Releases

IFO Releases
Release thumbnail - Young Workers Leave PA Workforce - 2022-12-08
Young Workers Leave PA Workforce
December 08, 2022 | Economics and Other

The IFO published a new research brief that examines the age composition of the PA workforce using the latest data from the U.S. Census Bureau. Since the onset of the pandemic, the data show significant reductions in workforce participation rates for workers under age 35. Workforce participation rates declined for older workers too, but contractions were notably more moderate.

Tags: brief, reduction, research, worker

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Release thumbnail - Natural Gas Production Report, 2022Q3 - 2022-12-05
Natural Gas Production Report, 2022Q3
December 05, 2022 | Energy

This report for the third quarter of 2022 uses data collected by the PA Department of Environmental Protection to develop statewide and county-level tabulations of production volume and well counts. 

Tags: gas, natural, production

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Release thumbnail - NOVEMBER 2022 REVENUE UPDATE - 2022-12-01
NOVEMBER 2022 REVENUE UPDATE
December 01, 2022 | Revenue & Economic Update

The Commonwealth collected $2.75 billion in General Fund revenue for November, a decrease of $3.87 billion (-58.4%) compared to November 2021. The implementation of the Department of Revenue’s tax modernization project resulted in the delay of roughly $200 million of revenue that would normally have been receipted in November to December.

Tags: estimates, monthly, revenue

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Release thumbnail - Summary and Analysis of Annual SERS Stress Test Report - 2022-12-01
Summary and Analysis of Annual SERS Stress Test Report
December 01, 2022 | Pension Analysis

Pursuant to Act 128 of 2020, the IFO issued a report that summarizes results from the State Employee Retirement System’s (SERS) recent stress test report. Based on SERS baseline projections, the IFO projects that over the next 20 years, Commonwealth agencies will use $17.8 billion in General Fund revenues (1.5%) for employer pension contributions. Relative to baseline projections, the report also summarizes the impact from scenarios that allow investment performance and member salary growth to exceed and fall short of baseline assumptions.

Tags: analysis, pension, sers

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Release thumbnail - November 2022 Monthly Economic Update - 2022-11-21
November 2022 Monthly Economic Update
November 21, 2022 | Revenue & Economic Update

The November edition of our Monthly Economic Update includes links to recent articles and reports that provide insight into state or national economic, demographic, and fiscal trends. 

Tags: economic, monthly, update

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Release thumbnail - Five-Year Economic and Budget Outlook - 2022-11-15
Five-Year Economic and Budget Outlook
November 15, 2022 | Revenue Estimates

The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released its five-year Economic and Budget Outlook. Click the hyperlink above to view the report and presentations.

Tags: economic, outlook, revenue

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Release thumbnail - Economic and Budget Outlook - 2022-11-02
Economic and Budget Outlook
November 02, 2022 | Revenue Estimates

The Independent Fiscal Office will release an updated revenue estimate and discuss economic trends for FY 2022-23 to 2027-28. The briefing is open to the public and submitted questions will be addressed at the end of each presentation. The report will also be posted to the IFO website when the presentation concludes. Click on the link for details on how to register.

Tags: budget, economic, outlook, presentation

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Release thumbnail - October 2022 Revenue Update - 2022-11-01
October 2022 Revenue Update
November 01, 2022 | Revenue & Economic Update

The Commonwealth collected $3.12 billion in General Fund revenues for October, an increase of $310.8 million (11.0%) compared to October 2021.

Tags: estimates, monthly, revenue

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Release thumbnail - 2022 Impact Fee Estimate - 2022-10-31
2022 Impact Fee Estimate
October 31, 2022 | Energy

This report uses recent data published by the Department of Environmental Protection to project CY 2022 Impact Fee collections (remitted April 2023). Collections are estimated to be $274.8 million, an increase of $40.4 million from the prior year.

Tags: fee, gas, impact, natural

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Release thumbnail - Evaluating the Effectiveness of Tax Incentives Without ROI - 2022-10-26
Evaluating the Effectiveness of Tax Incentives Without ROI
October 26, 2022 | Economics and Other

Michaela Miller gave a brief presentation at the FTA Revenue Estimation and Tax Research Conference on evaluating the effectiveness of tax incentives without ROI. The REAP tax credit was used as a case study.

Tags: incentives, roi, tax

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