to roughly 83 full-time Pennsylvania employees. 10 Qualified Pennsylvania expenses increased over time and Hits: 28 |
TC_2020_Organ and Bone Marrow Donation Tax Credit.pdfor bone marrow donation, with most states providing an income tax deduction for non-medical expenses and lost wages incurred by the donor. Unfortunately, these state incentive programs do not appear to be widely utilized. This analysis examines these and other donation (e.g., $10,000). The move to a dollar cap would increase the proportional benefit to lower wage-workers. Expand the program to provide direct financial support to living donors. This support could be provided via a donor tax Hits: 28 |
Revenue-Estimate-2019-05.pdf2019 and 2020, the U.S. economic forecast by IHS Markit projects a deceleration of economic growth, stable wage gains and moderate inflation. (See Table 1.1 .) For Pennsylvania, the economic forecast by the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) also projects a gross domestic product, excludes inflation) will increase by 1.9 percent (2019) and 1.9 percent (2020). Wages and Salaries paid to Pennsylvania residents will increase by 4.0 percent and 4.1 percent. Payroll Employment will expand by Hits: 28 |
Official-Revenue-Estimate-2019-06.pdf2019 and 2020, the U.S. Economic forecast by IHS Markit projects a deceleration of economic growth, stable wage gains and moderate inflation. (See Table 1.1.) For Pennsylvania, the economic forecast by the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) also projects a Real GDP (real gross domestic product, excludes inflation) will increase by 1.9 percent each year. Wages and Salaries paid to Pennsylvania residents will increase by 4.1 percent each year. Payroll Employment will expand by 57,700 Hits: 28 |
TC_2022_Coal_Refuse_Energy_Reclamation.pdfImpact .................................................................................................................... 19 Industry Inputs, Output and Capacity Utilization ........................................................................... 19 Industry Concentration ............................................................................................................... 21 Fossil Fuel Generation Sector ....................................................................................................... 22 Industry Employment and Wages ................................................................................................ 23 Average and Breakeven Prices ..................................................................................................... 24 Economic Impact of CRER Tax Credit ........................................................................................... 27 Avoided Costs and Unrecognized Positive Externalities ................................................................... 29 wholesale prices are too low, coal refuse plants may temporarily close to avoid incurring variable costs (i.e., transportation and wages). During these periods, plants do not generate electricity or engage in reclamation activities. This reduces the amount of coal refuse Hits: 27 |
SUT Exemption for Aircraft - January 2013.pdfMRO services. The data are from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW). The QCEW data provide quarterly employment and wage data by six- digit North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) at the state level, provided that certain disclosure restrictions are met. The Hits: 24 |
PICPA_Presentation.pdf7,765 111 1.4% 72 0.9% Sales – Motor Vehicle 1,247 24 2.0% 24 2.0% PIT – Wages 8,862 295 3.4% 291 3.4% PIT – Non-Wage 2,582 -98 -3.7% -107 -4.0% All Tobacco 1,216 386 46.5% -51 -6.1% Inheritance 855 Hits: 24 |
IFO_Hearing_Packet_Feb2018.pdfChange in Employer Contributions 24 Funded Ratios for PSERS and SERS 25 Miscellaneous Materials Property Tax Projections 26 State Minimum Wage Levels 27 State Corporate Tax Rates and Other Attributes 28 PBB and Tax Credit Review Schedule 29 Independent Fiscal Office Review (January 2017, May 2017, August 2017, November 2017) Mid‐Year Update FY 2016‐17 (January 2017) PFBC Wage Contract Analysis (February 2017) Pennsylvania Gaming Trends (February 2017) Department of Corrections Performance Measures (February 2017) Quarterly Hits: 24 |
Revenue-Estimate-2020-05.pdfdomestic product, excludes inflation) decreases by 6.2 percent (2020) and increases by 6.3 percent (2021). Wages and Salaries paid to Pennsylvania residents decrease by 3.2 percent (2020) and increase by 5.5 percent (2021). Those amounts exclude up operations. COVID-19 2018 2019 2020 2021 Real GDP 2.6% 2.3% -6.2% 6.3% Wages-Salaries 4.3% 4.2% -3.2% 5.5% Net Payroll Jobs (000s) 68.9 55.5 -495.3 357.1 Philadelphia Hits: 23 |
PASBO_March_17_2021.pdfand Industry and ECI is projected by IHS Markit with minor adjustments by the IFO. Assumes no change in minimum wage. March 17, 2021 Act 1 Index Components: Long-Term Perspective 4 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2 and Industry and ECI is projected by IHS Markit with minor adjustments by the IFO. Assumes no change in minimum wage. March 17, 2021 moderate inflation strong jobs market Great Recession large ECI and SAWW disconnect another rare disconnect COVID-19 Hits: 23 |
Official-Revenue-Estimate-2020-06.pdfdomestic product, excludes inflation) decreases by 5.6 percent (2020) and increases by 5.5 percent (2021). Wages and Salaries paid to Pennsylvania residents decrease by 3.2 percent (2020) and increase by 5.0 percent (2021). Those amounts exclude May 19). COVID-19 2018 2019 2020 2021 Real GDP 2.6% 2.3% -5.6% 5.5% Wages-Salaries 4.3% 4.2% -3.2% 5.0% Net Payroll Jobs (000s) 68.9 55.5 -453.0 309.7 Philadelphia Hits: 23 |
MTR-2016-10.pdf8,849 $8,786 $63 Growth -0.2% 0.2% -38.7% Dollar amounts are in millions. RECENT TRENDS IN WAGE INCOME Wages and salaries earned by workers are an integral part of the state and national economies. For Pennsylvania, wage income ($308 Hits: 23 |
Economic_and_Revenue_Update_2021.pdfAverage Tax Rate and Rank ........................................ 17 SERS and PSERS Financial Data ............................................................................. 18 Tax Credit and Economic Development Incentives ................................................... 19 Minimum Wage Rates by State .............................................................................. 21 PA Worker Distribution by Hourly Wage Rates ......................................................... 22 PIT Revenue Proposal: Impact on Different Filers .................................................... 23 PIT Revenue Proposal: Impact on Average Effective Tax Rates ................................ 24 Hits: 23 |
Economic_and_Revenue_Update_2020.pdfTrends ($/mmbtu) ................................................................................................... 22 SERS and PSERS Employer Contributions Rates and Funding Ratios ...................................... 23 SERS and PSERS Financial Data .............................................................................................................. 24 Minimum Wage Rates by State ............................................................................................................. 25 PA Workers Affected by a $12 Minimum Wage (2018) ................................................................ 26 States with Corporate Net Income Tax ............................................................................................... 27 Combined Reporting vs. Separate Reporting States ..................................................................... 28 PBB and Tax Credit Hits: 23 |
2013_special_report_funding_and_reforming_public_employee_retirement_systems.pdfpresently earned. In other words, the employee undertakes to perform services for the employer in return for compensation, both present (wages and benefits) and future (to be paid after retirement). Any benefit not part of the consideration for services is not that still holds true. The traditional bargain was that public employees would receive secure retirement benefits as compensation for lower wages. As many states around the nation have faced the funding pressures resulting from the recession of 2008, many governments have Hits: 23 |
TC_2019_New_Jobs_Tax_Credit_Report.pdfbusiness must agree to increase employment by at least 10 percent in the same period.) The average hourly wage (excluding benefits) for each newly-created job must be at least 150 percent of the Federal minimum wage (currently $7.25 per hour) which equals $10.88 per hour. The JCTC is one of 22 credits subject to review by Hits: 22 |
RB-2020-COVID-19 Local Revenue Impact.pdf1) property tax bills sent in March 2020, (2) EIT remittances received during the calendar year, which are attributable to wage compensation and certain net profits earned one quarter prior (i.e., 2019 Q4 to 2020 Q3) and (3) gaming local Property tax revenues are generally related to property tax bills sent in July 2020 and EIT remittances are attributable to wages and net profits earned one quarter prior (i.e., 2020 Q2 to 2021 Q1). 1 Hence, COVID-19 will affect Hits: 22 |
Official-Revenue-Estimate-Methodology-2019-06.pdfyears. These two revenue sources are linked because the decision to purchase taxable goods is a function of wage and business income, while wage and business income are simultaneously a function of total consumer and business purchases. Hence, the methodologies used to project these tax revenues Hits: 22 |
TC_2021_Entertainment_Economic_Enhancement_Program.pdfas fees paid for rehearsal or tour production services. For qualified ex- penses that are eligible for the tax credit, wages and salaries paid comprise roughly six percent of total expenses for the average rehearsal/tour. The share paid to Pennsylvania residents (1.4 percent) was less than that paid to non-residents (4.4 percent). The wage share is higher for tours (10.4 percent of qualified expenses), as is the share paid to Pennsylvania residents (3 Hits: 21 |
Revenue_Estimate_2021_05.pdfThe current forecast assumes that: ▪ Real GDP (real gross domestic product) increases by 3.6% (2021) and 2.4% (2022). ▪ Wages and Salaries paid to Pennsylvania residents increases by 6.7% (2021) and 4.3% (2022) (excludes compensation earned by self- 2.7% (2022). January 2021 Estimate 2019 2020 2021 2022 Real GDP 2.4% -4.1% 3.5% 2.8% Wages-Salaries 4.3% -1.2% 4.8% 4.4% Net Payroll Jobs (000s) 54.0 -450.0 120.0 100 Hits: 21 |
Official_Revenue_Estimate_Methodology_2022.pdfnon- recession years. These two revenue sources are linked because the decision to purchase taxable goods is a function of wage and business income, while wage and business income are simultaneously a function of total consumer and business purchases. Hence, the methodologies used to project these Hits: 21 |
Official_Revenue_Estimate_Methodology_2021.pdfnon- recession years. These two revenue sources are linked because the decision to purchase taxable goods is a function of wage and business income, while wage and business income are simultaneously a function of total consumer and business purchases. Hence, the methodologies used to project these Hits: 21 |
Official-Revenue-Estimate-Methodology-2020-6.pdfyears. These two revenue sources are linked because the decision to purchase taxable goods is a function of wage and business income, while wage and business income are simultaneously a function of total consumer and business purchases. Hence, the methodologies used to project these tax revenues Hits: 21 |
ACN_SB1071_A10803_text.pdfthe Public School Code of 1949, or other types of military leave, including other types of leave payments, stipends, differential wage payments as defined in IRC § 414(u)(12) and any other payments, provided, however, that the limitation under section 401 participants of the plan; that the employer shall fully compensate the member or participant, including, but not limited to, salary, wages, pension and retirement contributions and benefits, employer defined contributions, other benefits and seniority, as if he were in full-time Hits: 20 |
RB_2023_02_ChildCare.pdfproviders. To entice child care workers back into the labor force, employers used a portion of ARPA funds to supplement wages. The table on the next page displays the annual growth rate of the average weekly wage for private child care workers compared to all private payroll workers statewide. For all three years during the public health Hits: 19 |
RB_2021_11_Wage_Growth.pdfthe U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported 2021 Q3 data for the U.S. employer cost index (ECI, wage compensation only) and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) published September data for total wages paid to U.S. workers. 1 The ECI data show the largest annual gain since publication of that series (2001 Hits: 19 |
June_Revenue_Estimate_2021.pdfThe current forecast assumes that: ▪ Real GDP (real gross domestic product) increases by 3.8% (2021) and 2.4% (2022). ▪ Wages-Salaries paid to Pennsylvania residents increases by 6.4% (2021) and 4.3% (2022) (ex- cludes compensation earned by self- 2.7% (2022). January 2021 Estimate 2019 2020 2021 2022 Real GDP 2.4% -4.1% 3.5% 2.8% Wages-Salaries 4.3% -1.2% 4.8% 4.4% Net Payroll Jobs (000s) 54.0 -450.0 120.0 100 Hits: 19 |
Revenue_Estimate_2022_06.pdfforecast assumes that: ▪ Real GDP (real gross domestic product, excludes inflation) increases by 1.1% (2022) and 0.5% (2023). ▪ Wages and Salaries paid to Pennsylvania residents increases by 7.7% (2022) and 5.5% (2023) (excludes compensation earned by self- 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Real GDP 1.7% -4.5% 4.4% 1.1% 0.5% 1.3% Wages-Salaries 4.4% -0.3% 7.7% 7.7% 5.5% 4.1% Net Payroll Jobs (000s) 56.1 -461 Hits: 18 |
Revenue_Estimate_2022_05.pdfforecast assumes that: ▪ Real GDP (real gross domestic product, excludes inflation) increases by 1.4% (2022) and 0.9% (2023). ▪ Wages and Salaries paid to Pennsylvania residents increases by 7.8% (2022) and 5.5% (2023) (excludes compensation earned by self- 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Real GDP 1.7% -4.5% 4.4% 1.4% 0.9% 1.4% Wages-Salaries 4.4% -0.3% 7.7% 7.8% 5.5% 4.3% Net Payroll Jobs (000s) 56.1 -461 Hits: 18 |
IFO_Testimony_Min_Wage_Feb_16_2021.pdfHearing on Impact of Minimum Wage Increase in Pennsylvania House Commerce Committee February 16, 2021 Matthew Knittel | Director | Independent Fiscal Office Good morning Chairman Roae, Chairman disproportionately impacted. Those workers were employed in the retail trade and food service sectors. The fourth table shows minimum wage rates across states for the current year and two subsequent years. The fifth table displays the state wage distribution Hits: 18 |
HTAE_2019_05_15.pdf1 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 United States Real GDP 2.9% 1.6% 2.2% 2.9% 2.7% Wages-Salaries 5.1% 2.9% 4.6% 4.5% 4.5% Consumer Price Index 0.1% 1.3% 2.1% 9% -5.4% 1.2% 10.7% ---- Pennsylvania Real GDP 2.0% 1.1% 1.7% 2.1% 1.9% Wages-Salaries 4.0% 1.3% 4.0% 4.0% 3.9% Net New Jobs (000s) 46.2 48.8 58 Hits: 18 |
platt ppt.pdfwww.bea.gov Recent Trends in Personal Income, Earnings and Wages in Pennsylvania Joel D. Platt Associate Director for Regional Economics Revenue Forecasting Conference Independent Fiscal Office for Pennsylvania January 18 government transfers 5 www.bea.gov Components of Personal Income ▪ Earnings (Place of Work) Compensation (Place of Work) Wages and salaries Supplements Employer payments for pensions and health insurance Employer contributions for social insurance Proprietors Hits: 17 |
UGSOA_Wage_Contract_Analysis_2021.pdfproposed collective bargaining agreement under the jurisdiction of the Governor prior to execution, including the costs to cover public employee wages, benefits, pensions and working conditions that have been reduced in writing under section 701 of the act of July 23 analysis uses the following parameters and data obtained from the state accounting system as of August 23, 2021: • Total annual wage base of affected workforce: $8.2 million. • Total number of full-time equivalent employees covered: 203. • Benefit rate: weighted-average Hits: 16 |
UGSOA_Wage_Contract_ Analysis_2020.pdfproposed collective bargaining agreement under the jurisdiction of the Governor prior to execution, including the costs to cover public employee wages, benefits, pensions and working conditions that have been reduced in writing under section 701 of the act of July 23 uses the following parameters and data obtained from the state accounting system as of August 31, 2020: Total annual wage base of affected workforce: $7.6 million. Total number of full-time equivalent employees covered: 191. Benefit rate Hits: 16 |
TC_2020_Research and Development Tax Credit.pdfMany firms that claim the RDTC are large multistate corpo- rations that can shift R&D spending (mostly wages) between states. For many firms that regularly claim the credit, the data show that it significantly reduces their CNIT liability. Pennsylvania On an annual basis, the tax credit creates or retains 915 full-time jobs at a typical annual wage of $80,000 to $95,000 for established firms. The recommendations of this report are as follows. A more complete discussion of Hits: 16 |
SEIU Local 668 UC Referees Analysis- 2020.pdfproposed collective bargaining agreement under the jurisdiction of the Governor prior to execution, including the costs to cover public employee wages, benefits, pensions and working conditions that have been reduced in writing under section 701 of the act of July 23 uses the following parameters and data obtained from the state accounting system as of July 1, 2019: Total annual wage base of affected workforce: $3.6 million. Total number of full-time equivalent employees covered: 46. Benefit rate Hits: 16 |
SEIU Healthcare Wage Contract Analysis- 2019.pdfproposed collective bargaining agreement under the jurisdiction of the Governor prior to execution, including the costs to cover public employee wages, benefits, pensions and working conditions that have been reduced in writing under section 701 of the act of July 23 uses the following parameters and data obtained from the state accounting system as of July 1, 2019: Total annual wage base of affected workforce: $84.2 million. Total number of full-time equivalent employees covered: 1,136. Benefit Hits: 16 |
PSEA Wage Contract Analysis- 2020.pdfproposed collective bargaining agreement under the jurisdiction of the Governor prior to execution, including the costs to cover public employee wages, benefits, pensions and working conditions that have been reduced in writing under section 701 of the act of July 23 uses the following parameters and data obtained from the state accounting system as of July 1, 2019: Total annual wage base of affected workforce: $1.8 million. Total number of full-time equivalent employees covered: 24. Benefit rate Hits: 16 |
PSCOA Wage Contract Analysis- 2020.pdfproposed collective bargaining agreement under the jurisdiction of the Governor prior to execution, including the costs to cover public employee wages, benefits, pensions and working conditions that have been reduced in writing under section 701 of the act of July 23 uses the following parameters and data obtained from the state accounting system as of May 4, 2020: Total annual wage base of affected workforce: $658.9 million. Total number of full-time equivalent employees covered: 10,798. Benefit Hits: 16 |
PLEA Wage Contract Analysis- 2019.pdfproposed collective bargaining agreement under the jurisdiction of the Governor prior to execution, including the costs to cover public employee wages, benefits, pensions and working conditions that have been reduced in writing under section 701 of the act of July 23 uses the following parameters and data obtained from the state accounting system as of July 1, 2019: Total annual wage base of affected workforce: $7.0 million. Total number of full-time equivalent employees covered: 136. Benefit rate Hits: 16 |
PDA Wage Contract Analysis- 2019.pdfproposed collective bargaining agreement under the jurisdiction of the Governor prior to execution, including the costs to cover public employee wages, benefits, pensions and working conditions that have been reduced in writing under section 701 of the act of July 23 uses the following parameters and data obtained from the state accounting system as of July 1, 2019: Total annual wage base of affected workforce: $20.2 million. Total number of full-time equivalent employees covered: 138. Benefit rate Hits: 16 |
OPEIU Wage Contract Analysis- 2019.pdfproposed collective bargaining agreement under the jurisdiction of the Governor prior to execution, including the costs to cover public employee wages, benefits, pensions and working conditions that have been reduced in writing under section 701 of the act of July 23 uses the following parameters and data obtained from the state accounting system as of July 1, 2019: Total annual wage base of affected workforce: $20.2 million. Total number of full-time equivalent employees covered: 232. Benefit rate Hits: 16 |
ISSU Wage Contract Analysis- 2019.pdfproposed collective bargaining agreement under the jurisdiction of the Governor prior to execution, including the costs to cover public employee wages, benefits, pensions and working conditions that have been reduced in writing under section 701 of the act of July 23 uses the following parameters and data obtained from the state accounting system as of July 1, 2019: Total annual wage base of affected workforce: $33 million. Total number of full-time equivalent employees covered: 697. Benefit rate: weighted- Hits: 16 |
FOSCEP Wage Contract Analysis- 2019.pdfproposed collective bargaining agreement under the jurisdiction of the Governor prior to execution, including the costs to cover public employee wages, benefits, pensions and working conditions that have been reduced in writing under section 701 of the act of July 23 uses the following parameters and data obtained from the state accounting system as of July 1, 2019: Total annual wage base of affected workforce: $21.0 million. Total number of full-time equivalent employees covered: 308. Benefit rate Hits: 16 |
CIVEA Wage Contract Analysis- 2019.pdfproposed collective bargaining agreement under the jurisdiction of the Governor prior to execution, including the costs to cover public employee wages, benefits, pensions and working conditions that have been reduced in writing under section 701 of the act of July 23 the following parameters and data obtained from the state accounting system as of September 30, 2019: 1 Total annual wage base of affected workforce: $23.3 million. Total number of full-time equivalent employees covered: 341. Benefit rate Hits: 16 |
ALES Wage Contract Analysis- 2019.pdfproposed collective bargaining agreement under the jurisdiction of the Governor prior to execution, including the costs to cover public employee wages, benefits, pensions and working conditions that have been reduced in writing under section 701 of the act of July 23 uses the following parameters and data obtained from the state accounting system as of July 1, 2019: Total annual wage base of affected workforce: $2.0 million. Total number of full-time equivalent employees covered: 28. Benefit rate Hits: 16 |
Wage_Contracts_PDA.pdfproposed collective bargaining agreement under the jurisdiction of the Governor prior to execution, including the costs to cover public employee wages, benefits, pensions and working conditions that have been reduced in writing under section 701 of the act of July 23 analysis uses the following parameters and data obtained from the state accounting system as of August 12, 2016: • Total annual wage base of affected workforce: $18 million. 1 • Total number of full-time equivalent employees covered: 135. • Benefit rate: weighted-average Hits: 15 |
Response-Letter-10-7-2019.pdfThank you for your recent letter that requests the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) to provide additional data on the minimum wage analysis included in the Analysis of Revenue Proposals published by the office in March 2019. Your letter requests additional detail regarding the net wage gains displayed in Table 2.6 of the report. Your letter also inquires about reduced work hours and reduced benefits Hits: 15 |
PBB_2022_AGRICULTURE_REPORT.pdfhorse racing activity prior to and during the COVID-19 pandemic. From 2017 to 2019, the total handle (i.e., wagers placed) on horse racing declined by $24.1 million (-3%) and taxable handle declined by $46.3 million (-13%). During involved over 15,000 competing horses and resulted in $168 million in purses paid to winners and $678 million in wagers placed (handle). In CY 2020, horse racing was significantly impacted by COVID-19 and the related closures and mitigation efforts Hits: 15 |
MGMT Nonrepresented Wage Contract.pdfuses the following parameters and data obtained from the state accounting system as of July 1, 2019: Total annual wage base of affected workforce: $959 million. Total number of full-time equivalent employees covered: 12,490. Benefit rate: weighted-average rate of 43.6%. The benefit rate reflects indirect costs related to employee wages such as employer pension contributions, Social Security and Medicare taxes, and workers’ compensation payments. For example, a benefit rate of Hits: 15 |
Economic_and_Revenue_Update_2020_10.pdfto the June 2020 forecast, the IFO projects a smaller contraction of real GDP, a smaller reduction in wages and salaries paid to workers, the same magnitude of average job losses and slightly stronger inflation as measured by the Philadelphia CPI- due June 2020 Forecast 2018 2019 2020 2021 Real GDP 2.6% 2.3% -5.6% 5.5% Wages-Salaries 4.3% 4.2% -3.2% 5.0% Net Payroll Jobs (000s) 69 56 -453 310 Philadelphia CPI-U 1.3% Hits: 15 |
mid-year-FY14-15-presentation.pdfOutlook for 2015 and 2016. • Forecasts: June 2014 vs. January 2015. • Drop in gas prices: SUT and other impacts. • Real wage growth: boost to consumer confidence? FY 2014‐15 General Fund Revenues. • Performance through January. • Revisions to FY 2014‐15 estimate U June 2014 1.7% 2.2% n.a. possibly negative Jan 2015 1.3% 0.3% 1.6% Total Wages June 2014 3.2% 3.8% n.a. some risks Jan 2015 3.2% 3.6% 3.8% Average Job Hits: 14 |
IFO - Economic and Budget Outlook - January 2012.pdfpersonal income because that series is published in a more timely manner. Personal income is equal to the sum of wages, proprietor, rental, dividend, and interest income plus various government transfers such as social security and unemployment compensation. 2 For the of the (unexpected) labor market weakness is reflected in a downward revision in the growth rate of payroll employment, real wages and real personal consumption for the third and fourth quarters of 2011 (not shown in table). The impact of that Hits: 14 |
Wage Contract SEIU-FINAL.pdfproposed collective bargaining agreement under the jurisdiction of the Governor prior to execution, including the costs to cover public employee wages, benefits, pensions and working conditions that have been reduced in writing under section 701 of the act of July 23 the following parameters and data obtained from the state accounting system as of August 12, 2016: 2 Total annual wage base of affected workforce: $471 million. Total number of full-time equivalent employees covered: 9,546. Benefit rate Hits: 13 |
Wage Contract AFSCME-FINAL.pdfproposed collective bargaining agreement under the jurisdiction of the Governor prior to execution, including the costs to cover public employee wages, benefits, pensions and working conditions that have been reduced in writing under section 701 of the act of July 23 the following parameters and data obtained from the state accounting system as of August 12, 2016: 2 Total annual wage base of affected workforce: $1,364 million. Total number of full-time equivalent employees covered: 31,986. Benefit Hits: 13 |
Revenue-Estimate-2020-05-Presentation.pdfor Change 2019.2 2019.3 2019.4 2020.1 Real GDP 2.1% 1.9% 2.3% n.a. Wages-Salaries 4.7% 3.5% 4.3% 3.7% Net New Jobs (000s) 53.1 54.7 48.2 51 May 26, 2020 3 COVID-19 2018 2019 2020 2021 Real GDP 2.6% 2.3% -6.2% 6.3% Wages-Salaries 4.3% 4.2% -3.2% 5.5% Net Job Gains (000s) 68.9 55.5 -495.3 357 Hits: 13 |
Presentation-2018-08-PA-State-Association-Boroughs.pdfjobs. Slower growth. Housing pressures. Transition to local unit trends. Earned income tax and property tax. Focus on wage growth. August.08.2018 2 Good Morning & Today’s Presentation Established in 2011. Non-partisan analysis. Modeled after the Separate from Executive and Legislative branches. Various mandatory duties. General Fund revenue estimates. Coordinate pension analysis. Analyze wage contracts. Develop Performance-Based Budget plans for agencies. Things the office does not do: Make policy or budget Hits: 13 |
Municipal_Analysts_Presentation.pdfGeneral Fund Revenue Estimates (May 1, June 15). Five-year economic and budget outlook (November 15). Pension and wage contract analysis. Special studies at request of General Assembly. A Quick Tour Budget Status. Where are we? How 2017; same trends. Continued low inflation has mixed effects. Margins get squeezed. Hard to pass on costs. Real wage gains. Does not translate into spending. Healthcare-Soc. Service dominates job gains. About two-thirds of these gains for Hits: 13 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_May_2021.pdfLess Shelter index may provide the best measure of inflation for goods and services that consumers actually purchase. PA Total Wage Growth Accelerates Based on the latest four months of data, growth of wages paid to Pennsylvania workers appears to be accelerating as the state economy received a significant boost from the latest round Hits: 13 |
IFO_Hearing_Packet_Feb2019.pdfPension Systems Data ............................................................................................................... 20 Employer Contribution Rates for PSERS and SERS ...................................................... 21 Funded Ratios for PSERS and SERS .................................................................................... 22 Minimum Wage Rates by State ............................................................................................. 23 Corporate Net Income Tax by State .................................................................................... 24 Performance-Based Budgeting (PBB) and Tax Credit Schedule ............................ 25 Production Tax Credit Review (January 2019) Historic Preservation Tax Credit Review (January 2019) New Jobs Tax Credit Review (January 2019) • Wage Contracts ALES Wage Contract Analysis (February 2018) UGSOA Wage Contract Analysis (March 2018) • Natural Gas Impact Fee Update (January 2018 Hits: 13 |
Analysis of Recent Collective Bargaining Agreements.pdfproposed collective bargaining agreement under the jurisdiction of the Governor prior to execution, including the costs to cover public employee wages, benefits, pensions and working conditions that have been reduced in writing under section 701 of the act of July 23 analysis uses the following parameters and data obtained from the state accounting system as of August 12, 2016: • Total annual wage base of affected workforce: $196 million. • Total number of full-time equivalent employees covered: 3,650. • Benefit rate: weighted-average Hits: 13 |
Wage Contract PFBC-FINAL.pdfproposed collective bargaining agreement under the jurisdiction of the Governor prior to execution, including the costs to cover public employee wages, benefits, pensions and working conditions that have been reduced in writing under section 701 of the act of July 23 analysis uses the following parameters and data obtained from the state accounting system as of August 12, 2016: • Total annual wage base of affected workforce: $4 million. • Total number of full-time equivalent employees covered: 80. • Benefit rate: weighted-average rate Hits: 12 |
TC_2022_Brewers.pdfbeverages. 7 Table 3.2 ranks Pennsylvania, border and other peer states based on brewery em- ployment data and total wages paid for 2019. 8 In 2015, the U.S. brewery industry employed 48,400 full- and part-time staff and paid $2.9 billion in total wages. By 2019, those amounts had expanded rapidly to 86,670 (15.7% average growth per annum) and $3.9 billion Hits: 12 |
TC_2021_Keystone_Special_Development_Zones_Update.pdfto-use infrastructure, other tax benefits) because those could still be offered without the KSDZ Tax Credit. The $2,100 wage subsidy must be viewed in isolation. 18 All KSDZ activity to date has occurred at the Bethlehem site. This implies analysis. Line 1 For tax year 2020, the KSDZ Tax Credit was awarded for 2,049 jobs. Line 2 Annual wages associated with KSDZ Tax Credit jobs ($102 million). Line 3 The analysis computes the incentivized share (39 percent) necessary for Hits: 12 |
Official-Revenue-Estimate-2020-06-Presentation.pdfor Change 2019.2 2019.3 2019.4 2020.1 Real GDP 2.1% 1.9% 2.3% n.a. Wages-Salaries 4.7% 3.5% 4.3% 3.7% Net New Jobs (000s) 53.1 54.7 48.2 51 June 22, 2020 3 COVID-19 2018 2019 2020 2021 Real GDP 2.6% 2.3% -5.6% 5.5% Wages-Salaries 4.3% 4.2% -3.2% 5.0% Net Job Gains (000s) 68.9 55.5 -453.0 309 Hits: 12 |
MER-2014-07.pdffor 2014.2 is 4.0%. Personal Income The year‐over‐year growth rate of U.S. personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any in Ðlationary gains. 1 Value for 2014.2 is 4 days delinquent. 3 Quarterly Pennsylvania Economic Indicators Personal Income The year‐over‐year growth rate of PA personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any in Ðlationary gains. 1 FHFA House Price Index An index Hits: 12 |
Five_Year_Outlook_2016_IFO_PPT.pdf3% 4% 5% 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 PA US +47,000 jobs per annum 3.2% average wage growth 2.1% inflation 1.1% real wage increase also known as a “flat line” Real GDP Growth Demographic Outlook Projections from the Pennsylvania State Data Center Official Hits: 12 |
TC_2020_Keystone_Innovation_Zone_Tax_Credit.pdf17.9% 4.1% 5.1% Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages. Calculations by IFO. Table 2.5 Average Growth in Number of Business Establishments: 2014 to 2018 Section 2: Overview of the KIZ of labor earnings (includes employee compensation, and the earnings of independent contractors and sole proprietors). 24 Median annual wages for typical occupa- tions in subsectors that use the credit include software developer ($93,670), computer programmer ($84,880) and biomedical engineer Hits: 11 |
Presentation-2019-01-Mid-Year-Update.pdf0.9% 1.8% 2.3% 2.2% Jan 2019 1.2% 2.2% 2.2% 2.0% 1.9% Wages-Salaries Jun 2018 1.3% 3.8% 4.3% 4.2% Jan 2019 1.3% 4.0% 4.1% 4 62.5 57.1 Jan 2019 50.0 62.9 70.9 58.7 54.7 Note: Real GDP and Wage data revised for 2016 and 2017. Source: Historical data from U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and U.S. Bureau Hits: 11 |
PASBO_Presentation_March_16_2023.pdfI PA Economy: Where are we? ▪ Latest data: jobs, inflation, labor market ▪ Focus: labor market and demographics ▪ Focus: inflation and wages II Statewide Public School Employment, Payroll and Wages ▪ COVID jobs contraction ▪ Real Average Weekly Wage contracts III Act I Index Outlook ▪ Statewide Average Weekly Wage (SAWW) remains elevated Hits: 11 |
Official-Revenue-Estimate-2018-06.pdfCPI-U (consumer price index) will increase by 1.8 percent (2018) and 2.2 percent (2019). Wages and Salaries paid to Pennsylvania residents will increase by 4.3 percent (2018) and 4.2 percent (2019). Payroll Employment will real GDP growth. Lower consumer price inflation in 2017 and 2018. A downward revision to 2016 wage growth, but stronger growth for 2018. Stronger job gains for the June 2018 economic forecast. 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Hits: 11 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_April_2022.pdfhow entrenched inflation has become in the economy and expectations. To provide insight, economists look to the labor market and wage growth. For Pennsylvania, data suggest that inflation is now affecting year-over-year (YOY) wage growth (see graph). From 2020 Q2 to 2021 Q1, average wage growth appeared very high due to the disproportionate contraction Hits: 11 |
MER-2015-02.pdfS. economy. Excludes in Ðlation. 1 Personal Income The year‐over‐year growth rate of U.S. personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any in Ðlationary gains. 1 Corporate Pro Ðits The year‐over‐ days delinquent. 5 Quarterly Pennsylvania Economic Indicators Personal Income The year‐over‐year growth rate of PA personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any in Ðlationary gains. 1 Industrial Electricity Sales The year‐over‐ Hits: 11 |
TC_2023_PA_Resource_Manufacturing.pdfservices that support the business firm operations of these entities. These jobs data must include average annual salaries and hourly wages. State and local taxes paid by the recipient, upstream and downstream companies and any compa- nies that provide goods services that support the business firm operations of these entities. These jobs data must include average annual salaries and hourly wages. State and local taxes paid by the recipient, upstream and downstream companies and any compa- nies that provide goods Hits: 10 |
Single-Use Plastics Report-2020_06.pdf22,357 25,694 2.8 Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages. Table 4.1 - Overview of Pennsylvania Retailers # of Establishments # of Jobs Average Annual Pay Note: AAGR is average annual growth rate. Grocery at the checkout per year across all households. When this is applied to half the state median hourly wage, the statewide time cost is estimated to be at least $6 million per year. 51 Finally, the effectiveness of any regulation relies Hits: 10 |
Presentation-2018-06-PICPA.pdf Federal tax cut continues to flow into economy. Corporate base expansion enhances revenues. Tight labor market sustains wage growth. Inflation accelerates above 2%. Helps pricing power. June.12.2018 2 Optimistic Revenue Outlook Wage income - statewide growth is strong. Withholding growth +4.4% since start of FY 17-18. Rough split: +1 Hits: 10 |
MSC_March_31_2022.pdfRevenues significantly outperform estimates ▪ Approximately $6 billion in federal relief supports current year budget ▪ Proposed for FY 22-23: Minimum wage increase | corporate tax changes Main economic issues ▪ What happened to the labor force? ▪ Inflation for 2022 | wage-price spiral taking hold? Natural gas trends ▪ National and regional prices remain high | impact fee is elevated ▪ Will international demand Hits: 10 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_June_2021.pdfNational Wage Gains Surge On May 28, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released monthly data on U.S. personal income (NIPA Table 2.6). For March and April (latest two months), the data show that wages-salaries grew by 1.0% each month relative to the prior month, which is very robust relative to historical averages Hits: 10 |
Initial-Revenue-Estimate-2018-05.pdfU (consumer price index) will both increase by 1.8 percent (2018) and 2.2 percent (2019). Wages and Salaries paid to Pennsylvania residents will increase by 4.3 percent (2018) and 4.2 percent (2019). Payroll Employment will real GDP growth. Lower consumer price inflation in 2017 and 2018. A downward revision to 2016 wage growth, but stronger growth for 2018. Stronger job gains for the May 2018 economic forecast. 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Hits: 10 |
Budget Hearings Packet.pdfAugust 2016) • Natural Gas Production Report Quarter 2 (August 2016) • Using Performance Measures in the State Budget (September 2016) • AFSCME Wage Contract Analysis (September 2016) • SEIU Wage Contract Analysis (September 2016) • Actuarial Note Transmittal for A10803 to Senate Bill 1071 (October 2016) • Quarterly Revenue Review (October 2016 Hits: 10 |
Budget Hearings Packet- Web Version.pdfAugust 2016) • Natural Gas Production Report Quarter 2 (August 2016) • Using Performance Measures in the State Budget (September 2016) • AFSCME Wage Contract Analysis (September 2016) • SEIU Wage Contract Analysis (September 2016) • Actuarial Note Transmittal for A10803 to Senate Bill 1071 (October 2016) • Quarterly Revenue Review (October 2016 Hits: 10 |
Revenue_Estimate_Presentation_2022_05.pdfmarket and housing correction ▪ Jobs stagnate or contract Stagnation or Growth Recession (~60%) ▪ Minimal real growth | continued strong inflation ▪ Real wages eroded in near term | hiring slows but still positive ▪ Stock market and home sales (not prices) continue to contract May 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Real GDP 1.7% -4.5% 4.4% 1.4% 0.9% 1.4% Wages-Salaries 4.4% -0.3% 7.7% 7.8% 5.5% 4.3% Net Job Gains (000s) 56.1 -461 Hits: 9 |
Revenue-Update-2020-04.pdfincome sources is unaffected by mandated business closures. Moreover, those income sources are not subject to Pennsylvania personal income tax. Wage and salary income comprises nearly 60 percent of all cash income received by state residents, and excludes self-employed individuals and independent contractors. Wages motivate personal income tax withholding revenues. The non-wage income shown in Table 2 (net profits of sole proprietors, self- Hits: 9 |
Public Employee Retirement Laws of PA Local Governments (2009).pdfevidence, tampering with public records or information, obstructing administration of law or other governmental function, official oppression, and speculating or wagering on official action or information. A criminal offense under the personal income tax chapter of the Tax Reform Code of police officers, city paid firefighters, and per diem laborers. An individual holding a position as a laborer at per diem wages is not required to contribute toward the retirement system but may elect to do so and become entitled to the Hits: 9 |
Presentation-Initial-Revenue-Estimate-2018-05.pdfmillions. JUA is Pennsylvania Professional Liability Joint Underwriting Association. May.01.2018 4 Economic Outlook May.01.2018 5 PA wage growth accelerates. Statewide annual wage growth ~+4.3%. Split: +1.0% job gains | +3.3% average wage. Non-motor sales tax recovers. Base Hits: 9 |
MSC_March_31_2021.pdf Down 441k jobs in February from prior year Positives: housing market, sales tax revenues show strong growth Minimum wage, PIT changes and combined reporting/rate reduction Minimum wage impact looks very different now than 2019 Combined reporting vs rate reduction: what is the trade off? March 31 Hits: 9 |
IFO_Hearing_8-30-2017.pdfpreliminary, average gain) relative to the same time period last year. That is a solid figure compared to recent years. Wages grew by 3.6 percent, while inflation remains low, running at 1.4 percent for the first half of the August 2016) • Natural Gas Production Report Quarter 2 (August 2016) • Using Performance Measures in the State Budget (September 2016) • AFSCME Wage Contract Analysis (September 2016) • SEIU Wage Contract Analysis (September 2016) • Actuarial Note Transmittal for A10803 to Senate Bill 1071 (October Hits: 9 |
2018_Mid-Year_Update.pdfReal GDP Jun 2017 1.1% 1.8% 1.9% Jan 2018 0.6% 2.0% 2.3% 2.3% Wages-Salaries Jun 2017 2.8% 3.7% 3.8% Jan 2018 1.3% 3.9% 4.3% 4.2% Philadelphia 52.2 54.4 52.5 Jan 2018 52.2 60.4 61.8 60.1 Note: Real GDP and Wage data revised for 2016. Wage growth for 2017 based on withholding trends through December. Source: Historical data from U.S Hits: 9 |
Revenue-Estimate-2019-05-Presentation.pdfFY 2019-20 Independent Fiscal Office May 20, 2019 Main Themes PA economy performs as expected in 2018 GDP, wage and jobs growth close to forecast Other factors drive large revenue gains for FY 2018-19 Taxation of internet June 2018 0.6% 1.8% 2.3% 2.2% May 2019 1.1% 1.7% 2.1% 1.9% Wages-Salaries June 2018 1.3% 3.8% 4.3% 4.2% May 2019 1.3% 4.0% 4.0% 4 Hits: 8 |
RB-2017-5.pdfat which a state economy expands or contracts. Personal Income The sum of all sources of income such as wages, business income, interest, dividends, rents, royalties, employer contributions to pension and health insurance plans, unemployment compensation and transfer income (e and Alabama) may rank higher than states with a more progressive rate structure. That outcome is due to relatively strong wage growth in those states compared to GDP and personal income, which both contain many items that have no implications for Hits: 8 |
PICPA Presentation_ June 11, 2019.pdfWarburton, Deputy Director, Independent Fiscal Office June 11, 2019 Main Themes PA economy performed as expected in 2018 GDP, wage and jobs growth was close to forecast Other factors driving large revenue gains for FY 18-19 Taxation of June 2018 0.6% 1.8% 2.3% 2.2% May 2019 1.1% 1.7% 2.1% 1.9% Wages-Salaries June 2018 1.3% 3.8% 4.3% 4.2% May 2019 1.3% 4.0% 4.0% 4 Hits: 8 |
MTR-2017-07.pdfcan be decomposed into net earnings (64% of total), transfer receipts (17%), dividends, interest and rent (19%). Net earnings include wages and salaries (less social insurance tax contributions) and business profits. Transfer receipts include government assistance to individuals such as Social data show that most of Pennsylvania’s contracting sectors (e.g., manufacturing and mining) tend to pay a higher annual wage than many expanding sectors, such as healthcare services. 1 Federal data show that lower-wage workers have realized stronger weekly Hits: 8 |
Initial_Estimate_May_2017_Presentation.pdf9% Philly CPI-U June 2016 1.0% 1.6% n.a. May 2017 0.6% 2.0% 2.0% Wages-Salaries June 2016 3.2% 3.7% n.a. May 2017 2.8% 3.5% 3.8% Job Gains (000s 2016.3 2016.4 2017.1 PA Real GDP 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% n.a. n.a. PA Wages-Salaries 1.8% 2.8% 4.0% 2.8% 3.2% PA Job Gains (000s) 53.4 41.3 52 Hits: 8 |
IFO_Hearing_Materials_Feb_22_2022.pdfLocal Tax Burden ..................................................................................... 13 Corporate Net Income Tax State Comparison ........................................................... 14 State Pension Outlook ............................................................................................. 15 Economic Development Incentives ........................................................................... 16 Minimum Wage by State ......................................................................................... 18 PBB – Agency Reviews ............................................................................................ 19 PBB - Tax Credit Evaluations .................................................................................... 20 PBB – Five-Year Schedule ........................................................................................ 21 - This page intentionally Mar 31 2 Personal Income 13.0% 8.8% 4.5% 16.3% -1.5% 2.6% Mar 23 3 Wages and Salaries -4.5% -0.7% 1.8% 2.2% 11.9% 9.9% 9.5% 4 Payroll Jobs (vs Hits: 8 |
IFO-Presentation-11-14-2019.pdf13% of state budget (excludes PSERS) State economy operates at long-term potential | No recession Real GDP +1.8% | Wages-Salaries +3.9% | CPI-U +2.0% No future use of one-time shifts, delays or new funding sources November American Community Survey and U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates. Economic Outlook U.S. and PA year-over-year 2019 wage growth remains strong U.S. at +4.1% | PA at +4.5% (prelim) PA wage growth highest since Hits: 8 |
House_Maj_Policy_Com_Testimony_June_8_2022.pdfprofit margins. • Sales and use taxes easily outperformed the overall growth of the Pennsylvania economy (nominal GDP). • Withholding tax revenues (wages) increased at roughly the same rate as the state economy. • Real output or Real GDP increased despite 155,000 fewer 2021-22 Cumulative Avg Ann All Tax Revenues (millions) $34,056 $43,073 26.5% 8.1% Personal Income - Non-Wage $3,652 $5,992 64.1% 17.9% Corporate Net Income $3,398 $5,057 48.8% 14.2% Inheritance Hits: 8 |
Budget_Hearing_Background_Feb2016.pdfEstimates (September 2015) Natural Gas Production Report (October 2015) Quarterly Revenue Review (October 2015) Raising the Minimum Wage in Pennsylvania (November 2015) Shared Risk Pension Analysis (December 2015) Economic and Budget Outlook: Fiscal Years 2015‐16 1.3% 0.2% ‐2.0% 2.3% 1.3% 0.7% 0.7% 1.5% 1.8% 2.0% Wages and Salaries 5.3% 5.3% 2.7% ‐2.2% 2.1% 3.9% 3.7% 1.8% 4.0% Hits: 8 |
2020_Mid_Year_Update.pdf7% 2.1% 1.9% 1.9% Jan 2020 0.6% 2.6% 2.1% 1.9% 1.9% Total Wages Jun 2019 4.0% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% Jan 2020 4.0% 4.3% 4.4% 3.9% 54.6 Employment (000s) Jan 2020 58.8 65.6 45.6 45.4 45.7 Note: Real GDP and Wage data revised for 2017 and 2018. Source: Historical data from U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and U.S. Bureau Hits: 8 |
2013-09 Monthly Economic Summary-FINAL.pdfassets (e.g., intellectual property). Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of U.S. personal in- come. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pen- sions, business and transfer income. Includes any infla- tionary gains. 1 Corporate Profits The year-over- days delinquent. 3 Quarterly Pennsylvania Economic Indicators Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of PA personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any inflationary gains. 1 FHFA House Price Index An index that Hits: 8 |
The Payroll Tax Cut Extension FINAL.pdfhas two parts: (1) the old age, survivors and disability insurance (OASDI) tax equal to 12.4 percent of covered wages and (2) the Medicare hospital insurance (HI) tax equal to 2.9 percent of covered wages. Covered wages are all remuneration for employment paid to employees covered by the Social Security system. The OASDI tax is Hits: 7 |
TC_2020_Mobile Telecommunications Broadband Investment Tax Credit.pdf10 11 Although the spending incentivized by the MTBI credit is not R&E spending (which is generally wage expenses), it is related because much of the federal R&E tax credit is claimed by firms that supply computer goods and percent of the indirect/induced spend- ing impact (Line 13 less Line 11). The calculation assumes that new wages are not subject to tax forgiveness parameters and that wages comprise 35 percent of the indirect/induced spending impact. 21 Alternatively, this Hits: 7 |
Revenue_Estimate_2021_05_Presentation.pdf2.0% 0.9% 3.5% 2.7% Net Job Gains (000s) 56.0 -438.0 100.0 80.0 Wages-Salaries 4.3% -0.1% 6.7% 4.3% Home Price Index 5.1% 7.4% 11.9% -- Note: Net U 0.0% 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 3.5% Net Job Gains (000s) -896 -517 -468 -426 -447 Wages-Salaries -6.6% -2.0% 4.7% 2.0% 13.8% Labor Force (000s) -96 -160 -231 -216 -150 Home Hits: 7 |
Presentation_2016-05-12_PaDUC_Impact_of_Demographics.pdf2016 +65 Age Cohort Reports Increasing Share of Income. • Nearly 20% of all income reported on federal tax return. • Wage income less important. Reliance on Pensions, Savings and Social Security. • Social Security income meant to be “supplemental.” • What impact from phase‐out of Defined Benefit plans? • Are savings and investments sufficient? Income less Dependent on Economic Growth. 16 Reliance on Wage Income Declines with Age 12.May.2016 Age Cohort 18‐34 35‐54 55‐64 65+ Salaries & Wages 91.5% Hits: 7 |
PBB_2023_DCNR_REPORT.pdf0.81 -- Out-of-state reservations ($ millions) $4.4 $3.9 $3.8 $5.3 $5.3 -- Ranger vacancy rate (wage, %) 20% 27% 39% 20% 38% 32% Ranger vacancy rate (salary, %) 5% 5% 7% 10% 17% 6% Lifeguard vacancy rate (%) 9% 21-22 22-23 Park Ranger FTE positions 1 185 185 185 188 203 205 Park Ranger vacancy rate (%) 2 Wage 20% 27% 39% 20% 38% 32% Salary 5% 5% 7% 10% 17% 6% Lifeguard FTE positions 181 181 180 181 Hits: 7 |
PBB_2020_DCED_REPORT.pdfBureau. Unemployment, jobs and business data from U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages. Regional Awards and Business Statistics 1 All grants and loans associated with this activity awarded by DCED and authorities FY 14-15 of individuals, businesses, industries and local governments to improve access to high-quality jobs that pay above average wages. Educate and engage businesses to maintain a sustainable, competitive economic environment. Provide workforce training to eliminate the gap between employer Hits: 7 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_April_2021.pdfprevious monthly high of $320.2 million in October 2020. Gaming revenues include slot machines, tables games, internet gaming, sports wagering, fantasy contests and video gaming terminals (VGTs). Slot machine ($199.3 million) and table games ($71.4 million) revenues were reached $3.6 million for the month, exceeding collections from the prior February by $2.3 million (+171.4%). Sports wagering collections were $29.4 million, surpassing February 2020 revenues by $24.6 million (+521.6%). Fantasy contest revenues totaled $1 Hits: 7 |
IFO_Hearing_Materials_March_2023.pdfLocal Tax Burden ..................................................................................... 16 Corporate Net Income Tax State Comparison ........................................................... 17 State Pension Outlook ............................................................................................. 18 Economic Development Incentives ........................................................................... 20 Minimum Wage Rates by State ................................................................................ 22 Marijuana Taxes ..................................................................................................... 23 - This page intentionally left blank. - Independent Fiscal Office 1 March 2023 Independent Fiscal FY 22-23 and FY 23- 24. Actual expenditures may vary. Actual ($ millions) Independent Fiscal Office 22 March 2023 Minimum Wage Rates by State Minimum Wage Rates by State State/Territory 2023 Rank 2023 2024 2025 Washington D.C. 1 $16 Hits: 7 |
Budget_Hearing_Testimony-Feb2014.pdfof the federal payroll tax cut and the federal budget sequester, should be fully absorbed at this point. However, recent wage growth and consumer spending does not appear to be strong enough to meet our original estimate. For the first half into higher spending levels. We believe that the key to tax revenue growth in 2014 will be the labor market. Wages are highly correlated with overall economic growth, personal income and sales and use tax revenues. An increase in consumer spending Hits: 7 |
2022_Mid_Year_Update.pdfCorporate net income, sales tax, personal income, inheritance Main economic issues ▪ What happened to the labor force? ▪ Inflation for 2022 | wage-price spiral taking hold? Unknown factors (mostly negative) ▪ Stock market correction | S&P 500 down 7% in January ▪ Fed tightening and raising interest rates ▪ Expiration of remaining relief: student loans, SNAP, rent assistance January 31, 2022 1 Economic Forecast: Stronger Wages and Inflation January 31, 2022 2 Annual Growth Rates or Change 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Real GDP June 2021 Hits: 7 |
TC_2023_Rural_Jobs_Investment.pdfdocumentation contained in the Initial Report regarding: ▪ Number of jobs created and retained by each rural business. 9 ▪ Average hourly wage of the jobs reported. ▪ Any rural growth investments that were sold or repaid during the prior calendar year. ▪ An updated The jobs must have been created by the rural business, pay at least 150% of the federal or state minimum wage (whichever is greater), and not located in the state at the time of the initial investment. The jobs retained must Hits: 6 |
SD_Property_Tax_Forecast_Nov_2021.pdfFY 2019- 20 current-year property tax collections, (2) the impact from FY 2021-22 millage rates and (3) new wage projections that increase the statewide average weekly wage (SAWW) portion of the Act 1 Index projection. Forecast Overview Table 1 provides the IFO’s estimate of school district Hits: 6 |
Revenue_and_Economic_Update_Presentation_2020_10.pdf29, 2020 1 June 2020 Forecast 2018 2019 2020 2021 Real GDP 2.6% 2.3% -5.6% 5.5% Wages-Salaries Paid 4.3% 4.2% -3.2% 5.0% Net Job Gains (000s) 69 56 -453 310 Philadelphia CPI- 5% 1.5% October 2020 Forecast 2018 2019 2020 2021 Real GDP 1.9% 2.4% -4.6% 3.0% Wages-Salaries Paid 4.3% 4.3% -2.0% 3.7% Net Job Gains (000s) 68 54 -450 100 Philadelphia CPI- Hits: 6 |
RB_2021_10_Inflation_Impact_Wages.pdfU.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) confirms that finding. The release found that real average hourly earnings (i.e., wages) for all U.S. workers declined 0.8% in September 2021 from the prior year. 2 Despite strong nominal wage gains, the real value of those gains has been eliminated by economy-wide inflation as measured by the U.S Hits: 6 |
Presentation_Phil_Chamber_2-12-2015.pdfstrong dollar makes imports cheaper. Why Does This Matter? • Tax revenues include inflation: (1) higher prices (sales) and (2) higher wages (personal income). • Could further bolster consumer confidence if wage growth holds up. 12.Feb.2015 20 Low Inflation for 2015 12.Feb.2015 21 Gas Prices Drive Low Inflation Hits: 6 |
Presentation_Lancaster_Chamber_2017-07-14.pdfmake policy recommendations. Primary duties: Revenue projections: May 1 and June 15. Analyze fiscal impact of state employee wage contracts. Coordinate actuarial analyses of pension legislation. Numerous special studies on revenue or budget matters. Five-Year Bureau, 2015 American Community Survey, 1-year estimates. Persistent Tax Base Erosion 7/14/2017 16 Personal Income Tax. Wage income less important. Larger share of income not subject to tax: Social Security, Pensions, IRAs. Age 65+ reports 21% Hits: 6 |
Presentation-2018-06-Philly-Pitt-Chambers.pdfthe tax cut in the first full fiscal year will flow through to individuals as higher dividends, capital gains or wages. Excludes indirect (dynamic) effects of tax cuts, which would manifest in later years. June.04.2018 4 PA Economic Growth Rates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Real GDP 2.0% 2.6% 0.9% 1.9% 2.3% Wages-Salaries 3.9% 4.1% 1.3% 3.3% 4.3% Net Job Gains (000s) 48.0 47.3 50 Hits: 6 |
Presentation-2018-06-PASBO.pdfthe tax cut in the first full fiscal year will flow through to individuals as higher dividends, capital gains or wages. Excludes indirect (dynamic) effects of tax cuts, which would manifest in later years. June.05.2018 3 PA Economic Growth Rates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Real GDP 2.0% 2.6% 0.9% 1.9% 2.3% Wages-Salaries 3.9% 4.1% 1.3% 3.3% 4.3% Net Job Gains (000s) 48.0 47.3 50 Hits: 6 |
MTR-2017-06.pdf1.6% 42.4% Dollar amounts are in millions. SERVICE SECTOR DRIVES JOB GAINS The Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW), issued by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, publishes quarterly data on employment and wages by sector, as reported by employers. In June, state data were released for the fourth quarter of 2016. For calendar Hits: 6 |
IFO_PASBO_Presentation_Nov_2021.pdfSD collections yet ▪ Some data suggest decline not as bad as anticipated | stimulus ▪ SAWW at record high | elevated by 2021 wage growth November 16, 2021 1 Pennsylvania Demographics - Decennial Census Update November 16, 2021 2 Age Cohort Number (000s) Change (000s 2021 2022 2023 2024 Real GDP 1.4% 1.7% -4.5% 4.4% 2.3% 2.1% 2.1% Wages and Salaries 4.3% 4.4% -0.3% 7.7% 5.2% 4.4% 4.0% Philadelphia CPI-U 1 Hits: 6 |
Five_Year_Outlook_Presentation_2022.pdf1.7% 1.8% Nominal GDP -3.5% 9.4% 9.3% 4.4% 3.8% 4.2% 4.1% Wages and Salaries -0.2% 7.2% 8.4% 4.7% 4.3% 4.0% 3.9% Philadelphia CPI-U 0 3 Tax Revenues November 15, 2022 14 Corp Net Income +1.7% avg ann growth from base year PIT Non-Wage +4.7% Sales and Use +2.9% PIT Wage +4.1% PA Economy +4.1% Notes: Big 3 are 85% Hits: 6 |
Five_Year_Outlook_Presentation_2021.pdfNo longer-term impacts Economics jobs and inflation ▪ Will workers return? | impact of general price and asset inflation ▪ Does a wage-price spiral emerge? Revenues permanent real and inflation gains from COVID Expenditures significant increase in healthcare costs ▪ Unclear how wage pressures and inflation will impact costs ▪ SERS pension costs decline November 15, 2021 3 Four Key Assumptions Inflation decelerates, but Hits: 6 |
EPLC-2-19-21.pdfestimates (how much revenues are available?) ▪ Performance based budgeting | Tax credit reviews ▪ Special Studies: property tax reform, natural gas, minimum wage February 19, 2021 2 Today’s Presentation: Three Parts State demographics, economy and COVID impacts ▪ A contracting labor force ▪ COVID 2025 2026 Real GDP 2.4% -4.3% 3.5% 2.8% 2.4% 2.1% 2.0% 1.9% Wages and Salaries 4.3% -1.2% 4.8% 4.4% 4.3% 4.2% 4.1% 4.0% Philadelphia CPI- Hits: 6 |
EPLC Feb 2020 FINAL.pdfmuch revenues are available?) Performance based budgeting | Tax credit reviews Special Studies: property tax reform, natural gas, minimum wage February 28, 2020 2 Today’s Presentation: Three Parts State demographics and economy Labor market still robust | consumers drive Change 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Real Gross Dom Product 0.6% 2.6% 2.1% 1.9% 1.9% Wages and Salaries 4.0% 4.3% 4.4% 3.9% 4.0% Philadelphia CPI-U 1.3% 1.3% 2 Hits: 6 |
2013-01 Monthly Economic Report.pdfecono- my. Excludes inflation. 1 Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of U.S. personal in- come. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pen- sions, business and transfer income. Includes any infla- tionary gains. 1 Corporate Profits The year-over- 4 n.a. n.a. n.a. Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of PA personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any inflationary gains. 1 FHFA House Price Index An index that Hits: 6 |
SD_Prop_Tax_Update_Aug_2022.pdfthe highest levels since FY 2008-09. This is largely due to very strong growth in the Statewide Average Weekly Wage (SAWW), which accounts for half of the base index. See the technical detail for a brief description regarding the computation in FY 2020-21. The base index is calculated by averaging the percentage increase in the Pennsylvania statewide average weekly wage (SAWW) and the employment cost index (ECI) for elementary/secondary schools. The SAWW is reported by the Pennsylvania Department of Hits: 5 |
Roundtable_Jan_24_2023.pdf1.7% 1.8% Nominal GDP -3.5% 9.4% 9.3% 4.4% 3.8% 4.2% 4.1% Wages and Salaries -0.2% 7.2% 8.4% 4.7% 4.3% 4.0% 3.9% Philadelphia CPI-U 0 Tax Revenues January 24, 2023 12 Corp Net Income +1.7% avg ann growth (AAGR) from base year PIT Non-Wage +4.7% AAGR Sales and Use +2.9% AAGR PIT Withholding +4.1% AAGR PA Economy +4.1% AAGR Notes Hits: 5 |
Presentation_2017_02_10_EPLC.pdfEconomic Metric Average Annual Growth Rates 2004-10 2010-16 2016-22 Real GDP 0.8% 1.7% 1.9% Wages and Salaries 2.8% 3.3% 3.9% Philadelphia CPI-U 2.5% 1.2% 2.1% Payroll Job Gains in Retirements. Just starting. Labor force participation rates also climb for 65+. Impact on economy unclear. Productivity and wages lower? Decline in working age population. Demographic Takeaways 10.Feb.2017 6 PA Snapshot: 2015 to 2025 10.Feb.2017 Hits: 5 |
Presentation_2016-05-13_KRFS_Economic_and_Revenue_Outlook.pdfFreight Seminar May 13, 2016 May 13, 2016 2 Economic Outlook • Stable Economic Growth • Low Inflation • Solid Labor Market • Some Wage Weakness Sources: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2016 Q1 Real GDP 2.3% 1.9% n.a. n.a. Wages and Salaries 3.7% 2.2% 4.1% 1.8% Consumer Prices 0.1% ‐0.3% ‐0.4% 0.3% Hits: 5 |
PICA_Presentation_2020_11.pdf2020 1 October 2020 Annual Forecast 2018 2019 2020 2021 Real GDP 1.9% 2.4% -4.6% 3.0% Wages-Salaries Paid 4.3% 4.3% -2.0% 3.7% Net Job Gains (000s) 68 54 -450 100 Philadelphia CPI- 9% 1.5% Latest Quarterly Data 2020.1 2020.2 2020.3 2020.4 Real GDP -5.8% -34.0% -- -- Wages-Salaries Paid 3.7% -6.5% -2.6% -1.0% Net Job Gains (000s) 28 -849 -506 -440 Philadelphia CPI- Hits: 5 |
PBB-Board Hearing Jan 23 2020.pptxfirms ▪ OBMD – living organ and bone marrow donation Unique features of high-tech sectors ▪ Computer design | internet publishing | engineers | manufacturing ▪ Wages pay far above average | many are export based ▪ Positive synergies, spillovers, clustering and agglomeration effects January 23, 2020 2 Using tax credit increases private R&D spend by $1.00-$1.50 ▪ State RDTC: large firms shift R&D spending (wages) into state ▪ May increase entrepreneurial activity, but takes long time to show up ▪ Significant reduction of CNIT for large firms Hits: 5 |
PA_Assoc_of_Community_Bankers_Presentation_2020_12.pdfDecember 9, 2020 1 Annual Forecast 2018 2019 2020 2021 Real GDP 1.9% 2.4% -4.5% 3.2% Wages-Salaries Paid 4.3% 4.3% -1.5% 4.2% Net Job Gains (000s) 68 54 -450 120 Philadelphia CPI- 5% Latest Quarterly Data 2020.1 2020.2 2020.3 2020.4 Real GDP -5.8% -34.0% Dec 23 -- Wages-Salaries Paid 3.7% -6.5% -2.6% -0.5% Net Job Gains (000s) 28 -849 -505 -435 Philadelphia CPI- Hits: 5 |
PACBI_Presentation_March_13_2023.pdfGasoline ($/gallon) $5.07 $3.40 $3.63 March 10 Unemployment Rate 4.3% 4.3% 4.3% January actual Wage Growth 9.8% 5.6% 5.1% 2023 Q1 Note: All growth rates are year over year. Energy is 7% for age 65+. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Due to aging demographic 2019 to 2022 Inflation Waves: Is Wage Growth Next? March 13, 2023 8 Wage-Price “Persistence” is 5% wage growth consistent with 2% inflation? Something must give Hits: 5 |
Mid_Year_FY16-17_Presentation.pdfGDP Jun 2016 1.7% 1.9% 2.0% Jan 2017 2.8% 0.7% 1.7% 2.0% Total Wages Jun 2016 3.4% 3.2% 3.7% Jan 2017 4.0% 2.5% 3.3% 3.8% CPI-U 48.6 50.1 50.6 Jan 2017 48.6 43.5 50.0 48.9 Note: Real GDP and Wage data revised from preliminary to final for 2015. Source: Historical data from U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and U Hits: 5 |
IFO Five-Year Outlook.pdfand (2) demographic growth. Assume tax law does not change. Only two factors change. Economic growth (GDP, wages, unemployment rates). Demographics such as number of students, inmate population, the MA population and all residents. The Economic and 2002-11 2012-18 Real GSP 2.2% 1.0% 1.9% Personal Income 4.6% 3.7% 4.0% Wages and Salaries 4.8% 3.0% 3.6% CPI-U 2.5% 2.8% 1.7% Payroll Employment 1.1% Hits: 5 |
EPLC_3_4_2022_update.pdfestimates (how much revenues are available?) ▪ Performance based budgeting | Tax credit reviews ▪ Special Studies: property tax reform, natural gas, minimum wage March 4, 2022 2 Today’s Presentation: Three Parts State demographics, economy and COVID impacts ▪ A contracting labor force ▪ COVID 2021 2022 2023 2024 Real GDP 1.4% 1.7% -4.5% 4.4% 2.3% 2.1% 2.1% Wages and Salaries 4.3% 4.4% -0.3% 7.7% 5.1% 4.4% 4.0% Philadelphia CPI-U 1 Hits: 5 |
CompetePA_March_11_2021.pdf472k jobs in December from prior year IFO projects six years needed to return to pre-pandemic level Minimum wage, PIT changes and combined reporting/rate reduction Minimum wage impact looks very different now than 2019 Combined reporting vs rate reduction: what is the trade off? March 11 Hits: 5 |
2023_Mid_Year_Update.pdf0.5% -- 2.4% 2.1% -- Jan 2023 1.9% 0.5% 1.2% 2.1% 0.9% 1.9% Wages Paid June 2022 8.1% 5.5% -- 9.4% 5.9% -- Jan 2023 8.3% 5.1% 4.3% 8 2021.4 2022.1 2022.2 2022.3 2022.4 Real GDP 8.4% -1.1% -0.9% 3.2% -- Wages-Salaries 8.3% 10.0% 9.6% 7.0% 5.6% Philadelphia CPI-U 6.1% 7.3% 8.6% Hits: 5 |
2013-06 Monthly Economic Summary - FINAL.pdfecono- my. Excludes inflation. 1 Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of U.S. personal in- come. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pen- sions, business and transfer income. Includes any infla- tionary gains. 1 Corporate Profits The year-over- days delinquent. 3 Quarterly Pennsylvania Economic Indicators Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of PA personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any inflationary gains. 1 FHFA House Price Index An index that Hits: 5 |
2012-09 Monthly Economic Summary 7.pdfU.S. economy. Excludes inflation. 1 Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of U.S. personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any inflationary gains. 1 Corporate Profits The year-over-year growth 3.5% -2.8% 5.2% Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of PA personal income. In- cludes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any inflationary gains. 1 FHFA House Price Index An index that Hits: 5 |
WC-2019-UFCW.pdfof Collective Bargaining Agreement United Food & Commercial Workers (UFCW) millions of dollars 1/ Annual savings from the replacement of high-wage senior workers with less experienced lower wage workers (2.69 percent multiplied by the prior year wage base). These savings would have been realized regardless of the Hits: 4 |
WC-2019-SEIU.pdfdate. Analysis of Collective Bargaining Agreement SEIU Local 668 millions of dollars 1/ Annual savings from the replacement of high-wage senior workers with less experienced lower wage workers (2.20 percent multiplied by the prior year wage base). These savings would have been realized regardless of the Hits: 4 |
WC-2019-AFSCME.pdfdate. Analysis of Collective Bargaining Agreement AFSCME Council 13 millions of dollars 1/ Annual savings from the replacement of high-wage senior workers with less experienced lower wage workers (1.75 percent multiplied by the prior year wage base). These savings would have been realized regardless of the Hits: 4 |
TC_Board_Hearing_Jan_10_2023.pdfnew full-time jobs ▪ New jobs/increased payroll must be maintained for 5 years ▪ Jobs must meet or exceed minimum wage requirements and include employer-provided health benefits Tax credit: maximum 5% higher payroll from newly created jobs ▪ Capped at $4 for FY 21-22 ▪ 5 approved applicants in 3 counties (Allegheny, Luzerne, Lycoming) ▪ Firms anticipate creating 415 new jobs | average wage = $86,000 ▪ Total payroll expected to increase by $31.7 million over base year ▪ Plan to invest $3.5 billion Hits: 4 |
TC_2021_Neighborhood_Assistance_Program.pdfspending that results from the NAP Tax Credit. When combined with the earnings impact, the results suggest an average annual wage of roughly $55,000 to $58,000. Line 13 Tax collections due to the NAP Tax Credit. Line 14 The inputs to NAP projects (i.e., the supply chain). The induced effect represents the impact from employees that spend their wages and business owners that spend higher profits. The analysis assumes that all CFP donations are monetary. 20 Under the balanced Hits: 4 |
Revenue Conference Presentation Jan 2013 FINAL.pdfMay 2012 67.2 57.5 84.1 84.4 Jan 2013 67.2 36.1 68.8 78.3 Wages‐Salaries May 2012 4.2% 4.6% 4.0% 4.2% Jan 2013 4.0% 3.0% 3.3% 4 vs. Spending 23.Jan.2013 2013 Revenue Conference 7 2012 2013 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 PA Wages‐Salaries 3.4% 2.7% 2.6% 3.1% 2.3% 3.1% 3.7% 4.0% PIT Withholding 4 Hits: 4 |
REU-2019-10.pdfand fees ($7.7 million). Monthly licenses and fees collections were over estimate as a result of an unexpected sports wagering application fee of $10 million. FYTD non-tax revenues are surpassing estimate by $54.3 million (78..2 percent), predominantly 0 Personal Income 8 4.9% 4.6% 4.9% 4.7% 5.7% 5.0% 5.3% n.a. Wages and Salaries 9 4.0% 5.0% 5.4% 5.2% 3.2% 4.5% 5.0% n.a. CPI- Hits: 4 |
RB-2020-10-Impact_of_TCJA_on_PA_Taxpayers.pdfmarginal tax rates. Computation of Total Income Taxpayers report various types of income on the federal income tax return including wages and salaries, interest, dividends, rent, royalties, pensions, IRAs, taxable Social Security, professional business income (independent contractors, self-employed and sole The data confirm that the three income groups report different compositions of Total Income. For the low income group, wages comprise roughly three-quarters (76.1 percent) of Total Income while partnership and S corporation income and capital gains comprise Hits: 4 |
Presentation_2016-06-08_GPNP_Budget_Outlook.pdfmillion. The next revenue update will be on June 15 th . • More recent data on corporate profits suggest weakness. • Wage/salary withholding collections have underperformed. • Sales tax collections have been strong in recent months. • The jobs forecast is important to Jun.2016 9 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Real GDP 0.7% 1.5% 2.0% 2.0% 2.2% Wages and Salaries 1.8% 4.0% 3.4% 3.7% 4.2% Consumer Prices 1.2% 1.3% ‐0.1% Hits: 4 |
Presentation-2018-10-Performance-Based-Budget-Board.pdfplan templates collect data for fiscal years 2013-14 through 2018-19: Actual expenditures Filled complement (salary and wage) Total population served and/or service levels achieved Performance measures 5 October 15, 2018 Initial List of Agency is recorded. Filled complement data provided by activity for each fiscal year and are broken down by salary, permanent wage, and temporary wage. Traditional Agency Budget Request Total funding associated with the actual years reflects enacted appropriation amounts adjusted Hits: 4 |
Newsstand_2018_June.pdffor the fourth quarter of 2017. These administrative data provide the final benchmark upon which all published state employment and wage income trends will be based. The data show a clear strengthening of the Pennsylvania labor market through 2017 in terms as follows: Q1=56,400, Q2=60,150, Q3=61,760 and Q4=65,380. For the full year, total wages paid increased by 4.0% while the average wage paid increased by 2.9%. PA Consumer Debt Increases Moderately in Hits: 4 |
MTR-2016-03.pdfIncome data for 2015 Q4. 1 Personal Income is a broad measure that includes all types of income such as wages, business profits, Social Security, pensions, dividends, rent, interest and various disability and income security benefits. 2 For 2015, Pennsylvania Personal 4% for the U.S. The main component of Personal Income is gross earnings by place of work, which includes wages-salaries, employer contributions to health insurance and pension plans, employer contributions to government social insurance (i.e., Social Security and Hits: 4 |
MQRE-FY20-21-Aug.pdfis projected to reduce FY 2020-21 cigarette tax revenues by $115.3 million. Licenses and Fees Sports Wagering Fees The act provides that a Category 1, 2 or 3 slot machine license holder that also holds a sports wagering certificate may conduct sports wagering at an affiliated Category 4 facility without paying an additional fee. Prior Law The fee to obtain Hits: 4 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_September_2020.pdfCompared to the prior year, data show that U.S. personal income grew by 10.4% in the second quarter. Wages and salaries declined by 4.6% but was more than offset by an increase in transfer payments (83.6%). The 1% 2.1% -5.6% n.a. Personal Income 8 5.1% 4.0% 4.0% 2.9% n.a. Wages and Salaries 9 4.6% 3.4% 4.6% 1.8% n.a. FHFA House Price Index 10 5.0% Hits: 4 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_October_2022.pdfThe very tight labor market, low labor force participation rate and contracting demographics will continue to apply upward pressure on wage growth and economy wide inflation. Monthly Economic Update October 2022 Pre-COVID Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Change 3% 8.4% -1.1% -0.9% Personal Income 9 0.0% 2.1% 5.8% -4.6% 1.9% Wages and Salaries 10 11.9% 8.5% 8.3% 10.1% 9.3% FHFA House Price Index 11 16.4% Hits: 4 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_October_2020.pdfto the prior year. Transfer receipts increased by 83.8% driven by an increase in state and federal unemployment compensation. Wages and salaries declined in the second quarter for Pennsylvania and the United States -5.7% and -4.6% (year-over- 5% 1.4% -5.8% -34.0% Personal Income 8 4.1% 2.8% 2.8% 2.6% 12.0% Wages and Salaries 9 4.7% 3.2% 4.3% 2.4% -5.7% FHFA House Price Index 10 5.0% Hits: 4 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_November_2022.pdf1976). The tight labor market, low labor force participation rate and contracting demographics will continue to apply upward pressure on wage growth and economy-wide inflation. Monthly Economic Update November 2022 Pre-COVID Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Change 4% -1.1% -0.9% n.a. Personal Income 9 2.1% 5.8% -4.6% 1.9% n.a. Wages and Salaries 10 8.5% 8.3% 10.1% 9.3% n.a. FHFA House Price Index 11 14.8% Hits: 4 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_June_2020.pdfbenefits, with the unemployment insurance category growing 1,574%. The large increase in government support temporarily offset the decline in wages and salaries (-8.5%) for the month. Personal consumption fell 16.9% in April as states continued to implement stay- 7% 2.1% 2.1% n.a. Personal Income 8 5.0% 5.2% 4.0% 3.8% n.a. Wages and Salaries 9 4.6% 4.7% 3.5% 4.3% 3.7% FHFA House Price Index 10 5.6% Hits: 4 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_July_2021_Final.pdfseniors. Third, the data include tabulations by income group and total income of migrants. However, if the migrant was a wage earner, it is likely that the job (and associated income) remained in the state and did not migrate with the 0% 35.5% 3.7% 6.0% Personal Income 9 2.5% 13.1% 9.0% 4.3% 17.9% Wages and Salaries 10 2.2% -6.3% -1.0% 1.5% 3.3% FHFA House Price Index 11 5.2% Hits: 4 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_December_2022.pdfthe tight state labor market, low labor force participation rate and contracting demographics will continue to apply upward pressure on wage growth and economy-wide inflation. Monthly Economic Update December 2022 Pre-COVID May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Change 4% -1.1% -0.9% n.a. Personal Income 9 2.1% 5.8% -4.6% 1.9% n.a. Wages and Salaries 10 8.5% 8.3% 10.1% 9.3% n.a. FHFA House Price Index 11 14.7% Hits: 4 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_August_2020.pdfin the U.S. personal income data for 2020 Q2 published by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Despite wages and salaries falling by 7.1% from 2020 Q1, personal income grew 7.3% in 2020 Q2 due to an 1% 2.1% -5.6% n.a. Personal Income 8 5.1% 4.0% 4.0% 2.9% n.a. Wages and Salaries 9 4.6% 3.4% 4.6% 1.8% n.a. FHFA House Price Index 10 5.0% Hits: 4 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_April_2020.pdffell 34.3% over the prior year in Pennsylvania, and 23.8% nationally. Business applications with an intent to pay wages fell by 46.2% over the prior year in Pennsylvania and 30.1% nationally. The year- over-year contraction in 7% 2.1% 2.1% n.a. Personal Income 8 5.0% 5.2% 4.0% 3.8% n.a. Wages and Salaries 9 4.6% 4.7% 3.5% 4.3% 3.7% FHFA House Price Index 10 5.6% Hits: 4 |
MER-2014-11.pdfS. economy. Excludes in Ðlation. 1 Personal Income The year‐over‐year growth rate of U.S. personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any in Ðlationary gains. 1 Corporate Pro Ðits The year‐over‐ days delinquent. 3 Quarterly Pennsylvania Economic Indicators Personal Income The year‐over‐year growth rate of PA personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any in Ðlationary gains. 1 Completed Home Sales The year‐over‐ Hits: 4 |
MER-2013-11.pdfecono- my. Excludes inflation. 1 Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of U.S. personal in- come. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pen- sions, business and transfer income. Includes any infla- tionary gains. 1 Corporate Profits The year-over- days delinquent. 3 Quarterly Pennsylvania Economic Indicators Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of PA personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any inflationary gains. 1 FHFA House Price Index An index that Hits: 4 |
IFO_Revenue_Estimate_2013-14_Mid-Year_Update.pdfIFO estimate. Revenues have been characterized by weak nonmotor vehicle sales tax receipts and lackluster personal income tax remittances from wage and salary withholding. The table below displays first half growth rates for the General Fund and its three largest revenue half growth of 5.5 percent appears unlikely even with improved auto sales. Personal income tax (PIT) withholding from wages and salaries increased by 2.2 percent in the first half, well below the 3.6 percent projected for the Hits: 4 |
HAC testimony Feb 2019.pdf21% rate (tax year 2018). If correct, much of these gains are temporary. More licenses issued for both sports wagering and iGaming. These gains are temporary. A significant decline in the stock market for 2018 Q4 reduced personal income rate at 4.2% (December 2018), strong net jobs growth (roughly 73,000 net new payroll jobs in 2018) and wages increasing at a solid pace (4.3% for 2018 Q4). Moreover, median existing home values increased by 4.3% in Hits: 4 |
Five_Year_Outlook_2020_Presentation_Final.pdf2025 2026 Real GDP 2.4% -4.1% 3.5% 2.8% 2.4% 2.1% 2.0% 1.9% Wages and Salaries 4.3% -1.2% 4.8% 4.4% 4.3% 4.2% 4.1% 4.0% Philadelphia CPI- Real GDP 2.4% -5.8% -34.0% 35.5% -- Personal Income 3.6% 2.5% 13.1% 9.6% -- Wages and Salaries 4.3% 3.3% -6.6% -2.6% 0.6% Unemployment Rate (level) 4.4% 5.4% 14 Hits: 4 |
Five_Year_Outlook_2017_Presentation.pdfdomestic migration out of state (but data very preliminary). Retirement surge has important implications. “Churning” reduces growth of total wages paid. Possible contraction of labor force. But participation rates increase. No signs of “brain drain” or strong elderly inflow Outlook PA economy shows solid growth through 2017 Q3. Pace of annual jobs creation is +65,000 jobs. Wages growing by ~+3.8%. Inflation is modest (~+1.4%). Other economic fundamentals are sound. Consumers still cautious about debt Hits: 4 |
Economic_and_Revenue_Update_Presentation_August_2020.pdfEconomic and Revenue Update Matthew Knittel Independent Fiscal Office August 19, 2020 Four Things to Note Wage and Salary data are stronger than expected Despite large job losses, only a moderate decline in total wages paid Housing market fares decently | but renters struggle Steady employment gains since April low | can it continue? 45% Hits: 4 |
Act_25_Letter_Feb_2022.pdfexception type, but the usage rate for total approved exceptions averaged 35% prior to the implementation of Act 25. • Pennsylvania wages and salaries, published by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). Quarterly wages and salaries were used to determine the annual growth by fiscal year from FY 1 Act of Jun. 30, 2011 Hits: 4 |
2021-SD-Property-Tax-Forecast.pdfs aid ratio. 4 The base index is calculated by averaging the percentage increase in the Pennsylvania statewide average weekly wage (SAWW) and the employment cost index (ECI) for elementary/secondary schools. 5 School districts with an aid ratio less than December 2019. The significant increase in the SAWW for FY 2022-23 is largely driven by job losses for low-wage workers in CY 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic and related mitigation efforts. That trend reverses itself by the Hits: 4 |
Testimony-02-2020.pdf3% 2.0% 1.8% Payroll Jobs (000s) 46.2 48.8 58.8 65.6 45.6 45.4 Wages and Salaries 4.1% 1.3% 4.0% 4.3% 4.4% 3.9% UE Rate (level) 5.3% 5 0% 2.3% 2.2% Payroll Jobs (000s) 64.1 60.4 50.8 49.4 37.3 41.1 Wages and Salaries 4.3% 3.2% 4.6% 4.6% 4.3% 4.2% UE Rate (level) 4.2% 4 Hits: 3 |
SD-Property-Tax-Forecast-2020.pdfs aid ratio. 3 The base index is calculated by averaging the percentage increase in the Pennsylvania statewide average weekly wage (SAWW) and the employment cost index (ECI) for elementary/secondary schools. 4 School districts with an aid ratio less than December 2018. The significant increase in the SAWW for FY 2021-22 occurs because calendar year 2016, which exhibited weak wage growth, becomes part of the three-year period in the baseline for computing the growth rate. For the ECI, there Hits: 3 |
SD-Property-Tax-Forecast-2019.pdfs aid ratio. 3 The base index is calculated by averaging the percentage increase in the Pennsylvania statewide average weekly wage (SAWW) and the employment cost index (ECI) for elementary/secondary schools. 4 School districts with an aid ratio less than December 2017. The significant increase in the SAWW for FY 2021-22 occurs because calendar year 2016, which exhibited weak wage growth, becomes part of the three-year period in the baseline for computing the growth rate. For the ECI, there Hits: 3 |
REU-2019-12.pdf3 Personal Income 8 4.9% 4.6% 4.7% 4.4% 5.7% 5.0% 5.1% 4.4% Wages and Salaries 9 4.0% 5.0% 4.8% 4.6% 3.2% 4.6% 4.6% 4.3% CPI- in Pennsylvania personal income fell to 4.4 percent for 2019.3, the slowest growth since 2017.4. Growth in wages and salaries also declined to 4.3 percent, a difference of 0.3 percent compared to growth for 2019.2 Hits: 3 |
REU-2019-11.pdf3 Personal Income 8 4.9% 4.6% 4.7% 4.4% 5.7% 5.0% 5.3% n.a. Wages and Salaries 9 4.0% 5.0% 4.8% 4.6% 3.2% 4.5% 5.0% n.a. CPI- 5.0% INDEPENDENT FISCAL OFFICE NOVEMBER 2019 Economic Trends The Pennsylvania unemployment rate ticked upward again in October, but wage growth remains strong. After posting declines in June, July and August, Pennsylvania monthly net job gains (annualized) have held Hits: 3 |
RB_2022_08_Worker_Shortage.pdfgroup). Otherwise, the text is largely the same. Many employers have noted ongoing challenges hiring and retaining staff, despite nominal wages that are considerably higher than those paid prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. For Pennsylvania, the latest data (July 2022 Relative to the pre-COVID rate, the current ratio implies unmet demand of roughly 110,000 additional workers at current wage rates. Labor Supply and Labor Force Participation Rates Job openings provide insights into the demand for labor. Labor force participation Hits: 3 |
RB_2022_08 County Income Patterns.pdfrecorded personal income gains that exceeded inflation (1.4% per annum), which implies real income gains. Personal income includes all wages and salaries, interest, dividends, business income, rents, royalties, transfer receipts (e.g., SNAP) and retirement income. Income patterns were dramatically unemployment compensation (UC) ($30 billion, includes regular state amounts above “normal” payments), economic impact payments (EIPs, $11 billion) and lost wage assistance ($2 billion), Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) loans to certain businesses ($5 billion) and non-profits ($2 billion) and distributions Hits: 3 |
RB_2022_07_Worker_Shortage.pdfMany employers have noted ongoing challenges hiring and retaining staff, despite nominal wages that are considerably higher than those paid prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. For Pennsylvania, the latest data (May 2022 Relative to the pre-COVID rate, the current ratio implies unmet demand of roughly 100,000 additional workers at current wage rates. 6 Labor Supply and Labor Force Participation Rates Job openings provide insights into the demand for labor. Labor force Hits: 3 |
RB_2021_02 County Income Patterns.pdfrecorded personal income gains that exceeded inflation (1.5% per annum), which implies real income gains. Personal income includes all wages and salaries, interest, dividends, business income, rents, royalties, transfer receipts (e.g., SNAP and veteran’s benefits) and retirement income levels. Independent Fiscal Office Page 3 Resident Earnings County personal income can be decomposed into three categories: (1) resident earnings (wages, salaries and proprietor income), (2) dividends, interest and rent (includes imputed rent to homeowners) and (3) transfer receipts (e.g Hits: 3 |
RB-2018-01.pdfs aid ratio. 4 The base index is calculated by averaging the percentage increase in the Pennsylvania statewide average weekly wage (SAWW) and the employment cost index (ECI) for elementary/secondary schools. 5 School districts with an aid ratio less than December 2017. The significant increase in the SAWW for FY 2021-22 occurs because calendar year 2016, which exhibited weak wage growth, becomes part of the three-year period in the baseline for computing the growth rate. For the ECI, there Hits: 3 |
Presentation_PICPA_12-3-2014.pdfonly. • Really, a budget simulation exercise. Some Positives and Negatives. • Energy prices very low. Inflation and interest rates low. • Flat wage growth. Many wage earners essentially treading water. • Housing recovery less robust than assumed. 3.Dec.2014 The Economic Outlook 12 3.Dec.2014 Hits: 3 |
Presentation_PBC_6-12-14_data.xlsxPA Employment by Industry Annual Wages and Employment for Pennsylvania, 1993-2013 Average Annual Growth Rate Wage Distributions ($ millions) 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Hits: 3 |
Presentation_PBC_6-12-14.pdfo Are savings and investments sufficient? Income less Dependent on Economic Growth 12.June.2014 15 Trend: Less Reliance on Wage Income 12.June.2014 16 2007 2011 18-34 35-54 55-64 65+ 18-34 35-54 55-64 65+ Wages 91.1 74.7 53.2 13.4 90.9 80.2 60.8 17.7 Interest & Divs. 1.4 Hits: 3 |
Presentation-2019-3-1-EPLC.pdfHealthcare inflation does not accelerate from current rates. State economy operates at long-term potential. Real GDP +1.9% | Wages-Salaries +3.9% | CPI-U +2.1%. No recession or economic slow down. A “best case” scenario. March 1 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Real GDP 0.9% 1.8% 2.3% 2.1% 2.0% 1.9% Wages and Salaries 1.3% 4.0% 4.1% 4.0% 3.9% 3.9% Philadelphia CPI-U 0.6% 1 Hits: 3 |
PBB_Board_Hearing_Sept_28_2021.pdfServices ▪ Activity 2 (CCW), Activity 7 (Community ID/Autism Programs) and Activity 11 (County MH Programs): Staff turnover and average wages for contracted or third-party direct care workers that provide care to individuals served through child welfare, intellectual disabilities and designated KSDZs | Aliquippa and Bethlehem (2 firms participate, 6 in zone) ▪ Program data (2020): 2,049 direct jobs, $102 million wages, avg wage $50k 11 states offer some form of Brownfield Redevelopment Credit ▪ Roughly half offer credits that offset a share Hits: 3 |
PBB_2022_PDE_REPORT_Amended.pdfgroups. ▪ Consistent with the federal Workforce Innovation and Opportunity Act (WIOA), provide adult edu- cation programs that result in improved wage and employment outcomes. 16-17 17-18 18-19 19-20 20-21 21-22 Actual Actual Actual Actual Actual defined in the federal Workforce Innovation and Opportunity Act (WIOA). These outcomes measures focus on participant employment rates and median wages after program exit as well as measurable skill gains. Student enrollment in the state-re- lated universities remained steady be- Hits: 3 |
PBB_2021_PennDOT_REPORT_ADDENDUM.pdf847 65,211 67,961 4.8 Job Growth by Multimodal & Related Industry Source: BLS Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages and Occupational Employment Statistics (rail only). Trucking accounted for 60% of all freight tonnage moved through- out the Commonwealth in Decline in operators may be attributable to unavailability of candidates with a Commercial Driver’s License, private sector offering higher wages, sign-on bonuses, and other financial incentives. Decline in non-operators may be attributable to the need for certifications and Hits: 3 |
PACB_Presentation_2021_8.pdf1 2020.3 2020.4 2021.1 2021.2 2021.3 Real GDP -35.5% 3.7% 6.0% October -- Wages-Salaries Paid -1.0% 1.5% 3.3% 12.0% 8.0% Change Payroll Jobs (000s) -517 -468 -444 -423 credit payments, expanded UC benefits and economic impact payments. All rates or changes are year-over-year except Real GDP. Wage growth rates for 2021.2 and 2021.3 are estimates by IFO based on withholding data. Source: U.S. Bureau Hits: 3 |
MTR-2019-09.pdf4 Personal Income 8 5.9% 4.9% 4.6% 4.9% 6.3% 5.7% 5.0% 5.3% Wages and Salaries 9 5.2% 4.0% 5.0% 5.4% 4.3% 3.2% 4.5% 5.0% CPI- trend is largely due to housing (3.2%) and medi- cal care (4.1%) inflation. Recent data show strong wage growth for the U.S. (5.4%) and Pennsylvania (5.0%) in the second quarter. Sources and notes: 1. Source Hits: 3 |
MTR-2019-04.pdfestimate for the month. The overage in licenses and fees was driven by more license applicants than anticipated for sports wagering and an expected transfer to the Insurance Regulation and Oversight Fund (IROF) that did not occur. FYTD non-tax collections a. Personal Income 8 4.5% 4.5% 4.6% 4.1% 3.6% 3.7% 4.4% n.a. Wages and Salaries 9 4.5% 4.4% 4.6% 4.2% 4.0% 3.5% 4.2% n.a. CPI- Hits: 3 |
MTR-2018-12.pdfFrom July to December, the Commonwealth has received $137 million in one-time fees related to online gaming and sports wagering. G – š‰” F –Œ S–‰˜› —œ General Fund Tax Revenue Non-Tax Revenue Dec-18 $2,905 $2,811 $94 a. Personal Income 8 4.6% 4.3% 4.5% 4.4% 3.7% 3.7% 3.6% 3.5% Wages and Salaries 9 4.6% 4.6% 4.5% 4.2% 3.8% 4.1% 4.0% 3.3% CPI- Hits: 3 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_Table_December_2020.pdf4% -5.8% -34.0% n.a. Personal Income 8 2.8% 2.8% 2.6% 12.0% n.a. Wages and Salaries 9 3.2% 4.3% 2.4% -5.7% n.a. FHFA House Price Index 10 5.0% 4% -5.0% -31.4% 33.1% Personal Income 8 3.5% 3.5% 3.2% 10.7% 7.1% Wages and Salaries 9 3.9% 4.5% 3.2% -3.9% 1.0% Corporate Profits 13 -1.9% 1.2% Hits: 3 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_September_2022.pdf4% 6.4% -2.0% n.a. Personal Income 9 -1.1% 2.3% 6.0% -3.6% n.a. Wages and Salaries 10 12.6% 9.5% 9.1% 11.9% n.a. FHFA House Price Index 11 16.4% 3% 6.9% -1.6% -0.6% Personal Income 9 1.6% 5.3% 7.5% -2.8% 4.5% Wages and Salaries 10 13.4% 11.4% 10.7% 12.2% 11.0% Corporate Profits 14 53.8% 21.4% Hits: 3 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_September_2021_Indicators.pdf5% 3.7% 6.0% n.a. Personal Income 9 13.1% 9.0% 4.3% 17.9% n.a. Wages and Salaries 10 -6.3% -1.0% 1.5% 3.3% n.a. FHFA House Price Index 11 4.7% 8% 4.5% 6.3% 6.6% Personal Income 9 10.9% 7.1% 4.8% 16.1% 1.1% Wages and Salaries 10 -3.2% 0.9% 3.4% 2.9% 12.2% Corporate Profits 14 -17.4% 6.5% Hits: 3 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_September_2021.pdf5% 3.7% 6.0% n.a. Personal Income 9 13.1% 9.0% 4.3% 17.9% n.a. Wages and Salaries 10 -6.3% -1.0% 1.5% 3.3% n.a. FHFA House Price Index 11 4.7% 8% 4.5% 6.3% 6.6% Personal Income 9 10.9% 7.1% 4.8% 16.1% 1.1% Wages and Salaries 10 -3.2% 0.9% 3.4% 2.9% 12.2% Corporate Profits 14 -17.4% 6.5% Hits: 3 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_October_2021_Indicators.pdf8% 5.2% 3.0% 5.9% Personal Income 9 13.0% 8.8% 4.5% 16.4% -2.8% Wages and Salaries 10 -4.5% -0.7% 1.8% 2.2% 10.9% FHFA House Price Index 11 4.7% 8% 4.5% 6.3% 6.7% Personal Income 9 10.9% 7.1% 4.8% 16.1% 1.1% Wages and Salaries 10 -3.2% 0.9% 3.4% 2.9% 12.3% Corporate Profits 14 -17.4% 6.5% Hits: 3 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_October_2021.pdf8% 5.2% 3.0% 5.9% Personal Income 9 13.0% 8.8% 4.5% 16.4% -2.8% Wages and Salaries 10 -4.5% -0.7% 1.8% 2.2% 10.9% FHFA House Price Index 11 4.7% 8% 4.5% 6.3% 6.7% Personal Income 9 10.9% 7.1% 4.8% 16.1% 1.1% Wages and Salaries 10 -3.2% 0.9% 3.4% 2.9% 12.3% Corporate Profits 14 -17.4% 6.5% Hits: 3 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_November_2021.pdf2% 3.0% 5.9% n.a. Personal Income 9 8.8% 4.5% 16.4% -2.8% n.a. Wages and Salaries 10 -0.7% 1.8% 2.2% 10.9% n.a. FHFA House Price Index 11 8.3% 5% 6.3% 6.7% 2.0% Personal Income 9 7.1% 4.8% 16.1% 1.1% 4.3% Wages and Salaries 10 0.9% 3.4% 2.9% 12.3% 9.7% Corporate Profits 14 6.5% 2.6% Hits: 3 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_November_2020_Final.pdf4% -5.8% -34.0% n.a. Personal Income 8 2.8% 2.8% 2.6% 12.0% n.a. Wages and Salaries 9 3.2% 4.3% 2.4% -5.7% n.a. FHFA House Price Index 10 5.0% 4% -5.0% -31.4% 33.1% Personal Income 8 3.5% 3.5% 3.2% 10.4% 6.8% Wages and Salaries 9 3.9% 4.5% 3.2% -4.6% -0.3% Corporate Profits 13 -1.9% 1.2% Hits: 3 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_May_2022.pdf7% 4.7% 2.4% 6.4% Personal Income 9 4.5% 15.6% -1.1% 2.2% 5.4% Wages and Salaries 10 1.9% 1.0% 12.6% 9.5% 8.0% FHFA House Price Index 11 11.2% 7% 2.3% 6.9% -1.4% Personal Income 9 16.1% 1.6% 5.3% 7.2% -3.0% Wages and Salaries 10 2.9% 13.4% 11.4% 10.0% 11.3% Corporate Profits 14 23.3% 53.8% Hits: 3 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_May_2020.pdf7% 2.1% 2.1% n.a. Personal Income 8 5.0% 5.2% 4.0% 3.8% n.a. Wages and Salaries 9 4.6% 4.7% 3.5% 4.3% 3.7% FHFA House Price Index 10 5.6% 0% 2.1% 2.1% -4.8% Personal Income 8 4.6% 4.7% 4.2% 4.1% 3.1% Wages and Salaries 9 5.0% 4.8% 4.1% 4.5% 2.0% Corporate Profits 13 -2.4% -1.1% Hits: 3 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_March_2022.pdf7% 4.7% 2.4% n.a. Personal Income 9 4.5% 15.6% -1.1% 2.5% n.a. Wages and Salaries 10 1.9% 1.0% 12.6% 9.8% n.a. FHFA House Price Index 11 11.2% 3% 6.7% 2.3% 7.0% Personal Income 9 4.8% 16.1% 1.6% 5.3% 7.2% Wages and Salaries 10 3.4% 2.9% 13.4% 11.4% 10.0% Corporate Profits 14 2.6% 23.3% Hits: 3 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_March_2021.pdf8% -34.0% 35.5% n.a. Personal Income 9 2.8% 2.5% 13.1% 9.6% n.a. Wages and Salaries 10 4.3% 2.2% -6.2% -0.7% n.a. FHFA House Price Index 11 4.7% 0% -31.4% 33.4% 4.1% Personal Income 9 3.5% 3.2% 10.7% 6.8% 4.0% Wages and Salaries 10 4.5% 3.2% -3.9% 0.3% 1.3% Corporate Profits 14 1.2% -8.0% Hits: 3 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_June_2022.pdf7% 2.4% 6.4% n.a. Personal Income 9 15.6% -1.1% 2.2% 5.4% n.a. Wages and Salaries 10 1.0% 12.6% 9.5% 8.0% n.a. FHFA House Price Index 11 11.8% 7% 2.3% 6.9% -1.4% Personal Income 9 16.1% 1.6% 5.3% 7.2% -3.0% Wages and Salaries 10 2.9% 13.4% 11.4% 10.0% 11.3% Corporate Profits 14 23.3% 53.8% Hits: 3 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_June_2021_Indicators.pdf0% 35.5% 3.7% n.a. Personal Income 9 2.5% 13.1% 9.0% 3.5% n.a. Wages and Salaries 10 2.2% -6.2% -1.0% -0.3% n.a. FHFA House Price Index 11 5.2% 4% 33.4% 4.3% 6.4% Personal Income 9 3.2% 10.7% 6.8% 4.7% 16.6% Wages and Salaries 10 3.2% -3.9% 0.3% 3.0% 4.0% Corporate Profits 14 -8.0% -17.9% Hits: 3 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_July_2022.pdf7% 2.4% 6.4% -2.0% Personal Income 9 15.6% -1.1% 2.3% 6.0% -3.6% Wages and Salaries 10 1.0% 12.6% 9.5% 9.1% 11.9% FHFA House Price Index 11 12.3% 7% 2.3% 6.9% -1.6% Personal Income 9 16.1% 1.6% 5.3% 7.5% -2.8% Wages and Salaries 10 2.9% 13.4% 11.4% 10.7% 12.2% Corporate Profits 14 23.3% 53.8% Hits: 3 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_July_2021_Indicators.pdf0% 35.5% 3.7% 6.0% Personal Income 9 2.5% 13.1% 9.0% 4.3% 17.9% Wages and Salaries 10 2.2% -6.3% -1.0% 1.5% 3.3% FHFA House Price Index 11 5.2% 4% 33.4% 4.3% 6.4% Personal Income 9 3.2% 10.7% 6.8% 4.7% 16.6% Wages and Salaries 10 3.2% -3.9% 0.3% 3.0% 4.0% Corporate Profits 14 -8.0% -17.9% Hits: 3 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_July_2020.pdf7% 2.1% 2.1% -5.6% Personal Income 8 5.0% 5.1% 4.0% 4.0% 2.9% Wages and Salaries 9 4.5% 4.6% 3.4% 4.6% 1.8% FHFA House Price Index 10 5.6% 0% 2.1% 2.1% -5.0% Personal Income 8 4.6% 4.7% 4.2% 4.2% 3.2% Wages and Salaries 9 5.0% 4.8% 4.1% 4.8% 2.3% Corporate Profits 13 -2.4% -1.1% Hits: 3 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_January_2023.pdf4% -1.1% -0.9% 3.2% Personal Income 9 2.1% 5.8% -4.6% 2.3% 3.3% Wages and Salaries 10 8.5% 8.3% 10.0% 9.6% 9.0% FHFA House Price Index 11 14.7% 0% -1.6% -0.6% 3.2% Personal Income 9 4.9% 6.9% -3.5% 3.2% 4.1% Wages and Salaries 10 10.6% 9.9% 10.9% 9.1% 7.9% Corporate Profits 14 19.1% 25.5% Hits: 3 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_January_2022.pdf2% 3.0% 5.9% 2.2% Personal Income 9 8.8% 4.5% 16.3% -1.5% 2.6% Wages and Salaries 10 -0.7% 1.8% 2.2% 11.9% 9.9% FHFA House Price Index 11 8.4% 5% 6.3% 6.7% 2.3% Personal Income 9 7.1% 4.8% 16.1% 1.6% 5.2% Wages and Salaries 10 0.9% 3.4% 2.9% 13.4% 11.1% Corporate Profits 14 6.5% 2.6% Hits: 3 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_January_2021_Indicators.pdf4% -5.8% -34.0% 35.5% Personal Income 9 2.8% 2.8% 2.5% 13.1% 9.6% Wages and Salaries 10 3.2% 4.3% 2.2% -6.2% -0.7% FHFA House Price Index 11 5.0% 4% -5.0% -31.4% 33.4% Personal Income 9 3.5% 3.5% 3.2% 10.7% 7.1% Wages and Salaries 10 3.9% 4.5% 3.2% -3.9% 1.1% Corporate Profits 14 -1.9% 1.2% Hits: 3 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_January_2021.pdf4% -5.8% -34.0% 35.5% Personal Income 9 2.8% 2.8% 2.5% 13.1% 9.6% Wages and Salaries 10 3.2% 4.3% 2.2% -6.2% -0.7% FHFA House Price Index 11 5.0% 4% -5.0% -31.4% 33.4% Personal Income 9 3.5% 3.5% 3.2% 10.7% 7.1% Wages and Salaries 10 3.9% 4.5% 3.2% -3.9% 1.1% Corporate Profits 14 -1.9% 1.2% Hits: 3 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_Indicators_February_2022.pdf7% 4.7% 2.4% n.a. Personal Income 9 4.5% 15.6% -1.1% 2.5% n.a. Wages and Salaries 10 1.9% 1.0% 12.6% 9.8% n.a. FHFA House Price Index 11 11.2% 3% 6.7% 2.3% 6.9% Personal Income 9 4.8% 16.1% 1.6% 5.2% 7.0% Wages and Salaries 10 3.4% 2.9% 13.4% 11.1% 9.4% Corporate Profits 14 2.6% 23.3% Hits: 3 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_February_2022.pdf7% 4.7% 2.4% n.a. Personal Income 9 4.5% 15.6% -1.1% 2.5% n.a. Wages and Salaries 10 1.9% 1.0% 12.6% 9.8% n.a. FHFA House Price Index 11 11.2% 3% 6.7% 2.3% 6.9% Personal Income 9 4.8% 16.1% 1.6% 5.2% 7.0% Wages and Salaries 10 3.4% 2.9% 13.4% 11.1% 9.4% Corporate Profits 14 2.6% 23.3% Hits: 3 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_February_2021_Indicators.pdf8% -34.0% 35.5% n.a. Personal Income 9 2.8% 2.5% 13.1% 9.6% n.a. Wages and Salaries 10 4.3% 2.2% -6.2% -0.7% n.a. FHFA House Price Index 11 5.2% 0% -31.4% 33.4% 4.0% Personal Income 9 3.5% 3.2% 10.7% 7.1% 4.3% Wages and Salaries 10 4.5% 3.2% -3.9% 1.1% 2.2% Corporate Profits 14 1.2% -8.0% Hits: 3 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_February_2021.pdf8% -34.0% 35.5% n.a. Personal Income 9 2.8% 2.5% 13.1% 9.6% n.a. Wages and Salaries 10 4.3% 2.2% -6.2% -0.7% n.a. FHFA House Price Index 11 5.2% 0% -31.4% 33.4% 4.0% Personal Income 9 3.5% 3.2% 10.7% 7.1% 4.3% Wages and Salaries 10 4.5% 3.2% -3.9% 1.1% 2.2% Corporate Profits 14 1.2% -8.0% Hits: 3 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_December_2021.pdf2% 3.0% 5.9% n.a. Personal Income 9 8.8% 4.5% 16.4% -2.8% n.a. Wages and Salaries 10 -0.7% 1.8% 2.2% 10.9% n.a. FHFA House Price Index 11 8.3% 5% 6.3% 6.7% 2.1% Personal Income 9 7.1% 4.8% 16.1% 1.6% 5.2% Wages and Salaries 10 0.9% 3.4% 2.9% 13.4% 11.2% Corporate Profits 14 6.5% 2.6% Hits: 3 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_December_2020.pdf4% -5.8% -34.0% n.a. Personal Income 8 2.8% 2.8% 2.6% 12.0% n.a. Wages and Salaries 9 3.2% 4.3% 2.4% -5.7% n.a. FHFA House Price Index 10 5.0% 4% -5.0% -31.4% 33.1% Personal Income 8 3.5% 3.5% 3.2% 10.7% 7.1% Wages and Salaries 9 3.9% 4.5% 3.2% -3.9% 1.0% Corporate Profits 13 -1.9% 1.2% Hits: 3 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_August_2022.pdf4% 6.4% -2.0% n.a. Personal Income 9 -1.1% 2.3% 6.0% -3.6% n.a. Wages and Salaries 10 12.6% 9.5% 9.1% 11.9% n.a. FHFA House Price Index 11 16.4% 3% 6.9% -1.6% -0.9% Personal Income 9 1.6% 5.3% 7.5% -2.8% 4.6% Wages and Salaries 10 13.4% 11.4% 10.7% 12.2% 10.9% Corporate Profits 14 53.8% 21.4% Hits: 3 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_August_2021.pdf0% 35.5% 3.7% 6.0% Personal Income 9 2.5% 13.1% 9.0% 4.3% 17.9% Wages and Salaries 10 2.2% -6.3% -1.0% 1.5% 3.3% FHFA House Price Index 11 5.2% 2% 33.8% 4.5% 6.3% Personal Income 9 3.3% 10.9% 7.1% 4.8% 16.1% Wages and Salaries 10 4.1% -3.2% 0.9% 3.4% 2.8% Corporate Profits 14 -6.0% -17.4% Hits: 3 |
Monthly_Economic_Update_April_2021_Indicators.pdf8% -34.0% 35.5% 3.7% Personal Income 9 2.8% 2.5% 13.1% 9.0% 3.5% Wages and Salaries 10 4.3% 2.2% -6.2% -1.0% -0.3% FHFA House Price Index 11 4.7% 0% -31.4% 33.4% 4.3% Personal Income 9 3.5% 3.2% 10.7% 6.8% 4.0% Wages and Salaries 10 4.5% 3.2% -3.9% 0.3% 1.3% Corporate Profits 14 1.2% -8.0% Hits: 3 |
MER-2015-01.pdfU.S. economy. Excludes inflation. 1 Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of U.S. personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any inflationary gains. 1 Corporate Profits The year-over-year growth days delinquent. 5 Quarterly Pennsylvania Economic Indicators Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of PA personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any inflationary gains. 1 Industrial Electricity Sales The year-over-year Hits: 3 |
IFO_Testimony_Feb2018.pdfU reading running low (0.8% in December), jobs growth strong (roughly 60,000 net new jobs last year) and wages increasing at a solid pace (4.2% in latest quarter). Moreover, median existing home values increased by 4.4% last the short term, the IFO projects a modest economic boost due to the act. We project higher real GDP and wage growth, and strong growth for dividends and capital gains due to the significant reduction in the federal corporate income tax Hits: 3 |
IFO_Retirement_Task_Force_Jan2018_Presentation.pdfof Income Jan.25.2018 Independent Fiscal Office 9 Share of Income for Age 65+ Income Source 2006 2015 AAGR Wages-Salaries 14.5% 18.0% 8.4% Business-Rent-Royalty 10.2% 11.3% 7.0% Interest and Dividends 16 Are Working Jan.25.2018 Independent Fiscal Office 10 Average Annual Growth Rate: 2006 to 2014 Number of Workers Total Wages Average Wage All Workers 0.6% 2.6% 1.9% Under Age 50 -0.2% 1.3% 1.5% Age Hits: 3 |
Econ Summit Presentation Feb 28 2017.pdf2.8% 0.7% Net Job Gains (000s) 64.7 39.9 14.7 47.6 48.6 43.5 Wages and Salaries 3.9% 3.7% 1.8% 3.9% 4.0% 2.5% Source: Data from the U.S 2.8% 0.7% Net Job Gains (000s) 64.7 39.9 14.7 47.6 48.6 43.5 Wages and Salaries 3.9% 3.7% 1.8% 3.9% 4.0% 2.5% Philadelphia CPI-U 2.7% 1 Hits: 3 |
Budget_Hearing_Background-Feb2014.pdf4.6% in 2015, following a decline in 2013 due to the expiration of the payroll tax cut and modest wage growth. Non-Motor Sales Tax Collections – Three-Month Average Growth Rate Beginning in June 2011, collections are adjusted for mandated since early 2012. For the fiscal year through January, revenues grew by 2.0%. • The current IFO forecast projects modest wage growth in the 3% to 4% range through the middle of 2015. PIT – Withholding Year Over Year Growth Rates Quarterly Hits: 3 |
2013-03b Monthly Economic Summary.pdfecono- my. Excludes inflation. 1 Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of U.S. personal in- come. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pen- sions, business and transfer income. Includes any infla- tionary gains. 1 Corporate Profits The year-over- 4 4.5% 2.3% 5.6% Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of PA personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any inflationary gains. 1 FHFA House Price Index An index that Hits: 3 |
2013 Appropriation Hearings Background Information.pdf2013. Other Changes: • Expiration of the 2.0% payroll tax cut. • ACA: Increase Medicare tax rate by 0.9% on wage income > $250,000. • ACA: 3.8% tax on certain “investment income” if AGI > $250,000. Impact on Pennsylvania Disposable Income 2012 as the quarterly growth rate dipped below 3%. • The current PA forecast by IHS Global Insight projects improvement in wages in early 2013. PIT – Withholding Quarterly Growth Rates Quarterly revenues are aligned to allow for comparability based on payment due Hits: 3 |
2006_surviving_spouse_healthcare_study.pdftrial court was correct in its determination that providing new benefits to former retirees is unlawful, . . . . Township of Wilkins v. Wage & Policy Committee of the Wilkins Township Police Department, 696 A.2d 917 (Pa. Cmwlth.1997). Under this analysis, the extension sors in years to come. The first is healthcare inflation, which has and likely will remain well in excess of wage inflation for the foreseeable future. The second is the pending wave of baby boomer retirements. Considering these two items in Hits: 3 |
Independent Fiscal OfficeIndependent Fiscal Office IFO • Latest Releases • Data • Calendar • Right-to-Know • About • About IFO • Contact IFO • Email Subscription • Links • Follow on Twitter • • Independent Fiscal Office Revenue Estimates Revenue & Economic Update Performance Budgeting Natural Gas Pension Analysis Property Tax Wage Contracts Tax Credit Review Economics and Other Featured Releases Expiration of the Enhanced FMAP Economics and Other March 17, 2023 The IFO is accepting applications for employment from qualified candidates. See the job posting for further details. ... (Full Report) AFSCME Wage Contract Analysis Wage Contracts August 13, 2019 This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between Hits: 3 |
About IFOof department expenditures and forecasting the Lottery Fund. Other responsibilities include working on special projects pertaining to education, demographics, minimum wage and other subjects as needed. Jesse Bushman Revenue Analyst II Mr. Bushman joined the IFO in 2016 and his primary the Motor License Fund, and the Tobacco Settlement Fund. Other responsibilities include working on special projects related to transportation and wage contract analysis. Mathieu Taylor Fiscal Analyst II Mr. Taylor joined the IFO in 2018 and his primary responsibilities include state Hits: 3 |
State_Tax_Comparison_2023_02.pdftaxes are compared to state personal income. State personal income is the summation of all sources of income such as wages, business income, interest, dividends, rents, royalties, employer contributions to pension and health plans, unemployment compensation and transfer income (e.g ranks states based on the ratio of the personal income tax (PIT) to personal income. 6 States levy PIT on wages, business income, capital income (e.g., interest, dividends and capital gains), pensions, IRA withdrawals and transfer income (e.g., Social Hits: 2 |
State_Tax_Comparison_2022_01.pdftaxes are compared to state personal income. State personal income is the summation of all sources of income such as wages, business income, interest, dividends, rents, royalties, employer contributions to pension and health plans, unemployment compensation and transfer income (e.g ranks states based on the ratio of the personal income tax (PIT) to personal income. 5 States levy PIT on wages, business income, capital income (e.g., interest, dividends and capital gains), pensions, IRA withdrawals and transfer income (e.g., Social Hits: 2 |
State_Tax_Comparison_2020_11.pdfcompared to state personal income. State personal income is the summation of all sources of income such as wages, business income, interest, dividends, rents, royalties, employer contributions to pension and health plans, unemployment compensation and transfer income (e.g., Social Security based on the ratio of the personal income tax (PIT) to personal income. 5 States levy PIT on wages, business income, capital income (e.g., interest, dividends and capital gains), pensions, IRA withdrawals and transfer income (e.g., Social Security, unemployment Hits: 2 |
State-Tax-Comparison-2020-01.pdfcompared to state personal income. State personal income is the summation of all sources of income such as wages, business income, interest, dividends, rents, royalties, employer contributions to pension and health plans, unemployment compensation and transfer income (e.g., Social Security on the ratio of the personal income tax (PIT) to personal income. 5 States may levy PIT on wages, business income, capital income (e.g., interest, dividends and capital gains), pensions, IRA withdrawals and transfer income (e.g., Social Security, unemployment Hits: 2 |
State and Local Tax Burden Study.pdfthe fifty states using a common benchmark. Personal income represents the total income of state residents. It includes wages, business income, interest, dividends, rents, royalties, contributions to pension and health plans, unemployment compensation, veterans’ benefits and transfer income (e.g., social income for the personal income tax (PIT) and the corporate income tax (CIT). 7 States levy PIT on wages, business income, capital income (e.g., interest, dividends and capital gains), pensions, IRA withdrawals and certain transfer income (e.g., social security Hits: 2 |
SR2017-03.pdftaxes are compared to state personal income. State personal income is the summation of all sources of income such as wages, business income, interest, dividends, rents, royalties, employer contributions to pension and health plans, unemployment compensation and transfer income (e.g states based on the ratio of the personal income tax (PIT) to personal income. 3 States may levy PIT on wages, business income, capital income (e.g., interest, dividends and capital gains), pensions, IRA withdrawals and transfer income (e.g., Social Hits: 2 |
Revenue_Estimate_2016-06-15_Snapshot.pdfin 2016 and 2017. Personal Income Tax – Withholding revenues are projected to grow by 2.9 percent, based on restrained wage growth and a technical factor that results in one fewer withholding due date compared to the prior fiscal year. Non- withholding revenues are projected to outpace wage growth. Non-Tax Revenues – Receipts are projected to decline due to (1) the absence of the non- recurring transfers received Hits: 2 |
Revenue_Estimate_2016-06-15_Release.pdfthe one issued by the IFO in May. “The downward adjustment in the base estimate reflects the recent underperformance of wage and salary withholding payments,” Knittel noted. “Wages are the largest component of the state economy, and the recent weakness in collections motivated a revision to the economic Hits: 2 |
Revenue-Estimate-Performance_2022_10.pdf11.2% of actual General Fund revenues. 2 The overage was attributable to the enactment of additional federal stimulus (Lost Wage Assistance Program, the Consolidated Appropriations Act and the American Rescue Plan) after the release of the estimate, which provided for the underprediction. Many factors contributed to the forecast error, including: (1) a tight labor market that resulted in very strong wage growth (PIT and SUT), (2) much higher than expected inflation rates (PIT and SUT), (3) unprecedented increases in capital gains Hits: 2 |
REU-2020-02.pdf0 Personal Income 8 4.6% 4.7% 4.2% 4.1% 5.0% 5.1% 4.4% n.a. Wages and Salaries 9 5.0% 4.8% 4.1% 4.5% 4.6% 4.6% 4.3% n.a. CPI- year growth rate of personal income. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 9. Year-over-year growth rate of wages and salaries paid to all payroll employees. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 10. Source: Federal Housing Finance Agency Hits: 2 |
REU-2020-01.pdf0 Personal Income 8 4.6% 4.7% 4.4% 4.3% 5.0% 5.1% 4.4% n.a. Wages and Salaries 9 5.0% 4.8% 4.6% 5.2% 4.6% 4.6% 4.3% n.a. CPI- year growth rate of personal income. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 9. Year-over-year growth rate of wages and salaries paid to all payroll employees. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 10. Source: Federal Housing Finance Agency Hits: 2 |
Response_Letter_9_23_2019.pdfother types of income that would pay the higher 4.92 percent (instead of 3.07 percent) rate, such as wages, interest or capital gains. For senior renters, it is less clear how they would fare because (1) senior renters generally filer or head of household aged 65 or older. N.A. represents states that have no personal income tax on wages. Where applicable, lower deduction limit reflects amount for residents under age 65. Source: National Conference of State Legislatures and Bloomberg Hits: 2 |
RB-2020-03 County Income Patterns.pdfPage 2 Personal Income Growth From 2016 to 2018, all Pennsylvania counties recorded personal income gains. Personal income includes all wages and salaries, interest, dividends, business income, rents, royalties, transfer receipts (e.g., SNAP and veteran’s benefits) and retirement income Montgomery (3.4 percent) and Montour (3.9 percent). Personal income can be decomposed into three categories: (1) resident earnings (wages, salaries and proprietor income), (2) dividends, interest and rent and (3) transfer receipts (e.g., Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, various Hits: 2 |
RB 2019 County Income Patterns.pdf2 Personal Income Growth From 2015 to 2017, nearly all Pennsylvania counties recorded personal income gains. Personal income includes all wages and salaries, interest, dividends, business income, rents, royalties, transfer receipts (e.g., SNAP and veteran’s benefits) and retirement income Crawford (1.2 percent) and Cumberland (1.3 percent). Personal income can be decomposed into three categories: (1) resident earnings (wages, salaries and business income), (2) dividends, interest and rent and (3) transfer receipts and retirement income. For the state, per Hits: 2 |
PSBA Presentation - Final.pdfDistributions to school districts increase by lesser of annual growth in (1) sales tax revenues or (2) statewide average weekly wage (SAWW) (~+2.5% to 4.0%). Some important considerations: How will “baseline” school district property taxes grow? How prior year. Cost-of-living increase is the lesser of the percentage increase in the (1) statewide average weekly wage or (2) sales tax. 1/19/2017 14 Thank you Presentation to be posted at IFO website. www.ifo.state Hits: 2 |
Press_Release_2018_Economic_and_Budget_Outlook.pdfage population restrains the growth of Pre-K-12 expenditures and (3) the aging of the Commonwealth’s workforce (high wage employees retire and are replaced with less experienced, lower wage staff). This report does not assume that a recession occurs over the five-year budget window. Therefore, the economic Hits: 2 |
Presentation_PICPA_9-24-2013.pdfOutlook. 24 . Sept . 2013 2 Today’s Presentation PA Economic Outlook Weakens annual growth rate or levels 2012 2013 2014 Wages and Salaries Dec 2012 Forecast 3.4% 3.2% 4.0% May 2013 Forecast 3.0% 2.8% 4.1% comprises nearly one-third General Fund revenues. Growth in withholding will reflect two factors: oIncrease in number of jobs. oAny wage and salary growth due to raises or inflationary adjustments. oGains very modest. oConsistent with weak hiring. 24 . Sept . 2013 14 Hits: 2 |
Presentation_PA_Bus_Council_6-22-15.pdf8% 1.9% 2.0% Philadelphia CPI-U 2.7% 1.8% 1.2% 1.3% 0.5% 1.9% Wages-Salaries 3.9% 3.8% 1.9% 3.5% 3.8% 3.9% Avg. Job Gains (000s) 64.8 40 Tax Relief -280 -4,152 -4,435 -4,580 -4,624 Dollar amounts are in millions. 1 Includes cigarette, sales, wage and property tax relief. 2 Provides up to a $500 rent rebate for qualified households with income below $50,000 Hits: 2 |
Presentation-2019-04-House-Financial-Rescue-Caucus.pdf2018.4 2019.1 Real GDP 4.5% 0.1% 0.6% 3.6% 2.8% n.a. n.a. Wages and Salaries 4.3% 3.8% 4.1% 4.0% 3.5% 4.2% n.a. Avg Annualized Job Gains 2018.4 2019.1 Real GDP 2.8% 2.3% 2.2% 4.2% 3.4% 2.2% n.a. Wages and Salaries 4.9% 4.6% 4.6% 4.5% 4.4% 4.6% n.a. Avg Monthly Job Gains Hits: 2 |
Presentation-2018-11-19-CCAP.pdfyears Sales - Non-Motor +$67 very strong growth +8.7% Sales - Motor Vehicle +$30 strong growth Personal Income -$8 statewide wage growth is ~4% Gaming Expansion +$1 see slide detail Escheats -$55 much lower remittances All Other +$54 realty transfer, inheritance 97 $8 $9 $9 Category 4 Casinos 127 5 12 8 9 Loan Repayment 17 20 0 0 0 Sports Wagering 0 55 28 29 30 All Other 2 6 3 3 4 Total Revenue 145 182 51 49 51 iLottery Hits: 2 |
Presentation-2018-10-House-Financial-Rescue-Caucus.pdf42018.12018.22018.3 Real GDP (QA) -0.5%3.2% 4.5% 2.5% 2.0% n.a. n.a. Wages and Salaries (YOY) 3.7% 4.1% 4.3% 3.8% 4.1% 4.4% n.a. Avg Annual Job 12018.22018.3 Real GDP (QA) 1.8% 3.0% 2.8% 2.3% 2.2% 4.2% n.a. Wages and Salaries (YOY) 4.3% 4.6% 4.9% 4.6% 4.6% 4.9% n.a. Avg Monthly Job Hits: 2 |
Pitt_Chamber_Presentation.pdfgrowth rates or change 2015 2016 2017 2018 Real Gross Domestic Product 2.3% 0.6% 2.0% 2.3% Wages and Salaries 4.1% 1.3% 3.9% 4.3% Philadelphia CPI-U -0.1% 0.6% 1.3% 2 in FY 2018-19 Personal income tax Higher dividends and capital gains, impact should be immediate Smaller impact: wages also increase directly and indirectly Miscellaneous issues Static vs. dynamic revenue impact Most non-financial business activity in Hits: 2 |
PBB_2023_DDAP_REPORT.pdf1% 5.1% 9.7% -- -- -- Illicit drug use disorder in past year (%) 5 2.7% 2.9% 6.5% -- -- -- Lost wages due to opioid use ($ millions) 3,6 $2,657 $2,638 $2,924 $2,963 -- -- Statewide Indicator PA drug overdose 9,932 11,441 12,197 1 Casino based includes slot machine and table game revenue. Gaming expansion includes sports wagering, i-Gaming and video terminal revenue. Data by fiscal year. Source: Revenue data - Pennsylvania Gaming Control Board. Helpline and self- Hits: 2 |
PBB_2020_DOS_REPORT.pdfAffairs Activity are excluded because these individuals do not receive a salary.Within the SAC Activity, per diem wage employees paid an hourly rate to oversee sanctioned SAC events are also excluded. Department of State Overview | Page 5 Performance-Based Budget Note: Expenditures in dollar millions. Actual expenditures are listed in the year the expenditure was recorded. Per diem wage employees paid an hourly rate to oversee sanctioned SAC events (on a temporary, part-time basis) are excluded from the average weekly Hits: 2 |
Newsstand_2019_March.pdfen- ergy, the CPI-U increase was 1.9%. - March 2019- National News Tight Labor Market Begins to Translate to Wage Gains On March 8, the U.S. Department of Labor released average hourly earnings for U.S. production and non- supervisory employees (by industry) for February 2019. The latest data show that the average hourly wage was $23.18, a 3.5% increase over the prior year. That increase is the strongest year-over-year increase Hits: 2 |
Newsstand_2018_May.pdfas a whole and home sales increased for the sixth consecutive year. These factors produced stronger-than-anticipated revenues for wage, sales, business, property, and real estate transfer taxes. The report also discusses recent social and demographic trends for the city insights regarding those unexpected shortfalls. Compared to the prior year, the federal tax data show broad declines across all non-wage income including capital gains (-11.7%), divi- dends (-4.7%), taxable interest (-2.6%), rent/royalties (-3.4%), sole proprietors Hits: 2 |
NAP-2018-03.pdfbusinesses in other industries (indirect spending). The additional direct and indirect spending increases earnings, as new jobs are created, existing wages are increased and enhanced profits flow through to business owners. The economic activity generated by the higher earnings creates yet are relatively high due to (1) the moderate salaries characteristic of jobs in these industries (i.e., any increase in wages is primarily spent not saved), and (2) most of the spending remains in-state by nature of the work (e Hits: 2 |
MTR-2019-08.pdf4 Personal Income 8 5.9% 4.9% 4.6% 4.9% 3.7% 3.9% 3.6% n.a. Wages and Salaries 9 5.2% 4.0% 5.0% 5.4% 3.5% 3.1% 3.0% n.a. CPI- year growth rate of personal income. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 9. Year-over-year growth rate of wages and salaries paid to all payroll employees. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 10. Source: Federal Housing Finance Agency Hits: 2 |
MTR-2019-07.pdf7 Personal Income 8 5.9% 4.9% 4.6% 4.9% 3.7% 3.9% 3.6% n.a. Wages and Salaries 9 5.2% 4.0% 4.9% 5.4% 3.5% 3.1% 3.0% n.a. CPI- year growth rate of personal income. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 9. Year-over-year growth rate of wages and salaries paid to all payroll employees. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 10. Source: Federal Housing Finance Agency Hits: 2 |
MTR-2019-06.pdfa. Personal Income 8 4.5% 4.5% 4.3% 3.8% 3.6% 3.7% 3.9% 3.6% Wages and Salaries 9 4.5% 4.4% 3.9% 3.4% 4.0% 3.5% 3.1% 3.0% CPI- personal income. Includes any inflationary gains. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 9. Year-over-year growth rate of wages and salaries paid to all payroll employees. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 10. The House Price Index is Hits: 2 |
MTR-2019-05.pdfa. Personal Income 8 4.5% 4.5% 4.3% 3.8% 3.6% 3.7% 4.4% n.a. Wages and Salaries 9 4.5% 4.4% 4.6% 3.5% 4.0% 3.5% 4.2% n.a. CPI- personal income. Includes any inflationary gains. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 9. Year-over-year growth rate of wages and salaries paid to all payroll employees. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 10. The House Price Index is Hits: 2 |
MTR-2019-03.pdfa. Personal Income 8 4.3% 4.5% 4.5% 4.6% 3.7% 3.6% 3.7% 4.4% Wages and Salaries 9 4.6% 4.5% 4.4% 4.6% 4.1% 4.0% 3.5% 4.2% CPI- personal income. Includes any inflationary gains. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 9. Year-over-year growth rate of wages and salaries paid to all payroll employees. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 10. The House Price Index is Hits: 2 |
MTR-2019-02.pdfa. Personal Income 8 4.3% 4.5% 4.5% 4.6% 3.7% 3.6% 3.5% n.a. Wages and Salaries 9 4.6% 4.5% 4.4% 4.5% 4.1% 4.0% 3.3% n.a. CPI- personal income. Includes any inflationary gains. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 9. Year-over-year growth rate of wages and salaries paid to all payroll employees. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 10. The House Price Index is Hits: 2 |
MTR-2019-01.pdfa. Personal Income 8 4.3% 4.5% 4.4% n.a. 3.7% 3.6% 3.5% n.a. Wages and Salaries 9 4.6% 4.5% 4.2% n.a. 4.1% 4.0% 3.3% n.a. CPI- personal income. Includes any inflationary gains. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 9. Year-over-year growth rate of wages and salaries paid to all payroll employees. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 10. The House Price Index is Hits: 2 |
MTR-2018-11.pdfa. Personal Income 8 4.6% 4.3% 4.5% 4.4% 3.7% 3.8% 3.9% n.a. Wages and Salaries 9 4.6% 4.6% 4.5% 4.2% 3.8% 4.1% 4.4% n.a. CPI- personal income. Includes any inflationary gains. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 9. Year-over-year growth rate of wages and salaries paid to all payroll employees. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 10. The House Price Index is Hits: 2 |
MTR-2018-10.pdfa. Personal Income 8 4.6% 4.3% 4.7% 4.6% 3.7% 3.8% 3.9% n.a. Wages and Salaries 9 4.6% 4.6% 4.9% 4.7% 3.8% 4.1% 4.4% n.a. CPI- personal income. Includes any inflationary gains. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 9. Year-over-year growth rate of wages and salaries paid to all payroll employees. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 10. The House Price Index is Hits: 2 |
MTR-2018-1.pdfa. Personal Income 9 3.1% 2.7% 2.6% 3.8% 3.0% 2.5% 2.0% n.a. Wages and Salaries 10 3.4% 2.5% 2.4% 4.3% 2.8% 1.9% 1.3% n.a. FHFA personal income. Includes any inflationary gains. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 10. Year-over-year growth rate of wages and salaries paid to all payroll employees. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 11. The annual growth rate of Hits: 2 |
MTR-2018-09.pdfa. Personal Income 8 4.5% 4.6% 4.3% 4.7% 3.9% 3.7% 3.8% 3.9% Wages and Salaries 9 4.9% 4.6% 4.6% 4.9% 4.3% 3.8% 4.1% 4.4% CPI- personal income. Includes any inflationary gains. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 9. Year-over-year growth rate of wages and salaries paid to all payroll employees. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 10. The House Price Index is Hits: 2 |
MTR-2018-08.pdfa. Personal Income 8 4.5% 4.6% 4.3% 4.6% 2.4% 3.3% 3.7% n.a. Wages and Salaries 9 4.9% 4.6% 4.6% 4.9% 1.9% 4.0% 4.8% n.a. CPI- personal income. Includes any inflationary gains. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 9. Year-over-year growth rate of wages and salaries paid to all payroll employees. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 10. The House Price Index is Hits: 2 |
MTR-2018-07.pdfa. Personal Income 8 4.5% 4.6% 4.3% 4.7% 2.4% 3.3% 3.7% n.a. Wages and Salaries 9 4.9% 4.6% 4.6% 4.9% 1.9% 4.0% 4.8% n.a. CPI- personal income. Includes any inflationary gains. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 9. Year-over-year growth rate of wages and salaries paid to all payroll employees. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 10. The House Price Index is Hits: 2 |
MTR-2018-06.pdfa. Personal Income 8 2.7% 2.8% 4.0% 3.7% 2.5% 2.4% 3.3% 3.7% Wages and Salaries 9 2.5% 2.6% 4.8% 4.6% 1.9% 1.9% 4.0% 4.8% CPI- personal income. Includes any inflationary gains. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 9. Year-over-year growth rate of wages and salaries paid to all payroll employees. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 10. The House Price Index is Hits: 2 |
MTR-2018-05.pdfa. Personal Income 8 2.7% 2.8% 4.0% 3.7% 2.5% 2.4% 3.5% n.a. Wages and Salaries 9 2.5% 2.6% 4.8% 4.6% 1.9% 1.9% 4.2% n.a. CPI- personal income. Includes any inflationary gains. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 9. Year-over-year growth rate of wages and salaries paid to all payroll employees. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 10. The House Price Index is Hits: 2 |
MTR-2018-04.pdfa. Personal Income 9 2.7% 2.8% 3.9% 3.6% 2.5% 2.4% 3.5% n.a. Wages and Salaries 10 2.5% 2.6% 4.7% 4.5% 1.9% 1.9% 4.2% n.a. FHFA personal income. Includes any inflationary gains. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 10. Year-over-year growth rate of wages and salaries paid to all payroll employees. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 11. The annual growth rate of Hits: 2 |
MTR-2018-03.pdfIndustrial Electricity Sales 13 -4.0% -2.3% -3.5% -2.6% -0.4% 2.0% -0.6% 2.0% Wages and Salaries 10 3.4% 2.5% 2.6% 4.7% 2.8% 1.9% 1.9% 4.2% INDEPENDENT personal income. Includes any inflationary gains. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 10. Year-over-year growth rate of wages and salaries paid to all payroll employees. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 11. The annual growth rate of Hits: 2 |
MTR-2018-02.pdfa. Personal Income 9 3.1% 2.7% 2.8% 3.9% 3.0% 2.5% 2.0% n.a. Wages and Salaries 10 3.4% 2.5% 2.6% 4.6% 2.8% 1.9% 1.3% n.a. FHFA personal income. Includes any inflationary gains. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 10. Year-over-year growth rate of wages and salaries paid to all payroll employees. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 11. The annual growth rate of Hits: 2 |
MTR-2017-12.pdfa. Personal Income 9 1.6% 3.1% 2.7% 2.6% 1.2% 3.0% 2.5% 2.0% Wages and Salaries 10 1.0% 3.4% 2.5% 2.4% -0.4% 2.8% 1.9% 1.3% FHFA personal income. Includes any inflationary gains. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 10. Year-over-year growth rate of wages and salaries paid to all payroll employees. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 11. The annual growth rate of Hits: 2 |
MTR-2017-11.pdfa. Personal Income 9 1.6% 3.1% 2.7% 2.6% 1.2% 3.1% 2.7% n.a. Wages and Salaries 10 1.0% 3.4% 2.5% 2.4% -0.4% 2.8% 2.3% n.a. FHFA personal income. Includes any inflationary gains. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 10. Year-over-year growth rate of wages and salaries paid to all payroll employees. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 11. The annual growth rate of Hits: 2 |
MER-2015-06.pdfU.S. economy. Excludes inflation. 1 Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of U.S. personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any inflationary gains. 1 Corporate Profits The year-over-year growth days delinquent. 5 Quarterly Pennsylvania Economic Indicators Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of PA personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any inflationary gains. 1 Industrial Electricity Sales The year-over-year Hits: 2 |
MER-2015-04.pdfS. economy. Excludes in Ðlation. 1 Personal Income The year‐over‐year growth rate of U.S. personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any in Ðlationary gains. 1 Corporate Pro Ðits The year‐over‐ days delinquent. 5 Quarterly Pennsylvania Economic Indicators Personal Income The year‐over‐year growth rate of PA personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any in Ðlationary gains. 1 Industrial Electricity Sales The year‐over‐ Hits: 2 |
MER-2015-03.pdfS. economy. Excludes in Ðlation. 1 Personal Income The year‐over‐year growth rate of U.S. personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any in Ðlationary gains. 1 Corporate Pro Ðits The year‐over‐ days delinquent. 5 Quarterly Pennsylvania Economic Indicators Personal Income The year‐over‐year growth rate of PA personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any in Ðlationary gains. 1 Industrial Electricity Sales The year‐over‐ Hits: 2 |
MER-2014-12.pdfS. economy. Excludes in Ðlation. 1 Personal Income The year‐over‐year growth rate of U.S. personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any in Ðlationary gains. 1 Corporate Pro Ðits The year‐over‐ days delinquent. 5 Quarterly Pennsylvania Economic Indicators Personal Income The year‐over‐year growth rate of PA personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any in Ðlationary gains. 1 Industrial Electricity Sales The year‐over‐ Hits: 2 |
MER-2014-10.pdfS. economy. Excludes in Ðlation. 1 Personal Income The year‐over‐year growth rate of U.S. personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any in Ðlationary gains. 1 Corporate Pro Ðits The year‐over‐ days delinquent. 3 Quarterly Pennsylvania Economic Indicators Personal Income The year‐over‐year growth rate of PA personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any in Ðlationary gains. 1 FHFA House Price Index An index Hits: 2 |
MER-2014-09.pdfS. economy. Excludes in Ðlation. 1 Personal Income The year‐over‐year growth rate of U.S. personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any in Ðlationary gains. 1 Corporate Pro Ðits The year‐over‐ days delinquent. 3 Quarterly Pennsylvania Economic Indicators Personal Income The year‐over‐year growth rate of PA personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any in Ðlationary gains. 1 FHFA House Price Index An index Hits: 2 |
MER-2014-08.pdfS. economy. Excludes in Ðlation. 1 Personal Income The year‐over‐year growth rate of U.S. personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any in Ðlationary gains. 1 Corporate Pro Ðits The year‐over‐ days delinquent. 3 Quarterly Pennsylvania Economic Indicators Personal Income The year‐over‐year growth rate of PA personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any in Ðlationary gains. 1 FHFA House Price Index An index Hits: 2 |
MER-2014-06.pdfS. economy. Excludes in Ðlation. 1 Personal Income The year‐over‐year growth rate of U.S. personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any in Ðlationary gains. 1 Corporate Pro Ðits The year‐over‐ days delinquent. 3 Quarterly Pennsylvania Economic Indicators Personal Income The year‐over‐year growth rate of PA personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any in Ðlationary gains. 1 FHFA House Price Index An index Hits: 2 |
MER-2014-05.pdfS. economy. Excludes in Ðlation. 1 Personal Income The year‐over‐year growth rate of U.S. personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any in Ðlationary gains. 1 Corporate Pro Ðits The year‐over‐ days delinquent. 3 Quarterly Pennsylvania Economic Indicators Personal Income The year‐over‐year growth rate of PA personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any in Ðlationary gains. 1 FHFA House Price Index An index Hits: 2 |
MER-2014-04.pdffor 2014.1 is 0.1%). Personal Income The year‐over‐year growth rate of U.S. personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any in Ðlationary gains. 1 Corporate Pro Ðits The year‐over‐ days delinquent. 3 Quarterly Pennsylvania Economic Indicators Personal Income The year‐over‐year growth rate of PA personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any in Ðlationary gains. 1 FHFA House Price Index An index Hits: 2 |
MER-2014-03.pdfS. economy. Excludes in Ðlation. 1 Personal Income The year‐over‐year growth rate of U.S. personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, busi‐ ness and transfer income. Includes any in Ðlationary gains. 1 Corporate Pro Ðits The year‐ days delinquent. 3 Quarterly Pennsylvania Economic Indicators Personal Income The year‐over‐year growth rate of PA personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, busi‐ ness and transfer income. Includes any in Ðlationary gains. 1 FHFA House Price Index An Hits: 2 |
MER-2014-02.pdfS. economy. Excludes in Ðlation. 1 Personal Income The year‐over‐year growth rate of U.S. personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, busi‐ ness and transfer income. Includes any in Ðlationary gains. 1 Corporate Pro Ðits The year‐ days delinquent. 3 Quarterly Pennsylvania Economic Indicators Personal Income The year‐over‐year growth rate of PA personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, busi‐ ness and transfer income. Includes any in Ðlationary gains. 1 FHFA House Price Index An Hits: 2 |
MER-2014-01.pdfS. economy. Excludes in Ðlation. 1 Personal Income The year‐over‐year growth rate of U.S. personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, busi‐ ness and transfer income. Includes any in Ðlationary gains. 1 Corporate Pro Ðits The year‐ days delinquent. 3 Quarterly Pennsylvania Economic Indicators Personal Income The year‐over‐year growth rate of PA personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, busi‐ ness and transfer income. Includes any in Ðlationary gains. 1 FHFA House Price Index An Hits: 2 |
MER-2013-12.pdfU.S. economy. Excludes inflation. 1 Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of U.S. personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, busi- ness and transfer income. Includes any inflationary gains. 1 Corporate Profits The year-over-year days delinquent. 3 Quarterly Pennsylvania Economic Indicators Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of PA personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, busi- ness and transfer income. Includes any inflationary gains. 1 FHFA House Price Index An index Hits: 2 |
Labor_Market_Update_July_2021.pdfstatus of UC benefits is included (excludes any federal income tax). If employed 15 hours per week, then the equivalent wage rate doubles. The IFO projects that many traditional UC recipients will attempt to rejoin the labor force during the next month while a wider selection of jobs remain available and in order to lock in any wage premiums currently paid by employers. For PUA recipients, it is expected that claims will not decline appreciably from their current Hits: 2 |
IFO ppt.pdfIncome 4.5% 1.9% 2.6% 4.6% Disp. Pers. Income 4.6% 2.8% 3.0% 4.4% Wages 4.1% 1.2% 2.8% 4.3% Employment 0.4% -1.1% 0.9% 1.3% Economic Outlook - Pennsylvania pressures. – Elderly grow by 25% for 2010-20. – Working age population shrinks by -1.8% for 2010-20. Low total wage growth. – PA tax base contracts over long term. • Pension obligations major driver of future expenditures. • Uncertainty restrains short-run growth Hits: 2 |
Grow PA 12.3.2019.pdf1 2019.2 2019.3 2019.4 Real Gross Domestic Product 2.7% 2.5% 2.8% 2.1% --- --- Statewide Wages and Salaries 4.3% 3.2% 4.5% 5.0% 5.1% 4.2% Net Payroll Job Creation (000s, Annualized 2018 2019 2020 Real Gross Domestic Product 2.2% 1.3% 0.6% 2.6% 2.0% 1.5% Statewide Wages and Salaries 4.0% 1.3% 4.0% 4.0% 4.5% 3.6% Net Payroll Job Creation (000s) 46 Hits: 2 |
CNIT-Rate-Cut-2018-04.pdfthe form of consumers, workers or owners of capital (e.g., shareholders) effectively pay the tax through higher prices, reduced wages or lower capital gains, dividends, interest or rent. Those same groups will benefit from any reduction in the tax rate that finds 30 to 70 percent of the CNIT burden could be shifted to workers in the form of lower wages. 8 A Tax Foundation special report found that the tax burden is largely split equally between capital and labor. 9 Hits: 2 |
2013-10 Monthly Economic Summary.pdfassets (e.g., intellectual property). Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of U.S. personal in- come. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pen- sions, business and transfer income. Includes any infla- tionary gains. 1 Corporate Profits The year-over- days delinquent. 3 Quarterly Pennsylvania Economic Indicators Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of PA personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any inflationary gains. 1 FHFA House Price Index An index that Hits: 2 |
2013-08 Monthly Economic Summary.pdfassets (e.g., intellectual property). Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of U.S. personal in- come. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pen- sions, business and transfer income. Includes any infla- tionary gains. 1 Corporate Profits The year-over- days delinquent. 3 Quarterly Pennsylvania Economic Indicators Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of PA personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any inflationary gains. 1 FHFA House Price Index An index that Hits: 2 |
2013-07 Monthly Economic Summary.pdfassets (e.g., intellectual property). Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of U.S. personal in- come. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pen- sions, business and transfer income. Includes any infla- tionary gains. 1 Corporate Profits The year-over- days delinquent. 3 Quarterly Pennsylvania Economic Indicators Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of PA personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any inflationary gains. 1 FHFA House Price Index An index that Hits: 2 |
2013-05_Monthly_Economic_Summary.pdfecono- my. Excludes inflation. 1 Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of U.S. personal in- come. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pen- sions, business and transfer income. Includes any infla- tionary gains. 1 Corporate Profits The year-over- days delinquent. 3 Quarterly Pennsylvania Economic Indicators Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of PA personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any inflationary gains. 1 FHFA House Price Index An index that Hits: 2 |
2013-04 Monthly Economic Report.pdf1 value is 2.5%) Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of U.S. personal in- come. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pen- sions, business and transfer income. Includes any infla- tionary gains. 1 (2013.1 value is 2 days delinquent. 3 Quarterly Pennsylvania Economic Indicators Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of PA personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any inflationary gains. 1 FHFA House Price Index An index that Hits: 2 |
2013-02 Monthly Economic Report.pdfecono- my. Excludes inflation. 1 Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of U.S. personal in- come. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pen- sions, business and transfer income. Includes any infla- tionary gains. 1 Corporate Profits The year-over- 4 n.a. 2.3% 5.6% Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of PA personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any inflationary gains. 1 FHFA House Price Index An index that Hits: 2 |
2012-12 Monthly Economic Summary FINAL.pdfecono- my. Excludes inflation. 1 Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of U.S. personal in- come. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pen- sions, business and transfer income. Includes any infla- tionary gains. 1 Corporate Profits The year-over- 4 3.5% -2.8% 5.2% Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of PA personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any inflationary gains. 1 FHFA House Price Index An index that Hits: 2 |
2012-11 Monthly Economic Summary- DRAFT 6.pdfecono- my. Excludes inflation. 1 Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of U.S. personal in- come. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pen- sions, business and transfer income. Includes any infla- tionary gains. 1 Corporate Profits The year-over- 4 3.5% -2.8% 5.2% Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of PA personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any inflationary gains. 1 FHFA House Price Index An index that Hits: 2 |
2012-10 Monthly Economic Summary FINAL.pdfecon- omy. Excludes inflation. 1 Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of U.S. personal in- come. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pen- sions, business and transfer income. Includes any in- flationary gains. 1 Corporate Profits The year-over- 4 3.5% -2.8% 5.2% Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of PA personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any inflationary gains. 1 FHFA House Price Index An index that Hits: 2 |
2012-08 Monthly Economic Summary_Final.pdfU.S. economy. Excludes inflation. 1 Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of U.S. personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any inflationary gains. 1 Corporate Profits The year-over-year growth 4.1% -2.8% 5.2% Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of PA personal income. In- cludes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. Includes any inflationary gains. 1 FHFA House Price Index An index that Hits: 2 |
2012-07 Monthly Economic Summary10.pdffrom the US Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of US personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. In- cludes any inflationary gains. Data are from the US Bureau of 3 4.5% -1.3% 5.5% Personal Income The year-over-year growth rate of PA personal income. Includes wages, interest, dividends, rents, pensions, business and transfer income. In- cludes any inflationary gains. Data are from the US Bureau of Hits: 2 |
2007_divestment_complete_report.pdfSANTONI, SAYLOR, SCAVELLO, SEIP, SHAPIRO, SIPTROTH, M. SMITH, SOLOBAY, STABACK, STAIRS, STURLA, SURRA, TANGRETTI, J. TAYLOR, R. TAYLOR, THOMAS, VITALI, WAGNER, WALKO, WATERS, WATSON, WHEATLEY, J. WHITE, WILLIAMS, WOJNAROSKI, YOUNGBLOOD, NAILOR, TRUE, SCHRODER, PASHINSKI, HENNESSEY, VULAKOVICH AND K. SMITH, APRIL 23 has been woefully inadequate. This report – part of the Center’s new DivestTerror.org campaign – is designed to shed light on the connections between U.S. State Department-designated terrorist- sponsoring states, the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction (WMD) and Hits: 2 |
TC_2021_Resource_Enhancement_and_Protection.pdfwho operate them. The NASS publishes data on agricultural production and sales, land use, production practices, finances, farm labor and wages and other industry detail. Because data are collected every five years, the tables in this section display data for 2007 Hits: 1 |
Smetters_Presentation_Full.pdfPenn Wharton Budget Model 8 Census Data Microsimulation Family Composition (1996 – 2070) Penn Wharton Budget Model 9 Census Data Microsimulation Wage income deciles (1996 – 2070) Penn Wharton Budget Model 10 Census Data Microsimulation Marriage (1996 – 2070) Penn Wharton Budget Model 11 Hits: 1 |
Revenue_Estimate_2015-06-15_Snapshot.pdfbut the rate of increase is expected to be lower than the prior year’s rate. Personal Income Tax – Continued wage and employment gains motivate growth in withholding revenues. A technical factor relating to the calendar results in an extra withholding Hits: 1 |
Revenue_Estimate_2014-06-16_Snapshot.pdfcontinued growth. Personal Income Tax – Deposits from employer withholding are projected to increase modestly due to increased employment and low wage inflation. Quarterly and annual remittances are expected to exhibit much stronger growth in FY14-15 because these revenues were suppressed Hits: 1 |
Revenue-Estimate-Performance-2021-09.pdf11.2% of actual General Fund revenues. 2 The overage was attributable to the enactment of additional federal stimulus (Lost Wage Assistance Program, the Consolidated Appropriations Act and the American Rescue Plan) after the release of the estimate, which provided for Hits: 1 |
Response_Letter_2021_April.pdfdeductions for single filer or head of household aged 65 or older. States that have no personal income tax on wages are denoted as n.a. Where applicable, lower deduction limit reflects amount for residents under age 65. Source: National Conference Hits: 1 |
RB_2022_12_UC_By_AGI.pdfthe Federal Pandemic Unemployment Compensation (FPUC) program that provided an extra $600 per week (through July 2020) and the Lost Wage Assistance (LWA) program that provided an extra $300 per week for six weeks after the FPUC program expired. Tax return Hits: 1 |
RB_2022_10_Worker_Shortage.pdfRelative to the pre-COVID rate, the current ratio implies excess demand of roughly 100,000 additional workers at current wage rates. Labor Supply and Labor Force Participation Rates Job openings provide insights into the demand for labor. Labor force participation Hits: 1 |
RB_2020_12_PPP_Loans_to_PA_Businesses.pdfloans must have been used to offset payroll costs (at least 60 percent of the loan must be used for wages and benefits), mortgage interest, other interest, rent and utilities. 3 Approved loans could not exceed $10 million and were disbursed Hits: 1 |
RB-2016-02.pdfcreate 250 new jobs within Ðive years. The new jobs must provide health insurance and pay at least the average wage for that county. Research and Development Tax Credit $55,000 $55,000 Allows a tax credit of 10 percent (20 Hits: 1 |
RB 2019 RACP.pdfthe competitive bidding process, Pennsylvania Steel Products Procurement Act, Trade Practices Act, public works contractors’ bond law, the Pennsylvania Prevailing Wage Act, the Americans with Disabilities Act and meet certain fidelity bond and insurance (workers’ compensation, general liability and property damage Hits: 1 |
PSBA_January_19_2022.pdfthe IFO and ECI is projected by IHS Markit with minor adjustments by the IFO. January 19, 2022 CY 2021 wage growth School District Property Tax Burden by County January 19, 2022 7 Property Tax Burden = All Property Tax / Total Income Hits: 1 |
Presentation_PASBO_Annual_Conference_3-8-2018.pdf1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 7 Impact of 2016 Wage Growth Forecast SAWW Base ECI Source: Pennsylvania Department of Education. Forecast by IFO using data from the Pennsylvania Department of Hits: 1 |
Pennsylvania_Aging_Presentation.pdfof Senior Income 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% Social Security DB-DC Pensions Interest - Dividends IRA Withdrawls Wages Business Income 2006 2014 May 24, 2017 14 The “Three Legged Stool” is now a chair. Source: Internal Revenue Service Hits: 1 |
PBB_Board_Hearing_Jan_09_2023.pdfrates for park rangers and lifeguards at 5-year highs in FY 21-22 ▪ Park ranger vacancy rate: 38% for wage employees, 17% for salary employees ▪ Lifeguard vacancy 42% in FY 21-22 vs. 9% in FY 17-18 January 9 Hits: 1 |
PBB_2023_PID_REPORT.pdfin excess of primary coverage provided by professional liability insurance companies or self-insurers. Workers’ Compensation Security Fund (WCSF) provides wage and medical claim payments to individuals entitled to benefits under the Pennsylvania Workers’ Compensation Act when the insurance companies that Hits: 1 |
PBB_2023_EO_REPORT.pdf362 500 0.8 25 FY 17-18 FY 21-22 Attorneys at Commonwealth Agencies Note: Postitions are average non-wage FTEs for the entire fiscal year, rounded to the nearest whole number. Change column may not sum due to rounding Hits: 1 |
PBB_2023_DOR_REPORT.pdfAverage Weekly FTE Positions by Activity and Fiscal Year Notes: FTE stands for Full-Time Equivalent and includes permanent and wage positions. FY 22-23 are budgeted positions. Agency Overview | Page 4 17-18 Actual 18-19 Actual 19-20 Actual Hits: 1 |
PBB_2021_PSP_REPORT_ADDENDUM.pdf14 34.45 33.88 36.10 Average Weekly FTE Salary 71 89 95 100 100 101 Average Weekly FTE Wage (Cadet) 160 136 186 186 164 186 Personnel Cost/FTE ($ thousands) $123.7 $112.7 $100.1 $107.9 $117 Hits: 1 |
PBB_2020_DOH_REPORT_Final_Update.pdfSource: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupation Employment Statistics; U.S. Census Bureau. Population/ Employee Hourly Median Wage Emergency Medical Technicians and Paramedics Employment in Border States (2018) State Laboratory | Page 37 Activity 12: State Laboratory The department operates the Hits: 1 |
PBB_2020_DHS_REPORT_Final_Updated.pdfcould facilitate tracking outcomes related to TANF and employment training. This would create opportunities to track the average wage and the number of individuals that remain employed for more than 6 months after leaving TANF for employment. The department is currently Hits: 1 |
PA_Economy_League_Presentation.pdflesser of annual growth in (1) sales tax revenues, (2) personal income tax revenues or (3) the statewide average weekly wage. 19.May.2017 Elimination 4 HB 147 of 2015 (Joint Resolution 2 of 2016). Constitutional amendment to permit up Hits: 1 |
novak ppt.pdfIncome GDP Personal income declined • Transfer payments and capital gains portion fell in Q3. • Other indicators suggest a different story – Wage and salaries increased in nominal terms – Unemployment rate was below 8 percent – Employment increased roughly 1 percent in 2011 -10 Hits: 1 |
NFIB_Presentation.pdf2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Real GDP 1.6% 2.0% 2.3% 0.6% 1.8% 1.9% Wages and Salaries 1.8% 3.9% 4.1% 1.3% 3.8% 3.8% Philadelphia CPI-U 1.2% 1 Hits: 1 |
NewsStand_2019_October.pdfto 85.8% after IRS auditing and enforcement efforts. The IRS finds that volun- tary compliance is much higher for wage income reported through withholding, with just 1% of this income un- derreported. For comparison, taxpayers filing for cash business or Hits: 1 |
Newsstand_2019_April.pdfshow that Pennsylvania personal income grew by 3.9%, with two of the larger compo- nents growing by 4.0% (wages and salaries) and 4.3% (business income). For 2018 Q4 only, the respective growth rates were 4.4%, 4.2% Hits: 1 |
Newsstand_2018_July.pdfOhio (2.9%) and West Virginia (2.5%). The strong performance for the state was driv- en by robust total wage and salary growth (4.8%), which ranked 10 th in the nation. -July 2018 - National News Latest Estimate for 2018 Hits: 1 |
Newsstand_2018_April.pdfhigher than in 2016. Home affordability is a major driver of this trend, as home prices are increasing faster than wages and mortgage interest rates are on the rise. (Full Article) IFO NEWS STAND A monthly glimpse at the state of Hits: 1 |
MTR-2016-11.pdfthe natural gas industry has been declining in Pennsylvania in recent years. Data from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages 1 show a significant reduction in natural gas drilling jobs through the first quarter of 2016. Conversely, data from the Hits: 1 |
MTR-2015-10.pdfinflation. Annual COLAs are determined by the U.S. Department of Labor based on the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W), which measures inflation’s effect on a typical bundle of goods and services purchased Hits: 1 |
MQRE_FY22_23_August.pdfrequired. Transfer to the Sports Tourism and Marketing Account (Act 54) The act requires a transfer of 5% of sports wagering tax, or $2.5 million whichever is greater, to the Sports Tourism and Marketing Account. The transfer may not exceed Hits: 1 |
mid-year-FY14-15-press-release.pdfDecreases Non-Tax Revenue -160 No Oil & Gas Lease Fund transfer or casino license fees. Personal Income -55 Concerns about wage growth and strength of annual payment. Bank Shares -15 Overpayments from prior year will reduce cash remittances. Other -40 Mainly Hits: 1 |
Memo-2019-03-Income-and-Property-Tax-Burden-for-Retirees.pdf1 State Income Tax Treatment of Retirement Income Note: n.a. represents states that have no personal income tax on wages. Source: Retirement Living Information Center and CCH IntelliConnect. Ratio Ratio All Residents 2.66% All Residents 2.94% Under Age Hits: 1 |
Lancaster_Chamber_Presentation_ Oct_6_2021.pdf6, 2021 2 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Real GDP 1.4% 1.7% -4.5% 4.5% 2.5% Wages and Salaries Paid 4.3% 4.4% -0.3% 7.2% 4.8% Philadelphia CPI-U 1.3% 2.0% Hits: 1 |
IFO_Response_Letter_Jan_20_2023.pdfBusiness Tax Cut (see notes) -$686 -$704 Gross Domestic Product $1,978 $2,069 Personal Income $1,350 $1,123 Wages $925 $843 Population (000s) 22 36 Labor Force (000s) 14 21 Employment (000s) 17 15 General Fund Tax Revenue $87 Hits: 1 |
House Appropriation Response Letter 2-28-2020.pdfthe recent budget hearing for the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO). Representative Grove requested an estimated breakdown of the IFO reviewed wage contracts by department. Please see the attached table. Representative Brown requested property tax burden by county. This project has been Hits: 1 |
FTA_Presentation_Oct_24_2022.pdfestimates (how much revenues are available?) ▪ Performance based budgeting | Tax credit reviews ▪ Special Studies: property tax reform, natural gas, minimum wage October 24, 2022 1 Act 48 Tax Credit Reviews Statute: Did the tax credits accomplish their legislative intent? ▪ Submit reviews Hits: 1 |
Econ_Budget_Outlook_Hearing_Response_Letter_02_2023.pdfdata are updated frequently but contain less detailed employment data by subsector than the BLS Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) data. The QCEW data available are lagged and detailed state employment subsector data are only available by calendar year Hits: 1 |
Demographics_Outlook_2020.pdfprojects, coordinating the forecast of department expenditures and working on special projects that pertain to education, demographics, minimum wage and other subjects as needed. Lesley Rompalo, Revenue Analyst II Ms. Rompalo joined the IFO in June 2016. Primary responsibilities include leading Hits: 1 |
2019_Wage_Contract_Summary_Table.pdfTotal 163.8 350.9 559.6 754.2 1,828.5 Note: Figures in dollar millions. Fiscal impact includes wages, benefits and healthcare costs. Agreements with missing figures will be populated when the contract summaries and data are received from Hits: 1 |
2002_drop_report.pdfpay retirement benefits. They permit an employee who is eligible for normal retirement to continue employment and continue to receive wages or salary as usual. But, instead of deferring retirement, the employee’s regular monthly retirement payments commence and are deposited Hits: 1 |
2000_cost_of_living_adjustments.pdfS NO. 1444 THE GENERAL ASSEMBLY OF PENNSYLVANIA SENATE RESOLUTION No. 103 INTRODUCED BY TILGHMAN, HART, ARMSTRONG, LOEPER, CONTI, JUBELIRER, WAGNER, MURPHY, HELFRICK, TOMLINSON, COSTA, ROBBINS, MOWERY, WOZNIAK, BRIGHTBILL, O'PAKE, MADIGAN, GERLACH, RHOADES, WHITE, DENT, MUSTO, SLOCUM, SCHWARTZ, LEMMOND, BOSCOLA Hits: 1 |
Releasesdeductions. Tags: cap , letter , nol , response Full Report Older Newer Release Type • Revenue Estimates • Revenue & Economic Update • Performance Budgeting • Natural Gas • Pension Analysis • Property Tax • Wage Contracts • Tax Credit Review • Economics and Other Archives Year: All 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 Hits: 1 |