Releases

IFO Releases
Release thumbnail - Proposal to Replace School Property Taxes - 2026-02-23
Proposal to Replace School Property Taxes
February 23, 2026 | Economics and Other

In response to a legislative request, the IFO used the dynamic REMI model to analyze a proposal that replaces school district property taxes with higher income and sales tax.

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Release thumbnail - Budget and Economic Update - 2026-02-23
Budget and Economic Update
February 23, 2026 | Economics and Other

Director Knittel provided a budget and economic update to the PA Chamber of Business and Industry.

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Release thumbnail - Legalize Marijuana for Recreational Use - 2026-02-19
Legalize Marijuana for Recreational Use
February 19, 2026 | Revenue Estimates

This report provides a revenue estimate for the proposal to legalize recreational marijuana contained in the FY 2026-27 Governor's Executive Budget. The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) publishes this report to fulfill its statutory duties as provided under Section 604-B (a)(4) of the Administrative Code of 1929. The act requires that the IFO “provide an analysis, including economic impact, of all tax and revenue proposals submitted by the Governor or the Office of the Budget."

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Release thumbnail - Regulate and Tax Skill Games - 2026-02-18
Regulate and Tax Skill Games
February 18, 2026 | Revenue Estimates

This report provides a revenue estimate for the proposal to tax and regulate skill games contained in the FY 2026-27 Governor's Executive Budget. The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) publishes this report to fulfill its statutory duties as provided under Section 604-B (a)(4) of the Administrative Code of 1929. The act requires that the IFO “provide an analysis, including economic impact, of all tax and revenue proposals submitted by the Governor or the Office of the Budget."

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Release thumbnail - State and Local Tax Revenues: A 50 State Comparison - 2026-02-17
State and Local Tax Revenues: A 50 State Comparison
February 17, 2026 | Economics and Other

This report uses data from the U.S. Census Bureau, the Internal Revenue Service (IRS), the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and other sources to facilitate a comparison of state and local tax systems across the 50 states. The report examines (1) state and local effective tax rates across states, (2) the distribution of state and local taxes across revenue sources (e.g., income, sales and property) and (3) state debt levels.

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Release thumbnail - Long-Term Budget Outlook Update - 2026-02-11
Long-Term Budget Outlook Update
February 11, 2026 | Economics and Other

This budget brief provides updated IFO deficit projections through FY 2029-30. Excluding new revenues proposed in the Executive Budget, the FY 2025-26 underlying structural deficit of $3.9 billion is projected to expand to $8.4 billion by FY 2029-30. 

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Release thumbnail - General Fund Revenues, Spending and Deficits - 2026-02-10
General Fund Revenues, Spending and Deficits
February 10, 2026 | Economics and Other

This budget brief tracks General Fund surpluses and deficits since FY 2013-14. Excluding new revenue and spending policies proposed in the Executive Budget, the underlying structural deficit is projected to expand to $6.7 billion in FY 2026-27. 

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Release thumbnail - Pennsylvania Electricity Update - 2026-02-04
Pennsylvania Electricity Update
February 04, 2026 | Energy

This report utilizes data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration to display recent trends for the Pennsylvania and regional electricity markets. The report examines recent trends in prices, net generation and net exports.

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Release thumbnail - January 2026 Revenue Update - 2026-02-02
January 2026 Revenue Update
February 02, 2026 | Revenue & Economic Update

The Commonwealth collected $3.94 billion in General Fund revenues for January, an increase of $11 million compared to January 2025.

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Release thumbnail - Mid-Year Revenue Update FY 2025-26 - 2026-01-28
Mid-Year Revenue Update FY 2025-26
January 28, 2026 | Revenue Estimates

The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released a mid-year revenue update for fiscal year 2025-26 and provided an advance look at revenue projections for the next fiscal year. The IFO will update the estimate in its next round of revenue projections released in late May.

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