Releases

IFO Releases
Release thumbnail - Summary and Analysis of Annual PSERS Stress Test Report - 2023-03-01
Summary and Analysis of Annual PSERS Stress Test Report
March 01, 2023 | Pension Analysis

Pursuant to Act 128 of 2020, the IFO issued a report that summarizes results from the Public School Employees Retirement System’s (PSERS) recent stress test report. Based on PSERS baseline projections, the IFO projects that from FY 2023-24 to FY 2050-51, the Commonwealth will use $46.5 billion in General Fund revenues (2.3%) for the state’s share of public school employer pension contributions. Relative to baseline projections, the report also summarizes the impact from scenarios that allow investment performance to exceed and fall short of baseline assumptions.

Tags: analysis, pension, psers

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Release thumbnail - Impact of Proposed Changes to the NOL Cap - 2023-02-24
Impact of Proposed Changes to the NOL Cap
February 24, 2023 | Economics and Other

The IFO published a letter in response to a request from Senator Pennycuick. The letter contains projections for the impact of proposed changes to the amount of taxable income that C corporations may offset through net operating loss deductions.

Tags: cap, letter, nol, response

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Release thumbnail - Post-Pandemic Child Care Cliff - 2023-02-23
Post-Pandemic Child Care Cliff
February 23, 2023 | Economics and Other

The IFO posted a second research brief that examines the end or phase-out of various programs tied to the federal public health emergency that will impact the state economy. The brief examines the impact that nearly $820 million in federal support had on the child care industry and its employees, and the funding cliff the industry will encounter in the near future.

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Release thumbnail - State and Local Tax Revenues: A 50 State Comparison - 2023-02-21
State and Local Tax Revenues: A 50 State Comparison
February 21, 2023 | Economics and Other

This report uses data from the U.S. Census Bureau, the Internal Revenue Service (IRS), the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the Federation of Tax Administrators to facilitate a comparison of state and local tax systems across the 50 states. The report examines (1) the relative level of state and local taxes across states, (2) the distribution of state and local taxes across revenue sources (e.g., income, sales and property) and (3) state debt levels.

Tags: comparison, local, state, tax

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Release thumbnail - Economic and Budget Outlook Hearing Request - 2023-02-10
Economic and Budget Outlook Hearing Request
February 10, 2023 | Economics and Other

The IFO published a letter in response to requests for additional information raised at a recent economic and budget outlook hearing on January 24, 2023.

Tags: budget, economic, request

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Release thumbnail - January 2023 Revenue Update - 2023-02-01
January 2023 Revenue Update
February 01, 2023 | Revenue & Economic Update

The Commonwealth collected $3.57 billion in General Fund revenues for January, a decrease of $23.7 million (-0.7%) compared to January 2022. Due to a processing delay on the last day of the month, roughly $94 million of revenue that would normally have been receipted in January will be shifted to February.

Tags: estimates, monthly, revenue

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Release thumbnail - Mid-Year Update FY 2022-23 - 2023-01-31
Mid-Year Update FY 2022-23
January 31, 2023 | Revenue Estimates

The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released a mid-year update of its revenue estimate for fiscal year (FY) 2022-23 and provided an advance look at revenue projections for the next fiscal year. The IFO will update the estimate in its next round of revenue projections released in late May.

Tags: estimates, mid, revenue, year

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Release thumbnail - SNAP Emergency Allotments End in February - 2023-01-27
SNAP Emergency Allotments End in February
January 27, 2023 | Economics and Other

The IFO posted a research brief that is the first in a series that examines the end or phase-out of various programs tied to the federal public health emergency that will impact the state economy. The brief quantifies the impact from the end of SNAP emergency allotments in February 2023.

This research brief was reposted on February 2, 2023 to change the 2023 summer benefit to $120 per child.

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Release thumbnail - Analysis of Proposed Changes to State Motor Fuel Taxes - 2023-01-26
Analysis of Proposed Changes to State Motor Fuel Taxes
January 26, 2023 | Economics and Other

The IFO published a letter in response to a request from Chairman Grove for a static and dynamic analysis of proposed changes to state motor fuel taxes. The proposal would reduce those taxes and replace lost revenues with motor vehicle sales and use taxes.

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Release thumbnail - JANUARY 2023 MONTHLY ECONOMIC UPDATE - 2023-01-25
JANUARY 2023 MONTHLY ECONOMIC UPDATE
January 25, 2023 | Revenue & Economic Update

The January edition of our Monthly Economic Update includes links to recent articles and reports that provide insight into state or national economic, demographic and fiscal trends.

Tags: economic, monthly, update

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