Releases

IFO Releases
Release thumbnail - Pennsylvania's Fiscal and Demographic Outlook - 2017-07-14
Pennsylvania's Fiscal and Demographic Outlook
July 14, 2017 | Economics and Other

Deputy Director Mark Ryan gave a presentation to the Lancaster Chamber of Commerce and Industry addressing Pennsylvania’s long-term fiscal outlook, demographics and the current revenue forecast. 

Full Report - opens in a new tab

Release thumbnail - Like-Kind Exchange Analysis - 2017-07-10
Like-Kind Exchange Analysis
July 10, 2017 | Economics and Other

The IFO responds to a request regarding the economic benefit and tax revenue impact from eliminating Pennsylvania personal income tax on like-kind exchanges.

Full Report - opens in a new tab

Release thumbnail - PLEA Wage Contract Analysis - 2017-07-05
PLEA Wage Contract Analysis
July 05, 2017 | Wage Contracts

Pursuant to section 604-B(a)(8) of the Administrative Code of 1929, the Independent Fiscal Office has prepared a cost analysis of the collective bargaining agreements between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Pennsylvania Liquor Enforcement Association (PLEA).

Full Report - opens in a new tab

Release thumbnail - June 2017 - 2017-07-05
June 2017
July 05, 2017 | Revenue & Economic Update

The Commonwealth collected $3.3 billion in General Fund revenues for June, an increase of $203.8 million (6.7%) compared to June 2016. Fiscal year-to-date revenues were $31.7 billion, an increase of $768.1 million (2.5%) from the prior year.

Full Report - opens in a new tab

Release thumbnail - Impact Fee Update and 2017 Outlook - 2017-07-04
Impact Fee Update and 2017 Outlook
July 04, 2017 | Energy

This research brief examines 2016 impact fee collections and natural gas production in Pennsylvania. It also provides an outlook for 2017. 

Full Report - opens in a new tab

Release thumbnail - Savings and Costs of a $12/hour Minimum Wage on DHS-administered Programs - 2017-06-30
Savings and Costs of a $12/hour Minimum Wage on DHS-administered Programs
June 30, 2017 | Economics and Other

In response to a legislative request, the IFO reviewed the Department of Human Services' projections for the state savings and costs that could occur if Pennsylvania's minimum wage were to be increased to $12 per hour. 

Full Report - opens in a new tab

Release thumbnail - Actuarial Impact of Act 5 - School District Pension Contributions - 2017-06-28
Actuarial Impact of Act 5 - School District Pension Contributions
June 28, 2017 | Pension Analysis

Deputy Director Mark Ryan made a presentation to the Pennsylvania School Boards Association (PSBA) regarding the impact of recently enacted pension legislation (Act 5 of 2017) on school district pension contributions.

Full Report - opens in a new tab

Release thumbnail - Official Revenue Estimate FY 2017-18 - 2017-06-15
Official Revenue Estimate FY 2017-18
June 15, 2017 | Revenue Estimates

FY 2017-18 official estimate and FY 2016-17 estimate revision (June 2017).

Methodology

Full Report - opens in a new tab

Release thumbnail - Budget and Economic Update - 2017-06-07
Budget and Economic Update
June 07, 2017 | Economics and Other

Director Matt Knittel provided a budget and economic update to the Pennsylvania Institute of Certified Public Accountants (PICPA). 

Full Report - opens in a new tab

Release thumbnail - Actuarial Note for Senate Bill 1; A01354 and A01558 - 2017-06-03
Actuarial Note for Senate Bill 1; A01354 and A01558
June 03, 2017 | Pension Analysis

The actuarial note analyzes a proposal to amend the Public School Employees' Retirement Code and the State Employees' Retirement Code to (1) require most new employees to select one of three new plan design options and (2) make certain actuarial funding changes. The plan design options include two hybrid plans consisting of defined benefit and defined contribution components. The third option is a stand-alone defined contribution plan. 

On June 5, 2017 the IFO updated the actuarial note by clarifiying certain language in the summary of Senate Bill 1. A list of the changes is available here

Full Report - opens in a new tab