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November Economic and Revenue Update

Director Matthew Knittel made a presentation to the Harrisburg Trade Association Executives and the PICA 2020 Fall Conference.

Tags: economic, presentation, revenue

IFO Public Briefing: October 2020 Revenue and Economic Update

The IFO will present a revenue and economic update for FY 2020-21 on October 29 at 10 am. The update will be based on revenues received for the first four months of the fiscal year and the latest state economic data. See the announcement for a link to register for the presentation.

Tags: economic, presentation, revenue

Pennsylvania Impact Fee and Natural Gas Trends Presentation

Revenue Analyst Jesse Bushman made a presentation to the Center for Energy Policy and Management at Washington & Jefferson College regarding regional natural gas trends and how they are affecting the state's Impact Fee.

Tags: gas, presentation

Initial Revenue Estimate FY 2020-21 Presentation

Director Matthew Knittel made a presentation on the initial revenue estimate for FY 2020-21 and updated estimates for FY 2019-20.

Tags: estimates, presentation, revenue

IFO Public Briefing: Initial Revenue Estimate FY 2020-21

The Independent Fiscal Office will release an updated revenue estimate for FY 2019-20 and an initial revenue estimate for FY 2020-21. The briefing is open to the public and submitted questions will be addressed at the end of the presentation. The report will also be posted to the IFO website when the presentation concludes. Click on the link for details on how to register.

 

Tags: estimates, presentation, revenue

Property Tax Update Presentation

Director Matthew Knittel made a brief presentation to the Pennsylvania School Boards Association on property tax data recently published by the IFO.

Tags: presentation, property

Economic and Budget Update Presentation

Director Matthew Knittel gave a presentation at a session of the Pennsylvania Education Policy Fellowship Program regarding the Commonwealth's economic and budget outlook.

Tags: presentation

November Economic and Revenue Update

Director Matthew Knittel made a presentation to the Harrisburg Trade Association Executives and the PICA 2020 Fall Conference.

11/18/2020

Revenue and Economic Update FY 2020-21

The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released its October Revenue and Economic Update. Click the hyperlink above to view the report and presentation.

10/29/2020

IFO Public Briefing: October 2020 Revenue and Economic Update

The IFO will present a revenue and economic update for FY 2020-21 on October 29 at 10 am. The update will be based on revenues received for the first four months of the fiscal year and the latest state economic data. See the announcement for a link to register for the presentation.

10/23/2020

Pennsylvania Impact Fee and Natural Gas Trends presentation

Revenue Analyst Jesse Bushman made a presentation to the Center for Energy Policy and Management at Washington & Jefferson College regarding regional natural gas trends and how they are affecting the state's Impact Fee.

07/14/2020

Official Revenue Estimate FY 2020-21

This report provides revised revenue estimates for FY 2019-20 and official estimates for FY 2020-21 related to the General Fund, Motor License Fund, Lottery Fund and federal funds subject to appropriation.  presentation Methodology

06/22/2020

Initial Revenue Estimate FY 2020-21 presentation

Director Matthew Knittel made a presentation on the initial revenue estimate for FY 2020-21 and updated estimates for FY 2019-20.

05/26/2020

IFO Public Briefing: Initial Revenue Estimate FY 2020-21

The Independent Fiscal Office will release an updated revenue estimate for FY 2019-20 and an initial revenue estimate for FY 2020-21. The briefing is open to the public and submitted questions will be addressed at the end of the presentation. The report will also be posted to the IFO website when the presentation concludes. Click on the link for details on how to register.  

05/19/2020

Property Tax Update presentation

Director Matthew Knittel made a brief presentation to the Pennsylvania School Boards Association on property tax data recently published by the IFO.

03/13/2020

Economic and Budget Update presentation

Director Matthew Knittel gave a presentation at a session of the Pennsylvania Education Policy Fellowship Program regarding the Commonwealth's economic and budget outlook.

02/28/2020

OBMD, MTBI, R&D, and KIZ Tax Credit Reviews and PBB Overview for DCED, DOH and DHS

IFO presentation of Organ and Bone Marrow Donation, Mobile Telecommunications Broadband Investment, Research and Development and Keystone Innovation Zone Tax Credit Reviews and Performance-Based Budget highlights for the Department of Community and Economic Development, Department of Health and Department of Human Services.  

01/22/2020

PBB Overview presentation for PEMA, DOS and DEP

IFO presentation of Performance-Based Budget overview and agency highlights for the Pennsylvania Emergency Management Agency, Department of State and Department of Environmental Protection.

01/22/2020

presentation to Grow PA Coalition

Director Matthew Knittel made a brief presentation to the Grow PA Coalition on the Pennsylvania Demographic and Economic Outlook.

12/02/2019

FIVE YEAR ECONOMIC AND BUDGET OUTLOOK

Click on the hyperlink above to access the full report, three presentations and press release.

11/14/2019

Five Year Economic and Budget Outlook

Announcement: The IFO will present its Five-Year Economic and Budget Outlook at 1:30 p.m. on November 14th at Harrisburg University. The Tax Foundation and ITEP will also make presentations on Pennsylvania's tax and business climate.

11/06/2019

Budget and Economic Update

Deputy Director Brenda Warburton gave a presentation to the Pennsylvania Institute of Certified Public Accountants regarding an update on Pennsylvania's budget and economic landscape.  

06/11/2019

Initial Revenue Estimate FY 2019-20

The initial revenue estimate for FY 2019-20 and updated estimates for FY 2018-19 are included. For the PowerPoint presentation, click on the hyperlink above.  

05/20/2019

Initial Revenue Estimate FY 2019-20 presentation

Director Matthew Knittel made a presentation on the initial revenue estimate for FY 2019-20 and updated estimates for FY 2018-19.

05/20/2019

Economic and Revenue Update

Director Matthew Knittel made a brief presentation to the Harrisburg Trade Association Executives on recent revenue and economic trends for the U.S. and Pennsylvania.

05/16/2019

PA Economy League presentation

In partnership with the Pennsylvania Economy League, Director Matthew Knittel and Deputy Director Brenda Warburton will make multiple presentations on raising the state minimum wage to $12.00 per hour. The presentation examines the proposed minimum wage’s impact on employment, worker incomes, prices and state spending.

05/01/2019

Revenue and Economic Update

Director Matthew Knittel made a brief presentation to the House Financial Rescue Caucus on April 17, 2019 on recent revenue and economic trends for the U.S. and Pennsylvania.

04/17/2019

Economic & Budget Outlook presentation

Deputy Director Brenda Warburton gave a presentation at a session of the Pennsylvania Education Policy Fellowship Program regarding the Commonwealth's economic and budget outlook. The presentation summarized the office's five year economic and budget outlook (November 2018) as well as more recent updates to the office's revenue estimates for FY 2018-19 and FY 2019-20 (January 2019). The presentation also addressed the office's most recent estimate for school property tax collections.

03/01/2019

Performance-Based Budget Reviews

Click on the hyperlink above to access the five performance-based budget reviews and presentations.

01/18/2019

Tax Credit Reviews

Click on the hyperlink above to access the (1) Film Production Tax Credit, (2) Historic Preservation Tax Credit, (3) New Jobs Tax Credit and (4) summary PowerPoint presentation.

01/18/2019

PA Fiscal Update and Outlook

Director Matthew Knittel gave a presentation to the County Commissioners Association of Pennsylvania that reviews highlights from the IFO's recent Economic and Budget Outlook.

11/19/2018

FIVE YEAR ECONOMIC AND BUDGET OUTLOOK

Click on the hyperlink above to access the full report, three presentations and press release.  

11/15/2018

Performance-Based Budgeting Update

On October 15, Deputy Director Brenda Warburton gave a presentation to the Performance-Based Budget Board which provided an update regarding Act 48 implementation.

10/16/2018

Revenue and Economic Update

Director Matthew Knittel made a brief presentation to the House Financial Rescue Caucus on October 9, 2018 on recent revenue and economic trends for the U.S. and Pennsylvania.  

10/09/2018

Demographic Trends and the PA Economy

Director Matthew Knittel gave a presentation to the PA State Association of Boroughs on demographic trends and the PA economy.

08/08/2018

Stress Testing Public Pensions

Deputy Director Mark Ryan gave a presentation on Stress Testing Public Pensions at the NCSL Legislative Fiscal Directors Pre-Conference.

07/30/2018

Budget and Economic Update

Director Matthew Knittel gave a presentation to the Allegheny Conference on Community Development and the Chamber of Commerce for Greater Philadelphia. 

06/04/2018

Initial Revenue Estimate FY 2018-19

The initial revenue estimate for FY 2018-19 and updated estimates for FY 2017-18. Press Release presentation

05/01/2018

IFO Update on Selected Fiscal Topics and Pennsylvania Demographics

Deputy Director Mark Ryan made a presentation to the annual conference of the Pennsylvania Association of School Business Officials and provided updates on topics addressed in recent IFO analyses. The topics included 1) school property tax forecasts and analysis, 2) Pennsylvania demographic trends, 3) the most recent IFO revenue estimates for FY 2017-18 and FY 2018-19 and 4) the impact of pension changes resulting from Act 5 of 2017. 

03/09/2018

Mid-Year Update FY 2017-18

The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) has released a mid-year update of its revenue estimate for fiscal year (FY) 2017-18. The revised estimate is $34.780 billion, which is $35 million higher than the IFO’s November 2017 estimate. As part of the mid-year update, the IFO also provides an advance look at revenue projections for the next fiscal year. For FY 2018-19, revenues are projected to be $33.914 billion, a decrease of -2.5 percent over the current year. The presentation also addresses the impact of recent federal tax law changes on the Pennsylvania budget. The changes affect estimates for corporate net income, personal income and sales tax revenues in FY 2017-18 and FY 2018-19. The office will update the estimate in its next round of revenue projections to be released in early May. Press Release

01/29/2018

Aging and the Pennsylvania Economy

Director Matthew Knittel gave a presentation to the Task Force on Private Sector Retirement Security on the implications of aging for the Pennsylvania economy.

01/25/2018

Pennsylvania Fiscal Update

Director Matthew Knittel made a presentation to the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) to provide background on the IFO and an update on Pennsylvania’s short- and long-term budget outlook. 

12/13/2017

Five Year Economic and Budget Outlook

This report examines the demographic, economic, revenue and expenditure trends that will affect the Commonwealth’s fiscal condition through fiscal year (FY) 2022-23. Based on the economic and demographic assumptions used by this report, the evaluation finds that various factors imply a long-term fiscal imbalance. Press Release IFO presentation PEW presentation Letter providing additional detail Updated projections for the PSERS state share

11/16/2017

Pennsylvania Fiscal Outlook presentation

Director Matthew Knittel addressed the Society of Municipal Analysts to provide an update on Pennsylvania’s fiscal outlook, demographics and current budget status. 

10/19/2017

Pennsylvania's Fiscal and Demographic Outlook

Deputy Director Mark Ryan gave a presentation to the Lancaster Chamber of Commerce and Industry addressing Pennsylvania’s long-term fiscal outlook, demographics and the current revenue forecast. 

07/14/2017

Actuarial Impact of Act 5 - School District Pension Contributions

Deputy Director Mark Ryan made a presentation to the Pennsylvania School Boards Association (PSBA) regarding the impact of recently enacted pension legislation (Act 5 of 2017) on school district pension contributions.

06/28/2017

Implications of Aging for the PA Economy

Director Matt Knittel gave a presentation on May 24th to the PA Council on Aging regarding the implications of an aging population for Pennsylvania’s economy. An appendix slide appears at the end of the PowerPoint to include certain data requested during the presentation.

05/24/2017

An Overview of School District Property Tax Reform

Throughout May, Director Matt Knittel and Deputy Director Mark Ryan will make five presentations on the potential implications of school district property tax reform. The events are sponsored by the Pennsylvania Economy League and will take place at the various locations listed below. Click the following links for additional details: READING                   Thursday May 4th 7:30-9:00am WILLIAMSPORT       Friday May 5th 12:00-1:30pm YORK                         Thursday May 11th 12:00-1:30pm WILKES-BARRE       Friday May 12th 12:00-1:30pm LEHIGH VALLEY      Friday May 19th 12:00-1:30pm

05/04/2017

Initial Revenue Estimate FY 2017-18

The initial revenue estimate for FY 2017-18 and updated estimates for FY 2016-17. Press Release presentation

05/02/2017

Economic Forecast Summit presentation

Director Matthew Knittel provided a budget and economic update to the Fifth Annual Economic Forecast Summit sponsored by the Pennsylvania Chamber Educational Foundation and the Pennsylvania Bankers Association. 

02/28/2017

Long-Term Fiscal Outlook

Deputy Director Mark Ryan made a presentation at a session of the Pennsylvania Education Policy Fellowship Program regarding the Commonwealth's long-term fiscal outlook. The presentation summarized the office's five-year economic and budget outlook (November 2016) as well as more recent updates to the office's revenue estimates for FY 2016-17 and FY 2017-18 (January 2017). The presentation also addressed the office's most recent estimate for school property tax collections.

02/10/2017

School District Property Tax Elimination

Director Matt Knittel and Deputy Director Mark Ryan made a presentation to the Pennsylvania School Boards Association (PSBA) regarding the current proposal and forecasts for school district property taxes in Pennsylvania. *Updated February 13, 2017

01/19/2017

Five Year Economic and Budget Outlook

This report examines the demographic, economic, revenue and expenditure trends that will affect the Commonwealth’s fiscal condition through fiscal year (FY) 2021-22. Based on the economic and demographic assumptions used by this report, the evaluation finds that various factors imply a long-term fiscal imbalance. Press Release IFO presentation Don Boyd's presentation on Public Pension Risk

11/15/2016

The Commonwealth’s Budget Outlook: FY 2016‐17 and Beyond

Deputy Director Mark Ryan made a presentation to the Greater Pittsburgh Nonprofit Partnership regarding the Commonwealth's budget outlook for FY 2016-17 and beyond.  

06/08/2016

A Look Forward: Pennsylvania’s Economic and Revenue Outlook

Deputy Director Mark Ryan made a presentation to the 2016 Keystone Rail Freight Seminar regarding Pennsylvania's economic and revenue outlook.

05/13/2016

The Impact of Demographics on General Fund Revenues and Expenditures

Deputy Director Mark Ryan made a presentation to the 2016 Pennsylvania Data User Conference regarding the impact of demographics on General Fund revenues and expenditures.

05/12/2016

The Implications of Economic and Demographic Trends for State and Municipal Tax Policy

Director Matthew Knittel made a presentation at the Urban Economic and Policy Conference sponsored by Drexel University and Econsult Solutions entitled "The Implications of Economic and Demographic Trends for State and Municipal Tax Policy."

04/24/2016

Pennsylvania Public Pensions: Background on the Unfunded Liabilities

Deputy Director Mark Ryan made a presentation to the Rotary Club of Harrisburg regarding the unfunded liabilities in Pennsylvania's public pension systems. (4/11/2016)

04/11/2016

Demographic and Economic Trends for Pennsylvania's Older Residents

Director Matthew Knittel made a presentation to the House Aging and Older Adult Services Committee, which provided demographic and economic trends for Pennsylvania’s older residents.

03/23/2016

The Implications of an Aging Populace for the State Budget

Director Matthew Knittel made a presentation on the budgetary implications of an aging populace at a conference sponsored by the Pennsylvania Budget and Policy Center.

03/03/2016

Five-Year Economic and Budget Outlook: FY 2015-16 to 2020-21

This report examines the demographic, economic, revenue and expenditure trends that will affect the Commonwealth’s fiscal condition through fiscal year (FY) 2020-21. Based on the economic and demographic assumptions used by this report, the evaluation finds that various factors imply a long-term fiscal imbalance. (Updated January 2016) presentation

01/27/2016

Fiscal Implications of a York County School District Consolidation

The report provides potential consolidation savings and costs for 15 York County school districts and computes the real estate tax millage using various earned income tax rates and administrative savings scenarios. Full Report presentation

12/12/2014

Analysis of Proposal to Replace School Property Taxes: House Bill 76 and Senate Bill 76

This report presents the results from an analysis of House Bill 76 and Senate Bill 76 performed by the Independent Fiscal Office (IFO). The proposed legislation eliminates local school district property taxes and replaces those funds with sales and use and personal income taxes, as well as monies redirected from the Property Tax Relief Fund. presentation to the Senate Finance Committee on 10/15/2013. Data for the graphs in section 4 of the report that display the annual and cumulative changes in personal income, sales and school property tax collections. Introduction, which contains summary results from the report.

10/01/2013

Independent Fiscal Office

Stand & Other Featured Releases November Economic and Revenue Update News Stand & Other November 18, 2020 Director Matthew Knittel made a presentation to the Harrisburg Trade Association Executives and the PICA 2020 Fall Conference. ... (Full Report) UGSOA Wage Contract Analysis Wage Contracts Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released its October Revenue and Economic Update. Click the hyperlink above to view the report and presentation . ... (Full Report) October 2020 Economic Update Revenue & Economic Update October 22, 2020 The October edition of our Monthly Economic Update

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jackson ppt.pdf

Economic Outlook Tom Jackson, Senior Economist, U.S. Regional Economics January 18, 2012 © 2012, IHS Inc. No portion of this presentation may be reproduced, reused, or otherwise distributed in any form without prior written consent. • Amid global storm clouds, the US risk of another US recession in 2012. The US Economy Keeps Growing 2 © 2012, IHS Inc. No portion of this presentation may be reproduced, reused, or otherwise distributed in any form without prior written consent. Modest US Economic Growth and High

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PICPA_Presentation.pdf

Today’s Presentation June 7, 2017 2 Revenue Update for FY 2016-17. Negative (base) revenue growth through May. Revenue shortfall approaches ~$1 4.6% Ending Balance $2 -$936 -$3,037 Note: Dollar amounts are in millions. Source: FY 2017-18 Executive Budget presentation, Feb. 7, 2017. Excludes all policy initiatives. Proposed Deficit Reduction June 7, 2017 17 2-Year Impact Revenue Package $1

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Presentation_Lancaster_Chamber_2017-07-14.pdf

Pennsylvania’s Fiscal and Demographic Outlook Presentation to the Lancaster Chamber of Commerce and Industry Mark J. Ryan, Deputy Director Independent Fiscal Office July 14, 2017 7 special studies on revenue or budget matters.  Five-Year Economic and Budget Outlook. 7/14/2017 2 Today’s Presentation PA’s long-term structural imbalance.  Origins date to the 2008-2009 financial crisis.  Persists even when PA

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Econ Summit Presentation Feb 28 2017.pdf

33,410 4.6% Ending Balance $2 -$936 -$3,037 Note: millions of dollars. Source: FY 2017-18 Executive Budget presentation, Feb. 7, 2017. Excludes all policy initiatives. Proposed Deficit Reduction February 28, 2017 4 2-Year Impact Revenue Package $1 to Balance Sheet $3,043 Note: millions of dollars. Source: FY 2017-18 Executive Budget and Feb. 7, 2017 budget presentation. The Revenue Package February 28, 2017 5 2017-18 Broaden Tax Base Sales – Custom Programming $330 Sales – Storage and Aircraft

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TaxCredit and PBB Overview- 2019-01-24.pptx

Tax Credit Reviews Historic Preservation Film Production New Jobs Presentation to the Performance-Based Budget Board January 24, 2019 1/24/2019 0 Act 48 of 2017 – Tax Credit Duties also be used. January 24, 2019 10 PBB Overview and Recommendations Department of Banking and Securities Department of General Services Presentation to the Performance-Based Budget Board January 24, 2019 Department of Banking and Securities 2018-19 Agency Activity Overview January

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Revenue-Proposal-Analysis-2020-04.pdf

it would not occur as scheduled. Table 1.8 concludes the analysis with detail from a recent DOR presentation at the Federation of Tax Administrators conference regarding changes in Pennsylvania tax liability across selected industries due to combined reporting. As noted dollar millions. Table 1.8 PA DOR Estimated Combined Reporting Impact by Industry Source: Pennsylvania Department of Revenue, presentation to the Federation of Tax Administrators Revenue Estimating Conference, September 24, 2019. Tax and Revenue Proposals | Page 15 Personal Income Tax Transfer

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PSBA Webinar - IFO - Act5_Actuarial.pdf

Actuarial Impact of Act 5 of 2017 Presentation to the Pennsylvania School Boards Association Independent Fiscal Office Mark J. Ryan, Deputy Director June 28, 2017 6/28/2017 Goal: develop recommendations to generate $1.5 billion in actuarial savings over 30 years. 6/28/2017 9 Thank you Presentation to be posted at IFO website. www.ifo.state.pa.us 6/28/2017 10 Author: Mark Ryan Company: Microsoft

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PSBA Presentation - Final.pdf

Overview of School District Property Tax Elimination Presentation to the Pennsylvania School Boards Association Independent Fiscal Office Matthew Knittel, Director Mark Ryan, Deputy Director January 19, 2017 1 the percentage increase in the (1) statewide average weekly wage or (2) sales tax. 1/19/2017 14 Thank you Presentation to be posted at IFO website. www.ifo.state.pa.us 1/19/2017 15 Company: Microsoft CreationDate: 2017-02-

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Presentation_PICPA_9-24-2013.pdf

economic conditions. Upcoming Studies. o HB 76 and SB 76. o Five-Year Outlook. 24 . Sept . 2013 2 Today’s Presentation PA Economic Outlook Weakens annual growth rate or levels 2012 2013 2014 Wages and Salaries Dec 2012 Forecast 3.4% 5% 2.7% Total 3.9% 4.0% 4.0% 3.1% 3.2% 24 . Sept . 2013 26 Thank you. Presentation available at: ifo.state.pa.us Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: Lauren Mondschein CreationDate: 2013-09-24 17:30:22 ModDate

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Presentation_Phil_Chamber_2-12-2015.pdf

Implications for projected budget deficits. Latest Economic Developments. • Gas prices. Consumer confidence. Low inflation. 12.Feb.2015 2 Today’s Presentation  Act 120 of 2010 Creates Independent Fiscal Office. • Hiring starts September 2011. Currently 9 staff. • Similar to the Congressional all changes up front, or over several years? 12.Feb.2015 Wrap Up 23 12.Feb.2015 24 Questions/Discussion Presentation to be Posted at IFO website www.ifo.state.pa.us Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: Lauren Mondschein CreationDate: 2015-02-

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Presentation_PBC_6-12-14.pdf

and Jobs Composition, Growth. Budget Implications o Persistent tax base erosion due to demographics. 12.June.2014 2 Today’s Presentation 12.June.2014 3 Broad Demographic Trends 2000 2010 2020 Shares Number Number CAGR Number CAGR 2000 2020 PA (000s o Encourage high value-added industries. 12.June.2014 25 Wrap Up 12.June.2014 26 Questions/Discussion Thank you Presentation to be Posted at IFO website www.ifo.state.pa.us Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: Lauren Mondschein CreationDate: 2014-06-

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Presentation-Initial-Revenue-Estimate-2018-05.pdf

REVENUE ESTIMATE FISCAL YEAR 2018-19 Commonwealth of Pennsylvania May 1, 2018 Independent fiscal office May 1, 2018 Today’s presentation.  PA economy: growth appears to accelerate recently.  FY 17-18: hitting estimate except for JUA transfer.  FY continue to spend and invest?  Do corporate profits rebound? Looking Forward May.01.2018 27 Final Estimate June 15 Presentation posted at IFO website www.ifo.state.pa.us Questions/Discussion May.01.2018 28 Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: Lauren

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Presentation-2019-3-1-EPLC.pdf

ECONOMIC & BUDGET OUTLOOK Education Policy and Leadership Center Commonwealth of Pennsylvania March 1, 2019 Today’s IFO Presentation  Executive Summary | Crucial Assumptions | Recession Risk  Demographics: a contracting workforce  Economics: modest 2018 gains from TCJA, strong than not next three years.  Will federal government be able/willing to assist states? March 1, 2019 26 Questions Presentation posted on the IFO website http://www.ifo.state.pa.us/ Follow the IFO on Twitter @ind_fisc_office Independent Fiscal Office

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Presentation-2018-10-Performance-Based-Budget-Board.pdf

Overview of Act 48 Implementation October 15, 2018 Presentation to the Performance-Based Budget Board Act 48 Overview  Act 48 of 2017 directs the IFO to develop performance- g., revenue availability, court decisions, federal funding impacts, formula requirements, constituent pressures). 15 October 15, 2018 16 October 15, 2018 Presentation to be posted on the IFO website http://www.ifo.state.pa.us/ Independent Fiscal Office Rachel Carson State Office

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PBB-Board Hearing Jan 23 2020.pptx

Tax Credit Reviews Organ and Bone Marrow Donation Mobile Telecom Broadband Research and Development Keystone Innovation Zones DCED PBB Highlights Presentation to the Performance-Based Budget Board January 23, 2020 2/27/2020 0 Tax Credit Reviews - Overview Tax credit reviews Currently, no metrics reported | no compliance monitoring January 23, 2020 18 PBB Highlights Dept of Health Dept of Human Services Presentation to the Performance-Based Budget Board January 23, 2020 2/27/2020 19 Department of Health (DOH) January 23, 2020

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PA_Economy_League_Presentation.pdf

and potential replacement revenues. 3. Implications for various groups: schools, homeowners, renters, individuals and businesses. 19.May.2017 Today’s Presentation 3 SB 76 of 2013 (IFO analysis on website).  Eliminates school district property taxes over time (retain current debt conditions.  Homeowners vs. renters.  Working vs. retired.  Growing vs. contracting school districts. 19.May.2017 Summary 26 Presentation to be Posted on IFO website www.ifo.state.pa.us 19.May.2017 Questions/Discussion 27 Author: Lauren Mondschein

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Mid_Year_FY16-17_Presentation.pdf

rate is ~0.0%.  Both economic and technical factors are cause.  Inflation, business spending and consumers. No public presentation.  But will be posted to IFO website. 25.Jan.2017 2 IFO Mid-Year Update 25.Jan.2017 3 is $716 million lower than the official estimate certified by the governor in July. 25.Jan.2017 25 Questions/Discussion Presentation to be Posted at IFO website www.ifo.state.pa.us Author: Lauren Mondschein Company: Microsoft CreationDate: 2017-01-26

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IFO-Presentation-11-14-2019.pdf

competition for increasingly mobile businesses  Tax rates, exemptions, tax credits, loans, subsidies, grants, abatements November 14, 2019 3 Guest Presentations Guest presentations posted separately November 14, 2019 4 Four Critical Assumptions PA Labor force expands despite decline in 20-64 year olds

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IFO - Economic and Budget Outlook - January 2012.pdf

fiscal years. Revenue and expenditure projections are not intended to be used as point estimates of future outcomes. Method of Presentation In order to illustrate broad trends and convey their impact, it is useful to provide both historical and relative context personal income over a twenty-year budget window that spans FY 1997-98 to FY 2016-17. 1 For tabular presentations, a fifteen-year window is used. Revenue and Expenditure Projections Whenever possible, the economic and demographic forecasts provide motivation for

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Five_Year_Outlook_2018_Presentation.pdf

of Economics  B.A. from Harvard, Ph.D. in Economics from MIT November 15, 2018 4 Today’s IFO Presentation  Executive Summary | Crucial Assumptions | Recessions  Demographics: a contracting workforce  Economics: modest 2018 gains from TCJA, strong labor than not next three years.  Will federal government be able/willing to assist states? November 15, 2018 23 Questions Presentation posted on the IFO website http://www.ifo.state.pa.us/ Follow the IFO on Twitter @ind_fisc_office Independent Fiscal Office

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EPLC Feb 2020 FINAL.pdf

budgeting | Tax credit reviews  Special Studies: property tax reform, natural gas, minimum wage February 28, 2020 2 Today’s Presentation: Three Parts State demographics and economy  Labor market still robust | consumers drive growth  Auto loan delinquencies at all Day Fund = $340 million  Recommended: 5% ($1.8b) or 2 months operating ($6.0b) February 28, 2020 22 Questions Presentation posted on the IFO website http://www.ifo.state.pa.us/ Follow the IFO on Twitter @ind_fisc_office Independent Fiscal Office

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2018_Mid-Year_Update.pdf

tax cut: economic and General Fund impact.  Revenues: FY 17-18 update; preliminary look at FY 18-19. Public presentation later today.  Rachel Carson Building at 2:30.  Presentation to be posted to IFO website. 29.Jan.2018 2 Welcome to the IFO Mid-Year Update Mid-Year Update

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Releases

Releases IFO • Latest Releases • Data • Calendar • Right-to-Know • About • About IFO • Contact IFO • Email Subscription • Links • Follow on Twitter • • Releases IFO Releases November Economic and Revenue Update November 18, 2020 | News Stand & Other Director Matthew Knittel made a presentation to the Harrisburg Trade Association Executives and the PICA 2020 Fall Conference. Tags: economic , presentation , revenue Full Report 2019 Wage Contracts Summary Table November Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) released its October Revenue and Economic Update. Click the hyperlink above to view the report and presentation . Tags: economic , revenue Full Report IFO Public Briefing: October 2020 Revenue and Economic Update October 23, 2020 | Revenue Estimates The IFO will present

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TC_2019_Film_Production_Tax_Credit_Report.pdf

to ten percent are not awarded due to with- drawn applications or other technical issues. To simplify the presentation, the analysis also ignores timing issues related to the delay between authorizations, awards and utilization of tax credits. Including that detail would Small, Ronde and Laura Wheeler, Fiscal Research Center, Georgia State University (February 2016). “A New Business Incentives Database,” Presentation prepared for the American Tax Policy Institute Annual Fall Conference, Washington D.C. (November 2017). “A Report on the Massachusetts Film Industry

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TaxCredit and PBB Overview- 2019-01-24.pdf

Tax Credit Reviews Historic Preservation Film Production New Jobs Presentation to the Performance-Based Budget Board January 24, 2019 Act 48 of 2017 – Tax Credit Duties The tax credit review also be used. January 24, 2019 10 PBB Overview and Recommendations Department of Banking and Securities Department of General Services Presentation to the Performance-Based Budget Board January 24, 2019 Department of Banking and Securities 2018-19 Agency Activity Overview January

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Single-Use Plastics Report-2020_06.pdf

3 percent per annum since 2014 when California first adopted a statewide ban of LWPBs. 58 A recent presentation from Novolex, the leading U.S. producer of plastic and paper retail bags, on the impact of New York’s bag ban passage, California’s statewide policy became effective. 59 Phil Rozenski, “Implementation of New York Statewide Paper Bag Standard,” presentation from paper bag manufac- turer, Novolex (2019). 60 “New York Retail Bags Market Assessment,” Freedonia Custom Research (2020). This report was prepared

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Select Committee Oct 1 2012 FINAL.pdf

implications of any amendments. 1.Oct.2012 Analysis of HB 1776 and SB 1400 of 2012 - Slide 1 Today’s Presentation  Brief overview of HB 1776 / SB 1400 of 2012.  Analysis Objectives.  Analysis Results:  Surplus or shortfall HB 1776 and SB 1400 of 2012 – Slide 30 Full Report Available at www.ifo.state.pa.us Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: Matthew Knittel CreationDate: 2012-10-01 14:17:19 ModDate: 2012-10-01 14:17:19 Producer: Microsoft® Office

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Publicity - Economic and Budget Outlook - 2014.pdf

Independent Fiscal Office  www.ifo.state.pa.us  (717) 230-8293 Independent Fiscal Office ANNOUNCEMENT Annual Presentation Pennsylvania’s Economic & Budget Outlook: Fiscal Years 2014-15 to 2019-20 Date and Time: Thursday, November 13, 2014; 1 will affect the expenditures and revenues over the next five years. Guest Presenter: Daniel White, Senior Economist Moody’s Analytics Presentation on two topics that influence the long-term economic outlook for Pennsylvania: (1) the composition of job creation; and (2

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Presentation_PICPA_12-3-2014.pdf

Presentation to PICPA December 3, 2014 Matthew Knittel Independent Fiscal Office Pennsylvania’s Economic and Budget Outlook FY 2014-15 to difficult policy choices. • All at once? Or many bites at the apple? 3.Dec.2014 Wrap Up 29 Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: Lauren Mondschein CreationDate: 2014-12-04 16:21:55 ModDate: 2014-12-04 16:21:55 Producer: Microsoft® PowerPoint

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Presentation_Pension_Town_Hall_3-26-2015.pdf

General Fund appropriations under current law, the office has not performed its own analysis of pension funding. • Data in this presentation generally are derived from the comprehensive annual financial reports, actuarial valuations and budget materials published by SERS and PSERS. 3 2015-03-25 20:46:14 Producer: Acrobat Distiller 10.1.13 (Windows) Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - PNAF-PCBI Town Hall Presentation

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Presentation_PASBO_Annual_Conference_3-8-2018.pdf

PASBO 63 rd Annual Conference and Exhibits The IFO Perspective on State Financial and Demographic Data Presentation at the Annual Conference of the Pennsylvania Association of School Business Officials Mark J. Ryan, Deputy Director Independent Fiscal Office March 8, 2018 Today’s Presentation Updates on topics covered in recent IFO analyses:  School property tax  Demographics  Revenue estimates  Pensions / Act

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Presentation_2017_02_10_EPLC.pdf

0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% Personal Income Sales School Property 10.Feb.2017 28 Questions/Discussion Presentation to be Posted at IFO website www.ifo.state.pa.us Author: Lauren Mondschein Company: Microsoft CreationDate: 2017-02-09 Acrobat PDFMaker 15 for PowerPoint ModDate: 2017-02-10 20:32:52 Producer: Adobe PDF Library 15.0 Title: PowerPoint Presentation

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Presentation_2016-05-12_PaDUC_Impact_of_Demographics.pdf

and Revenue Implications. • Expenditures Affected by Population Growth in Groups. • Aging Populace Contributes to Tax Base Erosion. 3 Today’s Presentation 12.May.2016 Demographic Trends All Projections from Penn State Data Center Reflects US Census Estimates for 2015 Working Age ModDate: 2016-05-17 14:18:09 Producer: Acrobat Distiller 10.1.16 (Windows) Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - 2016 PaDUC - IFO Presentation - PRINT

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Presentation-2019-5-1-PAEL.pdf

Raising the Minimum Wage to $12.00 Presentation for the PA Economy League Matthew Knittel, Director Independent Fiscal Office May 1, 2019 The Pennsylvania Labor Market May 1 Fewer job opportunities  Harder labor market entry  Smaller/rural firms impacted more  Moderately higher prices Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: Lesley Rompalo CreationDate: 2019-05-01 13:06:39 ModDate: 2019-05-01 13:06:39 Producer: Microsoft® PowerPoint

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Presentation-2019-04-House-Financial-Rescue-Caucus.pdf

Recent Revenue and Economic Trends IFO Presentation to the House Financial Rescue Caucus - April 17, 2019 Growth Rate General Fund Tax Revenues 2017.3 2017.4 2018 of Labor Statistics, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Growth Rates: PIT Withholding and Non-Motor Vehicle Sales Tax IFO Presentation to the House Financial Rescue Caucus, April 17, 2019. 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5

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Presentation-2018-10-House-Financial-Rescue-Caucus.pdf

annualized growth rate. Sources: Independent Fiscal Office, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. IFO Presentation to the House Financial Rescue Caucus, October 9, 2018. Growth Rates: PIT Withholding and Non-Motor Vehicle Sales Tax IFO Presentation to the House Financial Rescue Caucus, October 9, 2018. 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5

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Presentation-2018-08-PA-State-Association-Boroughs.pdf

 Earned income tax and property tax.  Focus on wage growth. August.08.2018 2 Good Morning & Today’s Presentation Established in 2011. Non-partisan analysis.  Modeled after the Congressional Budget Office.  Separate from Executive and Legislative branches higher likelihood next 2-3 years.  Many analysts project recession for 2020. August.08.2018 25 Wrapping it Up Presentation to be posted on the IFO website http://www.ifo.state.pa.us/ Follow the IFO on Twitter @ind_fisc_office Independent

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Presentation-2018-06-PICPA.pdf

FY 2018-19 Executive Budget. Updated amount is an IFO estimate. June.12.2018 20 Final Estimate Posted June 18 Presentation posted at IFO website www.ifo.state.pa.us Questions/Discussion June.12.2018 21 Author: Lauren Mondschein CreationDate: 2018- 15:40:22 Creator: Microsoft® PowerPoint® 2016 ModDate: 2018-06-12 15:40:44 Producer: Microsoft® PowerPoint® 2016 Title: PowerPoint Presentation

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PICPA Presentation_ June 11, 2019.pdf

Budget and Economic Update Presentation to the Pennsylvania Institute of Certified Public Accountants Brenda Warburton, Deputy Director, Independent Fiscal Office June 11, 2019 Main Themes 15:50:50 Creator: Microsoft® PowerPoint® 2016 ModDate: 2019-06-11 15:51:17 Producer: Microsoft® PowerPoint® 2016 Title: PowerPoint Presentation

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Pennsylvania_Aging_Presentation.pdf

Implications of Aging for the PA Economy PA Council on Aging May 24 2017 Independent Fiscal Office Today’s Presentation I. The Foundation: Demographics.  Baby Boomer retirements.  Life expectancy and migration flows. II. Economic Trends for Seniors.  add $4,160 per additional person. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2015 American Community Survey, 1-year estimates. Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: lrompalo@hotmail.com CreationDate: 2017-05-25 11:58:48 ModDate: 2017-05-25 11:58:48 Producer: Microsoft

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PBB-Overview-2019-01-22.pdf

PBB Overview and Recommendations DOC/PBPP JCJC PCCD Presentation to the Performance-Based Budget Board January 22, 2019 Act 48 of 2017 - PBB Duties IFO shall develop PBB plans Acrobat PDFMaker 15 for PowerPoint ModDate: 2019-01-22 17:04:49 Producer: Adobe PDF Library 15.0 Title: PowerPoint Presentation

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PBB-Board-Hearing-Jan-22-2020.pdf

PBB Overview and Agency Highlights PEMA Dept of State Dept of Environmental Protection Presentation to the Performance-Based Budget Board January 22, 2020 Performance Based Budgeting (PBB) Alternative budget framework driven by performance metrics per 100,000  PA rank falls from 48 to 49 (50 is worst) January 22, 2020 20 Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: Lesley Rompalo CreationDate: 2020-01-22 16:52:41 ModDate: 2020-01-22 16:52:41 Producer: Microsoft® PowerPoint

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Oct_2020_Revenue_and_Economic_Update_Announ.pdf

2020-21. The briefing is open to the public and submitted questions will be addressed at the end of the presentation. The report will also be posted to the IFO website when the presentation concludes. RSVP Here Please click on the link to register and receive an invitation to the briefing, which will be

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October_2020_Revenue_and_Economic_Update_Announcement.pdf

2020-21. The briefing is open to the public and submitted questions will be addressed at the end of the presentation. The report will also be posted to the IFO website when the presentation concludes. RSVP Here Please click on the link to register and receive an invitation to the briefing, which will be

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October_2020_Revenue_and_Economic_Update_Announcement (002).pdf

2020-21. The briefing is open to the public and submitted questions will be addressed at the end of the presentation. The report will also be posted to the IFO website when the presentation concludes. RSVP Here Please click on the link to register and receive an invitation to the briefing, which will be

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October_2020_Revenue_and_Economic_Update_Announ..pdf

2020-21. The briefing is open to the public and submitted questions will be addressed at the end of the presentation. The report will also be posted to the IFO website when the presentation concludes. RSVP Here Please click on the link to register and receive an invitation to the briefing, which will be

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mid-year-FY14-15-presentation.pdf

2014‐15 estimate. • Implications for next year. Advance Look at FY 2015‐16 Revenues. 28.Jan.2015 2 Today’s Presentation 28.Jan.2015 3 2014 2015 2016 Notes Real GDP June 2014 1.6% 1.8% n.a. low worker rate of about 1.3%. 28.Jan.2015 26 FY 2015‐16 Revenue Outlook 28.Jan.2015 27 Questions/Discussion Presentation to be Posted at IFO website www.ifo.state.pa.us Author: mryan CreationDate: 2015-02-02 18:43:37

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Kling_Presentation.pdf

Congressional Budget Office Presentation for the Independent Fiscal Office, Commonwealth of Pennsylvania November 15, 2018 Jeffrey Kling Associate Director for Economic Analysis Transparency at work, respond to questions, and seek feedback. Other types of outreach include the following:  Consultation with outside experts  Presentations on Capitol Hill and elsewhere about CBO’s analyses and processes  Podcasts  Blog posts Conducting Outreach 21 CBO

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Initial_Revenue_Estimate_Annoucement_May_2020.pdf

2020-21. The briefing is open to the public and submitted questions will be addressed at the end of the presentation. The report will also be posted to the IFO website when the presentation concludes. Date: Tuesday, May 26 Time: 10:00 AM R SVP Here Please register at the link above to receive

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Initial_Estimate_May_2017_Presentation.pdf

very weak (-5%).  March-April CNIT estimated payments up +13%. Recapitulation 21 02.May.2017 Updated Estimate Mid-June Presentation to be Posted at IFO website www.ifo.state.pa.us Questions/Discussion 22 02.May.2017 Author: Lauren Mondschein Acrobat PDFMaker 15 for PowerPoint ModDate: 2017-05-02 16:59:57 Producer: Adobe PDF Library 15.0 Title: PowerPoint Presentation

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IFO ppt.pdf

two events. January 18, 2012 Independent Fiscal Office Economic & Budget Outlook 2012 Revenue Conference Five–Year Outlook Report • Report and presentations will be posted on website: www.ifo.state.pa.us • Modeling is simple and transparent. – Projections motivated by economics and 15:45:35 Creator: Microsoft® PowerPoint® 2010 ModDate: 2012-01-18 15:45:51 Producer: Microsoft® PowerPoint® 2010 Title: PowerPoint Presentation

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IFO Five-Year Outlook.pdf

The Economic and Budget Outlook: FY 2012-13 to 2017-18 Independent Fiscal Office Commonwealth of Pennsylvania Today’s Presentation  Report posted to IFO website: www.ifo.state.pa.us.  Demographic Outlook  New projections from Penn State Report available at www.ifo.state.pa.us. The Economic and Budget Outlook Slide 55 15.Nov.2012 Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: Matthew Knittel CreationDate: 2012-11-16 14:32:14 ModDate: 2012-11-16 14:32:14 Producer: Microsoft® PowerPoint

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Five_Year_Outlook_2016_IFO_PPT.pdf

Welcome Matthew Knittel | Director, Independent Fiscal Office  Overview, Demographic and Economic Outlook Don Boyd | Rockefeller Institute of Government  Presentation on Public Pension Funding Risk Mark Ryan | Deputy Director, Independent Fiscal Office  Revenues, Expenditures and Fiscal Outlook 11/15 Recent policy changes reduced the short-term deficit, but the long-term imbalance remains. 11/15/2016 38 Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: Lesley Rompalo CreationDate: 2016-11-22 15:21:25 ModDate: 2016-11-22 15:21:25 Producer: Microsoft® PowerPoint

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Boyd PA IFO November 2016.pdf

Public Pension Funding Risk: Pennsylvania in the National Context Pennsylvania Independent Fiscal Office Annual Presentation Harrisburg, PA Don Boyd, Director of Fiscal Studies donald.boyd@rockinst.suny.edu November 15, 2016 Main points •Despite large Plans and govts should evaluate risk carefully, with an eye toward reducing risk. 2 Liabilities and normal costs in this presentation are based on BEA/FRB estimates, not actuaries’ estimates. Recent years are discounted at 5%. 3 4 5 6 7

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2015_Economic_and_Budget_Outlook.pdf

Independent Fiscal Office  www.ifo.state.pa.us  (717) 230-8293 Independent Fiscal Office ANNOUNCEMENT Annual Presentation Pennsylvania’s Economic & Budget Outlook: Fiscal Years 2015-16 to 2020-21 Date and Time: Wednesday, December 9, 2015; 2 the Commonwealth’s expenditures and revenues over the next five fiscal years. Guest Presenter: Ray Landis, Advocacy Manager AARP Pennsylvania Presentation on retirement insecurity and the challenges facing Baby Boomers as they retire. Report Distribution: Pennsylvania’s Economic & Budget Outlook: Fiscal

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Witgert Nov 15, 2012.pdf

Katharine Witgert Program Manager National Academy for State Health Policy Annual Presentation The Economic and Budget Outlook Independent Fiscal Office Commonwealth of Pennsylvania November 15, 2012 Health Care Reform: What it Means

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TC_2020_Research and Development Tax Credit.pdf

that is induced by the tax credit award. The dollar match method is used because it simplifies the presentation. 29 The three representative sectors used for the model were: semiconductor and machinery manufacturing; data pro- cessing, hosting and related services and

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TC_2020_Organ and Bone Marrow Donation Tax Credit.pdf

credit. It then discusses the application process and the administration of the tax credit, and concludes with a presentation of program data. Purpose and Goals Act 48 of 2017 requires that all tax credit reviews published by the IFO shall discuss

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TC_2019_New_Jobs_Tax_Credit_Report.pdf

Job Creation Tax Credits and Job Growth: Whether, When, and Where?” Chirinko, Robert S. and Daniel J. Wilson, Presentation at the 2011 American Economic Association Meetings (December 2010). “Job Creation Tax Credits, Fiscal Foresight, and Job Growth: Evidence from U.S

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TC_2019_Historic_Preservation_Tax_Credit_Report.pdf

year. See “Leveraging Federal Economic Development Resources with State Historic Rehab Tax Credits,” Jeffrey Oakman and Marvin Wood, Presentation at the National Tax Association 105 th Annual Conference on Taxation (January 2013). Economic Analysis and Issues | Page 19 have an HPTC

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Tax-Foundation-Presentation-11-14-2019.pdf

Acrobat PDFMaker 15 for PowerPoint ModDate: 2019-11-14 14:16:38 Producer: Adobe PDF Library 15.0 Title: PowerPoint Presentation

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SUT Exemption for Aircraft - January 2013.pdf

earliest year used in the analysis. The second time period splits that 12-year interval in half. This presentation facilitates a comparison of long-run and more recent employment trends since certain states have enacted SUT exemptions. The exemptions mainly apply

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SR2014-03-presentation.pdf

state funding, salary standardization and debt service. Calculation of real estate tax millage. • Implications for taxpayers. 16.Dec.2014 3 Presentation Overview District-wide tax base with uniform tax rates. Focus on district-level administrative consolidation. Two snapshots with FY 2012-

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Revenue-Proposal-Analysis-2019-03.pdf

workers only. They do not include the modest gains for indirectly-affected workers.) It is noted that the presentation in Table 2.6 is an oversimplification because it assumes that all workers under $12.00 per hour would receive exactly $12

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Revenue-Proposal-Analysis-2018-04.pdf

fiscal years. The table also 11 Estimated post-production costs are based on a review of an investor presentation for a large Pennsylvania extractor and certain filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. 12 West Virginia’s severance tax

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Revenue-Estimate-2019-05-Presentation.pdf

Exact magnitude of income shifting not known  International issues loom larger than normal May 20, 2019 20 Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: Matthew Knittel CreationDate: 2019-05-20 20:46:58 ModDate: 2019-05-20 20:46:58 Producer: Microsoft® PowerPoint

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Revenue Conference Presentation Jan 2013 FINAL.pdf

2013 Revenue Conference Independent Fiscal Office Commonwealth of Pennsylvania Presentation Overview Economic Outlook o Changes to forecast. o Consumer spending is crucial – primary driver of economic growth. Revenue Forecast o

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RB-2020-10-Impact_of_TCJA_on_PA_Taxpayers.pdf

The IRS state tax data include nine income groups for taxpayers that reported positive Adjusted Gross Income. To facilitate the presentation of data, this analysis collapses those groups into three income groups. The groups used for the analysis do not imply

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RB-2019-01.pdf

production costs ($0.80). Prices are from BENTEK Energy. Post-production cost estimates are based on a Range Resources investor presentation from October 3, 2016, adjusted for statewide wet and dry gas production. It should be noted that many producers hedge

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Public Employee Retirement Laws of PA Local Governments (2009).pdf

dies and an- other beneficiary cannot be named. Death Benefit – A death benefit provides some contin- uation of payment or presentation of benefits to a beneficiary given certain eligibility requirements of the covered individual. If an active member or vestee with

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PSBA-Property-Tax-Update-March-2020.pdf

15:26:03 Creator: Microsoft® PowerPoint® 2016 ModDate: 2020-03-13 15:29:08 Producer: Microsoft® PowerPoint® 2016 Title: PowerPoint Presentation

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Property-Tax-Update-August-2018.pdf

1 The first document is a memo sent to Representative Cox on December 11, 2017. The second document is a presentation made to the Pennsylvania School Boards Association on January 19, 2017. August 16, 2018 Page 2 Graph 1 displays cumulative

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Presentation_Rotary_Club_of_York_7-15-2015.pdf

General Fund appropriations under current law, the office has not performed its own analysis of pension funding. • Data in this presentation generally are derived from the comprehensive annual financial reports, actuarial valuations and budget materials published by SERS and PSERS. 7

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Presentation_Harrisburg_Rotary_4-11-2016.pdf

General Fund appropriations under current law, the office has not performed its own analysis of pension funding. • Data in this presentation generally are derived from the comprehensive annual financial reports, actuarial valuations and budget materials published by SERS and PSERS. 4

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Presentation_2016-06-08_GPNP_Budget_Outlook.pdf

ModDate: 2016-06-09 15:02:53 Producer: Acrobat Distiller 10.1.16 (Windows) Title: Microsoft PowerPoint - 2016 GPNP - IFO Presentation-PRINT

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Presentation-2019-01-Mid-Year-Update.pdf

reverse.  International slow down.  Some downside risk to FY 2019-20 forecast. January 29, 2019 17 Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: Lesley Rompalo CreationDate: 2019-01-29 22:03:44 ModDate: 2019-01-29 22:03:44 Producer: Microsoft® PowerPoint

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Presentation-2018-11-19-CCAP.pdf

Acrobat PDFMaker 15 for PowerPoint ModDate: 2018-11-19 13:09:06 Producer: Adobe PDF Library 15.0 Title: PowerPoint Presentation

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Presentation-2018-07-NCSL.pdf

Acrobat PDFMaker 15 for PowerPoint ModDate: 2018-07-30 17:28:14 Producer: Adobe PDF Library 15.0 Title: PowerPoint Presentation

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Presentation-2018-06-Philly-Pitt-Chambers.pdf

in millions. Appropriations includes projected supplementals. Source: FY 2018-19 Executive Budget. Updated amount is an IFO estimate. Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: Lauren Mondschein CreationDate: 2018-06-04 16:41:42 ModDate: 2018-06-04 16:41:42 Producer: Microsoft® PowerPoint

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Presentation-2018-06-PASBO.pdf

Acrobat PDFMaker 15 for PowerPoint ModDate: 2018-06-05 18:16:06 Producer: Adobe PDF Library 15.0 Title: PowerPoint Presentation

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PICA_Presentation_2020_11.pdf

and student loan forbearance  Expiration of extra/special federal UC support: PUA and extended benefits November 18, 2020 9 Presentation is Posted to IFO Website Questions? Submit to contact@ifo.state.pa.us November 18, 2020 10 CreationDate: 2020-11-

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Official-Revenue-Estimate-Methodology-2020-6.pdf

for improvements to property transferred by deed, instrument, lease or other writing. The tax is due upon the presentation of the document for recording, or 30 days after the acceptance of the document, whichever comes first. The tax is remitted to

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Official-Revenue-Estimate-Methodology-2019-06.pdf

for improvements to property transferred by deed, instrument, lease or other writing. The tax is due upon the presentation of the document for recording, or 30 days after the acceptance of the document, whichever comes first. The tax is remitted to

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NGIFE-2018.pdf

production costs ($0.80). Prices are from BENTEK Energy. Post-production cost estimates are based on a Range Resources investor presentation from October 3, 2016, adjusted for statewide wet and dry gas production. It should be noted that many producers hedge

Hits: 1

NGIFE-2016.pdf

production costs ($0.87). Prices are from BENTEK Energy. Post-production cost estimates are based on a Range Resources investor presentation from October 3, 2016, adjusted for statewide wet and dry gas production. It should be noted that many producers hedge

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NGIFE-2015.pdf

production costs ($0.82). Prices are from BENTEK Energy. Post‐production cost estimates are based on a Range Resources investor presentation from January 6, 2016, adjusted for wet and dry gas production. 4. Total production was obtained by an IFO analysis

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NFIB_Presentation.pdf

Acrobat PDFMaker 15 for PowerPoint ModDate: 2017-12-13 16:46:06 Producer: Adobe PDF Library 15.0 Title: PowerPoint Presentation

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Municipal_Analysts_Presentation.pdf

Acrobat PDFMaker 15 for PowerPoint ModDate: 2017-10-24 13:15:10 Producer: Adobe PDF Library 15.0 Title: PowerPoint Presentation

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mid-year-FY16-17-press-release.pdf

estimate for FY 2016-17 is $716 million lower than the official estimate certified by the governor in July. A presentation discussing the IFO’s economic forecast and the revisions to the revenue estimate is available at www.ifo.state.pa

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mid-year-FY14-15-press-release.pdf

capital stock and franchise taxes. ------ Subtotal – Decreases -270 ==== Net Revision 250 Revised estimate is $30.207 billion. The IFO’s presentation discussing the economic forecast and the revisions to the revenue estimate is available at www.ifo.state.pa.us. Contact

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MER-2015-01.pdf

Gas Price Consumer Sentiment 2 http://www.ifo.state.pa.us/download.cfm?file=/resources/PDF /mid-year-FY14-15-presentation.pdf Author: Lauren Mondschein CreationDate: 2015-02-04 19:56:59 ModDate: 2015-02-04 19:56:59 Producer: Microsoft

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Impact-Fee-Update-Outlook-2020.pdf

feet using Pennsylvania-specific heat content. 4. Post-production cost estimates for wet and dry wells are informed by investor presentations for several regional producers. 5. See 58 Pa.C.S. § 2302(b) for the statutory adjustments and 46 Pa.B

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Impact-Fee-Update-Outlook-2019-06.pdf

feet using Pennsylvania-specific heat content. 5. Post-production cost estimates for wet and dry wells are informed by investor presentations for several regional producers. 6. See 58 Pa.C.S. § 2302(b) for the statutory adjustments and 46 Pa.B

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Impact-Fee-Update-2018-Outlook-2018-06.pdf

specific heat content. 4. Post-production cost estimates for wet and dry wells are informed by a Range Resources investor presentation. 5. See 58 Pa.C.S. § 2302(b) for the statutory adjustments and 46 Pa.B. 632 for the current

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Impact-Fee-Update-2017-Outlook-2017-07.pdf

e.g., swaps). 4. Post‐production cost estimates for wet and dry wells are informed by a Range Resources investor presentation from October 3, 2016. 5. See 58 Pa.C.S. § 2302(b) for the statutory adjustments and 46 Pa.B

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Impact-Fee-Estimate-2019.pdf

production costs ($0.80). Prices are from Bentek Energy. Post-production costs are estimated by the IFO based on investor presentations for several regional producers. Data Sources  Statewide production data and spud well counts can be found at https://www

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IFO_Hearing_Packet_Feb2018.pdf

production costs ($0.80). Prices are from BENTEK Energy. Post-production cost estimates are based on a Range Resources investor presentation from October 3, 2016, adjusted for statewide wet and dry gas production. It should be noted that many producers hedge

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IFO_Analyst_Opening.pdf

prepares regular reports on the economy and state revenues; and 4) drafts text and prepares data tables and graphs for presentations and published analyses. Applicants will be assessed based on the following skills or characteristics: • Possession of a bachelor’s degree

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HTAE_2019_05_15.pdf

First group includes 106,602 filers. Second group includes 103,398 filers. Source: Personal income tax microdata file. Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: Lesley Rompalo CreationDate: 2019-05-16 15:14:25 ModDate: 2019-05-16 15:14:25 Producer: Microsoft® PowerPoint

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GPNP July 10, 2012 final.pdf

unemployment rate.  Stronger fundamentals suggest little chance of another recession. 10.Jul.2012 23 2012 GPNP Conference Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: Matthew Knittel CreationDate: 2012-07-11 12:12:56 ModDate: 2012-07-11 12:12:56 Producer: Microsoft® PowerPoint

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Five_Year_Outlook_2017_Presentation.pdf

Acrobat PDFMaker 15 for PowerPoint ModDate: 2017-11-27 13:01:04 Producer: Adobe PDF Library 15.0 Title: PowerPoint Presentation

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Economic_and_Revenue_Update_Presentation_August_2020.pdf

03:54:11 Creator: Microsoft® PowerPoint® 2016 ModDate: 2020-08-21 03:54:24 Producer: Microsoft® PowerPoint® 2016 Title: PowerPoint Presentation

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Budget_Hearing_Background_Feb2016.pdf

production costs ($0.82). Prices are from BENTEK Energy. Post‐production cost estimates are based on a Range Resources investor presentation from January 6, 2016, adjusted for wet and dry gas production. 4. Total production was obtained by an IFO analysis

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Announcement-Updated_Revenue_Estimates_and_Report.pdf

2016 IFO to Release Revised Revenue Estimates and Updated Fiscal Outlook The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) will hold a public presentation to release new revenue estimates and provide an update to its five-year economic and budget outlook. Date and Time

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2020_Mid_Year_Update.pdf

20:43:40 Creator: Microsoft® PowerPoint® 2016 ModDate: 2020-01-28 20:46:06 Producer: Microsoft® PowerPoint® 2016 Title: PowerPoint Presentation

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2007_divestment_complete_report.pdf

Available at: kiplinger. com. Fried, Carla. 2006. “How States Are Aiming to Keep Dollars Out of Sudan.” The New York Times (Febru- ary 19). Grossman, Blake R. and William Sharpe. 1986. “Fi- nancial Implications of South African Divest- ment.” Financial Analysts

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