Releases

IFO Releases

Negative Revision to PA Job Gains Expected

February 29, 2024 | Economics and Other

This research brief examines the implications of a recent QCEW data release for state payroll jobs data.

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Summary and Analysis of Annual PSERS Stress Test Report

February 28, 2024 | Pension Analysis

Pursuant to Act 128 of 2020, the IFO issued a report that summarizes results from the Public School Employees Retirement System’s (PSERS) recent stress test report. Based on PSERS’ baseline projections, the IFO projects that from FY 2024-25 to FY 2051-52, the Commonwealth will use $53.0 billion in General Fund revenues (2.7%) for the state’s share of public school employer pension contributions. Relative to baseline projections, the report also summarizes the impact from scenarios that allow investment performance to exceed and fall short of assumptions.

Tags: analysis, pension, psers

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Natural Gas Quarterly Update, 2023 Q4

February 26, 2024 | Energy

This document uses data from the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection and Natural Gas Intelligence to provide a quarterly update on recent trends in production volume, well counts and average spot prices.

Tags: gas, natural, production

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Economic Update

February 22, 2024 | Economics and Other

Director Knittel provided an economic update at the Economic Forecast and Business Leadership Summit.

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2024 Budget Hearing Materials

February 20, 2024 | Economics and Other

The Independent Fiscal Office submitted materials to the Senate Appropriations Committee ahead of its budget hearing. The packet includes data on the state budget, revenue proposals, economy, revenues, demographics and other miscellaneous topics.       

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ALES Wage Contract Analysis

February 16, 2024 | Wage Contracts

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Association of Liquor Enforcement Supervisors (ALES).

Tags: analysis, contract, wage

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SEIU Local 668 - UC Referees Wage Contract Analysis

February 15, 2024 | Wage Contracts

This letter provides a fiscal impact analysis of the collective bargaining agreement between the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the Service Employees International Union (SEIU) Local 668 Unemployment Compensation (UC) Referees.

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State and Local Tax Revenues: A 50 State Comparison

February 14, 2024 | Economics and Other

This report uses data from the U.S. Census Bureau, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, CCH AnswerConnect and the Tax Foundation to facilitate a comparison of state and local tax systems across the 50 states. The report examines (1) the level of per capita state and local taxes across states (unadjusted and adjusted for price differentials) and (2) the distribution of state and local taxes across revenue sources (e.g., income, sales and property).

Tags: comparison, state, tax

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Budget Roundtable Request

February 09, 2024 | Economics and Other

The IFO responded to questions raised at the House Budget Roundtable on January 31, 2024.

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Economic Forum

February 05, 2024 | Economics and Other

Director Knittel made a brief presentation at the NFIB Economic Forum.

Tags: presentation

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