Releases

IFO Releases
Release thumbnail - School District Property Tax Update - 2026-05-28
School District Property Tax Update
May 28, 2026 | Property Tax

The IFO released an updated school district property tax forecast. The report projects revenues and the Act 1 index through FY 2027-28 and provides an overview of recent trends in school district funding.

Full Report - opens in a new tab

Release thumbnail - Summary and Analysis of Annual PSERS Stress Test Report - 2026-05-28
Summary and Analysis of Annual PSERS Stress Test Report
May 28, 2026 | Pension Analysis

Pursuant to Act 128 of 2020, the IFO issued a report that summarizes results from the Public School Employees Retirement System’s (PSERS) recent stress test report. Based on PSERS’ baseline projections, the IFO projects that from FY 2026-27 to FY 2054-55, the Commonwealth will use $45.8 billion in General Fund revenues (2.0%) for the state’s share of public school employer pension contributions. Relative to baseline projections, the report also summarizes the impact from scenarios that allow investment performance to exceed and fall short of assumptions.

Full Report - opens in a new tab

Release thumbnail - Initial Revenue Estimate FY 2026-27 - 2026-05-20
Initial Revenue Estimate FY 2026-27
May 20, 2026 | Revenue Estimates

The IFO released its initial revenue estimate for FY 2026-27. Click the hyperlink above to view the report and presentation.

Full Report - opens in a new tab

Release thumbnail - Initial Revenue Estimate Announcement - 2026-05-13
Initial Revenue Estimate Announcement
May 13, 2026 | Revenue Estimates

The IFO will release its Initial Revenue Estimate on Wednesday, May 20th at 1:30 PM. The report will contain revisions to the FY 2025-26 estimate and an initial estimate for FY 2026-27. See the announcement for a link to register for the presentation.

Full Report - opens in a new tab

Release thumbnail - April 2026 Revenue Update - 2026-05-01
April 2026 Revenue Update
May 01, 2026 | Revenue & Economic Update

The Commonwealth collected $6.72 billion in General Fund revenues for April, an increase of $509 million (+8.2%) compared to April 2025.

Full Report - opens in a new tab

Release thumbnail - Sports, Marketing, & Tourism Series: 2025 U.S. Open Impact Analysis - 2026-04-23
Sports, Marketing, & Tourism Series: 2025 U.S. Open Impact Analysis
April 23, 2026 | Economics and Other

The IFO submitted an economic impact report for the U.S. Open in Allegheny County (June 2025) to the General Assembly. The analysis finds that economic activity related to the event generated $152.8 million in statewide spending and $10.2 million in select state and local taxes.

Full Report - opens in a new tab

Release thumbnail - Do Sports Wager Tax Rates Affect Betting Volume? - 2026-04-21
Do Sports Wager Tax Rates Affect Betting Volume?
April 21, 2026 | Economics and Other

Director Knittel and Robyn Toth submitted an article for publication in the April 13, 2026 edition of Tax Notes State. It ranks states based on per capita sports wagers and considers whether state tax rates impact per capita betting. For 2026, state tax rates range from 7% (Nevada, Iowa) to 51% (New York, Oregon, New Hampshire, Rhode Island).

Full Report - opens in a new tab

Release thumbnail - Testimony on the Educational Tax Credit Program - 2026-04-14
Testimony on the Educational Tax Credit Program
April 14, 2026 | Economics and Other

Deputy Director Stacey Knavel provided testimony to the House Education Committee on the Independent Fiscal Office’s Educational Tax Credit report released in January 2022.

Full Report - opens in a new tab

Release thumbnail - Big Three Revenue Sources Diverge - 2026-04-13
Big Three Revenue Sources Diverge
April 13, 2026 | Economics and Other

This brief compares the cumulative and relative growth of the two largest revenue sources for state government (income and sales tax) to school district property tax levied by local units. Over the past decade, sales and income taxes expanded at nearly twice the rate as school district property tax.

Full Report - opens in a new tab

Release thumbnail - Budget and Economic Update - 2026-04-10
Budget and Economic Update
April 10, 2026 | Economics and Other

Fiscal Analyst III Jesse Bushman provided a budget and economic update to the Education Policy and Leadership Center.

Full Report - opens in a new tab