This report provides revenue distributions based on the FY 2025-26 projections contained in the Official Revenue Estimate published by the IFO on June 20, 2025 and the impact of statutory changes enacted with federal H.R. 1.
The IFO published an economic impact report for the NASCAR Cup Series Weekend in the Poconos Region (July 2024). The event attracted nearly 93,000 fans and related economic activity supported 290 full-time equivalent jobs and $2.4 million in select state and local taxes.
The Commonwealth collected $3.04 billion in General Fund revenues for July, an increase of $45 million compared to July 2024.
This report examines the historical performance of IFO revenue estimates. For FY 2024-25, actual collections exceeded IFO projections by 1.4%, or $640 million.
Director Knittel made a presentation to the Transportation Advisory Committee on a proposed Retail Delivery Fee modeled after the Colorado fee. Rates of 25, 50, 75 and 100 cents per taxable delivery were considered.
This research brief estimates the impact of the new federal deduction for filers age 65 or older ($6,000 for single, $12,000 for joint). For tax year 2025, the IFO projects the provision will reduce federal income tax by $1.1 billion for PA seniors.
The IFO released a budget brief highlighting General Fund and Rainy Day Fund interest earnings, which peaked at a combined $1 billion in FY 2023-24 and FY 2024-25, but are declining rapidly.
The IFO published an economic impact report for the Ironman 70.3 Pennsylvania Happy Valley Triathlon in Centre County (June 2024). The analysis finds that economic activity related to the event generated over $3.1 million in statewide spending, supported 16 full-time equivalent jobs, and $178,000 in select state and local taxes.
The IFO released a budget brief that discusses two new expensing provisions included in the federal reconciliation bill passed on July 4. The provisions could reduce revenues (and increase the projected deficit) by $500 to $900 million for FY 2025-26.
The IFO released an updated budget brief that examines the budget implications of recent SNAP changes and the number of beneficiaries that will be impacted by new work requirements for able-bodied adults age 55 to 64.
The IFO released a budget brief that discusses the potential impact of proposed federal policy changes on General Fund deficit projections.
The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released its official revenue estimate for FY 2025-26. Updated estimates for FY 2024-25 are included.
This update examines 2024 impact fee collections and provides an outlook for 2025. Collections totaled $164.6 million for 2024, a decrease of $15.0 million from 2023.
This budget brief highlights Pennsylvania Medicaid (MA) enrollment and funding trends from FY 18-19 through the administration’s proposal for FY 25-26. It also provides projections of the impact for certain MA provisions included in the federal reconciliation bill passed by the U.S. House of Representatives.
This document uses data from the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection, the U.S. Energy Information Administration and Natural Gas Intelligence to provide a quarterly update on recent trends in production volume, well counts and average spot prices.
As part of the draft reconciliation bill, the US House proposed to increase the state share of costs for the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP). This research brief describes the proposed changes and the potential impact on the state budget.
The IFO released an updated school district property tax forecast. The report projects revenues and the Act 1 index through FY 2026-27 and provides an overview of recent trends in school district funding.
Pursuant to Act 128 of 2020, the IFO issued a report that summarizes results from the Public School Employees Retirement System’s (PSERS) recent stress test report. Based on PSERS’ baseline projections, the IFO projects that from FY 2025-26 to FY 2053-54, the Commonwealth will use $50.8 billion in General Fund revenues (2.3%) for the state’s share of public school employer pension contributions. Relative to baseline projections, the report also summarizes the impact from scenarios that allow investment performance to exceed and fall short of assumptions.
The IFO released its initial revenue estimate for FY 2025-26. Click the hyperlink above to view the report and presentation.
The IFO published an economic impact report for the 2024 U.S. Women’s Open which took place May 30 to June 2, 2024 at the Lancaster Country Club. The analysis finds that economic activity related to the event supported 147 full-time equivalent jobs and generated $14.1 million in in-state spending, nearly $570,000 in state sales and use tax and $560,000 in personal income tax revenue.
This economic brief tracks the latest claims for unemployment compensation (UC) for all covered workers and federal workers only. The IFO is tracking these claims in preparation for its May 20 initial revenue estimate.